Sector Alpha Week of 2026-09-18
Not SEBI Registered !! Not Investment advice !!
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-09-18

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd

VAML

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's balance sheet is under water — net worth is negative, so it owes more than it owns. This is a distressed, high-risk situation — the equity can be wiped by dilution or restructuring before operations recover. Not a value setup.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is in a downtrend (14 weeks in). But the balance sheet is under water: net worth is negative, so shareholders sit behind everyone the company owes. What settles it: whether the business can earn its way back to positive equity before dilution or restructuring gets there first.

Price
₹417
P/E
10.3×
vs its own history
Revenue (Jun 26)
₹21,393 Cr
+46.0% YoY
Profit (Jun 26)
₹6,597 Cr
+205.1% YoY
Operating margin
48.0%
+18.0 pp YoY
Withheld from this page: Part of this page is deliberately not drawn: its two data sources disagree by up to 1.4% on reported income across 2 comparable periods, so nothing from the second source is placed here — the F-score is absent for that reason. A figure two sources cannot agree on is not drawn — the gap is a decision, not missing data.
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd trades at ₹417, in a downtrend and 14 weeks into that stage. That is −11.6% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 0% of a 52-week range of ₹417 to ₹470. On relative strength it has no relative-strength read yet.

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 14 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹417 it trades −11.6% versus its 200-day average and sits at 0% of its 52-week range (₹417–₹470).

Sep 26: ₹417 Weekly closing price (₹) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 1-year window.
−11.6% versus the 200-day line, week 14 of stage 4
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S4₹497₹476₹454₹432₹411₹₹417₹471Jul 26Jul 26Aug 26Aug 26Sep 26
S4₹497₹476₹454₹432₹411₹₹417₹471Jul 26Aug 26Sep 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 2 months the stock moved −10% while the NIFTY 500 moved −2% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: no trailing-13-week read yet — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd trades at 10.3× P/E, against too little history to rank. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 10.3× is against too little history to rank. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E
10.3×
too little history to rank

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read.

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read.

Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
RevenueProfit
47.2%206.3%46.6%205.7%46.0%205.1%45.4%204.5%44.8%203.9%%%46%205.1%Jun 25Mar 26Jun 26
47.2%206.3%46.6%205.7%46.0%205.1%45.4%204.5%44.8%203.9%%%46%205.1%Jun 25Mar 26Jun 26

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

04 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd reported ₹21,393 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +46.0% year on year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹66,891 Cr. A multi-year compound rate is not shown because the annual history behind it is too short to compute one honestly.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹66,891 Cr (null on the year). The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹21,393 Cr, +46.0% year on year.

FY26 revenue ₹66,891 Cr (null YoY) Revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 2-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Revenue
72.2k54.2k36.1k18.1k0₹ Cr₹66,891FY25FY26
72.2k54.2k36.1k18.1k0₹ Cr₹66,891FY25FY26
Jun 26: ₹21,393 Cr (+46.0% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
23.1k47.2%17.3k46.6%11.6k46.0%5.8k45.4%044.8%₹ Cr%₹21,39346%Jun 25Mar 26Jun 26
23.1k47.2%17.3k46.6%11.6k46.0%5.8k45.4%044.8%₹ Cr%₹21,39346%Jun 25Mar 26Jun 26
05 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's operating margin is 48.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, +18.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 48.0%, +18.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 1 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 38.0%–38.0%.

Why: the numbers show the operating margin move clearly, but the cost lines behind it sit below what we hold — so we state the move without inventing its driver.

FY26: 38.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 1-year window.
within a 38.0–38.0% band over 1 years
operating margin
39.2%38.6%38.0%37.4%36.8%%38%FY26
39.2%38.6%38.0%37.4%36.8%%38%FY26
Jun 26: 48.0% operating margin (+18.0 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
49%19.2%44%18.6%39%18.0%34%17.4%29%16.8%%%48%18%Jun 25Mar 26Jun 26
49%19.2%44%18.6%39%18.0%34%17.4%29%16.8%%%48%18%Jun 25Mar 26Jun 26
06 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd earned ₹6,597 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +205.1% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹14,153 Cr. That is 30.8% of the quarter's revenue.

Jun 26 profit was ₹6,597 Cr, +205.1% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹14,153 Cr (null).

FY26 profit ₹14,153 Cr (null YoY) Net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 2-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profit
15.3k11.2k7.1k3.0k−1.1k₹ Cr₹14,153FY25FY26
15.3k11.2k7.1k3.0k−1.1k₹ Cr₹14,153FY25FY26
Jun 26: ₹6,597 Cr (+205.1% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
7.1k206.3%5.3k205.7%3.6k205.1%1.8k204.5%0203.9%₹ Cr%₹6,597205.1%Jun 25Mar 26Jun 26
7.1k206.3%5.3k205.7%3.6k205.1%1.8k204.5%0203.9%₹ Cr%₹6,597205.1%Jun 25Mar 26Jun 26
07 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's cash-flow history is too thin to judge how much reported profit converts into cash. In FY26 that was ₹−0.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹14,153 Cr of profit. After ₹2,890 Cr of capital spending, ₹−2,890 Cr was left as free cash. Cash resolution here is annual, because quarterly cash statements are not published.

FY26: operating cash of ₹−0.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹14,153 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−2,890 Cr after ₹2,890 Cr of capital spending.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO ₹−0.0 Cr vs profit ₹14,153 Cr Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, ₹ Cr; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 2-year window, annual resolution.
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
15.5k10.6k5.6k689−4.3k₹ Cr₹0₹14,153₹−2,890FY25FY26
15.5k10.6k5.6k689−4.3k₹ Cr₹0₹14,153₹−2,890FY25FY26
FY26: CFO = 0% of profit Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash.
Conversion100%
108%79%50%21%−8.0%%0%FY25FY26
108%79%50%21%−8.0%%0%FY25FY26

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

08 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran ₹2,890 Cr over the last 1 years. Averaged over those years that is 4.3% of FY26 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹2,890 Cr over the last 1 fiscal years against ₹2,890 Cr of depreciation — spending at or below maintenance level. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹0.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

FY26: capex ₹2,890 Cr, work-in-progress ₹0.0 Cr Capital spending per fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); capital work-in-progress, ₹ Cr (line). Quarterly capital-spending history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
steady investment
CapexWork-in-progress
3.1k2.3k1.6k7800₹ Cr₹2,890₹0FY26
3.1k2.3k1.6k7800₹ Cr₹2,890₹0FY26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

09 · Returns on capital

Returns on capital ROE is the profit the business earns on the money invested in it — the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

An annual ROE ladder is not held for Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd.

We do not hold an annual ROE series for Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd. Its filings carry the return lines we would need as blanks rather than numbers, so this page does not estimate one. The revenue, margin, cash-flow and ownership sections are the reads we stand behind.

10 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's net worth is negative — it owes more than it owns — so a debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful here. Operating profit covers the interest bill 6×. Over 1 years borrowings went from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹0.1 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹2,890 Cr across the last 1 of those years.

FY26: borrowings of ₹0.1 Cr against equity of ₹−0.1 Cr — net worth is NEGATIVE: the company owes more than it owns, so a debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful (it just goes negative). This is a balance sheet under water. Operating profit covers the interest bill 6×. Over 1 years borrowings went from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹0.1 Cr while capital spending ran ₹2,890 Cr in just the last 1 — part of the build-out is riding on borrowed money.

FY26: borrowings ₹0.1 Cr at −0.86× equity Borrowings by fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 2-year window. Quarterly balance-sheet history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
the debt trajectory
BorrowingsDebt-to-equity
0.06−0.85×0.05−0.89×0.03−0.93×0.02−0.97×0.00−1.01×₹ Cr×₹0−0.86×FY25FY26
0.06−0.85×0.05−0.89×0.03−0.93×0.02−0.97×0.00−1.01×₹ Cr×₹0−0.86×FY25FY26
11 · Ownership

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — .

A quiet register: no holder moved a full point in two years Shareholding by holder class, % of the company, quarterly, last 1 quarters.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
60%47%34%22%9.0%%56.4%12.6%13.9%16.9%Jun 26
60%47%34%22%9.0%%56.4%12.6%13.9%16.9%Jun 26
12 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

13 · Related companies

No sector comparison is shown here — no sector comparison is available for this company.

14 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's share price today?

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd trades at ₹417. The company is valued at ₹1,62,868 Cr. The stock sits at the very bottom of its 52-week range (₹417–₹470), −11.6% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a downtrend, 14 weeks in. — as of 18 September 2026.

What were Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd reported revenue of ₹21,393 Cr and net profit of ₹6,597 Cr for the Jun 26 quarter. Revenue rose 46.0% and profit rose 205.1% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹14.39. The operating margin was 48.0%, 18.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 18 September 2026.

What is Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's revenue?

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd reported revenue of ₹21,393 Cr in the Jun 26 quarter, +46.0% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹66,891 Cr. — as of 18 September 2026.

What is Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's profit?

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd earned ₹6,597 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +205.1% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹14,153 Cr. The operating margin ran 48.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 18 September 2026.

What is Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's market cap?

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹1,62,868 Cr at a share price of ₹417. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 18 September 2026.

Does Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd pay a dividend?

No — Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd has recorded a dividend payout of 0% of profit in each of its last 2 reported fiscal years, so there is no payout history to quote. That is a reading of the filed annual statements, not an estimate. — as of 18 September 2026.

Is Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd growing?

Yes — Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd is growing: latest-quarter revenue +46.0% year on year, profit +205.1%, and the margin +18.0 pp at 48.0%. The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 18 September 2026.

How is Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd performing?

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd is in a downtrend, 14 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 46.0% and profit rose 205.1% year on year. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 18 September 2026.

Is Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd in an uptrend?

No — the price is in a downtrend (week 14 of stage 4), trading −11.6% versus its 200-day average and at the very bottom of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 18 September 2026.

Will Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's share price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹417, the price is in a downtrend 14 weeks in. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 18 September 2026.

Who owns Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd?

Promoters hold 56.4% of Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd, foreign institutions 12.6%, domestic institutions 13.9% and the public 16.9% (latest quarter). No holder moved a full point over the last two years — the register is quiet. — as of 18 September 2026.

Does Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd have too much debt?

No — Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's debt-to-equity is −0.86, and operating profit covers the interest bill 6×. FY26 borrowings were ₹0.1 Cr against equity of ₹−0.1 Cr. The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed — as of 18 September 2026.

What is Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's capex?

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd spent ₹2,890 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 1 fiscal year, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹2,890 Cr, with ₹0.0 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 18 September 2026.

What is Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's cash flow?

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd consumed ₹0.0 Cr of operating cash in FY26 — cash flowed out rather than in (free cash flow: ₹−2,890 Cr). Operating cash was negative while the company reported a profit of ₹14,153 Cr. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 18 September 2026.

Where is Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd in its business cycle?

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 38.0%, against a 1-year band of 38.0%–38.0%: the low end of its own band, which is where recoveries start when they come. The latest quarter ran 48.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 18 September 2026.

What could break the Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 18 September 2026.

Is Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd's balance sheet is under water — net worth is negative, so it owes more than it owns. This is a distressed, high-risk situation — the equity can be wiped by dilution or restructuring before operations recover. Not a value setup. The sharpest open question: whether the business can earn its way back to positive equity before dilution or restructuring gets there first. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 18 September 2026.

Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-09-18. Every chart on this page is drawn by deterministic code from the raw series — no forecasts, no price opinions, and nothing here is investment advice.

Not SEBI Registered !! Not Investment advice !!

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