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Mining/Minerals - Iron Ore →
Home›Stocks›NMDC Ltd
NMDCNMDC LtdMining/Minerals - Iron Ore
₹84.3+22.6% 1y

NMDC Ltd (NMDC) — share price & stock analysis

Profits are up 34% in two years, the price has kept pace — no more, no less.

MIXED STORY, FAIRLY PRICEDBeating NIFTY 500 for 37 weeks
STAGE 2 UPTRENDBEATING NIFTY 37W
MARGINS COMPRESSINGLOW DEBTWC STRETCHINGSALES MOMENTUM
DEEP CYCLICALEXPANSION
₹74,115 Cr
Market cap
9.9×
P/E
23.4%
ROE
62nd pctile
vs own 10-yr valuation
By Sector Alpha Research · machine-compiled from Screener.in data · Updated 1 July 2026 · Sources: Screener.in company page, NSE quote · Not investment advice
The 30-second answer

NMDC Ltd (NMDC) trades at ₹84.3 as of 1 July 2026, up 23% over the past year — beating NIFTY 500 for 37 weeks. The machine reads this as mixed story, fairly priced: profits are up 34% in two years, the price has kept pace — no more, no less. It trades at a P/E of 9.9× (the 62nd percentile of its own range); the price is in Stage 2 — advancing, 50 weeks in; the business cycle reads DEEP CYCLICAL / EXPANSION. Fundamentals-momentum score: 72/100 (mostly improving).

Data as of 1 July 2026 · every number traces to its Screener source column · not investment advice.

Key numbers
Market cap
₹74,115 Cr
P/E
9.9×
ROE
23.4%
vs own 10-yr valuation
62nd pctile
Book value / share
₹38.7
EPS (TTM)
₹8.52
10-yr median P/E
8.8×
Revenue (FY26)
₹32,071 Cr
Profit after tax (FY26)
₹7,450 Cr
Weinstein stage
Stage 2 (50 weeks)
Data as of
1 July 2026
MOMENTUM OF THE FUNDAMENTALS
72/100
MOSTLY IMPROVING
Levels: ROCE 28% — a high-quality engine · effectively no debt · margins near the bottom of their band
SalesUp 62% YoY — 10 straight growth quarters
MarginsOPM 29.3% → 23.3% in a year
ProfitUp 37% YoY
Cash generationOperating cash ₹1,894 Cr → ₹4,996 Cr
Balance sheetDebt is ₹19 per ₹100 of shareholders’ money
Committed ownersPromoters + funds hold 88.2% (a year ago: 87.6%)
DEEP CYCLICAL
Trough
Recovery
Expansion
Peak

Profits swing violently in this business — margins swinging 35 points peak to trough. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.net_profit

Where the clock stands now: earnings sit at 71% of their historical range, margins are near the bottom of their band, and the market pays mid-range (62nd percentile). That reads as EXPANSION — the middle of the cycle with margins still near their own lows — if margins mean-revert upward there is fuel left; if they don’t, growth has to do all the work.net_profit

One tension to hold: profits are compounding while margins sit near the bottom of their own historical band. That cuts both ways — there is recovery left to collect if margins climb back, but it also means today’s growth is being earned on thin economics.

4 of the 6 things we track are currently moving the right way — most of the dashboard is turning up.

Where the levels actually stand: ROCE 28% — a high-quality engine; effectively no debt; margins near the bottom of their band. Momentum says which way things are moving; these say where they are.

Read this number for what it is: it measures the DIRECTION of change, not the quality of the business. A mediocre business getting better scores high here; a great one having a soft quarter scores low. Profit, sales and margins count double.

THE ONE CHART THAT MATTERS

What the earnings deliver, the price follows

Since Jun 2016, the stock is up 247% and earnings per share are up 265% — the price has tracked the profits, not run ahead of them.pricettm_eps

The market is paying for delivery, not promises. What you see in earnings is what you get in the price.

Today’s P/E of 9.9× is the middle of its own range against its own 10-year history (62nd percentile) — neither a bargain nor a stretch, by its own standards.pe_ratio

Price, earnings per share, and the P/E the market pays₹ · ×valuation_history
20.040.060.080.0100510.0₹ price₹ EPS₹84EPS ₹9P/E ×10.0med 9×10×Jun 16Nov 19Apr 23Jul 26
Data: Price, EPS and valuation (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
PeriodPrice (₹)EPS (TTM) (₹)P/E (×)
Jun 1623.3–4.3
Aug 1627.3–5.0
Oct 1634.32.215.3
Dec 1631.82.514.2
Mar 1737.72.316.8
May 1732.02.214.3
Jul 1729.92.213.4
Sep 1734.72.713.0
Nov 1732.53.112.1
Jan 1840.02.714.9
Mar 1832.6–12.2
May 1829.6–11.1
Jul 1824.8–9.3
Sep 1829.93.97.7
Nov 1824.73.96.3
Jan 1923.43.96.0
Mar 1927.03.96.9
May 1926.13.96.7
Aug 1927.2–7.0
Oct 1924.65.04.9
Dec 1928.55.35.4
Feb 2029.45.15.7
Apr 2020.65.14.0
Jun 2022.6–4.4
Aug 2024.03.96.1
Oct 2021.43.26.7
Dec 2029.93.39.1
Feb 2130.44.17.4
Apr 2135.8–8.7
Jun 2145.97.06.6
Aug 2139.310.13.9
Oct 2136.910.03.7
Dec 2134.411.92.9
Mar 2238.211.93.2
May 2239.311.93.3
Jul 2228.110.82.6
Sep 2232.08.73.7
Nov 2237.97.24.3
Jan 2343.77.26.1
Mar 2338.45.96.5
May 2335.25.96.0
Jul 2337.05.46.8
Sep 2347.75.68.5
Nov 2357.75.710.2
Jan 2472.45.712.7
Mar 2467.36.610.2
May 2486.76.613.2
Aug 2478.66.611.9
Oct 2478.86.911.4
Dec 2479.57.211.1
Feb 2566.77.49.0
Apr 2562.97.48.5
Jun 2570.47.49.5
Aug 2569.47.49.3
Oct 2574.97.410.1
Dec 2576.38.09.6
Feb 2679.47.910.1
Apr 2685.17.910.8
Jun 2694.78.511.2
Jul 2684.38.59.9

Price is the weekly close (₹). EPS is trailing-twelve-month profit per share, anchored on Screener's own snapshots; between snapshots it is filled from price ÷ P/E (an exact identity), and any fill straying more than 18% from the neighbouring snapshots is dropped rather than shown. The lower panel is the P/E — what the market pays per rupee of profit; the dotted line is its long-run median (8.8×).

WHERE THE PRICE IS IN ITS CYCLE

Stage 2: the trend is up, and has been for 50 weeks

STAGE 2 · ADVANCING · 50 WEEKS

Price trends have a life cycle: they base (1), advance (2), top out (3) and decline (4). This chart is in Stage 2: advancing — 50 weeks so far, confirmed.stage

The price sits above its rising 200-day average (₹82 today) — trends like this persist more often than they reverse, which is why the system rides them instead of guessing the top.dma_200

Beating NIFTY 500 for 37 weeks — relative strength is the market’s live opinion, and right now it is on this stock’s side.rs_mansfield

What would end it: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the house exit rule — mechanical, no debates.dma_200

Weekly price with its 200-day and 50-day averages — stages shaded₹weinstein_stages
S220.040.060.080.0Price200-DMAStage 2 began · Aug 25Feb 16Aug 19Mar 23Jul 26
Data: Weekly price, moving averages and stage (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
PeriodPrice (₹)200-DMA (₹)50-DMA (₹)Stage
Feb 1620.625.922.34
May 1623.625.424.24
Aug 1626.125.025.04
Nov 1632.726.929.92
Jan 1737.829.834.12
Apr 1733.332.335.02
Jul 1730.931.430.34
Oct 1731.631.832.12
Dec 1735.632.433.52
Mar 1831.033.433.52
Jun 1829.132.230.64
Sep 1830.730.027.94
Nov 1824.729.227.44
Feb 1925.027.024.54
May 1923.426.725.74
Aug 1926.327.227.82
Nov 1928.526.125.64
Jan 2033.328.031.12
Apr 2020.826.022.74
Jul 2021.823.721.44
Oct 2021.323.422.64
Dec 2029.324.025.92
Mar 2134.427.431.82
Jun 2147.533.843.12
Sep 2139.938.342.92
Nov 2135.137.837.64
Feb 2236.737.437.44
May 2235.138.640.12
Aug 2228.634.429.34
Oct 2233.633.632.74
Jan 2342.536.540.02
Apr 2337.137.338.12
Jul 2335.636.635.94
Sep 2349.339.143.62
Dec 2365.147.057.72
Mar 2466.159.373.82
Jun 2486.269.083.32
Aug 2474.273.678.12
Nov 2473.674.175.42
Feb 2561.971.667.24
May 2564.369.266.04
Aug 2570.569.770.01
Oct 2574.271.774.62
Jan 2682.774.579.22
Apr 2685.177.080.02
Jun 2690.981.588.42
Jul 2684.382.187.72
THE LONG ARC

A lumpy ride — no clean trend in profits

Over 12 years, sales went from ₹12,058 Cr to ₹32,071 Cr (about 9% a year), and profit from ₹6,371 Cr to ₹7,450 Cr.revenuenet_profit

Revenue by year₹ Crannual_results
010,00020,00030,000FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Revenue by year
PeriodRevenue (₹ Cr)
FY1412,058
FY1512,356
FY166,456
FY178,828
FY1811,615
FY1912,153
FY2011,699
FY2115,370
FY2225,965
FY2317,667
FY2421,308
FY2523,906
FY2632,071
Profit by year₹ Crannual_results
05,00010,000FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Profit by year
PeriodProfit after tax (₹ Cr)
FY146,371
FY156,351
FY162,544
FY172,543
FY183,808
FY194,617
FY203,573
FY216,276
FY229,429
FY235,601
FY245,567
FY256,520
FY267,450
OPM % by year%annual_results
30.040.050.060.0FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: OPM % by year
PeriodOPM % (%)
FY1464.0
FY1562.8
FY1641.6
FY1740.7
FY1850.0
FY1957.0
FY2051.3
FY2157.2
FY2248.6
FY2334.3
FY2434.2
FY2534.1
FY2628.9
CHAPTER 1 · THE ENGINE

Sales exploded 62% last quarter — growth every single quarter for over 2 years

Revenue — the money that comes in from customers, before any costs.

Mar 26 sales were ₹11,343 Cr, up 62% on the same quarter last year.revenue

That makes 10 quarters of growth in a row — this is a trend, not a blip.revenue

Quarterly sales₹ Crquarterly_results
05,00010,000YoY %+23+21+25+30+62Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Quarterly sales
PeriodRevenue (₹ Cr)YoY growth (%)
Jun 235,395–
Sep 234,014–
Dec 235,410–
Mar 246,489–
Jun 245,4140.4
Sep 244,91922.5
Dec 246,56821.4
Mar 257,0058.0
Jun 256,73924.5
Sep 256,37829.7
Dec 257,61115.9
Mar 2611,34361.9
WATCH →If quarterly growth slips below 31%, the story weakens.
CHAPTER 2 · THE TAKE

Margins are compressing — 29% → 23% in a year

Margins — the share of every ₹100 of sales kept as profit. Gross (after raw materials), operating (after running costs), net (after everything).

Of every ₹100 of sales, the company keeps ₹23.3 as operating profit (a year ago it kept ₹29.3).opm_pct

The gross margin moved the same way (96% → 70%), so this is about input costs and pricing power — the raw-material equation worsened.gpm_pctopm_pct

Three margins, quarterly%margin_trends
25.050.075.0100.0GrossOperatingNetJun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Three margins, quarterly
PeriodGross (%)Operating (%)Net (%)
Jun 2398.537.030.7
Sep 2392.829.725.6
Dec 2310137.130.9
Mar 2410632.422.0
Jun 2410143.236.4
Sep 2490.028.224.5
Dec 2410336.128.6
Mar 2596.029.321.1
Jun 2599.036.829.2
Sep 2591.631.326.6
Dec 2588.428.223.1
Mar 2669.923.317.9
CHAPTER 3 · THE BOTTOM LINE

Profit jumped 37% — mostly from selling more

PAT (profit after tax) — what is left for shareholders after every cost, interest and tax.

Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹2,027 Cr, up 37% year on year.net_profit

Quarterly profit after tax₹ Crquarterly_results
01,0002,000YoY %+27+41+37Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Quarterly profit after tax
PeriodPAT (₹ Cr)YoY growth (%)
Jun 231,653–
Sep 231,026–
Dec 231,482–
Mar 241,410–
Jun 241,96919.1
Sep 241,20517.4
Dec 241,88026.9
Mar 251,4774.8
Jun 251,968-0.1
Sep 251,69840.9
Dec 251,757-6.5
Mar 262,02737.2
Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)₹ Cr
1,477+1,270−677−60−11+14+15−12,027PAT Mar 25More salesThinnermarginsOther incomeDepreciationInterestTaxEverythingelsePAT Mar 26

The single biggest driver was selling more.

Data: Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)
ComponentEffect (₹ Cr)
PAT Mar 251,477
More sales+1,270
Thinner margins−677
Other income−60
Depreciation−11
Interest+14
Tax+15
Everything else−1
PAT Mar 262,027
CHAPTER 4 · THE ACID TEST

Most of the profit becomes cash — but not all

Operating cash flow (CFO) — the cash that actually arrived, vs PAT, the profit accounting reports. Annual figures.

Over the last 5 profitable years, the business reported ₹34,567 Cr of profit and collected ₹23,064 Cr of operating cash — about 67% conversion.operating_cash_flownet_profit

The wrinkle is the latest year: FY26 collected ₹4,996 Cr against ₹7,450 Cr of reported profit — about 67%. One year isn’t a trend, but it is the line to watch.operating_cash_flownet_profit

Cash collected vs profit reported (annual)₹ Crcash_flow
2,0004,0006,0008,00010,000Operating cash flowProfit after taxFY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Cash collected vs profit reported (annual)
PeriodOperating cash flow (₹ Cr)Profit after tax (₹ Cr)
FY143,7346,371
FY153,9996,351
FY162,5022,544
FY172,1092,543
FY183,3763,808
FY194,0024,617
FY202,1263,573
FY217,2666,276
FY226,9429,429
FY231,8385,601
FY247,3945,567
FY251,8946,520
FY264,9967,450
CHAPTER 5 · THE PIPELINE

The cash cycle is stretching — more money stuck in the pipeline

Working capital — days of sales locked up in inventory and unpaid bills. Screener reports this yearly, so this chart is annual.

One rupee now takes about 247 days to go out the door as materials and come back as collected cash — up from 118 days the year before.cash_conversion_cycle

The biggest mover: customers paying faster (118 → 105 days).debtor_days

Days of cash locked up (annual)daysratios
50100150Customers owe (debtor days)Stock on shelf (inventory days)We owe suppliers (payable days)FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Days of cash locked up (annual)
PeriodCustomers owe (debtor days) (days)Stock on shelf (inventory days) (days)We owe suppliers (payable days) (days)
FY1444.0––
FY1552.0––
FY1645.0––
FY1743.0––
FY1846.0––
FY1943.0––
FY2069.0––
FY2151.0––
FY2242.0––
FY2390.0––
FY2460.0––
FY25118––
FY2610517027.0
CHAPTER 6 · THE BUILD

Building hard — new capacity is under construction

Capex — money spent on plants, machines and buildings. Gross block is what exists; CWIP (capital work-in-progress) is what is being built. Annual.

The productive asset base has gone from ₹1,366 Cr (FY14) to ₹5,856 Cr, with another ₹6,749 Cr of capacity under construction right now.fixed_assetscwip

Work-in-progress is 115% of the existing asset base — that is a serious bet on future demand. Capacity like this shows up in sales with a lag; it is tomorrow’s growth being paid for today.cwip

The build is self-funded: the last 3 years' investing outflow (₹9,612 Cr) fits inside the operating cash the business generated (₹14,284 Cr).investing_cash_flowoperating_cash_flow

Assets in place vs under construction (annual)₹ Crbalance_sheet
5,00010,00015,000Fixed assetsUnder construction (CWIP)FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Assets in place vs under construction (annual)
PeriodFixed assets (₹ Cr)Under construction (CWIP) (₹ Cr)
FY141,3665,297
FY151,4687,801
FY162,0589,747
FY172,09511,855
FY183,45712,545
FY193,51213,819
FY203,81015,530
FY213,93317,158
FY223,6621,333
FY233,1991,998
FY243,3773,235
FY255,0384,737
FY265,8566,749
WATCH →When CWIP converts to assets, sales must follow — two years of rising assets with flat sales would mean the bet is not paying.
CHAPTER 7 · SURVIVAL

Almost no debt — this company cannot be killed by a bad year

Debt-to-equity — borrowings against shareholders’ money. Computed from the balance sheet. Annual.

For every ₹100 shareholders have put in (and left in), the company has borrowed ₹19 — total borrowings have grown from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹6,407 Cr over the window.borrowings

Total borrowings (annual)₹ Crbalance_sheet
02,0004,0006,000FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Total borrowings (annual)
PeriodBorrowings (₹ Cr)
FY140.0
FY150.0
FY161,497
FY170.0
FY18500
FY19364
FY20566
FY211,994
FY221,800
FY232,128
FY243,359
FY254,276
FY266,407
Debt vs shareholders’ money (annual)xbalance_sheet
00.10.2FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Debt vs shareholders’ money (annual)
PeriodDebt ÷ equity (x)
FY140.0
FY150.0
FY160.1
FY170.0
FY180.0
FY190.0
FY200.0
FY210.1
FY220.1
FY230.1
FY240.1
FY250.1
FY260.2
CHAPTER 8 · THE ENGINE ROOM

Every ₹100 kept in the business earns ₹28 — a high-quality engine

ROCE — profit earned per ₹100 of capital used. ROE — the same, per ₹100 of shareholders’ money alone. Annual.

Return on capital employed is 28.0% (a year ago: 30.0%). This is the single best test of business quality: what the company earns on the money it keeps.roce_pct

Returns on capital (annual)%ratios
20.030.040.050.0ROCEFY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Returns on capital (annual)
PeriodROCE (%)
FY1434.0
FY1532.0
FY1614.0
FY1716.0
FY1825.0
FY1928.0
FY2023.0
FY2130.0
FY2250.0
FY2329.0
FY2431.0
FY2530.0
FY2628.0
CHAPTER 9 · WHO OWNS IT

The owners aren’t moving

Shareholding — who owns the company: founders (promoters), foreign funds (FII), domestic funds (DII).

Promoters hold 60.8%, essentially unchanged. Foreign funds own 13.6%, domestic funds 13.8%.promoters_pctfiis_pctdiis_pct

Meanwhile domestic funds have been the sellers — from 18.0% to 13.8% over the window. Someone on the other side of the table disagrees; both sides count.diis_pct

Who holds the shares, quarterly%shareholding
Promoters60.8% → 60.8% · flat
60.060.561.061.5Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Foreign funds7.0% → 13.6% · up 6.6 pts
8.010.012.014.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Domestic funds18.0% → 13.8% · down 4.2 pts
14.016.018.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Who holds the shares, quarterly
PeriodPromoters (%)Foreign funds (%)Domestic funds (%)
Jun 2360.87.018.0
Sep 2360.88.317.7
Dec 2360.89.917.3
Mar 2460.812.614.1
Jun 2460.812.814.3
Sep 2460.812.614.1
Dec 2460.812.114.5
Mar 2560.811.715.1
Jun 2560.812.214.5
Sep 2560.813.014.4
Dec 2560.813.514.1
Mar 2660.813.613.8
WHAT IS NOT HAPPENING
  • Promoters are not selling. Their stake has moved 0.1 points or less in 8 quarters — it sits at 60.8%.promoters_pct
THE VERDICT

Interesting, not obvious

The numbers are genuinely mixed, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far.

Best thing in the data: cash generation rising (₹1,894 Cr → ₹4,996 Cr).operating_cash_flow

Biggest worry: free cash flow falling (₹2,200 Cr → ₹1,154 Cr).operating_cash_flow

The machine committee — 7 independent readsON WATCH · 56%
Earnings patternNEUTRAL40% · w21
Valuation cycleNEGATIVE70% · w19
CatalystsNEUTRAL40% · w14
Quality & safetyPOSITIVE58% · w14
TechnicalsPOSITIVE51% · w12
ValuationPOSITIVE85% · w10
Growth at a pricePOSITIVE62% · w10
7-model research readON WATCH · 56% confidence
WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS VIEWTwo quarters of sales reversing would kill this story.

Machine-written research from Screener data — every number traces to its source column. Sector Alpha is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell. Not investment advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Straight answers from the data

What does NMDC Ltd do?

NMDC is engaged in exploration and production of Iron Ore along with Diamond, production and sale of Sponge Iron and generation and sale of Wind Power.(Source : 202003 Annual Report Page No:119). It is listed in the Mining/Minerals - Iron Ore sector with a market capitalisation of ₹74,115 Cr.

What is NMDC Ltd's share price?

As of 1 July 2026, NMDC Ltd trades at ₹84.3, up 23% over the past year, with a market capitalisation of ₹74,115 Cr. Beating NIFTY 500 for 37 weeks. Prices are weekly closes from Screener data; this page refreshes with each weekly update.

What is NMDC Ltd's share price target?

Sector Alpha does not publish broker-style price targets. Our discounted-cash-flow model estimates NMDC Ltd's intrinsic value at ₹155 per share under base assumptions (bear ₹113, bull ₹187), against the current price of ₹84.3 — a 75% margin of safety. The current price already implies roughly 3% annual earnings growth. These are model estimates, not forecasts — treat them as one input alongside the valuation history below, not as a target.

Is NMDC Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued?

NMDC Ltd trades at a P/E of 9.9× — the 62nd percentile of its own 10.0-year trading range (median 8.8×), which is above the middle of its own historical range. What the earnings deliver, the price follows. Since Jun 2016, the stock is up 247% and earnings per share are up 265% — the price has tracked the profits, not run ahead of them.

What did NMDC Ltd report in its latest quarterly results?

In its most recent reported quarter (Q4 FY26, quarter ended March 2026): Mar 26 sales were ₹11,343 Cr, up 62% on the same quarter last year. Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹2,027 Cr, up 37% year on year. Figures are from Screener-scraped quarterly filings; the page updates when the next quarter is filed.

Is NMDC Ltd growing?

Sales exploded 62% last quarter — growth every single quarter for over 2 years. Mar 26 sales were ₹11,343 Cr, up 62% on the same quarter last year.

Are NMDC Ltd's profits growing?

Profit jumped 37% — mostly from selling more. Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹2,027 Cr, up 37% year on year.

What are NMDC Ltd's operating margins?

Margins are compressing — 29% → 23% in a year. In the most recent quarter, of every ₹100 of sales, the company keeps ₹23.3 as operating profit (a year ago it kept ₹29.3).

What is NMDC Ltd's long-term growth record?

Revenue grew from ₹12,058 Cr in FY14 to ₹32,071 Cr in FY26 — a 8.5% compound annual growth rate over 12 years. Profit after tax compounded at 1.3% over the same period (₹6,371 Cr → ₹7,450 Cr).

Is NMDC Ltd stock in an uptrend?

Stage 2: the trend is up, and has been for 50 weeks. NMDC Ltd is in Stage 2 — advancing, 50 weeks in (confirmed). Stages follow Stan Weinstein's four-phase read of weekly price against the 200-day average: basing (1), advancing (2), topping (3), declining (4).

Why is NMDC Ltd stock rising?

The price is up 23% over the past year, in a confirmed Stage 2 uptrend (50 weeks), and has beaten NIFTY 500 for 37 weeks. Earnings are moving with the price — this is a profit-backed move, not a pure re-rating. Since 2016, the price is up 247% while earnings per share moved 265%.

Is NMDC Ltd beating the NIFTY 500?

Yes — beating NIFTY 500 for 37 weeks, as of 1 July 2026. Relative strength is measured weekly against the NIFTY 500 (Mansfield RS): a positive reading means the stock has outperformed the index over the trailing window, week after week.

Where is NMDC Ltd in its business cycle?

The data reads NMDC Ltd as a deep cyclical business currently in its expansion phase — earnings at 71% of their own historical range, valuation at the 62nd percentile. Profits swing violently in this business — margins swinging 35 points peak to trough. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.

Who owns NMDC Ltd — what is the promoter holding?

Promoters hold 60.8%, essentially unchanged. Foreign funds own 13.6%, domestic funds 13.8%. Meanwhile domestic funds have been the sellers — from 18.0% to 13.8% over the window. Someone on the other side of the table disagrees; both sides count. Shareholding is from Screener's quarterly filings data.

Does NMDC Ltd have too much debt?

Almost no debt — this company cannot be killed by a bad year. For every ₹100 shareholders have put in (and left in), the company has borrowed ₹19 — total borrowings have grown from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹6,407 Cr over the window.

What is the bull case for NMDC Ltd?

Profits are up 34% in two years, the price has kept pace — no more, no less. Best thing in the data: cash generation rising (₹1,894 Cr → ₹4,996 Cr). Sales exploded 62% last quarter — growth every single quarter for over 2 years.

What is the bear case for NMDC Ltd — what could break the story?

Biggest worry: free cash flow falling (₹2,200 Cr → ₹1,154 Cr). Two quarters of sales reversing would kill this story. The nearest-term thing to watch: if quarterly growth slips below 31%, the story weakens. This falsification condition is stated up front so the thesis can be checked against incoming quarters, not defended after the fact.

Is NMDC Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

Sector Alpha does not publish buy or sell recommendations — this is a research read, not advice. What the data says: interesting, not obvious. The numbers are genuinely mixed, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far. Across the 7-model scorecard the composite research signal is on watch at 56% confidence. This is machine-written research compiled from Screener data — every number traces to its source — and it is not investment advice. Do your own diligence.

Generated from Screener data · 11 sources · why_traces/1.0 + story/1.2
details
generated 2026-07-03 11:21 · 9 material moves detected
sources: screener_company_info, screener_quarterly_results, screener_annual_results, screener_valuation_history, screener_shareholding, screener_cash_flow, screener_ratios, screener_balance_sheet, screener_margin_trends, weinstein_stages, agent_scores