LKP Securities Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

LKP Securities Ltd trades at ₹15.3, in a downtrend and 9 weeks into that stage. That is −9.1% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 10% of a 52-week range of ₹15 to ₹17. On relative strength it has no relative-strength read yet.

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 9 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹15.3 it trades −9.1% versus its 200-day average and sits at 10% of its 52-week range (₹15–₹17).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1 months the stock moved −8% while the NIFTY 500 moved −5% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: no trailing-13-week read yet — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

LKP Securities Ltd trades at 17.0× P/E, mid-range by its own standards (69th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 13.6×, measured across 9.2 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 17.0× is mid-range by its own standards (69th percentile), against a long-run median of 13.6× measured over 9.2 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

Stage: Deteriorating Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

LKP Securities Ltd reads as deteriorating on its fundamental arc. Deteriorating — revenue and profit growth are shrinking (revenue growth −4.7% latest (single-quarter readings) against +56.6% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE holding at 14.0%. The read is built from 9 quarters across 3 curves, on partial evidence.

🚨 Why it matters: falling curves mean every cheap-looking ratio below needs a discount for direction.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

LKP Securities Ltd reported ₹26.6 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, −4.7% year on year. Over 10 years it has compounded at 6.3% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹107 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹106 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹107 Cr (−4.5% on the year), capping 10 years at 6.3% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹26.6 Cr, −4.7% year on year.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged −0.8% growth against the decade's 6.3% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew −3.1% over the last 4 quarters against −1.7%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit −45.6% vs −21.9%/yr — rolling over.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

LKP Securities Ltd's operating margin is 22.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, −9.9 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 11 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 6.0% to 25.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 22.0%, −9.9 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 11 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 6.0%–25.0%, and FY26's 25.0% is the top of that band — a record year.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −9.9 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.0 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

LKP Securities Ltd earned ₹1.5 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, −66.8% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹10.0 Cr. That is 5.5% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹4.4 Cr.

Jun 26 profit was ₹1.5 Cr, −66.8% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹10.0 Cr (−23.1%).

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed −4.7% and the margin −9.9 pp — the quarter was revenue-led despite a thinner margin.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −43.3% vs revenue −0.8%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years −121% of LKP Securities Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — a gap worth watching. In FY26 that was ₹−4.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹10.0 Cr of profit. After ₹10.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹−14.0 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹−4.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹10.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−14.0 Cr after ₹10.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is −121% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

🚨 Why conversion sits at −121%: the cash cycle tightened 24 days between FY21 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner. Less than 70% of profit arriving as cash is the thing to watch on this page.

Router verdict: no single sink dominates — the next section checks both the working-capital cycle and the capital spending.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

LKP Securities Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 55 days in FY26, down from 79 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹15.0 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹107 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹0.3 Cr, so roughly ₹16.0 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 55 days (an asset-light business — no inventory to speak of) — for a full cycle of 55 days, tighter than FY21's 79.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹107 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹0.3 Cr — so the 55-day loop keeps roughly ₹16.0 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹15.0 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹15.0 Cr of depreciation — spending at or below maintenance level. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹0.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: neither the cycle nor the build-out is hoarding the cash — the machine is reasonably clean.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

LKP Securities Ltd earns a ROCE of 14% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 4% in FY17. A return-on-invested-capital spread against the cost of capital is not computable from what is held here. The wiring behind it is 9.3% net margin on 0.37× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 14%, recovered from a FY17 trough of 4% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 9.3% net margin × 0.37× asset turns × 2.90× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 10.0% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

LKP Securities Ltd carries ₹75.0 Cr of borrowings against ₹101 Cr of equity in FY26, a debt-to-equity of 0.74. Operating profit covers the interest bill 3×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹18.0 Cr to ₹75.0 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹15.0 Cr across the last 3 of those years.

FY26: borrowings of ₹75.0 Cr against equity of ₹101 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.74. Operating profit covers the interest bill 3×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹18.0 Cr to ₹75.0 Cr while capital spending ran ₹15.0 Cr in just the last 3 — part of the build-out is riding on borrowed money.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of LKP Securities Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. Foreign institutions moved +0.0 points over the same window, to 3.9%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: +0.5 points over 8 quarters to 72.1%; Foreign institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 3.9%; Domestic institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 0.0%.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

LKP Securities Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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