Knack Packaging Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Knack Packaging Ltd trades at ₹183, in a confirmed uptrend and 9 weeks into that stage. That is −2.7% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 0% of a 52-week range of ₹183 to ₹208. On relative strength it has no relative-strength read yet.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 9 of stage 2. At ₹183 it trades −2.7% versus its 200-day average and sits at 0% of its 52-week range (₹183–₹208).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 2 months the stock moved −6% while the NIFTY 500 moved +0% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: no trailing-13-week read yet — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Knack Packaging Ltd trades at 21.6× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (71st percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 20.8×, measured across 0.2 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 21.6× is at the pricey end of its own range (71st percentile), against a long-run median of 20.8× measured over 0.2 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Knack Packaging Ltd reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 4 quarters across 1 curve, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Knack Packaging Ltd reported ₹262 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +40.9% year on year. Over 5 years it has compounded at 17.5% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹823 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹823 Cr (+11.8% on the year), capping 5 years at 17.5% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹262 Cr, +40.9% year on year.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +40.9% growth against the decade's 17.5% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Knack Packaging Ltd's operating margin is 20.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, +0.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 6 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 11.0% to 18.0%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 20.0%, +0.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 6 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 11.0%–18.0%, and FY26's 18.0% is the top of that band — a record year.

Why: the numbers show the operating margin move clearly, but the cost lines behind it sit below what we hold — so we state the move without inventing its driver.

Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Knack Packaging Ltd earned ₹31.0 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +47.6% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹93.0 Cr. The 5-year compound rate is 36.0%. That is 11.8% of the quarter's revenue.

Jun 26 profit was ₹31.0 Cr, +47.6% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹93.0 Cr (+25.7%), and the 5-year compound rate is 36.0%.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 102% of Knack Packaging Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹92.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹93.0 Cr of profit. Cash resolution here is annual, because quarterly cash statements are not published.

FY26: operating cash of ₹92.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹93.0 Cr. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 102% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 102%: the cash cycle stretched 25 days between FY21 and FY25 — more of each rupee of profit waits inside the cycle before arriving.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 2.4× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Knack Packaging Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 106 days in FY25, up from 81 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹163 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹823 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹2.3 Cr, so roughly ₹239 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY25: debtors at 60 days, inventory at 76 days — roughly 2.5 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 106 days, looser than FY21's 81.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 76 days to sell; customers pay about 60 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 30 days — netting out to the 106-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹823 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹2.3 Cr — so the 106-day loop keeps roughly ₹239 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹163 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹69.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹13.0 Cr (FY25) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.⚠ unverified

Knack Packaging Ltd earns a ROCE of 32% in FY25. That is up from a trough of 19% in FY23. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +8.2 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 10.1% net margin on 1.64× asset turns.

FY25 ROCE is 32%, recovered from a FY23 trough of 19% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 10.1% net margin × 1.64× asset turns × 2.09× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 34.6% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 20.2% − 12.0% = a +8.2 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every rupee reinvested creates more than a rupee of value — the engine compounds.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

Knack Packaging Ltd carries ₹188 Cr of borrowings against ₹215 Cr of equity in FY25, a debt-to-equity of 0.87. Operating profit covers the interest bill 8×. Over 4 years borrowings went from ₹105 Cr to ₹188 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹163 Cr across the last 3 of those years.

FY25: borrowings of ₹188 Cr against equity of ₹215 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.87. Operating profit covers the interest bill 8×. Over 4 years borrowings went from ₹105 Cr to ₹188 Cr while capital spending ran ₹163 Cr in just the last 3 — part of the build-out is riding on borrowed money.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of Knack Packaging Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — .

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Knack Packaging Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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