Ashika Global Securities Ltd.

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Ashika Global Securities Ltd. trades at ₹443, in a confirmed uptrend and 8 weeks into that stage. That is +13.3% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 59% of a 52-week range of ₹364 to ₹499. On relative strength it has no relative-strength read yet.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 8 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹443 it trades +13.3% versus its 200-day average and sits at 59% of its 52-week range (₹364–₹499).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 2 months the stock moved +22% while the NIFTY 500 moved +5% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: no trailing-13-week read yet — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Ashika Global Securities Ltd. trades at 43.6× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (93rd percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 29.4×, measured across 1.2 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 43.6× is at the pricey end of its own range (93rd percentile), against a long-run median of 29.4× measured over 1.2 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Ashika Global Securities Ltd. reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 4 quarters across 1 curve, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Ashika Global Securities Ltd. reported ₹169 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +43.2% year on year. That is the 2nd straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 20 years it has compounded at 8.4% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹240 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹285 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹240 Cr (+5,900.0% on the year), capping 20 years at 8.4% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹169 Cr, +43.2% year on year — the 2nd consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +28.4% growth against the decade's 8.4% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

A clean operating margin is not in our numbers for Ashika Global Securities Ltd. — its accounts do not report the operating-profit line this section reads, which is common for lenders and holding companies. The sections above and below carry the readings this company's filings do support.

This company's accounts do not report the operating-profit line this section reads — common for lenders and holding companies classified outside the financial bucket. The revenue and net-profit sections are the cleaner reads for Ashika Global Securities Ltd..

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −0.4 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.0 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Ashika Global Securities Ltd. earned ₹101 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +14.8% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹59.0 Cr. The 20-year compound rate is 22.6%. That is 59.8% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹88.0 Cr.

Jun 26 profit was ₹101 Cr, +14.8% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹59.0 Cr (null), and the 20-year compound rate is 22.6%.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years −138% of Ashika Global Securities Ltd.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — a gap worth watching. In FY26 that was ₹−86.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹59.0 Cr of profit. After ₹202 Cr of capital spending, ₹−288 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹−86.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹59.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−288 Cr after ₹202 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is −138% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

🚨 Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Ashika Global Securities Ltd. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran ₹201 Cr over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 27.9% of FY26 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹201 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹17.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹0.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Ashika Global Securities Ltd. earns a ROE of 7% in FY26. That is up from a trough of −20% in FY25. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −6.9 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 24.6% net margin on 0.13× asset turns.

FY26 ROE is 7%, recovered from a FY25 trough of −20% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 24.6% net margin × 0.13× asset turns × 1.59× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 5.1% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 5.1% − 12.0% = a −6.9 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

Ashika Global Securities Ltd. carries ₹262 Cr of borrowings against ₹1,169 Cr of equity in FY26, a debt-to-equity of 0.22. Over 20 years borrowings went from ₹1.0 Cr to ₹262 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹201 Cr across the last 3 of those years.

FY26: borrowings of ₹262 Cr against equity of ₹1,169 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.22. Over 20 years borrowings went from ₹1.0 Cr to ₹262 Cr while capital spending ran ₹201 Cr in just the last 3 — part of the build-out is riding on borrowed money.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Promoters added 13.8 points of Ashika Global Securities Ltd. over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes promoters to 74.3% of the company. Foreign institutions moved −1.3 points over the same window, to 1.4%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: +13.8 points over 8 quarters to 74.3%; Foreign institutions: −1.3 points over 8 quarters to 1.4%; Domestic institutions: +0.4 points over 8 quarters to 0.4%.

Why the register moved: promoters drove it (+13.8 points), absorbed on the other side by foreign institutions (−1.3 points) — steady accumulation by institutions reading the same numbers this page reads.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Ashika Global Securities Ltd.: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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