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MomentumDeep Value

JSW Steel Ltd: Stock Analysis & Fundamentals

Data from 2w ago

JSW Steel Ltd (Steel) — fundamental analysis, earnings data, and key metrics. PE: 39.6. ROE: 4.9%. This stock is not currently in the Nifty 500 momentum outperformers list.

JSW Steel Ltd Key Facts

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. Interest Cost Reduction Deleveraging
FY26-FY27HIGH
2. Value Added Product Mix Shift
OngoingMEDIUM
3. Regulatory Approval Or License Win
Dec 2025 - 3 yearsMEDIUM

Key Risks

1. Coking coal costs rose 5% QoQ and are expected to rise another $15-20 per tonne
HIGH
2. CCI investigation into price-fixing and Supreme Court refusal to stay ₹128 crore
MEDIUM
3. EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and potential US tariffs
LOW

Sector-Specific Signals

Crude Steel Production7.48 MT+6%
Saleable Steel Sales7.64 MT+14%
EBITDA per Tonne₹8,665null
Capacity Utilisation (India)85%null

Key Numbers

Current Price
₹1,264
Dividend Yield
0.22%
Market Cap
3.1L Cr
Valuation
N/A

Why Are JSW Steel Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 (web) earnings • Updated Apr 18, 2026

Interest Cost Reduction Deleveraging

Expected: FY26-FY27HIGH confidence

What: Net Debt Reduction: ₹37,000 crore

Impact: Significant interest savings

Value Added Product Mix Shift

Expected: OngoingMEDIUM confidence

What: VASP Share: 60%

Impact: Margin protection

Regulatory Approval Or License Win

Expected: Dec 2025 - 3 yearsMEDIUM confidence

What: Safeguard Duty: 12%

Impact: Price recovery

What Are the Key Risks for JSW Steel Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

Coking coal costs rose 5% QoQ and are expected to rise another $15-20 per tonne

HIGH

Trigger: Coking coal costs rose 5% QoQ and are expected to rise another $15-20 per tonne in Q4.

Impact: PAT impact: null

Management view: Increasing captive sourcing to 3.5 MTPA and 30% stake in Illawarra mines.

Monitor: commodity

CCI investigation into price-fixing and Supreme Court refusal to stay ₹128 crore

MEDIUM

Trigger: CCI investigation into price-fixing and Supreme Court refusal to stay ₹128 crore forfeiture.

Impact: PAT impact: ₹128 crore

Management view: Challenging RCO framework in Bombay High Court.

Monitor: regulatory

EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and potential US tariffs

LOW

Trigger: EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and potential US tariffs.

Impact: PAT impact: null

Management view: Focus on domestic market and sustainability leadership.

Monitor: geopolitical

What Did JSW Steel Ltd Report This Quarter?

Headline numbers from the latest earnings call

Revenue

₹45,991 crore

YoY +11.14%QoQ +1.86%

Revenue growth was driven by record quarterly sales volumes of 7.64 million tonnes, offsetting a 2-3% decline in net steel realizations.

EBITDA

₹6,496 crore

YoY +16.4%Margin 14.1%

EBITDA grew YoY due to higher volumes and lower coking coal costs, but fell 9% QoQ as raw material costs rose 5% and realizations softened.

PAT

₹2,410 crore

YoY +235.19%QoQ +31.8%

PAT was significantly boosted by a one-time deferred tax asset of ₹1,439 crore related to the BPSL slump sale; adjusted PAT was lower at ₹1,190 crore.

Other Highlights

• Record quarterly saleable steel sales of 7.64 million tonnes, up 14% YoY.

• Net debt stood at ₹80,347 crore with Net Debt/EBITDA at 2.91x.

• VASP (Value Added Special Products) share crossed 60% of total sales.

What Sector Metrics Matter for JSW Steel Ltd?

Sub-sector-specific signals from the latest concall — each with management's stated reason for the change

Crude Steel Production

7.48 MT

YoY +6%QoQ -5%

Why: Production was impacted by the shutdown of Blast Furnace-3 at Vijayanagar for capacity upgradation.

Saleable Steel Sales

7.64 MT

YoY +14%QoQ +4%

Why: Record quarterly sales driven by healthy domestic demand and a 53% surge in exports.

EBITDA per Tonne

₹8,665

YoY nullQoQ -20%

Why: Compressed by lower steel realizations and higher coking coal costs.

Capacity Utilisation (India)

85%

YoY nullQoQ null

Why: Impacted by the temporary shutdown of Vijayanagar's BF3; excluding BF3, utilization was 93%.

Value Added Product Mix

60%

YoY nullQoQ null

Why: Strategic focus on high-margin special steels for automotive and renewable sectors.

Net Debt to EBITDA

2.91x

YoY nullQoQ Improved

Why: Leverage metrics improved due to higher EBITDA and disciplined working capital management.

What Is JSW Steel Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY26-FY28

Revenue Growth Target

11%

OPM Guidance

12500–14000%

Capex Plan

₹16000 Cr

Revenue Outlook

10-12% CAGR

Margin Outlook

Improvement expected in Q4 FY26

Capex Plan

₹15,000–16,000 crore

Vijayanagar expansion and Odisha greenfield plant

Volume

Maintained FY26 guidance

Management Tone: BULLISH

Guidance Changes

REAFFIRMED

Production Guidance: 30.5 MT → 30.5 MT

Strong domestic demand and Vijayanagar ramp-up

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Apr 18, 2026.

Other Top Steel Stocks Beating Nifty 500

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Frequently Asked Questions: JSW Steel Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were JSW Steel Ltd's latest quarterly results?

JSW Steel Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: +235.2%
  • Revenue Growth YoY: +11.1%
  • Operating Margin: 14.0%

What is JSW Steel Ltd's current PE ratio?

JSW Steel Ltd's current PE ratio is 39.6x.

  • Current PE: 39.6x
  • Market Cap: 3.1 Lakh Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 0.22%

What is JSW Steel Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

JSW Steel Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 3.7x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 3.7x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹339
  • Current Price: ₹1264

Is JSW Steel Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

JSW Steel Ltd's fundamental strength based on key financial ratios

  • Return on Capital (ROCE): 8.0%

Is JSW Steel Ltd debt free?

JSW Steel Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹1.0 Lakh Cr

What is JSW Steel Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

JSW Steel Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROCE 8.0%
  • FY2024: ROCE 13.0%
  • FY2025: ROCE 8.0%

Is JSW Steel Ltd's cash flow positive?

JSW Steel Ltd's operating cash flow is positive (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹21,000 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹4,000 Cr
  • CFO/PAT Ratio: 599% (strong cash conversion)

What is JSW Steel Ltd's dividend yield?

JSW Steel Ltd's current dividend yield is 0.22%.

  • Dividend Yield: 0.22%
  • Current Price: ₹1264

Who holds JSW Steel Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

JSW Steel Ltd's shareholding pattern (Mar 2026)

  • Promoters: 45.3%
  • FII (Foreign): 25.4%
  • DII (Domestic): 11.2%
  • Public: 17.5%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in JSW Steel Ltd?

JSW Steel Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 45.3% (Mar 2026)
  • Previous Quarter: 45.3% (Dec 2025)
  • Change: 0.00% (stable)

Is JSW Steel Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

JSW Steel Ltd is an established outperformer with 1 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for JSW Steel Ltd?

JSW Steel Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Interest Cost Reduction Deleveraging — The BPSL stake sale to JFE provides a massive cash infusion to 'nuke' existing debt.
  • Value Added Product Mix Shift — Higher VASP share cushions the impact of falling commodity steel prices.
  • Regulatory Approval Or License Win — Protects domestic realizations from cheap imports, particularly from China and Vietnam.

What are the key risks in JSW Steel Ltd?

JSW Steel Ltd has 3 key risks worth monitoring

  • [HIGH] Coking coal costs rose 5% QoQ and are expected to rise another $15-20 per tonne — Coking coal costs rose 5% QoQ and are expected to rise another $15-20 per tonne in Q4.
  • [MEDIUM] CCI investigation into price-fixing and Supreme Court refusal to stay ₹128 crore — CCI investigation into price-fixing and Supreme Court refusal to stay ₹128 crore forfeiture.
  • [LOW] EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and potential US tariffs — EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and potential US tariffs.

What is JSW Steel Ltd's management guidance for growth?

JSW Steel Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY26-FY28

  • Revenue growth target: 11%
  • OPM guidance: 12500–14000%
  • Capex plan: ₹16000 Cr for Vijayanagar expansion and Odisha greenfield plant
  • Management tone: bullish
  • Milestone: [REAFFIRMED] Production Guidance: 30.5 MT → 30.5 MT

What sector-specific metrics matter most for JSW Steel Ltd?

JSW Steel Ltd's most important sub-sector-specific KPIs from the latest concall

  • Crude Steel Production: 7.48 MT (YoY +6%) (QoQ -5%) — Production was impacted by the shutdown of Blast Furnace-3 at Vijayanagar for capacity upgradation.
  • Saleable Steel Sales: 7.64 MT (YoY +14%) (QoQ +4%) — Record quarterly sales driven by healthy domestic demand and a 53% surge in exports.
  • EBITDA per Tonne: ₹8,665 (YoY null) (QoQ -20%) — Compressed by lower steel realizations and higher coking coal costs.
  • Capacity Utilisation (India): 85% (YoY null) (QoQ null) — Impacted by the temporary shutdown of Vijayanagar's BF3; excluding BF3, utilization was 93%.
  • Value Added Product Mix: 60% (YoY null) (QoQ null) — Strategic focus on high-margin special steels for automotive and renewable sectors.
  • Net Debt to EBITDA: 2.91x (YoY null) (QoQ Improved) — Leverage metrics improved due to higher EBITDA and disciplined working capital management.

Is JSW Steel Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why JSW Steel Ltd may be worth studying

  • Cash flow is positive — CFO ₹21,000 Cr

What is the investment thesis for JSW Steel Ltd?

JSW Steel Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Growth catalyst: Interest Cost Reduction Deleveraging

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Key risk: Coking coal costs rose 5% QoQ and are expected to rise another $15-20 per tonne

What is the future outlook for JSW Steel Ltd?

JSW Steel Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Key Catalyst: Interest Cost Reduction Deleveraging
  • Key Risk: Coking coal costs rose 5% QoQ and are expected to rise another $15-20 per tonne

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.