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MomentumDeep Value

NTPC Ltd: Why Is It Outperforming Nifty 500?

Active
RS +27.5%Strong8w StreakAccelerating

In Week of Mar 28, 2026, NTPC Ltd (Power - Generation/Distribution) is outperforming Nifty 500 with +27.5% relative strength. Fundamentals: Strong. On a 8-week streak.

PE: At PeakStrong Opportunity

What's Happening

💎PE falling while earnings hold — value emerging
🌐FII stake decreased 2.2% this quarter
🏛️DII accumulation — stake up 2.4%
💰Trading 59% below estimated fair value — significant discount

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. 6,615 MW capacity addition in FY26 driving volume growth
FY26-FY28HIGH
2. Superior PLF (70.69% vs 60.79% industry) driving operating leverage
OngoingMEDIUM
3. Energy storage system expansion creating new revenue streams
OngoingMEDIUM

Key Risks

1. Coal stock sufficient for only 18 days of generation
MEDIUM
2. Regulatory changes affecting power trading models
LOW

Key Numbers

PAT Growth YoY
+8%
Stable
Revenue YoY
+2%
Stable
Operating Margin
32.0%
+200 bps YoY
PE Ratio
15.1
PEG Ratio
1.07
EV/EBITDA
11.0
Current Price
₹376
Dividend Yield
2.22%
Fundamental Score
63/100
Strong
3Y PAT CAGR
+12%
Market Cap
3.6L Cr
Valuation
Significantly Undervalued

12-Week Performance

Weekly presence in the outperformers list. Green = beating Nifty 500 by 10%+ that week.

12 weeks agoThis week

Why Are NTPC Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 (ended December 31, 2025) earnings • Updated Feb 22, 2026

6,615 MW capacity addition in FY26 driving volume growth

Expected: FY26-FY28HIGH confidence+₹15000 Cr revenue

What: 6,615 MW added in FY26 to date with 8 GW planned for NGEL in FY27-28

Impact: +₹15000 Cr revenue

“NTPC Group added 1,744 MW in Q3 FY26 and 6,615 MW in FY26 to date. NGEL added 2,108 MW renewable capacity in FY26, reaching 8,010 MW. NGEL plans 8 GW capacity additions in FY27 and FY28.”

Superior PLF (70.69% vs 60.79% industry) driving operating leverage

Expected: OngoingMEDIUM confidence

What: Higher plant utilization creating margin expansion opportunity

“The PLF of NTPC coal stations was 70.69% for the 9 months of FY26, compared to 60.79% for the rest of India”

Energy storage system expansion creating new revenue streams

Expected: OngoingMEDIUM confidence+₹500 Cr revenue

What: Commissioning of India's first MWh-scale long-duration energy storage system

Impact: +₹500 Cr revenue

“NTPC also commissioned India's first MWh-scale long-duration energy storage system, a 3-MWh vanadium redox flow battery pilot project”

What Are the Key Risks for NTPC Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

Coal stock sufficient for only 18 days of generation

MEDIUM

Trigger: Supply chain disruptions

Impact: -300 bps margin impact

Management view: Coal stock at NTPC stations was sufficient for about 18 days of generation

Monitor: Coal inventory days

Regulatory changes affecting power trading models

LOW

Trigger: Unfavorable regulatory changes

Impact: -200 bps margin impact

Management view: CERC's draft regulation allowing battery energy storage systems at thermal generation stations, which is seen as a positive development

Monitor: Regulatory announcements

What Is NTPC Ltd's Management Saying?

Key quotes from recent conference calls

“NTPC Group added 1,744 MW in Q3 FY26 and 6,615 MW in FY26 to date. Group PAT for 9M FY26 rose 5.45% to ₹16,931 crore. Standalone Q3 FY26 PAT was ₹4,987 crore, up 5.85%. NGEL added 2,108 MW renewable capacity in FY26, reaching 8,010 MW. NGEL plans 8 GW capacity additions in FY27 and FY28. — NTPC Management”
“The PLF of NTPC coal stations was 70.69% for the 9 months of FY26, compared to 60.79% for the rest of India — NTPC Management”
“Peak power demand touched 245 GW on January 9, 2026 — NTPC Management”
“NGEL plans 8 GW capacity additions in FY27 and FY28 — NTPC Management”

What Is NTPC Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY27-FY28

Implied PAT Growth

15%

Capex Plan

₹80000 Cr

Management Tone: CAUTIOUS

Key Milestones

• 8 GW renewable capacity addition by FY28

• Full ramp-up of new capacity additions

How Fast Is NTPC Ltd Growing?

Revenue, profit and margin growth rates

MetricYoY3Y CAGRTrend
Revenue+2%+12%Stable
PAT (Net Profit)+8%+12%Stable
OPM32.0%+200 bpsStable

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Feb 22, 2026.

Other Top Power - Generation/Distribution Stocks Beating Nifty 500

Adani Power Ltd
Weak
+19.9%
Tata Power Company Ltd
Average
+13.2%
JSW Energy Ltd
Average • 4w streak
+12.7%
NTPC Green Energy Ltd
Weak
+13.8%
NHPC Ltd
Weak
+9.3%
← Back to Power - Generation/DistributionDashboard

Frequently Asked Questions: NTPC Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were NTPC Ltd's latest quarterly results?

NTPC Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: +8.3% (stable)
  • Revenue Growth YoY: +1.7%
  • Operating Margin: 32.0% (stable)

Is NTPC Ltd's profit growing or declining?

NTPC Ltd's profit is growing with an stable trend.

  • PAT Growth YoY: +8.3% (latest quarter)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: +7.1% (sequential)
  • 3-Year PAT CAGR: +12.2%
  • Trend: Stable — consistent growth pattern

What is NTPC Ltd's revenue growth trend?

NTPC Ltd's revenue growth trend is stable.

  • Revenue Growth YoY: +1.7%
  • Revenue Growth QoQ: +2.4% (sequential)
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +12.3%

How is NTPC Ltd's operating margin trending?

NTPC Ltd's operating margin is stable.

  • Current OPM: 32.0%
  • OPM Change YoY: +2.0% basis points
  • OPM Change QoQ: +3.0% basis points

What is NTPC Ltd's 3-year profit and revenue CAGR?

NTPC Ltd's long-term compounding rates

  • 3-Year Profit CAGR: +12.2%
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +12.3%

Is NTPC Ltd's growth accelerating or decelerating?

NTPC Ltd's earnings growth is stable with improving on a sequential basis.

  • YoY Acceleration: +11.2% bps
  • Sequential Acceleration: +21.6% bps

What is NTPC Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance?

NTPC Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance

  • TTM PAT: ₹25,000 Cr
  • TTM PAT Growth: +10.1% YoY
  • TTM Revenue: ₹1.9 Lakh Cr
  • TTM Revenue Growth: +0.9% YoY
  • TTM Operating Margin: 29.5%

Is NTPC Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

NTPC Ltd appears significantly undervalued based on our fair value analysis.

  • Valuation Signal: Significantly Undervalued
  • Current PE: 15.1x
  • Price-to-Book: 1.9x

What is NTPC Ltd's current PE ratio?

NTPC Ltd's current PE ratio is 15.1x.

  • Current PE: 15.1x
  • Market Cap: 3.6 Lakh Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 2.22%

How does NTPC Ltd's valuation compare to its history?

NTPC Ltd's current PE is 15.1x.

  • Current PE: 15.1x
  • Valuation Assessment: Significantly Undervalued

What is NTPC Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

NTPC Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 1.9x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 1.9x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹198
  • Current Price: ₹376

Is NTPC Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

NTPC Ltd is rated Strong with a fundamental score of 63.33/100. This score is calculated from objective financial metrics

  • Revenue Growth YoY: +1.7% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth YoY: +8.3% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: +7.1% (10% weight)
  • Margins stable (10% weight)
  • PEG Ratio: 1.1x vs sector median (15% weight)
  • EV/EBITDA: 11.0x vs sector median (15% weight)

Is NTPC Ltd debt free?

NTPC Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹2.5 Lakh Cr

What is NTPC Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

NTPC Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROCE 10.0%
  • FY2024: ROCE 10.0%
  • FY2025: ROCE 10.0%

Is NTPC Ltd's cash flow positive?

NTPC Ltd's operating cash flow is positive (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹50,000 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹5,000 Cr
  • CFO/PAT Ratio: 211% (strong cash conversion)

What is NTPC Ltd's dividend yield?

NTPC Ltd's current dividend yield is 2.22%.

  • Dividend Yield: 2.22%
  • Current Price: ₹376

Who holds NTPC Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

NTPC Ltd's shareholding pattern (Dec 2025)

  • Promoters: 51.1%
  • FII (Foreign): 16.2%
  • DII (Domestic): 29.2%
  • Public: 3.3%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in NTPC Ltd?

NTPC Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 51.1% (Dec 2025)
  • Previous Quarter: 51.1% (Sep 2025)
  • Change: 0.00% (stable)

How long has NTPC Ltd been outperforming Nifty 500?

NTPC Ltd has been outperforming Nifty 500 for 8 consecutive weeks, indicating consistent outperformance.

Is NTPC Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

NTPC Ltd is an established outperformer with 8 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for NTPC Ltd?

NTPC Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • 6,615 MW capacity addition in FY26 driving volume growth
  • Superior PLF (70.69% vs 60.79% industry) driving operating leverage
  • Energy storage system expansion creating new revenue streams

What are the key risks in NTPC Ltd?

NTPC Ltd has 2 key risks worth monitoring

  • Coal stock sufficient for only 18 days of generation
  • Regulatory changes affecting power trading models

What did NTPC Ltd's management say in the latest earnings call?

In Q3 FY26 (ended December 31, 2025), NTPC Ltd's management highlighted

  • "NTPC Group added 1,744 MW in Q3 FY26 and 6,615 MW in FY26 to date. Group PAT for 9M FY26 rose 5.45% to ₹16,931 crore. Standalone Q3 FY26 PAT was ₹4,98..."
  • "The PLF of NTPC coal stations was 70.69% for the 9 months of FY26, compared to 60.79% for the rest of India — NTPC Management"
  • "Peak power demand touched 245 GW on January 9, 2026 — NTPC Management"

What is NTPC Ltd's management guidance for growth?

NTPC Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY27-FY28

  • Implied PAT growth: 15%
  • Capex plan: ₹80000 Cr
  • Management tone: cautious
  • Milestone: 8 GW renewable capacity addition by FY28
  • Milestone: Full ramp-up of new capacity additions

Is NTPC Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why NTPC Ltd may be worth studying

  • Earnings growing at +8.3% YoY
  • Valuation: appears significantly undervalued
  • Cash flow is positive — CFO ₹50,000 Cr

What is the investment thesis for NTPC Ltd?

NTPC Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Appears significantly undervalued
  • Growth catalyst: 6,615 MW capacity addition in FY26 driving volume growth

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Key risk: Coal stock sufficient for only 18 days of generation

What is the future outlook for NTPC Ltd?

NTPC Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Earnings Trend: stable
  • Revenue Trend: stable
  • Margin Trend: stable
  • Valuation: Significantly Undervalued
  • Key Catalyst: 6,615 MW capacity addition in FY26 driving volume growth
  • Key Risk: Coal stock sufficient for only 18 days of generation

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.