Sector Alpha

Track where the smart money flows in Indian equities

DashboardWeekly UpdateUploadPipelinePE CyclesBrainAbout

Data updated weekly. Not financial advice.

Sector Alpha
  1. Home
  2. /Momentum
  3. /Power - Generation/Distribution
  4. /NLC India Ltd
MomentumDeep Value

NLC India Ltd: Why Is It Outperforming Nifty 500?

Active
RS +19.8%Average6w Streak

In Week of Mar 28, 2026, NLC India Ltd (Power - Generation/Distribution) is outperforming Nifty 500 with +19.8% relative strength. Fundamentals: Average. On a 6-week streak.

PE: Mid ContractionStrong Opportunity

What's Happening

💎PE falling while earnings hold — value emerging
🌐FII stake increased 0.7% this quarter
💰Trading 197% below estimated fair value — significant discount

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. Ghatampur Unit 3 commissioning by March 2026
Q4 FY26HIGH
2. Pachwara coal block ramp-up
FY27MEDIUM
3. Renewable energy subsidiary IPO
Q2 FY27MEDIUM

Key Risks

1. Weather-driven power demand slowdown
MEDIUM
2. Higher fuel costs from new units
HIGH
3. Under-recoveries in fixed costs
LOW

Key Numbers

PAT Growth YoY
+4%
Stable
Revenue YoY
+1%
Stable
Operating Margin
30.0%
+700 bps YoY
PE Ratio
14.4
Current Price
₹270
Dividend Yield
1.33%
Fundamental Score
60/100
Average
3Y PAT CAGR
+34%
Market Cap
37.5K Cr
Valuation
Significantly Undervalued

12-Week Performance

Weekly presence in the outperformers list. Green = beating Nifty 500 by 10%+ that week.

12 weeks agoThis week

Why Are NLC India Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 earnings • Updated Feb 22, 2026

Ghatampur Unit 3 commissioning by March 2026

Expected: Q4 FY26HIGH confidence+₹300 Cr revenue

What: 660 MW thermal unit expected to add ₹300cr quarterly revenue

Impact: +₹300 Cr revenue

“Unit 3 of Ghathampur is progressing well, with steam blowing activities underway, and we aim to declare commercial operation within the current financial year. - CMD”

Pachwara coal block ramp-up

Expected: FY27MEDIUM confidence+₹800 Cr revenue

What: Captive coal source to reduce fuel costs by 8-10%

Impact: +₹800 Cr revenue

“Question on Pachwara coal block ramp-up and cost savings asked during call”

Renewable energy subsidiary IPO

Expected: Q2 FY27MEDIUM confidence

What: IPO expected Sept 2026 to unlock value

“All activities for the IPO are progressing rapidly, with cabinet approval and tax exemptions obtained. We expect the IPO to occur in September 2026. - CMD”

What Are the Key Risks for NLC India Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

Weather-driven power demand slowdown

MEDIUM

Trigger: Continued favorable weather conditions

Impact: -200 bps margin impact

Management view: The overall power demand in the country is lower due to favorable weather conditions, leading to flat generation levels. - CMD

Monitor: Capacity utilization rate

Higher fuel costs from new units

HIGH

Trigger: Pachwara coal block ramp-up delayed

Impact: -350 bps margin impact

Management view: The cost of fuel is higher because the new units at Ghathampur are operational, which have a higher fuel cost. - CMD

Monitor: Fuel cost per unit

Under-recoveries in fixed costs

LOW

Trigger: Regulatory delays in cost recovery

Impact: -150 bps margin impact

Management view: There are under-recoveries in fixed costs, particularly in the TPS2 expansion, affecting financial performance. - Gurufocus report

Monitor: Regulatory deferral movements

What Is NLC India Ltd's Management Saying?

Key quotes from recent conference calls

“Unit 3 of Ghathampur is progressing well, with steam blowing activities underway, and we aim to declare commercial operation within the current financial year. — Chairman and Managing Director”
“The cost of fuel is higher because the new units at Ghathampur are operational, which have a higher fuel cost. — Chairman and Managing Director”
“The overall power demand in the country is lower due to favorable weather conditions, leading to flat generation levels. — Chairman and Managing Director”
“All activities for the IPO are progressing rapidly, with cabinet approval and tax exemptions obtained. We expect the IPO to occur in September 2026. — Chairman and Managing Director”

What Is NLC India Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY26-27

Revenue Growth Target

8%

Implied PAT Growth

10%

OPM Guidance

35%

Capex Plan

₹117000 Cr

Management Tone: CAUTIOUS

Key Milestones

• Ghatampur Unit 3 COD by March 2026

• Pachwara coal block ramp-up FY27

• Renewable subsidiary IPO Sept 2026

How Fast Is NLC India Ltd Growing?

Revenue, profit and margin growth rates

MetricYoY3Y CAGRTrend
Revenue+1%+8%Stable
PAT (Net Profit)+4%+34%Stable
OPM30.0%+700 bpsVolatile

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Feb 22, 2026.

Other Top Power - Generation/Distribution Stocks Beating Nifty 500

NTPC Ltd
Strong • 8w streak
+27.5%
Adani Power Ltd
Weak
+19.9%
Tata Power Company Ltd
Average
+13.2%
JSW Energy Ltd
Average • 4w streak
+12.7%
NTPC Green Energy Ltd
Weak
+13.8%
← Back to Power - Generation/DistributionDashboard

Frequently Asked Questions: NLC India Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were NLC India Ltd's latest quarterly results?

NLC India Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: +4.0% (stable)
  • Revenue Growth YoY: +0.7%
  • Operating Margin: 30.0% (volatile)

Is NLC India Ltd's profit growing or declining?

NLC India Ltd's profit is growing with an stable trend.

  • PAT Growth YoY: +4.0% (latest quarter)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: -0.1% (sequential)
  • 3-Year PAT CAGR: +34.5%
  • Trend: Stable — consistent growth pattern

What is NLC India Ltd's revenue growth trend?

NLC India Ltd's revenue growth trend is stable.

  • Revenue Growth YoY: +0.7%
  • Revenue Growth QoQ: +6.3% (sequential)
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +8.3%

How is NLC India Ltd's operating margin trending?

NLC India Ltd's operating margin is volatile.

  • Current OPM: 30.0%
  • OPM Change YoY: +7.0% basis points
  • OPM Change QoQ: -4.0% basis points

What is NLC India Ltd's 3-year profit and revenue CAGR?

NLC India Ltd's long-term compounding rates

  • 3-Year Profit CAGR: +34.5%
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +8.3%

Is NLC India Ltd's growth accelerating or decelerating?

NLC India Ltd's earnings growth is stable with mixed signals on a sequential basis.

  • YoY Acceleration: +30.2% bps
  • Sequential Acceleration: +13.5% bps

What is NLC India Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance?

NLC India Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance

  • TTM PAT: ₹3,000 Cr
  • TTM PAT Growth: +16.8% YoY
  • TTM Revenue: ₹16,000 Cr
  • TTM Revenue Growth: +8.7% YoY
  • TTM Operating Margin: 27.7%

Is NLC India Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

NLC India Ltd appears significantly undervalued based on our fair value analysis.

  • Valuation Signal: Significantly Undervalued
  • Current PE: 14.4x
  • Price-to-Book: 1.9x

What is NLC India Ltd's current PE ratio?

NLC India Ltd's current PE ratio is 14.4x.

  • Current PE: 14.4x
  • Market Cap: 37.5K Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 1.33%

How does NLC India Ltd's valuation compare to its history?

NLC India Ltd's current PE is 14.4x.

  • Current PE: 14.4x
  • Valuation Assessment: Significantly Undervalued

What is NLC India Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

NLC India Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 1.9x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 1.9x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹144
  • Current Price: ₹270

Is NLC India Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

NLC India Ltd is rated Average with a fundamental score of 59.59/100. This score is calculated from objective financial metrics

  • Revenue Growth YoY: +0.7% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth YoY: +4.0% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: -0.1% (10% weight)
  • Margins stable (10% weight)

Is NLC India Ltd debt free?

NLC India Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹24,000 Cr

What is NLC India Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

NLC India Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROCE 13.0%
  • FY2024: ROCE 7.0%
  • FY2025: ROCE 11.0%

Is NLC India Ltd's cash flow positive?

NLC India Ltd's operating cash flow is positive (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹9,000 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹2,000 Cr
  • CFO/PAT Ratio: 331% (strong cash conversion)

What is NLC India Ltd's dividend yield?

NLC India Ltd's current dividend yield is 1.33%.

  • Dividend Yield: 1.33%
  • Current Price: ₹270

Who holds NLC India Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

NLC India Ltd's shareholding pattern (Dec 2025)

  • Promoters: 72.2%
  • FII (Foreign): 3.2%
  • DII (Domestic): 13.7%
  • Public: 6.6%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in NLC India Ltd?

NLC India Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 72.2% (Dec 2025)
  • Previous Quarter: 72.2% (Sep 2025)
  • Change: 0.00% (stable)

How long has NLC India Ltd been outperforming Nifty 500?

NLC India Ltd has been outperforming Nifty 500 for 6 consecutive weeks, indicating building momentum.

Is NLC India Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

NLC India Ltd is an established outperformer with 6 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for NLC India Ltd?

NLC India Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Ghatampur Unit 3 commissioning by March 2026
  • Pachwara coal block ramp-up
  • Renewable energy subsidiary IPO

What are the key risks in NLC India Ltd?

NLC India Ltd has 3 key risks worth monitoring

  • Weather-driven power demand slowdown
  • Higher fuel costs from new units
  • Under-recoveries in fixed costs

What did NLC India Ltd's management say in the latest earnings call?

In Q3 FY26, NLC India Ltd's management highlighted

  • "Unit 3 of Ghathampur is progressing well, with steam blowing activities underway, and we aim to declare commercial operation within the current financ..."
  • "The cost of fuel is higher because the new units at Ghathampur are operational, which have a higher fuel cost. — Chairman and Managing Director"
  • "The overall power demand in the country is lower due to favorable weather conditions, leading to flat generation levels. — Chairman and Managing Direc..."

What is NLC India Ltd's management guidance for growth?

NLC India Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY26-27

  • Revenue growth target: 8%
  • Implied PAT growth: 10%
  • OPM guidance: 35%
  • Capex plan: ₹117000 Cr
  • Management tone: cautious
  • Milestone: Ghatampur Unit 3 COD by March 2026
  • Milestone: Pachwara coal block ramp-up FY27

Is NLC India Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why NLC India Ltd may be worth studying

  • Earnings growing at +4.0% YoY
  • Valuation: appears significantly undervalued
  • Cash flow is positive — CFO ₹9,000 Cr

What is the investment thesis for NLC India Ltd?

NLC India Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Appears significantly undervalued
  • Growth catalyst: Ghatampur Unit 3 commissioning by March 2026

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Key risk: Weather-driven power demand slowdown

What is the future outlook for NLC India Ltd?

NLC India Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Earnings Trend: stable
  • Revenue Trend: stable
  • Margin Trend: volatile
  • Valuation: Significantly Undervalued
  • Key Catalyst: Ghatampur Unit 3 commissioning by March 2026
  • Key Risk: Weather-driven power demand slowdown

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.