Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd (VINCOFE) — share price & stock analysis
From losses in FY22 to record profits — the comeback is real, the price knows it.
Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd (VINCOFE) trades at ₹155 as of 1 July 2026, up 9.4% over the past year — beating NIFTY 500 for 11 weeks. The machine reads this as turnaround: from losses in FY22 to record profits — the comeback is real, the price knows it. the price is in Stage 1 — basing, 5 weeks in; the business cycle reads DEEP CYCLICAL / EXPANSION. Fundamentals-momentum score: 83/100 (mostly improving).
Data as of 1 July 2026 · every number traces to its Screener source column · not investment advice.
- Market cap
- ₹2,263 Cr
- P/E
- 31.4×
- ROE
- 16.6%
- Book value / share
- ₹39.1
- Revenue (FY26)
- ₹553 Cr
- Profit after tax (FY26)
- ₹72 Cr
- Weinstein stage
- Stage 1 (5 weeks)
- Data as of
- 1 July 2026
Profits swing violently in this business — real losses in FY22. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.net_profit
Where the clock stands now: earnings sit at 100% of their historical range, margins are mid-band, and valuation history is thin. That reads as EXPANSION — the comfortable middle — the easy money off the bottom is made; from here the story has to keep delivering.net_profit
4 of the 5 things we track are currently moving the right way — nearly everything is pulling in the same direction.
Where the levels actually stand: ROCE 18% — decent; effectively no debt; margins mid-band. Momentum says which way things are moving; these say where they are.
Read this number for what it is: it measures the DIRECTION of change, not the quality of the business. A mediocre business getting better scores high here; a great one having a soft quarter scores low. Profit, sales and margins count double, and a quarter of the score comes from our earnings-recovery lens (is the profit cycle turning up off its trough?).
The price is building a base — waiting for its next move
STAGE 1 · BASING · 5 WEEKSEvery stock cycles through the same four seasons — a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Right now this one is in Stage 1: basing, 5 weeks in.stage
Long flat bases after a decline are where the next uptrend is born — but a base can last years. The signal to act is the breakout, not the base.stage
Beating NIFTY 500 for 11 weeks — relative strength is the market’s live opinion, and right now it is on this stock’s side.rs_mansfield
What would end it: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the house exit rule — mechanical, no debates.dma_200
Data: Weekly price, moving averages and stage (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
| Period | Price (₹) | 200-DMA (₹) | 50-DMA (₹) | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 4 |
| Jan 21 | 11.3 | 8.1 | 8.9 | 2 |
| Mar 21 | 19.1 | 9.9 | 13.6 | 2 |
| Apr 21 | 31.2 | 13.4 | 21.6 | 2 |
| Jun 21 | 39.6 | 19.6 | 33.0 | 2 |
| Jul 21 | 58.7 | 27.8 | 46.2 | 2 |
| Aug 21 | 51.9 | 33.3 | 48.5 | 2 |
| Oct 21 | 63.6 | 39.6 | 55.6 | 2 |
| Nov 21 | 64.2 | 45.6 | 61.7 | 2 |
| Dec 21 | 59.6 | 48.6 | 58.5 | 2 |
| Feb 22 | 57.9 | 51.2 | 58.6 | 2 |
| Mar 22 | 46.5 | 51.1 | 52.9 | 2 |
| May 22 | 53.8 | 51.0 | 51.7 | 3 |
| Jun 22 | 58.0 | 52.5 | 55.6 | 2 |
| Jul 22 | 62.7 | 54.4 | 58.8 | 2 |
| Sep 22 | 69.7 | 57.0 | 63.6 | 2 |
| Oct 22 | 65.7 | 61.4 | 70.3 | 2 |
| Dec 22 | 43.5 | 58.2 | 54.8 | 4 |
| Jan 23 | 40.1 | 53.4 | 44.4 | 4 |
| Feb 23 | 29.7 | 49.6 | 39.7 | 4 |
| Apr 23 | 21.6 | 44.2 | 30.3 | 4 |
| May 23 | 24.5 | 38.8 | 25.3 | 4 |
| Jun 23 | 19.2 | 34.1 | 21.7 | 4 |
| Aug 23 | 22.0 | 31.2 | 21.4 | 4 |
| Sep 23 | 26.3 | 30.1 | 25.1 | 4 |
| Nov 23 | 36.1 | 29.8 | 28.1 | 4 |
| Dec 23 | 47.0 | 34.1 | 41.3 | 2 |
| Jan 24 | 49.4 | 37.9 | 47.2 | 2 |
| Mar 24 | 65.8 | 41.7 | 52.0 | 2 |
| Apr 24 | 53.6 | 45.2 | 55.1 | 2 |
| May 24 | 60.5 | 49.4 | 59.8 | 2 |
| Jul 24 | 73.9 | 53.8 | 65.4 | 2 |
| Aug 24 | 91.1 | 59.5 | 74.6 | 2 |
| Oct 24 | 124 | 73.3 | 103 | 2 |
| Nov 24 | 119 | 87.1 | 120 | 2 |
| Dec 24 | 115 | 94.7 | 119 | 2 |
| Feb 25 | 111 | 101 | 117 | 2 |
| Mar 25 | 90.1 | 98.6 | 99.4 | 2 |
| May 25 | 94.1 | 97.9 | 97.4 | 4 |
| Jun 25 | 125 | 101 | 108 | 2 |
| Jul 25 | 147 | 110 | 129 | 2 |
| Sep 25 | 146 | 120 | 142 | 2 |
| Oct 25 | 145 | 126 | 145 | 2 |
| Nov 25 | 161 | 135 | 157 | 2 |
| Jan 26 | 165 | 142 | 160 | 2 |
| Feb 26 | 144 | 143 | 151 | 2 |
| Apr 26 | 142 | 141 | 140 | 4 |
| May 26 | 145 | 140 | 137 | 4 |
| Jun 26 | 154 | 141 | 144 | 1 |
| Jul 26 | 155 | 142 | 147 | 1 |
A business that went through the fire — losses in FY22, records now
Over 12 years, sales went from ₹1.0 Cr to ₹553 Cr (about 69% a year), and profit from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹72.0 Cr.revenuenet_profit
The books show real losses in FY22 (worst: ₹−12.0 Cr). Everything about today’s cheap-looking numbers must be read against that history — the recovery is what you are buying.net_profit
Data: Revenue by year
| Period | Revenue (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|
| FY14 | 1 |
| FY15 | 0 |
| FY16 | 0 |
| FY17 | 1 |
| FY18 | 0 |
| FY19 | 0 |
| FY20 | 0 |
| FY21 | 0 |
| FY22 | 37 |
| FY23 | 63 |
| FY24 | 131 |
| FY25 | 309 |
| FY26 | 553 |
Data: Profit by year
| Period | Profit after tax (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|
| FY14 | 0 |
| FY15 | 0 |
| FY16 | 0 |
| FY17 | 0 |
| FY18 | 0 |
| FY19 | 0 |
| FY20 | 0 |
| FY21 | 0 |
| FY22 | -12 |
| FY23 | 4 |
| FY24 | 12 |
| FY25 | 40 |
| FY26 | 72 |
Data: OPM % by year
| Period | OPM % (%) |
|---|---|
| FY14 | 0.0 |
| FY15 | 4.0 |
| FY16 | 4.0 |
| FY17 | 0.0 |
| FY18 | 3.0 |
| FY19 | 0.0 |
| FY20 | 10.0 |
| FY21 | 71.0 |
| FY22 | -10.8 |
| FY23 | 23.8 |
| FY24 | 19.1 |
| FY25 | 17.2 |
| FY26 | 18.1 |
Sales exploded 57% last quarter — growth every single quarter for over 2 years
Mar 26 sales were ₹165 Cr, up 57% on the same quarter last year.revenue
That makes 10 quarters of growth in a row — this is a trend, not a blip.revenue
Data: Quarterly sales
| Period | Revenue (₹ Cr) | YoY growth (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 23 | 21.0 | – |
| Sep 23 | 30.0 | – |
| Dec 23 | 38.0 | – |
| Mar 24 | 42.0 | – |
| Jun 24 | 44.0 | 109.5 |
| Sep 24 | 72.0 | 140.0 |
| Dec 24 | 88.0 | 131.6 |
| Mar 25 | 105 | 150.0 |
| Jun 25 | 102 | 131.8 |
| Sep 25 | 136 | 88.9 |
| Dec 25 | 151 | 71.6 |
| Mar 26 | 165 | 57.1 |
Margins have been rebuilt — −10.8% in FY22 to 18.1% now
Of every ₹100 of sales, the company keeps ₹18.5 as operating profit (a year ago it kept ₹18.4).opm_pct
Zoom out and this is the page's quiet hero: annual operating margin bottomed at −10.8% in FY22 and has been rebuilt to 18.1% — that recovery, not sales alone, is what powers the profit growth elsewhere on this page.operating_profit
Data: Three margins, quarterly
| Period | Gross (%) | Operating (%) | Net (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23 | 41.0 | 26.2 | 8.1 |
| Sep 23 | 32.4 | 19.0 | 7.9 |
| Dec 23 | 33.5 | 17.8 | 9.5 |
| Mar 24 | 32.8 | 17.1 | 10.1 |
| Jun 24 | 32.3 | 17.6 | 10.4 |
| Sep 24 | 25.4 | 13.8 | 10.5 |
| Dec 24 | 29.9 | 18.2 | 14.1 |
| Mar 25 | 26.7 | 18.4 | 14.9 |
| Jun 25 | 26.6 | 17.8 | 14.0 |
| Sep 25 | 24.6 | 16.5 | 13.2 |
| Dec 25 | 27.4 | 19.1 | 12.7 |
| Mar 26 | 28.2 | 18.5 | 12.7 |
Profit jumped 31% — mostly from selling more
Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹21.0 Cr, up 31% year on year.net_profit
A caution: a meaningful slice of this jump came from income outside the core business — that is lower-quality profit and may not repeat.other_income
Data: Quarterly profit after tax
| Period | PAT (₹ Cr) | YoY growth (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 23 | 2.0 | – |
| Sep 23 | 2.0 | – |
| Dec 23 | 4.0 | – |
| Mar 24 | 4.0 | – |
| Jun 24 | 5.0 | 150.0 |
| Sep 24 | 8.0 | 300.0 |
| Dec 24 | 12.0 | 200.0 |
| Mar 25 | 16.0 | 300.0 |
| Jun 25 | 14.0 | 180.0 |
| Sep 25 | 18.0 | 125.0 |
| Dec 25 | 19.0 | 58.3 |
| Mar 26 | 21.0 | 31.3 |
The single biggest driver was selling more.
Data: Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)
| Component | Effect (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|
| PAT Mar 25 | 16 |
| More sales | +11 |
| Fatter margins | +1 |
| Other income | +3 |
| Depreciation | −1 |
| Interest | −1 |
| Tax | −6 |
| Everything else | −2 |
| PAT Mar 26 | 21 |
Profits on paper, cash lagging behind
Over the last 4 profitable years, the business reported ₹128 Cr of profit and collected ₹−33.0 Cr of operating cash — about -26% conversion (1 loss year excluded — a negative denominator would flatter the ratio).operating_cash_flownet_profit
The wrinkle is the latest year: FY26 collected ₹15.0 Cr against ₹72.0 Cr of reported profit — about 21%. One year isn’t a trend, but it is the line to watch.operating_cash_flownet_profit
Data: Cash collected vs profit reported (annual)
| Period | Operating cash flow (₹ Cr) | Profit after tax (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|---|
| FY14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY15 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY16 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY18 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY20 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY22 | -27.0 | -12.0 |
| FY23 | 11.0 | 4.0 |
| FY24 | -36.0 | 12.0 |
| FY25 | -23.0 | 40.0 |
| FY26 | 15.0 | 72.0 |
The cash cycle is tightening — money comes home faster
One rupee now takes about 178 days to go out the door as materials and come back as collected cash — down from 206 days the year before.cash_conversion_cycle
The biggest mover: inventory moving faster off the shelf (125 → 94 days).inventory_days
Data: Days of cash locked up (annual)
| Period | Customers owe (debtor days) (days) | Stock on shelf (inventory days) (days) | We owe suppliers (payable days) (days) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY14 | 319 | 0.0 | – |
| FY15 | 407 | 0.0 | – |
| FY16 | 639 | 0.0 | – |
| FY17 | 289 | 0.0 | – |
| FY18 | 730 | – | – |
| FY19 | 1,379 | – | – |
| FY20 | 1,058 | – | – |
| FY21 | 521 | – | – |
| FY22 | 124 | 924 | 127 |
| FY23 | 70.0 | 676 | 138 |
| FY24 | 60.0 | 318 | 9.0 |
| FY25 | 93.0 | 125 | 12.0 |
| FY26 | 88.0 | 94.0 | 3.0 |
Steady, unhurried investment
The productive asset base has gone from ₹0.0 Cr (FY14) to ₹302 Cr.fixed_assetscwip
The build is bigger than the cash engine: investing outflows (₹178 Cr) exceeded operating cash (₹−44.0 Cr) over the last 3 years — the difference comes from debt or shareholders.investing_cash_flowoperating_cash_flow
Data: Assets in place vs under construction (annual)
| Period | Fixed assets (₹ Cr) | Under construction (CWIP) (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|---|
| FY14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY15 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY16 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY18 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY20 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FY22 | 157 | 0.0 |
| FY23 | 152 | 0.0 |
| FY24 | 149 | 0.0 |
| FY25 | 151 | 0.0 |
| FY26 | 302 | 0.0 |
Almost no debt — this company cannot be killed by a bad year
For every ₹100 shareholders have put in (and left in), the company has borrowed ₹22 — total borrowings have grown from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹124 Cr over the window.borrowings
Data: Total borrowings (annual)
| Period | Borrowings (₹ Cr) |
|---|---|
| FY14 | 0.0 |
| FY15 | 0.0 |
| FY16 | 0.0 |
| FY17 | 0.0 |
| FY18 | 0.0 |
| FY19 | 0.0 |
| FY20 | 0.0 |
| FY21 | 0.0 |
| FY22 | 110 |
| FY23 | 102 |
| FY24 | 97.0 |
| FY25 | 82.0 |
| FY26 | 124 |
Data: Debt vs shareholders’ money (annual)
| Period | Debt ÷ equity (x) |
|---|---|
| FY14 | 0.0 |
| FY15 | 0.0 |
| FY16 | 0.0 |
| FY17 | 0.0 |
| FY18 | 0.0 |
| FY19 | 0.0 |
| FY20 | 0.0 |
| FY21 | 0.0 |
| FY22 | 1.1 |
| FY23 | 0.9 |
| FY24 | 0.6 |
| FY25 | 0.3 |
| FY26 | 0.2 |
Every ₹100 kept in the business earns ₹18 — decent, not special
Return on capital employed is 18.0% (a year ago: 15.0%). This is the single best test of business quality: what the company earns on the money it keeps.roce_pct
Rising returns on capital while growing is the rarest combination in investing — it means the new projects earn more than the old ones.roce_pct
Data: Returns on capital (annual)
| Period | ROCE (%) |
|---|---|
| FY15 | 0.0 |
| FY16 | 0.0 |
| FY17 | 0.0 |
| FY18 | 0.0 |
| FY19 | 0.0 |
| FY20 | 0.0 |
| FY21 | 4.0 |
| FY22 | 0.0 |
| FY23 | 5.0 |
| FY24 | 9.0 |
| FY25 | 15.0 |
| FY26 | 18.0 |
Promoters have trimmed their stake — 5.9 points over 8 quarters
Promoters hold 34.6% (down 5.9 points over 8 quarters). Foreign funds own 4.8%, domestic funds 7.6%.promoters_pctfiis_pctdiis_pct
A falling promoter stake is a red flag until explained — it can be a fund-raise or an exit; the difference matters.promoters_pct
Data: Who holds the shares, quarterly
| Period | Promoters (%) | Foreign funds (%) | Domestic funds (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23 | 69.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sep 23 | 46.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dec 23 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mar 24 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jun 24 | 40.6 | 2.3 | 0.0 |
| Sep 24 | 40.6 | 2.3 | 0.0 |
| Dec 24 | 40.1 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| Mar 25 | 39.2 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| Jun 25 | 38.7 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| Sep 25 | 34.1 | 5.3 | 6.3 |
| Dec 25 | 34.7 | 4.4 | 6.3 |
| Mar 26 | 34.7 | 4.8 | 7.6 |
- There is no debt story here. Borrowings are ₹22 per ₹100 of shareholders’ money — too small to matter, in either direction.borrowings
The numbers earn a deeper study — and watch the one thing that matters
The numbers lean positive, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far.
Best thing in the data: cash generation rising (₹−23.0 Cr → ₹15.0 Cr).operating_cash_flow
Biggest worry: free cash flow falling (₹−69.0 Cr → ₹−113 Cr).operating_cash_flow
Machine-written research from Screener data — every number traces to its source column. Sector Alpha is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell. Not investment advice.
Straight answers from the data
What does Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd do?
Incorporated in 1980, Vintage Coffee and Beverages Ltd manufactures and exports instant coffee and chicory[1]. It is listed in the FMCG - Coffee sector with a market capitalisation of ₹2,263 Cr.
What is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd's share price?
As of 1 July 2026, Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd trades at ₹155, up 9.4% over the past year, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,263 Cr. Beating NIFTY 500 for 11 weeks. Prices are weekly closes from Screener data; this page refreshes with each weekly update.
What is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd's share price target?
Sector Alpha does not publish broker-style price targets. Our discounted-cash-flow model estimates Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd's intrinsic value at ₹195 per share under base assumptions (bear ₹70.0, bull ₹195), against the current price of ₹155 — a 29% margin of safety. The current price already implies roughly 19% annual earnings growth. These are model estimates, not forecasts — treat them as one input alongside the valuation history below, not as a target.
What did Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd report in its latest quarterly results?
In its most recent reported quarter (Q4 FY26, quarter ended March 2026): Mar 26 sales were ₹165 Cr, up 57% on the same quarter last year. Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹21.0 Cr, up 31% year on year. Figures are from Screener-scraped quarterly filings; the page updates when the next quarter is filed.
Is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd growing?
Sales exploded 57% last quarter — growth every single quarter for over 2 years. Mar 26 sales were ₹165 Cr, up 57% on the same quarter last year.
Are Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd's profits growing?
Profit jumped 31% — mostly from selling more. Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹21.0 Cr, up 31% year on year.
What are Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd's operating margins?
Margins have been rebuilt — −10.8% in FY22 to 18.1% now. In the most recent quarter, of every ₹100 of sales, the company keeps ₹18.5 as operating profit (a year ago it kept ₹18.4).
What is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd's long-term growth record?
Revenue grew from ₹1 Cr in FY14 to ₹553 Cr in FY26 — a 69.3% compound annual growth rate over 12 years. Profit CAGR is not meaningful across this span — the company reported losses in FY22.
Is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd stock in an uptrend?
The price is building a base — waiting for its next move. Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd is in Stage 1 — basing, 5 weeks in (pending). Stages follow Stan Weinstein's four-phase read of weekly price against the 200-day average: basing (1), advancing (2), topping (3), declining (4).
Is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd beating the NIFTY 500?
Yes — beating NIFTY 500 for 11 weeks, as of 1 July 2026. Relative strength is measured weekly against the NIFTY 500 (Mansfield RS): a positive reading means the stock has outperformed the index over the trailing window, week after week.
Where is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd in its business cycle?
The data reads Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd as a deep cyclical business currently in its expansion phase — earnings at an all-time high for this company. Profits swing violently in this business — real losses in FY22. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.
Who owns Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd — what is the promoter holding?
Promoters hold 34.6% (down 5.9 points over 8 quarters). Foreign funds own 4.8%, domestic funds 7.6%. A falling promoter stake is a red flag until explained — it can be a fund-raise or an exit; the difference matters. Shareholding is from Screener's quarterly filings data.
Does Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd have too much debt?
Almost no debt — this company cannot be killed by a bad year. For every ₹100 shareholders have put in (and left in), the company has borrowed ₹22 — total borrowings have grown from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹124 Cr over the window.
What is the bull case for Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd?
From losses in FY22 to record profits — the comeback is real, the price knows it. Best thing in the data: cash generation rising (₹−23.0 Cr → ₹15.0 Cr). Sales exploded 57% last quarter — growth every single quarter for over 2 years.
What is the bear case for Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd — what could break the story?
Biggest worry: free cash flow falling (₹−69.0 Cr → ₹−113 Cr). If Q1 FY27 volumes miss the 2,100 metric ton floor for two consecutive quarters, that would indicate customer commitment visibility was overstated and the utilisation ramp thesis breaks. Separately, if freeze-dried capex escalates beyond Rs 650 crore or commissioning slips past December 2027, the FY28 margin story shifts from base case to bull case. The nearest-term thing to watch: if quarterly growth slips below 29%, the story weakens. This falsification condition is stated up front so the thesis can be checked against incoming quarters, not defended after the fact.
Is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd a stock worth studying right now?
Sector Alpha does not publish buy or sell recommendations — this is a research read, not advice. What the data says: the numbers earn a deeper study — and watch the one thing that matters. The numbers lean positive, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far. Across the 7-model scorecard the composite research signal is study deeper at 85% confidence. This is machine-written research compiled from Screener data — every number traces to its source — and it is not investment advice. Do your own diligence.