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FMCG - Coffee →
Home›Stocks›Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd
VINCOFEVintage Coffee & Beverages LtdFMCG - Coffee
₹155+9.4% 1y

Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd (VINCOFE) — share price & stock analysis

From losses in FY22 to record profits — the comeback is real, the price knows it.

TURNAROUNDBeating NIFTY 500 for 11 weeks
STAGE 1 BASEBEATING NIFTY 11W
TURNAROUNDNO REAL DEBTSALES MOMENTUM
DEEP CYCLICALEXPANSION
₹2,263 Cr
Market cap
31.4×
P/E
16.6%
ROE
By Sector Alpha Research · machine-compiled from Screener.in data · Updated 1 July 2026 · Sources: Screener.in company page, NSE quote · Not investment advice
The 30-second answer

Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd (VINCOFE) trades at ₹155 as of 1 July 2026, up 9.4% over the past year — beating NIFTY 500 for 11 weeks. The machine reads this as turnaround: from losses in FY22 to record profits — the comeback is real, the price knows it. the price is in Stage 1 — basing, 5 weeks in; the business cycle reads DEEP CYCLICAL / EXPANSION. Fundamentals-momentum score: 83/100 (mostly improving).

Data as of 1 July 2026 · every number traces to its Screener source column · not investment advice.

Key numbers
Market cap
₹2,263 Cr
P/E
31.4×
ROE
16.6%
Book value / share
₹39.1
Revenue (FY26)
₹553 Cr
Profit after tax (FY26)
₹72 Cr
Weinstein stage
Stage 1 (5 weeks)
Data as of
1 July 2026
MOMENTUM OF THE FUNDAMENTALS
83/100
MOSTLY IMPROVING
Levels: ROCE 18% — decent · effectively no debt · margins mid-band
SalesUp 57% YoY — 10 straight growth quarters
MarginsOPM 18.4% → 18.5% in a year
ProfitUp 31% YoY
Balance sheetDebt is ₹22 per ₹100 of shareholders’ money
Committed ownersPromoters + funds hold 47.1% (a year ago: 44.4%)
DEEP CYCLICAL
Trough
Recovery
Expansion
Peak

Profits swing violently in this business — real losses in FY22. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.net_profit

Where the clock stands now: earnings sit at 100% of their historical range, margins are mid-band, and valuation history is thin. That reads as EXPANSION — the comfortable middle — the easy money off the bottom is made; from here the story has to keep delivering.net_profit

4 of the 5 things we track are currently moving the right way — nearly everything is pulling in the same direction.

Where the levels actually stand: ROCE 18% — decent; effectively no debt; margins mid-band. Momentum says which way things are moving; these say where they are.

Read this number for what it is: it measures the DIRECTION of change, not the quality of the business. A mediocre business getting better scores high here; a great one having a soft quarter scores low. Profit, sales and margins count double, and a quarter of the score comes from our earnings-recovery lens (is the profit cycle turning up off its trough?).

WHERE THE PRICE IS IN ITS CYCLE

The price is building a base — waiting for its next move

STAGE 1 · BASING · 5 WEEKS

Every stock cycles through the same four seasons — a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Right now this one is in Stage 1: basing, 5 weeks in.stage

Long flat bases after a decline are where the next uptrend is born — but a base can last years. The signal to act is the breakout, not the base.stage

Beating NIFTY 500 for 11 weeks — relative strength is the market’s live opinion, and right now it is on this stock’s side.rs_mansfield

What would end it: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the house exit rule — mechanical, no debates.dma_200

Weekly price with its 200-day and 50-day averages — stages shaded₹weinstein_stages
S2S4S2S2050.0100150Price200-DMAStage 1 began · Jun 26Aug 19Nov 22Sep 24Jul 26
Data: Weekly price, moving averages and stage (sampled — full series in the embedded dataset)
PeriodPrice (₹)200-DMA (₹)50-DMA (₹)Stage
Aug 197.87.87.84
Jan 2111.38.18.92
Mar 2119.19.913.62
Apr 2131.213.421.62
Jun 2139.619.633.02
Jul 2158.727.846.22
Aug 2151.933.348.52
Oct 2163.639.655.62
Nov 2164.245.661.72
Dec 2159.648.658.52
Feb 2257.951.258.62
Mar 2246.551.152.92
May 2253.851.051.73
Jun 2258.052.555.62
Jul 2262.754.458.82
Sep 2269.757.063.62
Oct 2265.761.470.32
Dec 2243.558.254.84
Jan 2340.153.444.44
Feb 2329.749.639.74
Apr 2321.644.230.34
May 2324.538.825.34
Jun 2319.234.121.74
Aug 2322.031.221.44
Sep 2326.330.125.14
Nov 2336.129.828.14
Dec 2347.034.141.32
Jan 2449.437.947.22
Mar 2465.841.752.02
Apr 2453.645.255.12
May 2460.549.459.82
Jul 2473.953.865.42
Aug 2491.159.574.62
Oct 2412473.31032
Nov 2411987.11202
Dec 2411594.71192
Feb 251111011172
Mar 2590.198.699.42
May 2594.197.997.44
Jun 251251011082
Jul 251471101292
Sep 251461201422
Oct 251451261452
Nov 251611351572
Jan 261651421602
Feb 261441431512
Apr 261421411404
May 261451401374
Jun 261541411441
Jul 261551421471
THE LONG ARC

A business that went through the fire — losses in FY22, records now

Over 12 years, sales went from ₹1.0 Cr to ₹553 Cr (about 69% a year), and profit from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹72.0 Cr.revenuenet_profit

The books show real losses in FY22 (worst: ₹−12.0 Cr). Everything about today’s cheap-looking numbers must be read against that history — the recovery is what you are buying.net_profit

Revenue by year₹ Crannual_results
0200400FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Revenue by year
PeriodRevenue (₹ Cr)
FY141
FY150
FY160
FY171
FY180
FY190
FY200
FY210
FY2237
FY2363
FY24131
FY25309
FY26553
Profit by year₹ Crannual_results
050.0FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Profit by year
PeriodProfit after tax (₹ Cr)
FY140
FY150
FY160
FY170
FY180
FY190
FY200
FY210
FY22-12
FY234
FY2412
FY2540
FY2672
OPM % by year%annual_results
0.025.050.075.0FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: OPM % by year
PeriodOPM % (%)
FY140.0
FY154.0
FY164.0
FY170.0
FY183.0
FY190.0
FY2010.0
FY2171.0
FY22-10.8
FY2323.8
FY2419.1
FY2517.2
FY2618.1
CHAPTER 1 · THE ENGINE

Sales exploded 57% last quarter — growth every single quarter for over 2 years

Revenue — the money that comes in from customers, before any costs.

Mar 26 sales were ₹165 Cr, up 57% on the same quarter last year.revenue

That makes 10 quarters of growth in a row — this is a trend, not a blip.revenue

Quarterly sales₹ Crquarterly_results
0100YoY %+110+140+132+150+132+89+72+57Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Quarterly sales
PeriodRevenue (₹ Cr)YoY growth (%)
Jun 2321.0–
Sep 2330.0–
Dec 2338.0–
Mar 2442.0–
Jun 2444.0109.5
Sep 2472.0140.0
Dec 2488.0131.6
Mar 25105150.0
Jun 25102131.8
Sep 2513688.9
Dec 2515171.6
Mar 2616557.1
WATCH →If quarterly growth slips below 29%, the story weakens.
CHAPTER 2 · THE TAKE

Margins have been rebuilt — −10.8% in FY22 to 18.1% now

Margins — the share of every ₹100 of sales kept as profit. Gross (after raw materials), operating (after running costs), net (after everything).

Of every ₹100 of sales, the company keeps ₹18.5 as operating profit (a year ago it kept ₹18.4).opm_pct

Zoom out and this is the page's quiet hero: annual operating margin bottomed at −10.8% in FY22 and has been rebuilt to 18.1% — that recovery, not sales alone, is what powers the profit growth elsewhere on this page.operating_profit

Three margins, quarterly%margin_trends
10.020.030.040.0GrossOperatingNetJun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Three margins, quarterly
PeriodGross (%)Operating (%)Net (%)
Jun 2341.026.28.1
Sep 2332.419.07.9
Dec 2333.517.89.5
Mar 2432.817.110.1
Jun 2432.317.610.4
Sep 2425.413.810.5
Dec 2429.918.214.1
Mar 2526.718.414.9
Jun 2526.617.814.0
Sep 2524.616.513.2
Dec 2527.419.112.7
Mar 2628.218.512.7
CHAPTER 3 · THE BOTTOM LINE

Profit jumped 31% — mostly from selling more

PAT (profit after tax) — what is left for shareholders after every cost, interest and tax.

Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹21.0 Cr, up 31% year on year.net_profit

A caution: a meaningful slice of this jump came from income outside the core business — that is lower-quality profit and may not repeat.other_income

Quarterly profit after tax₹ Crquarterly_results
010.020.0YoY %+150+300+200+300+180+125+58+31Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Quarterly profit after tax
PeriodPAT (₹ Cr)YoY growth (%)
Jun 232.0–
Sep 232.0–
Dec 234.0–
Mar 244.0–
Jun 245.0150.0
Sep 248.0300.0
Dec 2412.0200.0
Mar 2516.0300.0
Jun 2514.0180.0
Sep 2518.0125.0
Dec 2519.058.3
Mar 2621.031.3
Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)₹ Cr
16+11+1+3−1−1−6−221PAT Mar 25More salesFattermarginsOther incomeDepreciationInterestTaxEverythingelsePAT Mar 26

The single biggest driver was selling more.

Data: Where the profit change came from (Mar 25 → Mar 26)
ComponentEffect (₹ Cr)
PAT Mar 2516
More sales+11
Fatter margins+1
Other income+3
Depreciation−1
Interest−1
Tax−6
Everything else−2
PAT Mar 2621
CHAPTER 4 · THE ACID TEST

Profits on paper, cash lagging behind

Operating cash flow (CFO) — the cash that actually arrived, vs PAT, the profit accounting reports. Annual figures.

Over the last 4 profitable years, the business reported ₹128 Cr of profit and collected ₹−33.0 Cr of operating cash — about -26% conversion (1 loss year excluded — a negative denominator would flatter the ratio).operating_cash_flownet_profit

The wrinkle is the latest year: FY26 collected ₹15.0 Cr against ₹72.0 Cr of reported profit — about 21%. One year isn’t a trend, but it is the line to watch.operating_cash_flownet_profit

Cash collected vs profit reported (annual)₹ Crcash_flow
050.0Operating cash flowProfit after taxFY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Cash collected vs profit reported (annual)
PeriodOperating cash flow (₹ Cr)Profit after tax (₹ Cr)
FY140.00.0
FY150.00.0
FY160.00.0
FY170.00.0
FY180.00.0
FY190.00.0
FY200.00.0
FY210.00.0
FY22-27.0-12.0
FY2311.04.0
FY24-36.012.0
FY25-23.040.0
FY2615.072.0
CHAPTER 5 · THE PIPELINE

The cash cycle is tightening — money comes home faster

Working capital — days of sales locked up in inventory and unpaid bills. Screener reports this yearly, so this chart is annual.

One rupee now takes about 178 days to go out the door as materials and come back as collected cash — down from 206 days the year before.cash_conversion_cycle

The biggest mover: inventory moving faster off the shelf (125 → 94 days).inventory_days

Days of cash locked up (annual)daysratios
05001,000Customers owe (debtor days)Stock on shelf (inventory days)We owe suppliers (payable days)FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Days of cash locked up (annual)
PeriodCustomers owe (debtor days) (days)Stock on shelf (inventory days) (days)We owe suppliers (payable days) (days)
FY143190.0–
FY154070.0–
FY166390.0–
FY172890.0–
FY18730––
FY191,379––
FY201,058––
FY21521––
FY22124924127
FY2370.0676138
FY2460.03189.0
FY2593.012512.0
FY2688.094.03.0
CHAPTER 6 · THE BUILD

Steady, unhurried investment

Capex — money spent on plants, machines and buildings. Gross block is what exists; CWIP (capital work-in-progress) is what is being built. Annual.

The productive asset base has gone from ₹0.0 Cr (FY14) to ₹302 Cr.fixed_assetscwip

The build is bigger than the cash engine: investing outflows (₹178 Cr) exceeded operating cash (₹−44.0 Cr) over the last 3 years — the difference comes from debt or shareholders.investing_cash_flowoperating_cash_flow

Assets in place vs under construction (annual)₹ Crbalance_sheet
0100200300Fixed assetsUnder construction (CWIP)FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Assets in place vs under construction (annual)
PeriodFixed assets (₹ Cr)Under construction (CWIP) (₹ Cr)
FY140.00.0
FY150.00.0
FY160.00.0
FY170.00.0
FY180.00.0
FY190.00.0
FY200.00.0
FY210.00.0
FY221570.0
FY231520.0
FY241490.0
FY251510.0
FY263020.0
CHAPTER 7 · SURVIVAL

Almost no debt — this company cannot be killed by a bad year

Debt-to-equity — borrowings against shareholders’ money. Computed from the balance sheet. Annual.

For every ₹100 shareholders have put in (and left in), the company has borrowed ₹22 — total borrowings have grown from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹124 Cr over the window.borrowings

Total borrowings (annual)₹ Crbalance_sheet
050.0100FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Total borrowings (annual)
PeriodBorrowings (₹ Cr)
FY140.0
FY150.0
FY160.0
FY170.0
FY180.0
FY190.0
FY200.0
FY210.0
FY22110
FY23102
FY2497.0
FY2582.0
FY26124
Debt vs shareholders’ money (annual)xbalance_sheet
00.51FY14FY19FY24FY26
Data: Debt vs shareholders’ money (annual)
PeriodDebt ÷ equity (x)
FY140.0
FY150.0
FY160.0
FY170.0
FY180.0
FY190.0
FY200.0
FY210.0
FY221.1
FY230.9
FY240.6
FY250.3
FY260.2
CHAPTER 8 · THE ENGINE ROOM

Every ₹100 kept in the business earns ₹18 — decent, not special

ROCE — profit earned per ₹100 of capital used. ROE — the same, per ₹100 of shareholders’ money alone. Annual.

Return on capital employed is 18.0% (a year ago: 15.0%). This is the single best test of business quality: what the company earns on the money it keeps.roce_pct

Rising returns on capital while growing is the rarest combination in investing — it means the new projects earn more than the old ones.roce_pct

Returns on capital (annual)%ratios
0.05.010.015.0ROCEFY15FY19FY23FY26
Data: Returns on capital (annual)
PeriodROCE (%)
FY150.0
FY160.0
FY170.0
FY180.0
FY190.0
FY200.0
FY214.0
FY220.0
FY235.0
FY249.0
FY2515.0
FY2618.0
CHAPTER 9 · WHO OWNS IT

Promoters have trimmed their stake — 5.9 points over 8 quarters

Shareholding — who owns the company: founders (promoters), foreign funds (FII), domestic funds (DII).

Promoters hold 34.6% (down 5.9 points over 8 quarters). Foreign funds own 4.8%, domestic funds 7.6%.promoters_pctfiis_pctdiis_pct

A falling promoter stake is a red flag until explained — it can be a fund-raise or an exit; the difference matters.promoters_pct

Who holds the shares, quarterly%shareholding
Promoters69.9% → 34.7% · down 35.3 pts
40.050.060.070.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Foreign funds0.0% → 4.8% · up 4.8 pts
0.02.04.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Domestic funds0.0% → 7.6% · up 7.6 pts
0.02.04.06.08.0Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Mar 26
Data: Who holds the shares, quarterly
PeriodPromoters (%)Foreign funds (%)Domestic funds (%)
Jun 2369.90.00.0
Sep 2346.60.00.0
Dec 2347.60.00.0
Mar 2447.60.00.0
Jun 2440.62.30.0
Sep 2440.62.30.0
Dec 2440.13.41.4
Mar 2539.23.41.9
Jun 2538.73.92.6
Sep 2534.15.36.3
Dec 2534.74.46.3
Mar 2634.74.87.6
WHAT IS NOT HAPPENING
  • There is no debt story here. Borrowings are ₹22 per ₹100 of shareholders’ money — too small to matter, in either direction.borrowings
THE VERDICT

The numbers earn a deeper study — and watch the one thing that matters

The numbers lean positive, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far.

Best thing in the data: cash generation rising (₹−23.0 Cr → ₹15.0 Cr).operating_cash_flow

Biggest worry: free cash flow falling (₹−69.0 Cr → ₹−113 Cr).operating_cash_flow

The machine committee — 7 independent readsSTUDY DEEPER · 85%
Earnings patternPOSITIVE90% · w21
Valuation cyclePOSITIVE81% · w19
CatalystsPOSITIVE60% · w14
Quality & safetyPOSITIVE58% · w14
TechnicalsPOSITIVE61% · w12
ValuationPOSITIVE58% · w10
Growth at a pricePOSITIVE62% · w10
Business quality7.2/10
Management5.5/10
7-model research readSTUDY DEEPER · 85% confidence
WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS VIEWIf Q1 FY27 volumes miss the 2,100 metric ton floor for two consecutive quarters, that would indicate customer commitment visibility was overstated and the utilisation ramp thesis breaks. Separately, if freeze-dried capex escalates beyond Rs 650 crore or commissioning slips past December 2027, the FY28 margin story shifts from base case to bull case.

Machine-written research from Screener data — every number traces to its source column. Sector Alpha is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell. Not investment advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Straight answers from the data

What does Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd do?

Incorporated in 1980, Vintage Coffee and Beverages Ltd manufactures and exports instant coffee and chicory[1]. It is listed in the FMCG - Coffee sector with a market capitalisation of ₹2,263 Cr.

What is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd's share price?

As of 1 July 2026, Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd trades at ₹155, up 9.4% over the past year, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,263 Cr. Beating NIFTY 500 for 11 weeks. Prices are weekly closes from Screener data; this page refreshes with each weekly update.

What is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd's share price target?

Sector Alpha does not publish broker-style price targets. Our discounted-cash-flow model estimates Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd's intrinsic value at ₹195 per share under base assumptions (bear ₹70.0, bull ₹195), against the current price of ₹155 — a 29% margin of safety. The current price already implies roughly 19% annual earnings growth. These are model estimates, not forecasts — treat them as one input alongside the valuation history below, not as a target.

What did Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd report in its latest quarterly results?

In its most recent reported quarter (Q4 FY26, quarter ended March 2026): Mar 26 sales were ₹165 Cr, up 57% on the same quarter last year. Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹21.0 Cr, up 31% year on year. Figures are from Screener-scraped quarterly filings; the page updates when the next quarter is filed.

Is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd growing?

Sales exploded 57% last quarter — growth every single quarter for over 2 years. Mar 26 sales were ₹165 Cr, up 57% on the same quarter last year.

Are Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd's profits growing?

Profit jumped 31% — mostly from selling more. Mar 26 profit after tax was ₹21.0 Cr, up 31% year on year.

What are Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd's operating margins?

Margins have been rebuilt — −10.8% in FY22 to 18.1% now. In the most recent quarter, of every ₹100 of sales, the company keeps ₹18.5 as operating profit (a year ago it kept ₹18.4).

What is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd's long-term growth record?

Revenue grew from ₹1 Cr in FY14 to ₹553 Cr in FY26 — a 69.3% compound annual growth rate over 12 years. Profit CAGR is not meaningful across this span — the company reported losses in FY22.

Is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd stock in an uptrend?

The price is building a base — waiting for its next move. Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd is in Stage 1 — basing, 5 weeks in (pending). Stages follow Stan Weinstein's four-phase read of weekly price against the 200-day average: basing (1), advancing (2), topping (3), declining (4).

Is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd beating the NIFTY 500?

Yes — beating NIFTY 500 for 11 weeks, as of 1 July 2026. Relative strength is measured weekly against the NIFTY 500 (Mansfield RS): a positive reading means the stock has outperformed the index over the trailing window, week after week.

Where is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd in its business cycle?

The data reads Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd as a deep cyclical business currently in its expansion phase — earnings at an all-time high for this company. Profits swing violently in this business — real losses in FY22. That is what “deep cyclical” means: the same company looks brilliant at the top of its cycle and broken at the bottom.

Who owns Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd — what is the promoter holding?

Promoters hold 34.6% (down 5.9 points over 8 quarters). Foreign funds own 4.8%, domestic funds 7.6%. A falling promoter stake is a red flag until explained — it can be a fund-raise or an exit; the difference matters. Shareholding is from Screener's quarterly filings data.

Does Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd have too much debt?

Almost no debt — this company cannot be killed by a bad year. For every ₹100 shareholders have put in (and left in), the company has borrowed ₹22 — total borrowings have grown from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹124 Cr over the window.

What is the bull case for Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd?

From losses in FY22 to record profits — the comeback is real, the price knows it. Best thing in the data: cash generation rising (₹−23.0 Cr → ₹15.0 Cr). Sales exploded 57% last quarter — growth every single quarter for over 2 years.

What is the bear case for Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd — what could break the story?

Biggest worry: free cash flow falling (₹−69.0 Cr → ₹−113 Cr). If Q1 FY27 volumes miss the 2,100 metric ton floor for two consecutive quarters, that would indicate customer commitment visibility was overstated and the utilisation ramp thesis breaks. Separately, if freeze-dried capex escalates beyond Rs 650 crore or commissioning slips past December 2027, the FY28 margin story shifts from base case to bull case. The nearest-term thing to watch: if quarterly growth slips below 29%, the story weakens. This falsification condition is stated up front so the thesis can be checked against incoming quarters, not defended after the fact.

Is Vintage Coffee & Beverages Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

Sector Alpha does not publish buy or sell recommendations — this is a research read, not advice. What the data says: the numbers earn a deeper study — and watch the one thing that matters. The numbers lean positive, and the price is roughly fair to the delivery so far. Across the 7-model scorecard the composite research signal is study deeper at 85% confidence. This is machine-written research compiled from Screener data — every number traces to its source — and it is not investment advice. Do your own diligence.

Generated from Screener data · 12 sources · why_traces/1.0 + story/1.2
details
generated 2026-07-03 11:21 · 9 material moves detected
sources: screener_company_info, screener_quarterly_results, screener_annual_results, screener_valuation_history, screener_shareholding, screener_cash_flow, screener_ratios, screener_balance_sheet, screener_margin_trends, weinstein_stages, agent_scores, stock_timelines