Menon Bearings Ltd
MENONBEMenon Bearings Ltd's price has outrun its earnings. +80.0% in a year against EPS +53.5% — the market is paying now for delivery later.
The sharpest disagreement: the price moved +80.0% in a year while annual EPS moved +53.5% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings.
The price is in a confirmed uptrend (15 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 89th percentile of its own 3-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +75.0% year on year, and 90% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved.
Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.
Menon Bearings Ltd trades at ₹230, in a confirmed uptrend and 15 weeks into that stage. That is +51.5% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 94% of a 52-week range of ₹105 to ₹237. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 22 straight weeks.
Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 15 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹230 it trades +51.5% versus its 200-day average and sits at 94% of its 52-week range (₹105–₹237).
Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.5 years the stock moved +449% while the NIFTY 500 moved +284% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 22 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.
What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.
Story check
Menon Bearings Ltd's story is not scored yet against the markers our research file set on 19 July 2026. Where it sits in its own cycle: Not stated in the research file. Our fortnightly research layers last read it on 19 July 2026.
Our read, 19 July 2026. Q1 FY27 printed a record with revenue up 37% YoY and OPM at 22% — operating leverage is now three-quarter confirmed; North American market entry is advancing; management terms the Rs 360 Cr FY27 guidance conservative while the Jun 2026 annualized run-rate implies Rs 368 Cr already.
From the numbers. EXPANSION_STARTED / STRONG_OPPORTUNITY — PE near the lower third of its 10-year range while earnings are accelerating; three consecutive quarters of YoY PAT growth with no one-off support. The cycle_normalized verdict…
From the price. Price stage 2, week 15 — above its 200-day line, relative strength rising.
From the research. Q1 FY27 printed a record with revenue up 37% YoY and OPM at 22% — operating leverage is now three-quarter confirmed; North American market entry is advancing; management terms the Rs 360 Cr FY27 guidance conservative…
🚨 Where they disagree. EXPANSION_STARTED / STRONG_OPPORTUNITY — PE near the lower third of its 10-year range while earnings are accelerating; three consecutive quarters of YoY PAT growth with no one-off support. The cycle_normalized verdict is FAIRLY_PRICED at normalized PE 23.1x (25th percentile) — not a deep value setup but a fair entry with operating leverage active. Primary cycle risk: ROCE at 80th percentile (AT_PEAK) signals returns are above through-cycle average, and mean-reversion is the eventual destination.
What is proven. Q1 FY27 printed a record with revenue up 37% YoY and OPM at 22% — operating leverage is now three-quarter confirmed; North American market entry is advancing; management terms the Rs 360 Cr FY27 guidance conservative while the Jun 2026 annualized run-rate implies Rs 368 Cr already.
What is not proven yet. Two consecutive quarters of bi-metal revenue growth below 20% YoY would signal that the operating leverage thesis is failing — the Q1 FY27 record is not yet a trend. Additionally, if OCF-to-PAT in FY27 remains below 0.6 (repeating the FY26 working-capital drain pattern), the apparent earnings quality would be downgraded to accrual-heavy and conviction would need to be capped.
🚨 What would change our mind. Two consecutive quarters of bi-metal revenue growth below 20% YoY would signal that the operating leverage thesis is failing — the Q1 FY27 record is not yet a trend. Additionally, if OCF-to-PAT in FY27 remains below 0.6 (repeating the FY26 working-capital drain pattern), the apparent earnings quality would be downgraded to accrual-heavy and conviction would need to be capped.
Layer 1 read, 19 July 2026 — KEEP. Record Q1 FY27 confirms a genuine three-quarter bi-metal operating-leverage turn at a fair, compressing multiple with clean, one-off-free earnings. Q1 FY27 revenue hit a record Rs 92 Cr with EPS Rs 2.52, extending an EPS turn from a Rs 0.98 trough (8-quarter EPS +83%) at a FAIR PE of 25.5x that is compressing as earnings rise. The quality is clean — the one-off ledger flags all 15 quarters free of exceptional items, other-income spikes or tax credits — and three named drivers (bi-metal capacity, North America/TATA EV RFQs, Alcop) give 6-8 quarters of runway.
What would change Layer 1’s mind. Two consecutive quarters of bi-metal revenue growth below 20% YoY — signalling the Q1 FY27 record was a product-mix artifact not a trend — OR FY27 OCF/PAT staying below 0.6 (repeating the FY26 working-capital drain, C031), which would downgrade the earnings quality to accrual-heavy.
Layer 2 read, 19 July 2026 — ADVANCE. Cleanest fresh turn in the batch — record Q1 FY27 at a fair, compressing multiple on genuinely clean earnings. Menon printed a record Q1 FY27 (revenue Rs 92 Cr, EPS 2.52) confirming a three-quarter operating-leverage turn (8-quarter EPS 0.98 -> 2.52) at a fair PE of 25.5 that is compressing while EPS rises, and the one-off ledger is clean across all 15 quarters so the earnings are real, not a spike. External evidence confirms the turn (Q1 FY27 PAT +63.5% YoY) and the sector backdrop is a structural auto-ancillary upcycle with bearings EV-agnostic. The sector timeline is absent (NO_CURVE), but absence is not a rejection and the built web view carries no negative — ADVANCE.
What would change Layer 2’s mind. Two consecutive quarters of bi-metal revenue growth below 20% YoY (the turn not becoming a trend), OR OCF-to-PAT staying below 0.6 in FY27 (earnings quality turning accrual-heavy) — the timeline's own falsifiers; externally, an auto-ancillary demand rollover or a governance escalation hardening from silent-guidance-drift into a delivered miss would flip ADVANCE toward BENCH.
Layer 3 read, 19 July 2026 — DEPLOY. Record clean-ledger turnaround; both HIGH Timeline risks downgrade on inversion — mgmt integrity intact, DEPLOY. The scary OCF/PAT 0.61 (R1) is a one-year growth-funded receivables build — over 3 years cash conversion is a healthy 0.90 (OCF 78 vs PAT 87 Cr) and PAT is 100% operational with a 15/15 clean one-off ledger. The six guidance failures (R2) are optimism on new lines (railway, US/Canada) while the core bi-metal business delivered a record EPS 2.52 — the cached dossier reads PASS and red_flags CLEAN (the SEBI 'Subash Menon' order names a different entity). Neither HIGH risk is an integrity breach, so mgmt does not FAIL.
What would change Layer 3’s mind. FY27 OCF/PAT staying below 0.6 for a second year (repeating the working-capital drain) escalates the earnings-quality risk to HIGH and caps conviction; OR any core bi-metal quarter with <20% YoY revenue growth breaks the operating-leverage thesis (the Timeline's own falsifier). A promoter pledge or a genuine (correctly-attributed) SEBI action would flip mgmt to FAIL → DROP.
The test written in advance. Working Capital Drain — FY26 OCF/PAT Divergence — Working Capital Drain — FY26 OCF/PAT Divergence FY27 OCF/PAT below 0.65 for two consecutive half-years by the next result.
The test written in advance. Management Guidance Inflation — Six Cumulative Failures — Management Guidance Inflation — Six Cumulative Failures Any further timeline delay on dynamometer delivery beyond August 2026, or any further unexplained capex escalation by the next result.
| Dial | Now | Was | Why it matters | Watch line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bi-Metal Operating Leverage — Third Shift… | HIGH | — | Bi-metal utilization at 80% with a third shift available; Q1 FY27 consolidated revenue up 37% YoY driven by volume absorption of… | Bi-metal revenue growth falls below 15% YoY for two consecutive quarters, signalling that the Q4 FY26 and Q1 FY27 volume was peak-cycle fill rather… |
| North American Market Entry — US/Canada… | HIGH | — | June 2026 US/Canada trip (Detroit, Cleveland, Atlanta) generated RFQs and NDAs from Magna, Allison Transmission, and Linamar; a… | Engine bearing orders from US/Canada do not materialize by Q4 FY27, indicating the 6-7 month compressed sales cycle did not hold and the… |
| Brake Division Margin Re-Rating — Product… | MEDIUM | — | Brakes printed 25% EBITDA margin in Q1 FY27 vs prior-guided 12-14%; management is now guiding 20% sustained through two-wheeler… | Brakes EBITDA margin reverts below 15% in Q2 FY27 as merchant export orders resume (Middle East disruption resolved per Jul 2026 concall)… |
| Alcop Aluminum Growth — EV and Premium… | MEDIUM | — | Alcop EV revenue share 4-5% currently, targeting 8-10% by end FY27; per-unit realization Rs 900+ per piece vs Rs 750 earlier… | Alcop quarterly revenue stays below Rs 22 Cr for two consecutive quarters, indicating the RFQ pipeline is not converting and the 29% CAGR assumption… |
🚨 What the surface reading misses. The surface reading is: Brake margins delivered 25% — well above guidance; thesis upgrade The research reads it further: The 25% was driven by the absence of low-margin merchant exports (Middle East disruption) rather than a structural business improvement. If merchant exports resume fully in Q2 FY27, margins could revert to 14-16%.
🚨 What the surface reading misses. The surface reading is: PE at 36th percentile — slightly below median, modest opportunity The research reads it further: The PE compression is earnings-driven: EPS expanded 83% over 8 quarters while the multiple contracted 15%. Normalized PE is 23.1x at the 25th percentile — 26 percentage points cheaper than the trailing PE's 51st percentile reading. The market is catching up to an earnings base that is materially higher than two years ago.
Lever 1 · Operating leverage — BUILDING. Bi-metal utilization at 80% with a third shift available; Q1 FY27 consolidated revenue up 37% YoY driven by volume absorption of fixed costs; OPM 22% vs 19% in Q1 FY26. What proves it keeps working: Bi-Metal Operating Leverage — Third Shift Available. It stops working if Bi-metal revenue growth falls below 15% YoY for two consecutive quarters, signalling that the Q4 FY26 and Q1 FY27 volume was peak-cycle fill rather than structural ramp.
Lever 2 · Value-added mix — BUILDING. June 2026 US/Canada trip (Detroit, Cleveland, Atlanta) generated RFQs and NDAs from Magna, Allison Transmission, and Linamar; a dedicated US-based field resource is compressing the standard 9-12 month sales cycle to 6-7 months. What proves it keeps working: North American Market Entry — US/Canada Inflection. It stops working if Engine bearing orders from US/Canada do not materialize by Q4 FY27, indicating the 6-7 month compressed sales cycle did not hold and the RFQ-to-order conversion failed.
Lever 3 · Management change — BUILDING. Brakes printed 25% EBITDA margin in Q1 FY27 vs prior-guided 12-14%; management is now guiding 20% sustained through two-wheeler and three-wheeler market entry away from price-compressed merchant exports. What proves it keeps working: Brake Division Margin Re-Rating — Product Mix Shift. It stops working if Brakes EBITDA margin reverts below 15% in Q2 FY27 as merchant export orders resume (Middle East disruption resolved per Jul 2026 concall), confirming the Q1 margin was a temporary mix artifact rather than a structural shift.
Lever 4 · Paying down debt — BUILDING. Alcop EV revenue share 4-5% currently, targeting 8-10% by end FY27; per-unit realization Rs 900+ per piece vs Rs 750 earlier; TATA AutoComp expanded from two initial parts to eight active RFQs across Curvv and Punch EV models. What proves it keeps working: Alcop Aluminum Growth — EV and Premium Realization. It stops working if Alcop quarterly revenue stays below Rs 22 Cr for two consecutive quarters, indicating the RFQ pipeline is not converting and the 29% CAGR assumption is unrealizable.
Sources: our stock research file (19 July 2026) · quarterly results through Jun 26 · the company’s own earnings calls. The story check is re-scored every results season; the record below never changes.
Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.
Menon Bearings Ltd reported ₹92.0 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +37.3% year on year. That is the 9th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 20 years it has compounded at 13.2% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹299 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹319 Cr.
FY26 revenue came in at ₹299 Cr (+23.0% on the year), capping 20 years at 13.2% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹92.0 Cr, +37.3% year on year — the 9th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.
Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +28.2% growth against the decade's 13.2% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.
Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +28.6% over the last 4 quarters against +22.1%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit +63.0% vs +38.3%/yr — accelerating.
FY26-Q4. revenue ₹87 Cr and profit ₹14 Cr as reported.
FY27-Q1. revenue ₹92 Cr and profit ₹14 Cr as reported.
Why-sources: our stock research file (19 July 2026) and the company’s own results for those quarters.
Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.
Menon Bearings Ltd's operating margin is 22.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, +3.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 7 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 19.0% to 24.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.
Why this happened. Three consecutive quarters of bi-metal-driven PAT acceleration are now on record — Dec 2025 OPM 19%, Mar 2026 25%, Jun 2026 22% — all without one-off support. The third shift is available but not fully running, providing surge capacity without incremental land or building capex. Bi-metal serves 28-30 OEM accounts (35% tractors, 25% HCV/LCV, 20% brakes, 15% transmission, 10% industrial) with no single customer above 15% of revenue, providing demand diversification against any single-sector softness.
The latest quarter's operating margin is 22.0%, +3.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 7 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 19.0%–24.0%.
Why the margin moved: operating margin went +2.7 pp year on year while gross margin went −4.0 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.
FY26-Q4. revenue ₹87 Cr and profit ₹14 Cr as reported.
FY27-Q1. revenue ₹92 Cr and profit ₹14 Cr as reported.
Why-sources: our stock research file (19 July 2026) and the company’s own results for those quarters.
Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.
Menon Bearings Ltd earned ₹14.0 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +75.0% year on year. It is the 3rd consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹38.0 Cr. The 20-year compound rate is 19.9%. That is 15.2% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹8.0 Cr.
Jun 26 profit was ₹14.0 Cr, +75.0% year on year — the 3rd consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹38.0 Cr (+52.0%), and the 20-year compound rate is 19.9%.
Why profit moved: revenue contributed +37.3% and the margin +3.0 pp — the quarter was margin-led: most of the profit growth came from keeping more of each sale.
Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +63.8% vs revenue +28.2%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra rupee of revenue drops more to the bottom line.
FY26-Q4. revenue ₹87 Cr and profit ₹14 Cr as reported.
FY27-Q1. revenue ₹92 Cr and profit ₹14 Cr as reported.
Why-sources: our stock research file (19 July 2026) and the company’s own results for those quarters.
Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.
Over the last 3 fiscal years 90% of Menon Bearings Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹23.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹38.0 Cr of profit. After ₹18.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹5.0 Cr was left as free cash.
FY26: operating cash of ₹23.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹38.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹5.0 Cr after ₹18.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 90% of profit.
Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.
Why conversion sits at 90%: the cash cycle tightened 86 days between FY07 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner.
Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 2.3× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.
Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).
Menon Bearings Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 144 days in FY26, down from 230 days in FY07. Capital spending ran ₹63.0 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹299 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹0.8 Cr, so roughly ₹118 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.
FY26: debtors at 111 days, inventory at 93 days — roughly 3.1 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 144 days, tighter than FY07's 230.
The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 93 days to sell; customers pay about 111 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 60 days — netting out to the 144-day cycle.
In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹299 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹0.8 Cr — so the 144-day loop keeps roughly ₹118 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.
On the investment side: capital spending of ₹63.0 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹28.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹0.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.
The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.
Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.⚠ unverified
Menon Bearings Ltd earns a ROCE of 26% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 12% in FY07. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +6.1 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 12.7% net margin on 1.12× asset turns.
FY26 ROCE is 26%, recovered from a FY07 trough of 12% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.
Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 12.7% net margin × 1.12× asset turns × 1.44× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 20.5% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.
The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 18.1% − 12.0% = a +6.1 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every rupee reinvested creates more than a rupee of value — the engine compounds.
Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.⚠ unverified
Menon Bearings Ltd carries total debt of ₹47.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹185 Cr as of Jun 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.25 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.21 in FY22 to 0.25 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.
Why this happened. Alcop operates at premium realization of Rs 900+ per piece vs competitor Rs 450-500/kg through critical component focus. The 65-70% utilization provides headroom for volume growth without major capex. EV contribution is now 4-5% and the TATA AutoComp relationship expansion to eight RFQs across two EV models is the best evidence of customer confidence in Menon's scale capability.
Jun 26: total debt of ₹47.0 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹185 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.25. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.21 (FY22) to 0.25 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.
Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.
Promoters cut 1.7 points of Menon Bearings Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes promoters to 68.4% of the company. Foreign institutions moved −0.4 points over the same window, to 0.1%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.
Why this happened. The Q1 FY27 brake margin outcome of 25% materially surprised the prior guidance range. Management attributed it to product-mix: the three-month Middle East geopolitical disruption eliminated low-margin merchant export orders, leaving only the higher-margin domestic and non-Middle East product mix. Management is explicitly shifting strategy toward two-wheeler and three-wheeler brake linings to sustain 20%+ margins vs the 12-14% merchant export baseline. If this mix shift is durable, the brakes division re-rates from a drag to a margin contributor.
The register over the last two years — Promoters: −1.7 points over 8 quarters to 68.4%; Foreign institutions: −0.4 points over 8 quarters to 0.1%; Domestic institutions: +0.4 points over 8 quarters to 0.4%.
🚨 Why the register moved: promoters drove it (−1.7 points) — distribution into the market’s bid.
Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.
Menon Bearings Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.
The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.
Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.
Menon Bearings Ltd trades at 29.3× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (89th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 25.4×, measured across 3.3 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.
Today's P/E of 29.3× is at the pricey end of its own range (89th percentile), against a long-run median of 25.4× measured over 3.3 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.
🚨 Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +53.5% against a +80.0% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.
The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +19.2%/yr price move, ~+10.4%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+8.8 pp from the multiple (expanding). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.
Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.
A quarterly PEG curve, which only the second data source carries, is not drawn on this page: its two data sources do not share enough overlapping reported history to be compared. A figure nobody could check is not used to price growth — the gap is a decision, not missing data.
What the price assumes This reading works the multiple backwards. It asks one question: what yearly rate of profit growth is a buyer at the market price already paying for? The number is the growth rate that makes eleven years of profit — six years growing, then five fading — add up to that day's market price, once each year is discounted at 11% a year.
At its price on 20 July 2026, Menon Bearings Ltd was priced for profit growth of about 14.6% a year. Profit itself has compounded 19.9% a year over the past 20 years. The market pays that at 29.3× P/E, the 89th percentile of its own 3-year range.
What the two numbers say together. The multiple is full against its own past, and the growth the price is paying for is below what this company has actually delivered. Both readings sit on the same earnings, so they are one reading rather than two.
How to hold this number: it is a reading of one day's price, taken on 20 July 2026, not a running figure. A higher price is paying for more growth and a lower price for less, so it moves whenever the price does, and this page does not restate it between measurements. Every other number on this page is read off the live quote.
Stage: Improving Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).
Menon Bearings Ltd reads as improving on its fundamental arc. Improving — profit growth bottomed 7 quarters ago at −19.3% and has held its recovery at +63.0%, ROCE lifting at 26.0%. The read is built from 8 quarters across 4 curves, on partial evidence.
Why it matters: a sustained climb off the trough is the setup this page is built to catch — the question moves to what you pay for it.
Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.
A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.
| 1yr | 3yr | 5yr | 10yr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +23.0% | +10.9% | — | — |
| Profit | +52.0% | +4.8% | — | — |
| EPS | +53.5% | +5.5% | — | — |
| Share price | +80.0% | +19.2% | +24.4% | +13.5% |
4-Factor Sector Score
79.0/100 — rank 1 of 1 in Auto Ancillaries - Bearings · 84% evidence confidence
Menon Bearings Ltd scores 79.0 out of 100 against the 1 companies it is compared with in Auto Ancillaries - Bearings, ranking 1. Confirmed research leader: earnings, capital efficiency and relative strength agree. Move to management, catalyst and risk diligence.
The four contributions add to the total exactly: 34.1 + 23.4 + 9 + 12.5 = 79. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.
What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.
Said versus delivered
What Menon Bearings Ltd's management promised, set against what actually arrived — 4 tracked promises on the record. Read straight from the company’s own earnings calls. A promise that slipped stays on this page after it is met.
Revenue Target Guidance Revision · 17 July 2026. In the Jan 2026 and May 2026 calls, management provided specific top-line targets of INR 350 crores and INR 360 crores respectively for FY27. However, in the latest Jul 2026 call, management explicitly stated a consolidated Q1 annualized run-rate of over 370 crores, stated the prior 360 crore figure was conservative, and strongly hinted performance would be even better by year-end, without formally committing to a revised full-year target.
Brake Segment Margin Guidance Deviation · 17 July 2026. Management guided for brake segment EBITDA margins of 12% in FY27 (Jan 2026 call) with an aspirational target of 18% for the following year. Sustained guidance of 12-14% was reiterated in the May 2026 call. However, in the latest Jul 2026 call, management reported an actual Q1 brake margin of 25%, citing a change in product mix as the driver, and signalled a new sustained target closer to 20%.
Capital Expenditure Guidance for Bi-Metal Division · 17 July 2026. In the Jan 2026 call, management outlined a total capex plan of INR 7 crores for the bi-metal division over the next two years. However, in the latest Jul 2026 call, this figure was materially revised upward to INR 9-10 crores for the current financial year alone.
Strategic Focus on Ex-Works Shipments Reversed · 17 July 2026. The Jan 2026 call described a high-priority strategic initiative to convert a majority of export sales to ex-works terms to de-risk from geopolitical shocks and reduce receivables, targeting 90-95% ex-works conversion. In the latest Jul 2026 call, management made no mention of this initiative and instead detailed plans to hire international representatives and expand merchant exports to Africa on delivery duty paid terms with advance payments.
Every quote above is taken word for word from the company’s own earnings calls.
| Company | Score | Price stage | Growth & earnings/35 | Capital efficiency/25 | Valuation/20 | Relative strength/20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Menon Bearings Ltdthis pageMENONBE | 79.0/100Favorable setup84% evidence | LEADER | 34.1/35 Revenue 28.6% · PAT 63% · OPM change 3 pp 95% evidence | 23.4/25 ROCE 25.5% · OPM 22% 95% evidence | 9.0/20 P/E 29.3× · PEG — 35% evidence | 12.5/20 RS sector 0% · RS bench 66.3% · 1Y 78.4%12 of 12 weeks ahead 100% evidence |
| Exact sum: 34.1 + 23.4 + 9 + 12.5 = 79 · Decision use: Confirmed research leader: earnings, capital efficiency and relative strength agree. Move to management, catalyst and risk diligence. | ||||||
Missing observations are not scored as bad. Their missing weight lowers confidence and pulls the final score toward neutral. PEG is not shown when the ratio cannot mean anything: the company must be making a profit, its price-to-earnings must be positive, and its three-year earnings growth must fall between 5% and 60%. Dividing a price multiple by a loss, or by growth measured off a tiny base, produces a number that looks precise and tells you nothing. Under relative strength, one mark per week shows the last 12 weeks: a mark is filled where the company led NIFTY 500 by 5% or more over the 13 weeks ending that week, which is the same test used everywhere on this site. Price stage places the company on the same six-step curve the sector itself is placed on — basing, turning, breaking out, leader, fading, asleep — read from how many weeks running it has led NIFTY 500 and whether that lead is widening or shrinking. It describes where the PRICE stands, not the earnings trajectory and not a recommendation, and it is left blank for a company whose weekly history is too short or too stale to read.
Frequently asked questions
What is Menon Bearings Ltd's share price today?
Menon Bearings Ltd trades at ₹230, +80.0% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹1,287 Cr. The stock sits at 94% of its 52-week range of ₹105–₹237, +51.5% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 15 weeks in. — as of 14 August 2026.
What were Menon Bearings Ltd's latest quarterly results?
Menon Bearings Ltd reported revenue of ₹92.0 Cr and net profit of ₹14.0 Cr for the Jun 26 quarter. Revenue rose 37.3% and profit rose 75.0% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹2.52. The operating margin was 22.0%, 3.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 14 August 2026.
What is Menon Bearings Ltd's revenue?
Menon Bearings Ltd reported revenue of ₹92.0 Cr in the Jun 26 quarter, +37.3% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹299 Cr (+23.0%). Over the last 20 years revenue compounded at 13.2% a year. — as of 14 August 2026.
What is Menon Bearings Ltd's profit?
Menon Bearings Ltd earned ₹14.0 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +75.0% year on year — the 3rd straight quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹38.0 Cr. The operating margin ran 22.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 14 August 2026.
What is Menon Bearings Ltd's market cap?
Menon Bearings Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹1,287 Cr at a share price of ₹230. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 14 August 2026.
What is Menon Bearings Ltd's P/E ratio?
Menon Bearings Ltd trades at a P/E of 29.3×, at the 89th percentile of its own 3-year range, against a long-run median of 25.4×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 14 August 2026.
Does Menon Bearings Ltd pay a dividend?
Yes — Menon Bearings Ltd's dividend payout was 29% of profit in FY26, and it recorded a payout in each of its last 7 reported fiscal years. This page holds the payout ratio, not a per-share amount. — as of 14 August 2026.
Is Menon Bearings Ltd overvalued?
On its own history, Menon Bearings Ltd looks expensive: its P/E of 29.3× sits at the 89th percentile of its 3-year range (long-run median 25.4×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 14 August 2026.
Is Menon Bearings Ltd growing?
Yes — Menon Bearings Ltd is growing: latest-quarter revenue +37.3% year on year, profit +75.0%, and the margin +3.0 pp at 22.0%. The 20-year compound rates are 13.2% (revenue) and 19.9% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 14 August 2026.
How is Menon Bearings Ltd performing?
Menon Bearings Ltd is in a confirmed uptrend, 15 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 37.3% and profit rose 75.0% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been ahead on a trailing-13-week view for 22 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 14 August 2026.
What stage is Menon Bearings Ltd in?
Improving — profit growth bottomed 7 quarters ago at −19.3% and has held its recovery at +63.0%, ROCE lifting at 26.0%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +28.6% latest, profit growth +63.0% latest, eps growth +61.3% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 14 August 2026.
Is Menon Bearings Ltd in an uptrend?
Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 15 of stage 2), trading +51.5% versus its 200-day average and at 94% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 14 August 2026.
Is Menon Bearings Ltd beating the market?
On recent form, yes — Menon Bearings Ltd has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 22 straight weeks, the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.5 years the stock moved +449% against the NIFTY 500's +284% — ahead of the index over the full window. — as of 14 August 2026.
Will Menon Bearings Ltd's share price go up?
This page publishes no price forecast for Menon Bearings Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹230, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 15 weeks in. Its P/E of 29.3× sits at the 89th percentile of its own 3-year range. — as of 14 August 2026.
Who owns Menon Bearings Ltd?
Promoters hold 68.4% of Menon Bearings Ltd, foreign institutions 0.1%, domestic institutions 0.4% and the public 31.0% (latest quarter). The biggest move on the register over the last two years: Promoters cut 1.7 points over 8 quarters. — as of 14 August 2026.
Does Menon Bearings Ltd have too much debt?
No — Menon Bearings Ltd's debt-to-equity is 0.25, and operating profit covers the interest bill 13×. FY26 borrowings were ₹47.0 Cr against equity of ₹186 Cr. The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed — as of 14 August 2026.
What is Menon Bearings Ltd's capex?
Menon Bearings Ltd spent ₹63.0 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹18.0 Cr, with ₹0.0 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 14 August 2026.
What is Menon Bearings Ltd's cash flow?
Menon Bearings Ltd generated ₹23.0 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹5.0 Cr of free cash flow after ₹18.0 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹38.0 Cr, so operating cash ran behind profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 14 August 2026.
Is Menon Bearings Ltd's profit real cash?
Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 90% of Menon Bearings Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. Though the latest year ran at 61% — the trend is the thing to watch. In FY26, operating cash was ₹23.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹38.0 Cr. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 14 August 2026.
Where is Menon Bearings Ltd in its business cycle?
Menon Bearings Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 22.0%, against a 7-year band of 19.0%–24.0%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 22.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 14 August 2026.
What growth does Menon Bearings Ltd's price assume?
At its price on 20 July 2026, Menon Bearings Ltd was priced for profit growth of about 14.6% a year. Profit itself has compounded 19.9% a year over the past 20 years. The figure reads the multiple backwards: the growth a buyer at that price was already paying for. — as of 14 August 2026.
What could break the Menon Bearings Ltd story?
The sharpest disagreement: the price moved +80.0% in a year while annual EPS moved +53.5% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 14 August 2026.
Is Menon Bearings Ltd a stock worth studying right now?
This is not investment advice. The machine read: Menon Bearings Ltd's price has outrun its earnings. +80.0% in a year against EPS +53.5% — the market is paying now for delivery later. The sharpest open question: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 14 August 2026.