Sector Alpha

Track where the smart money flows in Indian equities

DashboardWeekly UpdateUploadPipelinePE CyclesBrainAbout

Data updated weekly. Not financial advice.

Sector Alpha
  1. Home
  2. /Momentum
  3. /Steel - Tubes/Pipes
  4. /Goodluck India Ltd
MomentumDeep Value

Goodluck India Ltd: Stock Analysis & Fundamentals

Updated this week

Goodluck India Ltd (Steel - Tubes/Pipes) — fundamental analysis, earnings data, and key metrics. PE: 19.4. ROE: 13.6%. This stock is not currently in the Nifty 500 momentum outperformers list.

What's Happening

👔Promoter buying — stake up 0.7% this quarter
🌐FII stake decreased 0.6% this quarter
🏛️DII accumulation — stake up 1.4%

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. Defense Shells Business Commissioning
Q1 FY27MEDIUM
2. Value-Added Product Mix Expansion
OngoingHIGH
3. Bullet Train Project Execution
Q4 FY26HIGH

Key Risks

1. Defense Business Ramp-Up Delays
MEDIUM
2. Geopolitical Volatility Impacting Steel Sector
LOW

Key Numbers

Current Price
₹980
Dividend Yield
0.41%
Market Cap
3.3K Cr
Valuation
N/A

Why Are Goodluck India Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 earnings • Updated Feb 28, 2026

Defense Shells Business Commissioning

Expected: Q1 FY27MEDIUM confidence+₹900 Cr revenue

What: Production started in Q3 FY26, full contribution expected in Q1 FY27 with 4 lakh shells/year capacity

Impact: +₹900 Cr revenue

“Commencement of production at Goodluck Defence and Aerospace Limited is a major inflection point. The facility currently has an annual capacity of 1:50,000 shares and it is being augmented to 4 lakh shares per annum. - Ram Agarwal, CEO”

Value-Added Product Mix Expansion

Expected: OngoingHIGH confidence

What: Increasing value-added product mix from 60% to 65% driving margin expansion

“Right now it stands from 56 to 60%. And in the coming year we hope it should go from 60 to 65%. - M.C. Garg, Chairman”

Bullet Train Project Execution

Expected: Q4 FY26HIGH confidence

What: 90% completion of Ahmedabad-Mumbai bullet train order driving near-term revenue

“Government has given seven bullet trains as you all know that we have participated in the first bullet train from Ahmedabad to Mumbai and we have almost completed the 90% order. - Ram Agarwal, CEO”

What Are the Key Risks for Goodluck India Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

Defense Business Ramp-Up Delays

MEDIUM

Trigger: Production not scaling as planned

Impact: -500 bps margin impact

Management view: In Q3 it is not significant because only production has started. It has not started selling. So the contribution will come in this Q4 and the Q1 full contribution will come in the Q1 of next financial year. - M.C. Garg, Chairman

Monitor: Quarterly defense revenue

Geopolitical Volatility Impacting Steel Sector

LOW

Trigger: Escalating geopolitical tensions

Impact: -300 bps margin impact

Management view: The steel and engineering sector showed signs of strengthening in the later part of the quarter. Of course the whole of the year had been very volatile due to geopolitical tension which all of us must have been test due to the Trump Trump image which they played with the played havoc with the business we were part of it. - M.C. Garg, Chairman

Monitor: Steel sector volatility index

What Is Goodluck India Ltd's Management Saying?

Key quotes from recent conference calls

“The commencement of production at Goodluck Defence and Aerospace Limited is a major inflection point. The facility currently has an annual capacity of 1:50,000 shares and it is being augmented to 4 lakh shares per annum. — Ram Agarwal”
“EBITDA margin because of whatever you are seeing, it is from the standalone basically. So the EBITDA margins which we are operating, they, we expect they will also increase because we are doing continuously product as well as market market mixing. — M.C. Garg”
“Government has given seven bullet trains as you all know that we have participated in the first bullet train from Ahmedabad to Mumbai and we have almost completed the 90% order. — Ram Agarwal”
“Expected revenue is 300 crores. And with the augmented capacity the revenue will be almost 900 crores. And the EBITDA margins will be almost 30% right now. And we hope it will go in the range of 30 to 35% in the coming year as well. — Yog Rajani”

What Is Goodluck India Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY27

Implied PAT Growth

35%

OPM Guidance

30%

Capex Plan

₹400 Cr

Management Tone: CAUTIOUS

Key Milestones

• Defense business revenue of ₹900 cr

• Value-added product mix to 65%

• EBITDA margins 30-35%

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Feb 28, 2026.

Other Top Steel - Tubes/Pipes Stocks Beating Nifty 500

APL Apollo Tubes Ltd
Average • 11w streak
+16.9%
DEE Development Engineers Ltd
Average
+42.4%
← Back to Steel - Tubes/PipesDashboard

Frequently Asked Questions: Goodluck India Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were Goodluck India Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Goodluck India Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: +7.3%
  • Revenue Growth YoY: +10.1%
  • Operating Margin: 10.0%

What is Goodluck India Ltd's current PE ratio?

Goodluck India Ltd's current PE ratio is 19.4x.

  • Current PE: 19.4x
  • Market Cap: 3.3K Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 0.41%

What is Goodluck India Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

Goodluck India Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 2.3x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 2.3x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹422
  • Current Price: ₹980

Is Goodluck India Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

Goodluck India Ltd's fundamental strength based on key financial ratios

  • Return on Capital (ROCE): 15.0%

Is Goodluck India Ltd debt free?

Goodluck India Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹1,000 Cr

What is Goodluck India Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

Goodluck India Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROCE 16.0%
  • FY2024: ROCE 17.0%
  • FY2025: ROCE 15.0%

Is Goodluck India Ltd's cash flow positive?

Goodluck India Ltd's operating cash flow is positive (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹158 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹-315 Cr
  • CFO/PAT Ratio: 95% (strong cash conversion)

What is Goodluck India Ltd's dividend yield?

Goodluck India Ltd's current dividend yield is 0.41%.

  • Dividend Yield: 0.41%
  • Current Price: ₹980

Who holds Goodluck India Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

Goodluck India Ltd's shareholding pattern (Dec 2025)

  • Promoters: 56.4%
  • FII (Foreign): 1.5%
  • DII (Domestic): 4.4%
  • Public: 37.6%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in Goodluck India Ltd?

Goodluck India Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 56.4% (Dec 2025)
  • Previous Quarter: 56.4% (Sep 2025)
  • Change: 0.00% (stable)

Is Goodluck India Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

Goodluck India Ltd is an established outperformer with 1 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for Goodluck India Ltd?

Goodluck India Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Defense Shells Business Commissioning
  • Value-Added Product Mix Expansion
  • Bullet Train Project Execution

What are the key risks in Goodluck India Ltd?

Goodluck India Ltd has 2 key risks worth monitoring

  • Defense Business Ramp-Up Delays
  • Geopolitical Volatility Impacting Steel Sector

What did Goodluck India Ltd's management say in the latest earnings call?

In Q3 FY26, Goodluck India Ltd's management highlighted

  • "The commencement of production at Goodluck Defence and Aerospace Limited is a major inflection point. The facility currently has an annual capacity of..."
  • "EBITDA margin because of whatever you are seeing, it is from the standalone basically. So the EBITDA margins which we are operating, they, we expect t..."
  • "Government has given seven bullet trains as you all know that we have participated in the first bullet train from Ahmedabad to Mumbai and we have almo..."

What is Goodluck India Ltd's management guidance for growth?

Goodluck India Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY27

  • Implied PAT growth: 35%
  • OPM guidance: 30%
  • Capex plan: ₹400 Cr
  • Management tone: cautious
  • Milestone: Defense business revenue of ₹900 cr
  • Milestone: Value-added product mix to 65%

Is Goodluck India Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why Goodluck India Ltd may be worth studying

  • Cash flow is positive — CFO ₹158 Cr

What is the investment thesis for Goodluck India Ltd?

Goodluck India Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Growth catalyst: Defense Shells Business Commissioning

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Key risk: Defense Business Ramp-Up Delays

What is the future outlook for Goodluck India Ltd?

Goodluck India Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Key Catalyst: Defense Shells Business Commissioning
  • Key Risk: Defense Business Ramp-Up Delays

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.