Order Book Or Contract Wins
Expected: FY26HIGH confidence
What: Asset Base: 2,345 km
Impact: ₹436 Cr revenue contribution
“Revenue from Operations – R4 Assets (SPV3 NSPPL) 0 436... Round 4 (Ascent) 11 Assets”
National Highways Infra Trust: Why Is It Outperforming Nifty 500?
ActiveWeak12w Streak
In , National Highways Infra Trust (Infrastructure Investment Trusts) is outperforming Nifty 500 with +8.6% relative strength. Fundamentals: Weak. On a 12-week streak.
National Highways Infra Trust Key Facts
- PE Ratio
- 73.8x
- Market Cap
- ₹30,999 Cr
- PAT Growth YoY
- +51%
- Revenue Growth YoY
- +77%
- OPM
- 80.0%
- RS vs Nifty 500
- +8.6%
PE: Mid ExpansionRiding Wave
What's Happening
💰Trading 44% above estimated fair value — significant premium
Earnings Acceleration Triggers
1. Order Book Or Contract Wins
FY26HIGH
2. Geographical Expansion
Q4 FY26MEDIUM
3. Operating Leverage Inflection
Q3 FY26MEDIUM
Key Risks
1. Traffic diversion at AP/AS due to alternate road being made free by MoRTH
MEDIUM2. Traffic at ChK impacted by delayed operationalization of sand mining leases
LOW3. Traffic at BK and HHC impacted by ongoing 6-laning works between Satara to Belga
LOWSector-Specific Signals
Enterprise Value₹50,029 Cr
Total Kilometres Managed2,345 km0
Debt-EV Ratio0.42x
Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)2.05x-0.22x
Key Numbers
PAT Growth YoY
+51%
Inflection Up
Revenue YoY
+77%
Stable
Operating Margin
80.0%
-100 bps YoY
PE Ratio
73.8
Current Price
₹160
Dividend Yield
7.73%
Fundamental Score
26/100
Weak
3Y PAT CAGR
+68%
Market Cap
31.6K Cr
Valuation
Significantly Overvalued12-Week Performance
Weekly presence in the outperformers list. Green = beating Nifty 500 by 10%+ that week.
12 weeks agoThis week
Why Are National Highways Infra Trust's Earnings Accelerating?
Based on Q3 FY26 earnings • Updated Apr 18, 2026
Geographical Expansion
Expected: Q4 FY26MEDIUM confidence
What: Fundraise Timeline: March 2026
“Round 5 fundraise expected in March 2026... NHAI offered bundle 5 for monetization”
Operating Leverage Inflection
Expected: Q3 FY26MEDIUM confidence
What: EBITDA Margin: 85.1%
Impact: 540 bps expansion
“EBITDA 468 939... Total Revenue from Operations 587 1,104”
Distribution per unit of ₹2.74 vs ₹2.47 in previous quarter.
HIGH confidence
What: Distribution per unit of ₹2.74 vs ₹2.47 in previous quarter.
“Q2 FY 2026 INR 2.47... Q3 FY 2026 INR 2.74”
What Are the Key Risks for National Highways Infra Trust?
Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary
Traffic diversion at AP/AS due to alternate road being made free by MoRTH
MEDIUMTrigger: Government policy change regarding alternate routes.
Impact: PAT impact: 3% traffic decline at AP
Management view: NHAI introduced compensation mechanism to offset revenue loss from annual pass schemes.
Monitor: regulatory
Traffic at ChK impacted by delayed operationalization of sand mining leases
LOWTrigger: Post-monsoon delays in mining activities.
Management view: Expected to revive after next state elections.
Monitor: commodity
Traffic at BK and HHC impacted by ongoing 6-laning works between Satara to Belga
LOWTrigger: Capacity augmentation construction causing temporary traffic diversion.
Management view: Not explained on call
Monitor: logistics
What Is National Highways Infra Trust's Management Saying?
Key quotes from recent conference calls
“Q2 FY 2026 INR 2.47... Distributed INR 26.89 / unit across 17 distributions [Previous Distribution per Unit guidance]”
“Round 5 fundraise expected in March 2026... NHAI offered bundle 5 for monetization [Initiative: Round 5 Fundraise]”
“At AP / AS, traffic diversion due to the alternate road being made free by MoRTH [Risk (regulatory): MEDIUM]”
“At ChK, traffic is impacted by delayed operationalization of sand mining leases after monsoon [Risk (commodity): LOW]”
What Did National Highways Infra Trust Report This Quarter?
Headline numbers from the latest earnings call
Revenue
₹1,104 Cr
YoY +88.1%QoQ +10.2%
Why: Revenue growth was primarily driven by the full-quarter contribution of Round 4 assets (SPV3 NSPPL) which added ₹436 Cr.
Consolidated revenue nearly doubled year-on-year due to the successful integration of 11 new assets in Round 4.
EBITDA
₹939 Cr
YoY +100.6%Margin 85.1%
Why: EBITDA expansion followed the revenue jump from new asset monetization and efficient operations across the 26-project portfolio.
EBITDA margins improved significantly from 79.7% in Q3 FY25 to 85.1% in Q3 FY26.
PAT
₹247 Cr
YoY +437%QoQ +120.5%
Why: PAT surged due to higher operational income from the expanded asset base, partially offset by increased finance charges.
Profitability showed a massive jump as the trust benefited from the scale of 2,345 km under management.
Other Highlights
• Distribution per unit increased to ₹2.74 for Q3 FY26 from ₹1.99 in Q3 FY25.
• Enterprise Value reached ₹50,029 Cr as of December 2025.
• Current investor base expanded to approximately 705 investors.
What Sector Metrics Matter for National Highways Infra Trust?
Sub-sector-specific signals from the latest concall — each with management's stated reason for the change
Enterprise Value
₹50,029 Cr
QoQ +3.4%
Why: Reflects the valuation of the expanded 26-project portfolio.
Total Kilometres Managed
2,345 km
YoY 0QoQ 0
Why: Portfolio remained stable at 2,345 km following Round 4 acquisition.
Debt-EV Ratio
0.42x
QoQ -0.02x
Why: Low leverage maintained despite significant asset acquisitions.
Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)
2.05x
YoY -0.22xQoQ -0.11x
Why: Adequate coverage maintained despite higher finance charges from Round 4 debt.
Annualized Distribution Yield
8.05%
QoQ +25 bps
Why: Improved cash distributions relative to the March 2025 NAV.
NAV per Unit
₹145.8
QoQ +6.2%
Why: Reflects the indicative valuation as of December 2025.
Total Toll Plazas
41
QoQ 0
Why: Portfolio presence across 11 Indian states.
Finance Charges
₹417 Cr
YoY +53.3%QoQ -8.1%
Why: Increased debt levels to fund Round 4 asset acquisitions.
What Is National Highways Infra Trust's Management Guidance?
Forward-looking targets from management
Management Tone: BULLISH
How Fast Is National Highways Infra Trust Growing?
Revenue, profit and margin growth rates
| Metric | YoY | 3Y CAGR | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +77% | +80% | Stable |
| PAT (Net Profit) | +51% | +68% | Inflection Up |
| OPM | 80.0% | -100 bps | Volatile |
The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Apr 18, 2026.
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Frequently Asked Questions: National Highways Infra Trust
Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.
What were National Highways Infra Trust's latest quarterly results?
National Highways Infra Trust's latest quarterly results (Sep 2025) show
- PAT Growth YoY: +51.4% (turning around (inflection up))
- Revenue Growth YoY: +76.7%
- Operating Margin: 80.0% (volatile)
Is National Highways Infra Trust's profit growing or declining?
National Highways Infra Trust's profit is growing with an turning around (inflection up) trend.
- PAT Growth YoY: +51.4% (latest quarter)
- PAT Growth QoQ: -7.4% (sequential)
- 3-Year PAT CAGR: +68.5%
- Trend: Turning around (inflection up) — consistent growth pattern
What is National Highways Infra Trust's revenue growth trend?
National Highways Infra Trust's revenue growth trend is stable.
- Revenue Growth YoY: +76.7%
- Revenue Growth QoQ: -2.1% (sequential)
- 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +80.0%
How is National Highways Infra Trust's operating margin trending?
National Highways Infra Trust's operating margin is volatile.
- Current OPM: 80.0%
- OPM Change YoY: -1.0% basis points
- OPM Change QoQ: -1.0% basis points
What is National Highways Infra Trust's 3-year profit and revenue CAGR?
National Highways Infra Trust's long-term compounding rates
- 3-Year Profit CAGR: +68.5%
- 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +80.0%
Is National Highways Infra Trust's growth accelerating or decelerating?
National Highways Infra Trust's earnings growth is turning around (inflection up) with mixed signals on a sequential basis.
- YoY Acceleration: -37.7% bps
- Sequential Acceleration: +6.8% bps
What is National Highways Infra Trust's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance?
National Highways Infra Trust's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance
- TTM PAT: ₹420 Cr
- TTM PAT Growth: +52.2% YoY
- TTM Revenue: ₹3,000 Cr
- TTM Revenue Growth: +100.0% YoY
- TTM Operating Margin: 82.6%
Is National Highways Infra Trust overvalued or undervalued?
National Highways Infra Trust appears significantly overvalued based on our fair value analysis.
- Valuation Signal: Significantly Overvalued
- Current PE: 73.8x
- Price-to-Book: 1.4x
What is National Highways Infra Trust's current PE ratio?
National Highways Infra Trust's current PE ratio is 73.8x.
- Current PE: 73.8x
- Market Cap: 31.0K Cr
- Dividend Yield: 7.73%
How does National Highways Infra Trust's valuation compare to its history?
National Highways Infra Trust's current PE is 73.8x.
- Current PE: 73.8x
- Valuation Assessment: Significantly Overvalued
What is National Highways Infra Trust's price-to-book ratio?
National Highways Infra Trust's price-to-book ratio is 1.4x.
- Price-to-Book (P/B): 1.4x
- Book Value per Share: ₹111
- Current Price: ₹160
Is National Highways Infra Trust a fundamentally strong company?
National Highways Infra Trust is rated Weak with a fundamental score of 26/100. This score is calculated from objective financial metrics
- Revenue Growth YoY: +76.7% (10% weight)
- PAT Growth YoY: +51.4% (10% weight)
- PAT Growth QoQ: -7.4% (10% weight)
- Margins stable (10% weight)
Is National Highways Infra Trust debt free?
National Highways Infra Trust has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.
- Total Debt: ₹22,000 Cr
What is National Highways Infra Trust's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?
National Highways Infra Trust's return ratios over recent years
- FY2023: ROCE 4.0%
- FY2024: ROCE 3.0%
- FY2025: ROCE 3.0%
Is National Highways Infra Trust's cash flow positive?
National Highways Infra Trust's operating cash flow is positive (FY2025).
- Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹2,000 Cr
- Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹-16,000 Cr
- CFO/PAT Ratio: 646% (strong cash conversion)
What is National Highways Infra Trust's dividend yield?
National Highways Infra Trust's current dividend yield is 7.73%.
- Dividend Yield: 7.73%
- Current Price: ₹160
How long has National Highways Infra Trust been outperforming Nifty 500?
National Highways Infra Trust has been outperforming Nifty 500 for 12 consecutive weeks, indicating strong sustained outperformance.
Is National Highways Infra Trust a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?
National Highways Infra Trust is an established outperformer with 12 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.
What are the growth catalysts for National Highways Infra Trust?
National Highways Infra Trust has 4 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis
- Order Book Or Contract Wins — Full integration of Round 4 assets (Ascent) consisting of 11 projects.
- Geographical Expansion — Expected monetization of Bundle 5 assets from NHAI.
- Operating Leverage Inflection — Fixed cost absorption across a larger portfolio of 26 projects.
- Distribution per unit of ₹2.74 vs ₹2.47 in previous quarter. — Higher traffic growth in key corridors like KK and BM and full integration of Round 4 assets.
What are the key risks in National Highways Infra Trust?
National Highways Infra Trust has 3 key risks worth monitoring
- [MEDIUM] Traffic diversion at AP/AS due to alternate road being made free by MoRTH — Government policy change regarding alternate routes.
- [LOW] Traffic at ChK impacted by delayed operationalization of sand mining leases — Post-monsoon delays in mining activities.
- [LOW] Traffic at BK and HHC impacted by ongoing 6-laning works between Satara to Belga — Capacity augmentation construction causing temporary traffic diversion.
What did National Highways Infra Trust's management say in the latest earnings call?
In Q3 FY26, National Highways Infra Trust's management highlighted
- "Q2 FY 2026 INR 2.47... Distributed INR 26.89 / unit across 17 distributions [Previous Distribution per Unit guidance]"
- "Round 5 fundraise expected in March 2026... NHAI offered bundle 5 for monetization [Initiative: Round 5 Fundraise]"
- "At AP / AS, traffic diversion due to the alternate road being made free by MoRTH [Risk (regulatory): MEDIUM]"
What is National Highways Infra Trust's management guidance for growth?
National Highways Infra Trust's management has provided the following forward guidance
- Revenue outlook: Not Given
- Margin outlook: Not Given
- Capex plan: Not Given for Not Given
- Management tone: bullish
What sector-specific metrics matter most for National Highways Infra Trust?
National Highways Infra Trust's most important sub-sector-specific KPIs from the latest concall
- Enterprise Value: ₹50,029 Cr (QoQ +3.4%) — Reflects the valuation of the expanded 26-project portfolio.
- Total Kilometres Managed: 2,345 km (YoY 0) (QoQ 0) — Portfolio remained stable at 2,345 km following Round 4 acquisition.
- Debt-EV Ratio: 0.42x (QoQ -0.02x) — Low leverage maintained despite significant asset acquisitions.
- Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR): 2.05x (YoY -0.22x) (QoQ -0.11x) — Adequate coverage maintained despite higher finance charges from Round 4 debt.
- Annualized Distribution Yield: 8.05% (QoQ +25 bps) — Improved cash distributions relative to the March 2025 NAV.
- NAV per Unit: ₹145.8 (QoQ +6.2%) — Reflects the indicative valuation as of December 2025.
Is National Highways Infra Trust worth studying for long term investment?
Based on quantitative research signals, here is why National Highways Infra Trust may be worth studying
- Earnings growing at +51.4% YoY
- Cash flow is positive — CFO ₹2,000 Cr
What is the investment thesis for National Highways Infra Trust?
National Highways Infra Trust investment thesis summary:
Research Signals (Bull Case)
- Revenue growing at +76.7% YoY
- Growth catalyst: Order Book Or Contract Wins
Risk Factors (Bear Case)
- Appears significantly overvalued
- Key risk: Traffic diversion at AP/AS due to alternate road being made free by MoRTH
What is the future outlook for National Highways Infra Trust?
National Highways Infra Trust's forward outlook based on current data signals
- Earnings Trend: turning around (inflection up)
- Revenue Trend: stable
- Margin Trend: volatile
- Valuation: Significantly Overvalued
- Key Catalyst: Order Book Or Contract Wins
- Key Risk: Traffic diversion at AP/AS due to alternate road being made free by MoRTH
The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.