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National Aluminium Company Ltd: Why Is It Outperforming Nifty 500?

Active
RS +32.5%Average5w StreakRe-Entry

In Week of Mar 28, 2026, National Aluminium Company Ltd (Aluminium) is outperforming Nifty 500 with +32.5% relative strength. Fundamentals: Average. On a 5-week streak.

PE: Early ExpansionStrong Opportunity

What's Happening

💎PE falling while earnings hold — value emerging
💪Debt reduced 69% YoY — balance sheet strengthening
🌐FII stake increased 4.1% this quarter
🏛️DII reducing — stake down 3.8%
💰Trading 140% below estimated fair value — significant discount

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. 20% alumina production growth driving revenue
Q3 FY26HIGH
2. ₹142 cr power cost savings
9M FY26HIGH
3. Aluminum price recovery
9M FY26MEDIUM

Key Risks

1. Alumina price volatility
MEDIUM
2. Middle East export disruption
LOW

Key Numbers

PAT Growth YoY
+2%
Decelerating
Revenue YoY
+2%
Decelerating
Operating Margin
46.0%
-400 bps YoY
PE Ratio
11.1
Current Price
₹371
Dividend Yield
2.83%
Fundamental Score
53/100
Average
3Y PAT CAGR
+21%
Market Cap
68.1K Cr
Valuation
Significantly Undervalued

12-Week Performance

Weekly presence in the outperformers list. Green = beating Nifty 500 by 10%+ that week.

12 weeks agoThis week

Why Are National Aluminium Company Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 earnings • Updated Mar 7, 2026

20% alumina production growth driving revenue

Expected: Q3 FY26HIGH confidence+₹1600 Cr revenue

What: 20% YoY increase in alumina production contributing ₹1,600 cr to revenue growth

Impact: +₹1600 Cr revenue

“Volumes of production has increased by 20% in alumina and metal by 3.5% and sales of alumina has increased by 45% and metal by around 5%.”

₹142 cr power cost savings

Expected: 9M FY26HIGH confidence

What: Operational efficiencies reducing power and fuel costs

“We have saved in power and fuel, the power, which we imported last year was on the lower side. The saving in the power and fuel was around ₹142 crores.”

Aluminum price recovery

Expected: 9M FY26MEDIUM confidence+₹781 Cr revenue

What: Metal prices increased from $2,538 to $2,867 per tonne

Impact: +₹781 Cr revenue

“Metal prices have increased, which has given us a positive impact of ₹781 crores, that is increase from $2,538 to $2,867.”

What Are the Key Risks for National Aluminium Company Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

Alumina price volatility

MEDIUM

Trigger: Continued price pressure

Impact: -300 bps margin impact

Management view: Alumina prices fell sharply from $562 to $385 per tonne on average, but higher volumes and better efficiencies offset the headwind.

Monitor: Alumina price trends

Middle East export disruption

LOW

Trigger: Prolonged Middle East conflict

Impact: -100 bps margin impact

Management view: There is tension in Middle East, which is affecting our exports to Middle East. But this month, January, it was on slightly lower side.

Monitor: Export volumes to Middle East

What Is National Aluminium Company Ltd's Management Saying?

Key quotes from recent conference calls

“We have recorded best ever physical performance in Q3 and also up to Q3 — Brijendra Singh”
“Alumina prices fell sharply from $562 to $385 per tonne on average, but higher volumes and better efficiencies offset the headwind. — Management”
“Our target of around maybe 1,250,000 or 1,300,000 whatever we are targeting. — Brijendra Singh”
“As per plan, maybe 1,250,000 or 1,300,000 we'll be able to reach. — Brijendra Singh”

What Is National Aluminium Company Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY26

Management Tone: CAUTIOUS

Key Milestones

• 1.25-1.3 million tonnes alumina sales target for FY26

How Fast Is National Aluminium Company Ltd Growing?

Revenue, profit and margin growth rates

MetricYoY3Y CAGRTrend
Revenue+2%+6%Decelerating
PAT (Net Profit)+2%+21%Decelerating
OPM46.0%-400 bpsVolatile

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Mar 7, 2026.

Other Top Aluminium Stocks Beating Nifty 500

Hindalco Industries Ltd
Average • 12w streak
+10.9%
← Back to AluminiumDashboard

Frequently Asked Questions: National Aluminium Company Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were National Aluminium Company Ltd's latest quarterly results?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: +1.9% (decelerating)
  • Revenue Growth YoY: +1.5%
  • Operating Margin: 46.0% (volatile)

Is National Aluminium Company Ltd's profit growing or declining?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's profit is growing with an decelerating trend.

  • PAT Growth YoY: +1.9% (latest quarter)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: +11.5% (sequential)
  • 3-Year PAT CAGR: +21.3%
  • Trend: Decelerating — growth rate slowing from prior quarter

What is National Aluminium Company Ltd's revenue growth trend?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's revenue growth trend is decelerating.

  • Revenue Growth YoY: +1.5%
  • Revenue Growth QoQ: +10.2% (sequential)
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +5.8%

How is National Aluminium Company Ltd's operating margin trending?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's operating margin is volatile.

  • Current OPM: 46.0%
  • OPM Change YoY: -4.0% basis points
  • OPM Change QoQ: +1.0% basis points

What is National Aluminium Company Ltd's 3-year profit and revenue CAGR?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's long-term compounding rates

  • 3-Year Profit CAGR: +21.3%
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +5.8%

Is National Aluminium Company Ltd's growth accelerating or decelerating?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's earnings growth is decelerating with mixed signals on a sequential basis.

  • YoY Acceleration: -34.8% bps
  • Sequential Acceleration: -24.8% bps
  • Margin Warning: Operating margins are under pressure

What is National Aluminium Company Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance

  • TTM PAT: ₹6,000 Cr
  • TTM PAT Growth: +46.3% YoY
  • TTM Revenue: ₹18,000 Cr
  • TTM Revenue Growth: +19.9% YoY
  • TTM Operating Margin: 46.0%

Is National Aluminium Company Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

National Aluminium Company Ltd appears significantly undervalued based on our fair value analysis.

  • Valuation Signal: Significantly Undervalued
  • Current PE: 11.1x
  • Price-to-Book: 3.4x

What is National Aluminium Company Ltd's current PE ratio?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's current PE ratio is 11.1x.

  • Current PE: 11.1x
  • Market Cap: 68.1K Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 2.83%

How does National Aluminium Company Ltd's valuation compare to its history?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's current PE is 11.1x.

  • Current PE: 11.1x
  • Valuation Assessment: Significantly Undervalued

What is National Aluminium Company Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 3.4x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 3.4x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹108
  • Current Price: ₹371

Is National Aluminium Company Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

National Aluminium Company Ltd is rated Average with a fundamental score of 53.16/100. This score is calculated from objective financial metrics

  • Revenue Growth YoY: +1.5% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth YoY: +1.9% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: +11.5% (10% weight)
  • Margins stable (10% weight)

Is National Aluminium Company Ltd debt free?

National Aluminium Company Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹56 Cr

What is National Aluminium Company Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROCE 14.0%
  • FY2024: ROCE 17.0%
  • FY2025: ROCE 44.0%

Is National Aluminium Company Ltd's cash flow positive?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's operating cash flow is positive (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹6,000 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹2,000 Cr
  • CFO/PAT Ratio: 110% (strong cash conversion)

What is National Aluminium Company Ltd's dividend yield?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's current dividend yield is 2.83%.

  • Dividend Yield: 2.83%
  • Current Price: ₹371

Who holds National Aluminium Company Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's shareholding pattern (Dec 2025)

  • Promoters: 51.3%
  • FII (Foreign): 19.7%
  • DII (Domestic): 12.3%
  • Public: 16.7%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in National Aluminium Company Ltd?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 51.3% (Dec 2025)
  • Previous Quarter: 51.3% (Sep 2025)
  • Change: 0.00% (stable)

How long has National Aluminium Company Ltd been outperforming Nifty 500?

National Aluminium Company Ltd has been outperforming Nifty 500 for 5 consecutive weeks, indicating building momentum.

View full sector analysis →

Is National Aluminium Company Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

National Aluminium Company Ltd is a re-entry — it briefly dropped off the outperformance list but has now returned. Re-entries can signal renewed strength.

What are the growth catalysts for National Aluminium Company Ltd?

National Aluminium Company Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • 20% alumina production growth driving revenue
  • ₹142 cr power cost savings
  • Aluminum price recovery

What are the key risks in National Aluminium Company Ltd?

National Aluminium Company Ltd has 2 key risks worth monitoring

  • Alumina price volatility
  • Middle East export disruption

What did National Aluminium Company Ltd's management say in the latest earnings call?

In Q3 FY26, National Aluminium Company Ltd's management highlighted

  • "We have recorded best ever physical performance in Q3 and also up to Q3 — Brijendra Singh"
  • "Alumina prices fell sharply from $562 to $385 per tonne on average, but higher volumes and better efficiencies offset the headwind. — Management"
  • "Our target of around maybe 1,250,000 or 1,300,000 whatever we are targeting. — Brijendra Singh"

What is National Aluminium Company Ltd's management guidance for growth?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY26

  • Management tone: cautious
  • Milestone: 1.25-1.3 million tonnes alumina sales target for FY26

Is National Aluminium Company Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why National Aluminium Company Ltd may be worth studying

  • Earnings growing at +1.9% YoY
  • Valuation: appears significantly undervalued
  • Cash flow is positive — CFO ₹6,000 Cr

What is the investment thesis for National Aluminium Company Ltd?

National Aluminium Company Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Appears significantly undervalued
  • Growth catalyst: 20% alumina production growth driving revenue

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Earnings growth decelerating
  • Margins under pressure
  • Key risk: Alumina price volatility

What is the future outlook for National Aluminium Company Ltd?

National Aluminium Company Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Earnings Trend: decelerating
  • Revenue Trend: decelerating
  • Margin Trend: volatile
  • Valuation: Significantly Undervalued
  • Key Catalyst: 20% alumina production growth driving revenue
  • Key Risk: Alumina price volatility

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.