Sigma Advanced System Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Sigma Advanced System Ltd trades at ₹559, in a confirmed uptrend and 59 weeks into that stage. That is +93.5% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 88% of a 52-week range of ₹142 to ₹614. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 20 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 59 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹559 it trades +93.5% versus its 200-day average and sits at 88% of its 52-week range (₹142–₹614).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.3 years the stock moved +9,552% while the NIFTY 500 moved +274% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 20 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 34th percentile of its own range.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Sigma Advanced System Ltd trades at 35.7× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 34% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 49.3×, measured across 10.3 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 35.7× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 34% of the time, against a long-run median of 49.3× measured over 10.3 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +105.3%/yr price move, ~+129.0%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−23.7 pp from the multiple (compressing); over 10y, of the +45.5%/yr price move, ~+57.3%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−11.8 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Sigma Advanced System Ltd reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 7 quarters across 1 curve, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

4-Factor Sector Score

69.8/100 — rank 2 of 24 in Aerospace & Defence - Equipments · 93% evidence confidence

Sigma Advanced System Ltd scores 69.8 out of 100 against the 24 companies it is compared with in Aerospace & Defence - Equipments, ranking 2. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 24 + 14.1 + 11.7 + 20 = 69.8. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Sigma Advanced System Ltd reported ₹323 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +466.7% year on year. That is the 2nd straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 22.8% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹492 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹487 Cr.

Sigma Advanced System Ltd reported ₹323 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +466.7% year on year. That is the 2nd straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 22.8% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹492 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹487 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹492 Cr (null on the year), capping 10 years at 22.8% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹323 Cr, +466.7% year on year — the 2nd consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +567.5% growth against the decade's 22.8% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

→ Revenue grew — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 17.0% this quarter (−12.0 pp YoY).

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Sigma Advanced System Ltd's operating margin is 17.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −12.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −898.0% to 25.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

Sigma Advanced System Ltd's operating margin is 17.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −12.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −898.0% to 25.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 17.0%, −12.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −898.0%–25.0%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +19.3 pp year on year while gross margin went +35.1 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

→ Margins slipped — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit +1,322.2% in the latest quarter.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Sigma Advanced System Ltd earned ₹128 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +1,322.2% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹268 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 74.9%. That is 39.6% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹9.0 Cr. 6 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Sigma Advanced System Ltd earned ₹128 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +1,322.2% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹268 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 74.9%. That is 39.6% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹9.0 Cr. 6 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was ₹128 Cr, +1,322.2% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹268 Cr (null), and the 10-year compound rate is 74.9%.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: −69% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years −69% of Sigma Advanced System Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — a gap worth watching. In FY26 that was ₹−225 Cr of operating cash against ₹268 Cr of profit. After ₹148 Cr of capital spending, ₹−373 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹−225 Cr against reported profit of ₹268 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−373 Cr after ₹148 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is −69% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

🚨 Why conversion sits at −69%: the cash cycle tightened 74 days between FY19 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner. Less than 70% of profit arriving as cash is the thing to watch on this page.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 8.4× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: ₹176 Cr of building over 3 years.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Sigma Advanced System Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 271 days in FY26, down from 345 days in FY19. Capital spending ran ₹176 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹492 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹1.3 Cr, so roughly ₹365 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 270 days, inventory at 382 days — roughly 12.6 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 271 days, tighter than FY19's 345.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 382 days to sell; customers pay about 270 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 381 days — netting out to the 271-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹492 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹1.3 Cr — so the 271-day loop keeps roughly ₹365 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹176 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹21.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹9.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 61% and the ROIC − WACC spread is −4.7 pp.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Sigma Advanced System Ltd earns a ROCE of 61% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 0% in FY17. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −4.7 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 54.5% net margin on 0.46× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 61%, recovered from a FY17 trough of 0% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 54.5% net margin × 0.46× asset turns × 2.26× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 56.7% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 7.3% − 12.0% = a −4.7 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.71.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Sigma Advanced System Ltd carries total debt of ₹332 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹468 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.71. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.16 in FY22 to 0.71 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹332 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹468 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.71. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.16 (FY22) to 0.71 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: Promoters added 36.1 points over 8 quarters.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Promoters added 36.1 points of Sigma Advanced System Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes promoters to 71.2% of the company. Foreign institutions moved +0.1 points over the same window, to 0.2%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: +36.1 points over 8 quarters to 71.2%; Foreign institutions: +0.1 points over 8 quarters to 0.2%; Domestic institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 0.0%.

Why the register moved: promoters drove it (+36.1 points) — steady accumulation by institutions reading the same numbers this page reads.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Sigma Advanced System Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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