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Cummins India Ltd: Why Is It Outperforming Nifty 500?

Active
RS +25.0%Average12w Streak

In Week of May 10, 2026, Cummins India Ltd (Gensets) is outperforming Nifty 500 with +25.0% relative strength. Fundamentals: Average. On a 12-week streak.

Cummins India Ltd Key Facts

PE Ratio
64.3x
Market Cap
₹1,49,716 Cr
PAT Growth YoY
-13%
Revenue Growth YoY
-1%
OPM
21.0%
RS vs Nifty 500
+25.0%
PE: At PeakRiding Wave

What's Happening

📊PE near cycle highs — limited room for further expansion
💪Debt reduced 20% YoY — balance sheet strengthening
🌐FII stake increased 0.9% this quarter

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. Mandatory Industry Norms
FY27 onwards for serviceHIGH
2. Tam Expansion Changing Consumption
Next 3-4 yearsHIGH
3. Value Added Product Mix Shift
CurrentMEDIUM

Key Risks

1. Export demand is choppy and uncertain due to global geopolitical conditions and
MEDIUM
2. Copper prices have been inching upwards, impacting the alternator business and a
MEDIUM
3. Potential impact of EU FDA or similar international standards on direct exports
LOW

Sector-Specific Signals

Power Gen Domestic SalesINR 1,069 Cr-16%
Distribution Business SalesINR 939 Cr+26%
Industrial Business SalesINR 464 Cr-9%
High Horsepower ExportsINR 232 Cr+15%

Key Numbers

PAT Growth YoY
-13%
Stable
Revenue YoY
-1%
Inflection Down
Operating Margin
21.0%
+200 bps YoY
PE Ratio
64.3
Current Price
₹5,401
Dividend Yield
0.95%
Fundamental Score
43/100
Average
3Y PAT CAGR
+29%
Market Cap
1.5L Cr
Valuation
Slightly Undervalued

12-Week Performance

Weekly presence in the outperformers list. Green = beating Nifty 500 by 10%+ that week.

12 weeks agoThis week

Why Are Cummins India Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 earnings • Updated Apr 18, 2026

Mandatory Industry Norms

Expected: FY27 onwards for serviceHIGH confidence

What: CPCB IV+ transition: Full shift as of July 2024

“CPCB IV+ gensets are technologically far more advanced than what CPCB II were. All engines are electronic. It will likely come '27 onwards.”

Tam Expansion Changing Consumption

Expected: Next 3-4 yearsHIGH confidence

What: Data Center Pipeline: 25% of Power Gen revenue

“So, for the next 3 to 4 years, we do anticipate positive movement in the data center segment in India.”

Value Added Product Mix Shift

Expected: CurrentMEDIUM confidence

What: Gross Margin: 38%

Impact: 300 bps YoY expansion

“Umesh, on the gross margin, you're right, it is definitely at historic highs. And I did explain there is product mix playing there.”

Gross Margin at 38%

HIGH confidence

What: Gross Margin at 38%

“Umesh, on the gross margin, you're right, it is definitely at historic highs. And I did explain there is product mix playing there.”

FY27 Domestic Growth guidance raised

HIGH confidence

What: Not Given → double-digit growth

“For the domestic growth, I can say that for financial year '27, we will target double-digit growth.”

What Are the Key Risks for Cummins India Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

Export demand is choppy and uncertain due to global geopolitical conditions and

MEDIUM

Trigger: Unstable economic activity in key markets like Europe and Africa due to external pressures.

Management view: Focusing on domestic growth where confidence is higher.

Monitor: geopolitical

Copper prices have been inching upwards, impacting the alternator business and a

MEDIUM

Trigger: Inflationary pressures in key commodities like copper (INR 1,320 per kg).

Management view: Attempting to pass costs to the market with a delay while managing end-customer inflation.

Monitor: commodity

Potential impact of EU FDA or similar international standards on direct exports

LOW

Trigger: Ongoing evaluation of new regulatory impacts on business opportunities.

Management view: Currently evaluating if it could lead to higher business opportunities.

Monitor: regulatory

What Is Cummins India Ltd's Management Saying?

Key quotes from recent conference calls

“Regarding the sales outlook for the full year 2025-'26, we expect to have double-digit revenue growth over the previous fiscal year. [Previous Full Year Revenue Growth guidance]”
“Our belief is that BEV will become a part of this solution. When that will happen, unlikely to, I'm not able to predict. [Initiative: Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS)]”
“Exports is another matter altogether where there are a lot of moving pieces, geopolitical conditions not stable, a lot of economic activity impacted. [Risk (geopolitical): MEDIUM]”
“The alternator business does get hugely impacted by copper, and copper has been inching upwards. Recent numbers are around INR1,320 per kg. [Risk (commodity): MEDIUM]”

What Did Cummins India Ltd Report This Quarter?

Headline numbers from the latest earnings call

Revenue

INR 3,006 crores

YoY -1%QoQ -4%

Why: Revenue was impacted by a lack of data center project execution in Q3 compared to the previous quarter and a decline in Power Gen domestic sales.

Domestic sales saw a slight 2% decline while exports grew marginally by 2% YoY.

Other Highlights

• Gross margins reached a 20-quarter high of approximately 38%.

• Distribution business sales grew 26% YoY to INR 939 crores.

• Onetime management cost true-up of roughly INR 50 crores impacted expenses.

What Sector Metrics Matter for Cummins India Ltd?

Sub-sector-specific signals from the latest concall — each with management's stated reason for the change

Power Gen Domestic Sales

INR 1,069 Cr

YoY -16%QoQ -20%

Why: Absence of lumpy data center project execution that occurred in the previous quarter.

Distribution Business Sales

INR 939 Cr

YoY +26%QoQ +18%

Why: Increased asset base and focus on servicing customers in power gen, railways, and defense.

Industrial Business Sales

INR 464 Cr

YoY -9%QoQ +20%

Why: Slowdown in road construction and delayed monsoons impacting excavator sales.

High Horsepower Exports

INR 232 Cr

YoY +15%QoQ -17%

Why: Quarterly volatility and inventory destocking in end markets.

Low Horsepower Exports

INR 186 Cr

YoY -14%QoQ -15%

Why: General softening in export markets and inventory correction.

Data Center % of Power Gen

25%

QoQ -15%

Why: Lumpy nature of project execution; Q2 saw 40% contribution due to specific site clearances.

Construction Segment Revenue

INR 129 Cr

QoQ +6.6%

Why: Road construction pace was slower than the previous year.

Rail Segment Revenue

INR 104 Cr

QoQ -13.3%

Why: Tender-based business nature leads to quarterly fluctuations despite a positive outlook.

Gross Margin Percentage

38%

YoY +300 bps

Why: Product mix and onetime supplier benefits.

Copper Price (Associate Co)

INR 1,320 per kg

Why: Global commodity price inflation.

What Is Cummins India Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY 2025-26

Revenue Outlook

double-digit revenue growth

Volume

REAFFIRMED

Management Tone: BULLISH

Guidance Changes

RAISED

FY27 Domestic Growth: Not Given → double-digit growth

How Fast Is Cummins India Ltd Growing?

Revenue, profit and margin growth rates

MetricYoY3Y CAGRTrend
Revenue-1%+19%Inflection Down
PAT (Net Profit)-13%+29%Stable
OPM21.0%+200 bpsExpanding

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Apr 18, 2026.

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Frequently Asked Questions: Cummins India Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were Cummins India Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Cummins India Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: -12.9% (stable)
  • Revenue Growth YoY: -1.3%
  • Operating Margin: 21.0% (expanding)

Is Cummins India Ltd's profit growing or declining?

Cummins India Ltd's profit is declining with an stable trend.

  • PAT Growth YoY: -12.9% (latest quarter)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: -21.9% (sequential)
  • 3-Year PAT CAGR: +28.9%
  • Trend: Stable — consistent growth pattern

What is Cummins India Ltd's revenue growth trend?

Cummins India Ltd's revenue growth trend is inflecting downward.

  • Revenue Growth YoY: -1.3%
  • Revenue Growth QoQ: -3.6% (sequential)
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +19.0%

How is Cummins India Ltd's operating margin trending?

Cummins India Ltd's operating margin is expanding.

  • Current OPM: 21.0%
  • OPM Change YoY: +2.0% basis points
  • OPM Change QoQ: -1.0% basis points

What is Cummins India Ltd's 3-year profit and revenue CAGR?

Cummins India Ltd's long-term compounding rates

  • 3-Year Profit CAGR: +28.9%
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +19.0%

Is Cummins India Ltd's growth accelerating or decelerating?

Cummins India Ltd's earnings growth is stable with weakening on a sequential basis.

  • YoY Acceleration: -51.4% bps
  • Sequential Acceleration: -24.9% bps
  • Note: YoY and QoQ trends are diverging — worth monitoring

What is Cummins India Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance?

Cummins India Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance

  • TTM PAT: ₹2,000 Cr
  • TTM PAT Growth: +11.6% YoY
  • TTM Revenue: ₹12,000 Cr
  • TTM Revenue Growth: +13.3% YoY
  • TTM Operating Margin: 21.3%

Is Cummins India Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

Cummins India Ltd appears slightly undervalued based on our fair value analysis.

  • Valuation Signal: Slightly Undervalued
  • Current PE: 64.3x
  • Price-to-Book: 18.9x

What is Cummins India Ltd's current PE ratio?

Cummins India Ltd's current PE ratio is 64.3x.

  • Current PE: 64.3x
  • Market Cap: 1.5 Lakh Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 0.95%

How does Cummins India Ltd's valuation compare to its history?

Cummins India Ltd's current PE is 64.3x.

  • Current PE: 64.3x
  • Valuation Assessment: Slightly Undervalued

What is Cummins India Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

Cummins India Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 18.9x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 18.9x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹285
  • Current Price: ₹5401

Is Cummins India Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

Cummins India Ltd is rated Average with a fundamental score of 43/100. This score is calculated from objective financial metrics

  • Revenue Growth YoY: -1.3% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth YoY: -12.9% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: -21.9% (10% weight)
  • Margins expanding (10% weight)

Is Cummins India Ltd debt free?

Cummins India Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹24 Cr

What is Cummins India Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

Cummins India Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROCE 27.0%
  • FY2024: ROCE 35.0%
  • FY2025: ROCE 36.0%

Is Cummins India Ltd's cash flow positive?

Cummins India Ltd's operating cash flow is positive (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹2,000 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹1,000 Cr
  • CFO/PAT Ratio: 84% (strong cash conversion)

What is Cummins India Ltd's dividend yield?

Cummins India Ltd's current dividend yield is 0.95%.

  • Dividend Yield: 0.95%
  • Current Price: ₹5401

Who holds Cummins India Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

Cummins India Ltd's shareholding pattern (Mar 2026)

  • Promoters: 51.0%
  • FII (Foreign): 20.8%
  • DII (Domestic): 19.4%
  • Public: 8.7%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in Cummins India Ltd?

Cummins India Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 51.0% (Mar 2026)
  • Previous Quarter: 51.0% (Dec 2025)
  • Change: 0.00% (stable)

How long has Cummins India Ltd been outperforming Nifty 500?

Cummins India Ltd has been outperforming Nifty 500 for 12 consecutive weeks, indicating strong sustained outperformance.

Is Cummins India Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

Cummins India Ltd is an established outperformer with 12 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for Cummins India Ltd?

Cummins India Ltd has 5 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Mandatory Industry Norms — Technologically advanced products will drive higher distribution and service revenue once warranties expire.
  • Tam Expansion Changing Consumption — Government tax incentives and hyperscaler announcements are expected to accelerate the data center market in India.
  • Value Added Product Mix Shift — Internal efforts to improve material costs and a favorable product mix are driving record margins.
  • Gross Margin at 38% — Driven by favorable product mix, material cost reduction, and onetime supplier benefits.

What are the key risks in Cummins India Ltd?

Cummins India Ltd has 3 key risks worth monitoring

  • [MEDIUM] Export demand is choppy and uncertain due to global geopolitical conditions and — Unstable economic activity in key markets like Europe and Africa due to external pressures.
  • [MEDIUM] Copper prices have been inching upwards, impacting the alternator business and a — Inflationary pressures in key commodities like copper (INR 1,320 per kg).
  • [LOW] Potential impact of EU FDA or similar international standards on direct exports — Ongoing evaluation of new regulatory impacts on business opportunities.

What did Cummins India Ltd's management say in the latest earnings call?

In Q3 FY26, Cummins India Ltd's management highlighted

  • "Regarding the sales outlook for the full year 2025-'26, we expect to have double-digit revenue growth over the previous fiscal year. [Previous Full Y..."
  • "Our belief is that BEV will become a part of this solution. When that will happen, unlikely to, I'm not able to predict. [Initiative: Battery Energy ..."
  • "Exports is another matter altogether where there are a lot of moving pieces, geopolitical conditions not stable, a lot of economic activity impacted. ..."

What is Cummins India Ltd's management guidance for growth?

Cummins India Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY 2025-26

  • Revenue outlook: double-digit revenue growth
  • Margin outlook: Not Given
  • Management tone: bullish
  • Milestone: [RAISED] FY27 Domestic Growth: Not Given → double-digit growth

What sector-specific metrics matter most for Cummins India Ltd?

Cummins India Ltd's most important sub-sector-specific KPIs from the latest concall

  • Power Gen Domestic Sales: INR 1,069 Cr (YoY -16%) (QoQ -20%) — Absence of lumpy data center project execution that occurred in the previous quarter.
  • Distribution Business Sales: INR 939 Cr (YoY +26%) (QoQ +18%) — Increased asset base and focus on servicing customers in power gen, railways, and defense.
  • Industrial Business Sales: INR 464 Cr (YoY -9%) (QoQ +20%) — Slowdown in road construction and delayed monsoons impacting excavator sales.
  • High Horsepower Exports: INR 232 Cr (YoY +15%) (QoQ -17%) — Quarterly volatility and inventory destocking in end markets.
  • Low Horsepower Exports: INR 186 Cr (YoY -14%) (QoQ -15%) — General softening in export markets and inventory correction.
  • Data Center % of Power Gen: 25% (QoQ -15%) — Lumpy nature of project execution; Q2 saw 40% contribution due to specific site clearances.

Is Cummins India Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why Cummins India Ltd may be worth studying

  • Operating margins are expanding — OPM at 21.0%
  • Valuation: appears slightly undervalued
  • Cash flow is positive — CFO ₹2,000 Cr

What is the investment thesis for Cummins India Ltd?

Cummins India Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Margins expanding
  • Growth catalyst: Mandatory Industry Norms

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Key risk: Export demand is choppy and uncertain due to global geopolitical conditions and

What is the future outlook for Cummins India Ltd?

Cummins India Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Earnings Trend: stable
  • Revenue Trend: inflecting downward
  • Margin Trend: expanding
  • Valuation: Slightly Undervalued
  • Key Catalyst: Mandatory Industry Norms
  • Key Risk: Export demand is choppy and uncertain due to global geopolitical conditions and

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.