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Cummins India Ltd: Why Is It Outperforming Nifty 500?

Active
RS +18.2%Weak6w Streak

In Week of Mar 28, 2026, Cummins India Ltd (Gensets) is outperforming Nifty 500 with +18.2% relative strength. Fundamentals: Weak. On a 6-week streak.

PE: At PeakStrong Opportunity

What's Happening

💎PE falling while earnings hold — value emerging
💪Debt reduced 20% YoY — balance sheet strengthening
🌐FII stake increased 0.9% this quarter
💰Trading 1% above estimated fair value

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. Distribution business growth momentum
H2 FY26MEDIUM
2. Material cost improvement initiatives
OngoingMEDIUM
3. Double-digit revenue growth guidance
FY26MEDIUM

Key Risks

1. Powergen segment weakness
MEDIUM
2. Non-repeatable margin benefits
MEDIUM

Key Numbers

PAT Growth YoY
-13%
Stable
Revenue YoY
-1%
Inflection Down
Operating Margin
21.0%
+200 bps YoY
PE Ratio
55.1
Current Price
₹4,632
Dividend Yield
1.11%
Fundamental Score
37/100
Weak
3Y PAT CAGR
+29%
Market Cap
1.3L Cr
Valuation
Fairly Valued

12-Week Performance

Weekly presence in the outperformers list. Green = beating Nifty 500 by 10%+ that week.

12 weeks agoThis week

Why Are Cummins India Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 (December 2025) earnings • Updated Feb 22, 2026

Distribution business growth momentum

Expected: H2 FY26MEDIUM confidence+₹200 Cr revenue

What: 26% YoY growth in distribution business offsetting powergen weakness

Impact: +₹200 Cr revenue

“Distribution business sales at 939 crores, 26% increase over last year and 18% increase over last quarter”

Material cost improvement initiatives

Expected: OngoingMEDIUM confidence

What: Sustained cost reduction efforts reversing margin compression

“Our improvement actions to improve the material cost they will continue”

Double-digit revenue growth guidance

Expected: FY26MEDIUM confidence+₹300 Cr revenue

What: Management's confidence in recovery across all key segments

Impact: +₹300 Cr revenue

“We expect to have double-digit revenue growth over the previous fiscal year which is supported by demand across all our key segments”

What Are the Key Risks for Cummins India Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

Powergen segment weakness

MEDIUM

Trigger: Powergen demand doesn't recover in H2 FY26

Impact: -200 bps margin impact

Management view: Power gen domestic sales are at 1,69 crores. There's a 16% decrease over last year and a 20% decrease over last quarter.

Monitor: Powergen segment growth rate

Non-repeatable margin benefits

MEDIUM

Trigger: Supplier benefits expire without replacement

Impact: -150 bps margin impact

Management view: The one-time supplier benefits the mix that is not repeatable

Monitor: Gross margin trend

What Is Cummins India Ltd's Management Saying?

Key quotes from recent conference calls

“Distribution business sales are at 939 crores, 26% increase over last year and 18% increase over last quarter. — Management”
“There is there is our own effort to improve material cost and also some one-time supplier benefits. So the one-time supplier benefits the mix that is not repeatable. Uh our bene our improvement actions to improve the material cost they will continue. — Management”
“Regarding the sales outlook for the financial year 26, we expect to have double-digit revenue growth over the previous fiscal year which is supported by demand across all our key segments. — Management”

What Is Cummins India Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY26

Revenue Growth Target

10%

Implied PAT Growth

8%

Management Tone: CAUTIOUS

Key Milestones

• Double-digit revenue growth in FY26

How Fast Is Cummins India Ltd Growing?

Revenue, profit and margin growth rates

MetricYoY3Y CAGRTrend
Revenue-1%+19%Inflection Down
PAT (Net Profit)-13%+29%Stable
OPM21.0%+200 bpsExpanding

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Feb 22, 2026.

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Average • 12w streak
+17.7%
← Back to GensetsDashboard

Frequently Asked Questions: Cummins India Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were Cummins India Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Cummins India Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: -12.9% (stable)
  • Revenue Growth YoY: -1.3%
  • Operating Margin: 21.0% (expanding)

Is Cummins India Ltd's profit growing or declining?

Cummins India Ltd's profit is declining with an stable trend.

  • PAT Growth YoY: -12.9% (latest quarter)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: -21.9% (sequential)
  • 3-Year PAT CAGR: +28.9%
  • Trend: Stable — consistent growth pattern

What is Cummins India Ltd's revenue growth trend?

Cummins India Ltd's revenue growth trend is inflecting downward.

  • Revenue Growth YoY: -1.3%
  • Revenue Growth QoQ: -3.6% (sequential)
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +19.0%

How is Cummins India Ltd's operating margin trending?

Cummins India Ltd's operating margin is expanding.

  • Current OPM: 21.0%
  • OPM Change YoY: +2.0% basis points
  • OPM Change QoQ: -1.0% basis points

What is Cummins India Ltd's 3-year profit and revenue CAGR?

Cummins India Ltd's long-term compounding rates

  • 3-Year Profit CAGR: +28.9%
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +19.0%

Is Cummins India Ltd's growth accelerating or decelerating?

Cummins India Ltd's earnings growth is stable with weakening on a sequential basis.

  • YoY Acceleration: -51.4% bps
  • Sequential Acceleration: -24.9% bps
  • Note: YoY and QoQ trends are diverging — worth monitoring

What is Cummins India Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance?

Cummins India Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance

  • TTM PAT: ₹2,000 Cr
  • TTM PAT Growth: +11.6% YoY
  • TTM Revenue: ₹12,000 Cr
  • TTM Revenue Growth: +13.3% YoY
  • TTM Operating Margin: 21.3%

Is Cummins India Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

Cummins India Ltd appears fairly valued based on our fair value analysis.

  • Valuation Signal: Fairly Valued
  • Current PE: 55.1x
  • Price-to-Book: 16.3x

What is Cummins India Ltd's current PE ratio?

Cummins India Ltd's current PE ratio is 55.1x.

  • Current PE: 55.1x
  • Market Cap: 1.3 Lakh Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 1.11%

How does Cummins India Ltd's valuation compare to its history?

Cummins India Ltd's current PE is 55.1x.

  • Current PE: 55.1x
  • Valuation Assessment: Fairly Valued

What is Cummins India Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

Cummins India Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 16.3x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 16.3x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹285
  • Current Price: ₹4632

Is Cummins India Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

Cummins India Ltd is rated Weak with a fundamental score of 37/100. This score is calculated from objective financial metrics

  • Revenue Growth YoY: -1.3% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth YoY: -12.9% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: -21.9% (10% weight)
  • Margins expanding (10% weight)

Is Cummins India Ltd debt free?

Cummins India Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹24 Cr

What is Cummins India Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

Cummins India Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROCE 27.0%
  • FY2024: ROCE 35.0%
  • FY2025: ROCE 36.0%

Is Cummins India Ltd's cash flow positive?

Cummins India Ltd's operating cash flow is positive (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹2,000 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹1,000 Cr
  • CFO/PAT Ratio: 84% (strong cash conversion)

What is Cummins India Ltd's dividend yield?

Cummins India Ltd's current dividend yield is 1.11%.

  • Dividend Yield: 1.11%
  • Current Price: ₹4632

Who holds Cummins India Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

Cummins India Ltd's shareholding pattern (Dec 2025)

  • Promoters: 51.0%
  • FII (Foreign): 19.4%
  • DII (Domestic): 20.6%
  • Public: 8.9%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in Cummins India Ltd?

Cummins India Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 51.0% (Dec 2025)
  • Previous Quarter: 51.0% (Sep 2025)
  • Change: 0.00% (stable)

How long has Cummins India Ltd been outperforming Nifty 500?

Cummins India Ltd has been outperforming Nifty 500 for 6 consecutive weeks, indicating building momentum.

Is Cummins India Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

Cummins India Ltd is an established outperformer with 6 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for Cummins India Ltd?

Cummins India Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Distribution business growth momentum
  • Material cost improvement initiatives
  • Double-digit revenue growth guidance

What are the key risks in Cummins India Ltd?

Cummins India Ltd has 2 key risks worth monitoring

  • Powergen segment weakness
  • Non-repeatable margin benefits

What did Cummins India Ltd's management say in the latest earnings call?

In Q3 FY26 (December 2025), Cummins India Ltd's management highlighted

  • "Distribution business sales are at 939 crores, 26% increase over last year and 18% increase over last quarter. — Management"
  • "There is there is our own effort to improve material cost and also some one-time supplier benefits. So the one-time supplier benefits the mix that is ..."
  • "Regarding the sales outlook for the financial year 26, we expect to have double-digit revenue growth over the previous fiscal year which is supported ..."

What is Cummins India Ltd's management guidance for growth?

Cummins India Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY26

  • Revenue growth target: 10%
  • Implied PAT growth: 8%
  • Management tone: cautious
  • Milestone: Double-digit revenue growth in FY26

Is Cummins India Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why Cummins India Ltd may be worth studying

  • Operating margins are expanding — OPM at 21.0%
  • Cash flow is positive — CFO ₹2,000 Cr

What is the investment thesis for Cummins India Ltd?

Cummins India Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Margins expanding
  • Growth catalyst: Distribution business growth momentum

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Key risk: Powergen segment weakness

What is the future outlook for Cummins India Ltd?

Cummins India Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Earnings Trend: stable
  • Revenue Trend: inflecting downward
  • Margin Trend: expanding
  • Valuation: Fairly Valued
  • Key Catalyst: Distribution business growth momentum
  • Key Risk: Powergen segment weakness

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.