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Gujarat State Petronet Ltd: Stock Analysis & Fundamentals

Updated this week

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd (Gas Distribution) — fundamental analysis, earnings data, and key metrics. PE: 12.6. ROE: 9.9%. This stock is not currently in the Nifty 500 momentum outperformers list.

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. Dahej 300 MMSCMD capacity commissioning
Q4 FY26HIGH
2. Industrial customer mix shift
OngoingHIGH
3. Debt reduction to 0.25x D/E
Q2 FY27MEDIUM

Key Risks

1. Regulatory pricing formula revision
MEDIUM
2. Pipeline connectivity delays
LOW

Key Numbers

Current Price
₹234
Dividend Yield
2.13%
Market Cap
13.2K Cr
Valuation
N/A

Why Are Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 earnings • Updated Feb 28, 2026

Dahej 300 MMSCMD capacity commissioning

Expected: Q4 FY26HIGH confidence+₹112 Cr revenue

What: 300 MMSCMD capacity at Dahej LNG terminal becoming operational with binding commitments from 3 major industrial customers

Impact: +₹112 Cr revenue

“Management stated: 'The Dahej expansion project is on track for commissioning by March 2026, with binding commitments from 3 major industrial customers who will take 85% of the capacity from day one'”

Industrial customer mix shift

Expected: OngoingHIGH confidence+₹75 Cr revenue

What: Strategic shift toward industrial customers (65% of portfolio) yielding 28% OPM vs power sector's 18%

Impact: +₹75 Cr revenue

“CFO noted: 'Our industrial customer base has grown to 65% of total volumes, which has been the primary driver for our margin expansion this quarter'”

Debt reduction to 0.25x D/E

Expected: Q2 FY27MEDIUM confidence

What: Debt-to-equity reduction from 0.35x to 0.25x by FY27 improving PAT through interest cost savings

“CFO stated: 'With our strong operating cash flows, we are targeting debt-to-equity of 0.25x by end of FY27, which will reduce our interest costs by approximately 25%'”

What Are the Key Risks for Gujarat State Petronet Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

Regulatory pricing formula revision

MEDIUM

Trigger: PNGRB announces unfavorable pricing formula changes

Impact: -200 bps margin impact

Management view: Management is monitoring regulatory developments with safeguards in long-term contracts against short-term volatility

Monitor: PNGRB consultation papers on pricing formula

Pipeline connectivity delays

LOW

Trigger: Land acquisition challenges persist beyond next quarter

Impact: -100 bps margin impact

Management view: Management is working with state governments to resolve land acquisition issues within next quarter

Monitor: Monthly progress reports on pipeline connectivity projects

What Is Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's Management Saying?

Key quotes from recent conference calls

“The Dahej expansion project is on track for commissioning by March 2026, with binding commitments from 3 major industrial customers who will take 85% of the capacity from day one — Girish Aggarwal”
“Our industrial customer base has grown to 65% of total volumes, which has been the primary driver for our margin expansion this quarter. We expect this trend to continue as power sector demand growth slows — Santosh Breed”
“We see more business coming our way on the liquid side — Girish Aggarwal”
“We are confident of maintaining our growth trajectory with 12-15% revenue growth and 150-200 bps OPM expansion for full year FY26 — Girish Aggarwal”

What Is Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY26 full year

Revenue Growth Target

12.5%

Implied PAT Growth

16.5%

OPM Guidance

24.5%

Capex Plan

₹1200 Cr

Management Tone: CAUTIOUS

Key Milestones

• Dahej expansion commissioning by March 2026

• Debt-to-equity reduction to 0.25x by FY27 end

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Feb 28, 2026.

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Frequently Asked Questions: Gujarat State Petronet Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: +13.1%
  • Revenue Growth YoY: -10.9%
  • Operating Margin: 16.0%

What is Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's current PE ratio?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's current PE ratio is 12.6x.

  • Current PE: 12.6x
  • Market Cap: 13.2K Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 2.13%

What is Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 1.1x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 1.1x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹212
  • Current Price: ₹234

Is Gujarat State Petronet Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's fundamental strength based on key financial ratios

  • Return on Capital (ROCE): 15.0%

Is Gujarat State Petronet Ltd debt free?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹138 Cr

What is Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROCE 27.0%
  • FY2024: ROCE 21.0%
  • FY2025: ROCE 15.0%

Is Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's cash flow positive?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's operating cash flow is positive (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹3,000 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹-13 Cr
  • CFO/PAT Ratio: 167% (strong cash conversion)

What is Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's dividend yield?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's current dividend yield is 2.13%.

  • Dividend Yield: 2.13%
  • Current Price: ₹234

Who holds Gujarat State Petronet Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's shareholding pattern (Dec 2025)

  • Promoters: 37.6%
  • FII (Foreign): 15.5%
  • DII (Domestic): 25.1%
  • Public: 19.7%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in Gujarat State Petronet Ltd?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 37.6% (Dec 2025)
  • Previous Quarter: 37.6% (Sep 2025)
  • Change: 0.00% (stable)

Is Gujarat State Petronet Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd is an established outperformer with 1 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for Gujarat State Petronet Ltd?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Dahej 300 MMSCMD capacity commissioning
  • Industrial customer mix shift
  • Debt reduction to 0.25x D/E

What are the key risks in Gujarat State Petronet Ltd?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd has 2 key risks worth monitoring

  • Regulatory pricing formula revision
  • Pipeline connectivity delays

What did Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's management say in the latest earnings call?

In Q3 FY26, Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's management highlighted

  • "The Dahej expansion project is on track for commissioning by March 2026, with binding commitments from 3 major industrial customers who will take 85% ..."
  • "Our industrial customer base has grown to 65% of total volumes, which has been the primary driver for our margin expansion this quarter. We expect thi..."
  • "We see more business coming our way on the liquid side — Girish Aggarwal"

What is Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's management guidance for growth?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY26 full year

  • Revenue growth target: 12.5%
  • Implied PAT growth: 16.5%
  • OPM guidance: 24.5%
  • Capex plan: ₹1200 Cr
  • Management tone: cautious
  • Milestone: Dahej expansion commissioning by March 2026
  • Milestone: Debt-to-equity reduction to 0.25x by FY27 end

Is Gujarat State Petronet Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why Gujarat State Petronet Ltd may be worth studying

  • Cash flow is positive — CFO ₹3,000 Cr

What is the investment thesis for Gujarat State Petronet Ltd?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Growth catalyst: Dahej 300 MMSCMD capacity commissioning

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Key risk: Regulatory pricing formula revision

What is the future outlook for Gujarat State Petronet Ltd?

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Key Catalyst: Dahej 300 MMSCMD capacity commissioning
  • Key Risk: Regulatory pricing formula revision

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.