₹1,500 Cr FY26 revenue target confirmation
Expected: Q4 FY26 (Mar 2026)HIGH confidence+₹180 Cr revenue
Q4 must deliver 48% QoQ growth to hit management's full-year target
Impact: +₹180 Cr revenue
“Management commentary on internal revenue target”
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd: Stock Analysis & Fundamentals
Updated this weekChamanlal Setia Exports Ltd (FMCG - Rice) — fundamental analysis, earnings data, and key metrics. PE: 10.7. ROE: 14.2%. This stock is not currently in the Nifty 500 momentum outperformers list.
What's Happening
💪Debt reduced 46% YoY — balance sheet strengthening
🌐FII stake increased 1.4% this quarter
Re-Rating Catalysts
1. ₹1,500 Cr FY26 revenue target confirmation
Q4 FY26 (Mar 2026)HIGH
2. Margin expansion to 12.5%+
Q1 FY27 (Jun 2026)MEDIUM
3. ROE sustainment above 18%
Q4 FY26 (Mar 2026)MEDIUM
Value Trap Risks
1. Geopolitical demand transience
HIGH2. Rupee appreciation pressure
MEDIUM3. Structural margin ceiling
LOWKey Numbers
Current Price
₹217
Dividend Yield
1.15%
Market Cap
1.1K Cr
Valuation
N/AIs Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd a Turnaround Opportunity?
Deep value thesis based on recent earnings • Updated Mar 21, 2026
Premium pricing power and operational leverage from export volume surge driving structural margin recovery in a net cash position.
Verdict
TURNAROUND_IN_PROGRESS
What Could Re-Rate Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd?
Re-rating catalysts over the next 2-4 quarters • Updated Mar 21, 2026
Margin expansion to 12.5%+
Expected: Q1 FY27 (Jun 2026)MEDIUM confidence
Strategic kharif inventory buildup at lower paddy prices to boost H1 margins
“MD's comments on inventory management during kharif harvest”
ROE sustainment above 18%
Expected: Q4 FY26 (Mar 2026)MEDIUM confidence
Current 18.22% ROE could trigger institutional buying if maintained
“Nine-month ROE of 18.22% vs industry avg 12-15%”
Debt elimination
Expected: Q2 FY27 (Sep 2026)HIGH confidence
Net debt-to-equity of -0.34 with ₹254 Cr cash enables full deleveraging
“Current cash balance of ₹254.32 Cr vs net debt”
What Are the Value Trap Risks for Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd?
Risks that could prevent re-rating or deepen the value trap
Geopolitical demand transience
HIGHDe-escalation in Middle East conflicts
Impact: -200 bps margin impact
Management view: Management acknowledges temporary nature but cites brand expansion in new markets as offset
Monitor: Export volumes to Israel-Palestine region
Rupee appreciation pressure
MEDIUMINR appreciates >1% QoQ
Impact: -100 bps margin impact
Management view: Premium pricing power in basmati buffers currency moves
Monitor: USD/INR exchange rate
Structural margin ceiling
LOWMargins plateau below 12.5%
Impact: -50 bps margin impact
Management view: Cost optimization initiatives to unlock additional margin potential
Monitor: Quarterly EBITDA margin trajectory
What Is Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's Management Guidance?
Forward-looking targets from management for FY26-FY27
Revenue Growth Target
15%
Implied PAT Growth
20%
OPM Guidance
12.5%
Management Tone: CAUTIOUS
Key Milestones
• ₹1,500 Cr revenue by Mar 2026
• Margin expansion to 12.5%+ by Jun 2026
The above analysis is AI-generated from publicly available financial data. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Mar 21, 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions: Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd
Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.
What were Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's latest quarterly results?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show
- PAT Growth YoY: +24.1%
- Revenue Growth YoY: +9.1%
- Operating Margin: 12.0%
What is Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's current PE ratio?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's current PE ratio is 10.7x.
- Current PE: 10.7x
- Market Cap: 1.1K Cr
- Dividend Yield: 1.15%
What is Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's price-to-book ratio?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 1.4x.
- Price-to-Book (P/B): 1.4x
- Book Value per Share: ₹153
- Current Price: ₹217
Is Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd a fundamentally strong company?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's fundamental strength based on key financial ratios
- Return on Capital (ROCE): 17.0%
Is Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd debt free?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.
- Total Debt: ₹67 Cr
What is Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's return ratios over recent years
- FY2023: ROCE 26.0%
- FY2024: ROCE 20.0%
- FY2025: ROCE 17.0%
Is Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's cash flow positive?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's operating cash flow is positive (FY2025).
- Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹73 Cr
- Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹62 Cr
- CFO/PAT Ratio: 71% (adequate)
What is Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's dividend yield?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's current dividend yield is 1.15%.
- Dividend Yield: 1.15%
- Current Price: ₹217
Who holds Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's shareholding pattern (Dec 2025)
- Promoters: 74.0%
- FII (Foreign): 3.1%
- DII (Domestic): 1.6%
- Public: 21.3%
Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.
- Current Promoter Holding: 74.0% (Dec 2025)
- Previous Quarter: 74.0% (Sep 2025)
- Change: 0.00% (stable)
Is Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd is an established outperformer with 1 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.
What are the growth catalysts for Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd has 4 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis
- ₹1,500 Cr FY26 revenue target confirmation
- Margin expansion to 12.5%+
- ROE sustainment above 18%
- Debt elimination
What are the key risks in Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd has 3 key risks worth monitoring
- Geopolitical demand transience
- Rupee appreciation pressure
- Structural margin ceiling
What is Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's management guidance for growth?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY26-FY27
- Revenue growth target: 15%
- Implied PAT growth: 20%
- OPM guidance: 12.5%
- Management tone: cautious
- Milestone: ₹1,500 Cr revenue by Mar 2026
- Milestone: Margin expansion to 12.5%+ by Jun 2026
Is Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd worth studying for long term investment?
Based on quantitative research signals, here is why Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd may be worth studying
- Cash flow is positive — CFO ₹73 Cr
What is the investment thesis for Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd investment thesis summary:
Research Signals (Bull Case)
- Growth catalyst: ₹1,500 Cr FY26 revenue target confirmation
Risk Factors (Bear Case)
- Key risk: Geopolitical demand transience
What is the future outlook for Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd?
Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals
- Key Catalyst: ₹1,500 Cr FY26 revenue target confirmation
- Key Risk: Geopolitical demand transience
The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.