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MomentumDeep Value

Paisalo Digital Ltd: Why Is It Outperforming Nifty 500?

Active
Average

In Week of Mar 28, 2026, Paisalo Digital Ltd (Finance - Capital Markets - Brokers) is outperforming Nifty 500 with +9.9% relative strength. Fundamentals: Average.

PB: Near TroughStrong Opportunity

What's Happening

💎PB falling while earnings hold — value emerging
👔Promoter stake down 11.2% this quarter
🌐FII stake increased 10.2% this quarter
🏛️DII reducing — stake down 5.0%
🏦GNPA at 0.81% — stable asset quality
💰Trading 10% above estimated fair value

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. Operating leverage from distribution expansion
Q4 FY26HIGH
2. Asset quality normalization post-pruning
Q4 FY26MEDIUM
3. AUM growth acceleration in MSME segment
OngoingHIGH

Key Risks

1. ROA compression from rapid scale-up
MEDIUM
2. Concentration risk in small-ticket lending
MEDIUM

Key Numbers

PAT Growth YoY
+7%
Stable
Revenue YoY
+18%
Inflection Up
GNPA
0.81%
Insufficient Data
Price to Book
1.9
Current Price
₹34
Dividend Yield
0.29%
Fundamental Score
42/100
Average
3Y PAT CAGR
+36%
Market Cap
3.1K Cr
Valuation
Fairly Valued

12-Week Performance

Weekly presence in the outperformers list. Green = beating Nifty 500 by 10%+ that week.

12 weeks agoThis week

Why Are Paisalo Digital Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 earnings • Updated Mar 21, 2026

Operating leverage from distribution expansion

Expected: Q4 FY26HIGH confidence+₹100 Cr revenue

What: 492 new touch points added with 410bps YoY cost-to-income improvement driving 29% sequential PAT growth

Impact: +₹100 Cr revenue

“As our distribution footprint continues to expand and our technology led backbone matures, we expect operating leverage to progressively strengthen, supporting higher profitability and consistent long-term value creation - MD”

Asset quality normalization post-pruning

Expected: Q4 FY26MEDIUM confidence+₹50 Cr revenue

What: GNPA/NNPA declining sequentially with credit cost reduced to 0.21% from 0.72% YoY

Impact: +₹50 Cr revenue

“The company is continuing to augment its debt management infrastructure as a mitigation measure. We should start to normalise by Q4 FY25 - MD”

AUM growth acceleration in MSME segment

Expected: OngoingHIGH confidence+₹200 Cr revenue

What: 16% YoY AUM growth with ₹10,574 mn disbursements in Q3 driving 19% NII growth

Impact: +₹200 Cr revenue

“Disbursements during the quarter stood at ₹10,574 mn underscoring sustained underlying credit demand and consistent sourcing momentum - CFO”

What Are the Key Risks for Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

ROA compression from rapid scale-up

MEDIUM

Trigger: Continued rapid AUM growth without margin improvement

Impact: -20 bps margin impact

Management view: Delivered annualized RoA of 4.49% as against 14.53% and 5.16% in Q3 FY 2024 - MD (acknowledging YoY decline)

Monitor: ROA trajectory

Concentration risk in small-ticket lending

MEDIUM

Trigger: Competitive pressures in unsecured lending segment

Impact: -30 bps margin impact

Management view: Greater flexibility to scale the loan book responsibly particularly in small ticket and MSME lending where pricing discipline and cost efficiency are critical - MD

Monitor: NIM stability

What Is Paisalo Digital Ltd's Management Saying?

Key quotes from recent conference calls

“Total income for the quarter increased to ₹2,410 mn registering 18% year-on-year growth while net interest income rose to ₹1,453 mn up 19% year-on-year. This performance reflects a combination of portfolio scale up stable yields and improving funding efficiency — CFO”
“As of Q3 FY 2025, GNPA and NNPA stood at 1.10% and 0.84%, respectively. Paisalo had written off bad debts totalling ₹384 mn and recovered old written-off bad debts worth ₹268 mn. The company is continuing to augment its debt management infrastructure as a mitigation measure. We should start to normalise by Q4 FY25 — MD”
“We added a record 1.41 mn customers to its franchise. Total Customer franchise stood at 7.93 mn. We delivered the highest ever AUM as at Q3 FY 2025 was up 12.31% at ₹47,488 mn as against Q3 FY 2024 at ₹42,280 mn — MD”
“Our capital adequacy ratio stands at robust 38.3% underscoring a strong loss absorption capacity and reinforcing our ability to pursue growth opportunities while remaining decided to potential market volatility — CFO”

What Is Paisalo Digital Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY26-27

Revenue Growth Target

18%

Implied PAT Growth

20%

Credit Growth Target

16%

Management Tone: CAUTIOUS

Key Milestones

• Asset quality normalization by Q4 FY26

• Continued AUM growth at 15-18%

How Fast Is Paisalo Digital Ltd Growing?

Revenue, profit and margin growth rates

MetricYoY3Y CAGRTrend
Revenue+18%+25%Inflection Up
PAT (Net Profit)+7%+36%Stable

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Mar 21, 2026.

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Frequently Asked Questions: Paisalo Digital Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were Paisalo Digital Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: +6.5% (stable)
  • Revenue Growth YoY: +17.6%
  • Net Interest Margin: 39.00%
  • Gross NPA: 0.81%

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd's profit growing or declining?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's profit is growing with an stable trend.

  • PAT Growth YoY: +6.5% (latest quarter)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: +26.9% (sequential)
  • 3-Year PAT CAGR: +36.3%
  • Trend: Stable — consistent growth pattern

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's revenue growth trend?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's revenue growth trend is turning around (inflection up).

  • Revenue Growth YoY: +17.6%
  • Revenue Growth QoQ: +7.1% (sequential)
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +24.9%

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's asset quality trend?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's asset quality trend is insufficient_data.

  • Gross NPA: 0.81%
  • Net NPA: 0.65%
  • GNPA Change YoY: -0.2% bps

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's 3-year profit and revenue CAGR?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's long-term compounding rates

  • 3-Year Profit CAGR: +36.3%
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +24.9%

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd's growth accelerating or decelerating?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's earnings growth is stable with strong momentum on a sequential basis.

  • YoY Acceleration: +2.5% bps
  • Sequential Acceleration: +16.3% bps

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance

  • TTM PAT: ₹211 Cr
  • TTM PAT Growth: +11.1% YoY
  • TTM Revenue: ₹877 Cr
  • TTM Revenue Growth: +13.4% YoY

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

Paisalo Digital Ltd appears fairly valued based on our fair value analysis.

  • Valuation Signal: Fairly Valued
  • Current PE: 14.8x
  • Price-to-Book: 1.9x

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's current PE ratio?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's current PE ratio is 14.8x.

  • Current PE: 14.8x
  • Market Cap: 3.1K Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 0.29%

How does Paisalo Digital Ltd's valuation compare to its history?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's current PE is 14.8x.

  • Current PE: 14.8x
  • Valuation Assessment: Fairly Valued

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 1.9x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 1.9x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹18
  • Current Price: ₹34

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

Paisalo Digital Ltd is rated Average with a fundamental score of 41.58/100. This score is calculated from objective financial metrics

  • PAT Growth YoY: +6.5% (20% weight)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: +26.9% (15% weight)
  • Earnings trend: stable (5% weight)

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd debt free?

Paisalo Digital Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹4,000 Cr

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROE 9.0%
  • FY2024: ROE 14.0%
  • FY2025: ROE 14.0%

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd's cash flow positive?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's operating cash flow is negative (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹-842 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹-855 Cr
  • CFO/PAT Ratio: -421% (weak cash conversion)

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's dividend yield?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's current dividend yield is 0.29%.

  • Dividend Yield: 0.29%
  • Current Price: ₹34

Who holds Paisalo Digital Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's shareholding pattern (Dec 2025)

  • Promoters: 41.8%
  • FII (Foreign): 20.1%
  • DII (Domestic): 7.7%
  • Public: 30.5%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's promoter holding has increased recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 41.8% (Dec 2025)
  • Previous Quarter: 41.2% (Sep 2025)
  • Change: +0.59% (increasing — positive signal)

How long has Paisalo Digital Ltd been outperforming Nifty 500?

Paisalo Digital Ltd has been outperforming Nifty 500 for 2 consecutive weeks, indicating early-stage outperformance.

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

Paisalo Digital Ltd is an established outperformer with 2 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Paisalo Digital Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Operating leverage from distribution expansion
  • Asset quality normalization post-pruning
  • AUM growth acceleration in MSME segment

What are the key risks in Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Paisalo Digital Ltd has 2 key risks worth monitoring

  • ROA compression from rapid scale-up
  • Concentration risk in small-ticket lending

What did Paisalo Digital Ltd's management say in the latest earnings call?

In Q3 FY26, Paisalo Digital Ltd's management highlighted

  • "Total income for the quarter increased to ₹2,410 mn registering 18% year-on-year growth while net interest income rose to ₹1,453 mn up 19% year-on-yea..."
  • "As of Q3 FY 2025, GNPA and NNPA stood at 1.10% and 0.84%, respectively. Paisalo had written off bad debts totalling ₹384 mn and recovered old written-..."
  • "We added a record 1.41 mn customers to its franchise. Total Customer franchise stood at 7.93 mn. We delivered the highest ever AUM as at Q3 FY 2025 wa..."

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's management guidance for growth?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY26-27

  • Revenue growth target: 18%
  • Implied PAT growth: 20%
  • Credit growth target: 16%
  • Management tone: cautious
  • Milestone: Asset quality normalization by Q4 FY26
  • Milestone: Continued AUM growth at 15-18%

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why Paisalo Digital Ltd may be worth studying

  • Earnings growing at +6.5% YoY

What is the investment thesis for Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Paisalo Digital Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Revenue growing at +17.6% YoY
  • Growth catalyst: Operating leverage from distribution expansion

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Key risk: ROA compression from rapid scale-up

What is the future outlook for Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Earnings Trend: stable
  • Revenue Trend: turning around (inflection up)
  • Valuation: Fairly Valued
  • Key Catalyst: Operating leverage from distribution expansion
  • Key Risk: ROA compression from rapid scale-up

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.