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MomentumDeep Value

Paisalo Digital Ltd: Why Is It Outperforming Nifty 500?

Active
RS +39.2%Weak8w Streak

In Week of May 10, 2026, Paisalo Digital Ltd (Finance - Capital Markets - Brokers) is outperforming Nifty 500 with +39.2% relative strength. Fundamentals: Weak. On a 8-week streak.

Paisalo Digital Ltd Key Facts

PE Ratio
21.3x
Market Cap
₹4,503 Cr
PAT Growth YoY
+7%
Revenue Growth YoY
+18%
RS vs Nifty 500
+39.2%
PB: Near TroughStrong Opportunity

What's Happening

💎PB falling while earnings hold — value emerging
👔Promoter stake down 11.2% this quarter
🌐FII stake increased 10.2% this quarter
🏛️DII reducing — stake down 5.0%
🏦GNPA at 0.81% — stable asset quality
💰Trading 40% above estimated fair value — significant premium

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. Operating Leverage Inflection
Medium termHIGH
2. New Product Or Brand Launch
Current fiscalMEDIUM
3. Interest Cost Reduction Deleveraging
OngoingMEDIUM

Key Risks

1. New RBI policy on co-lending requires additional compliance and system integrati
MEDIUM
2. State-level stress in Bihar due to ongoing elections and surrounding geographies
LOW

Sector-Specific Signals

Total Assets Under Management₹5,508.2 Cr+16%
Gross NPA Ratio0.83%-27 bps
Net NPA Ratio0.66%-18 bps
Net Interest Margin6.0%

Key Numbers

PAT Growth YoY
+7%
Stable
Revenue YoY
+18%
Inflection Up
GNPA
0.81%
Insufficient Data
Price to Book
2.7
Current Price
₹50
Dividend Yield
0.20%
Fundamental Score
40/100
Weak
3Y PAT CAGR
+36%
Market Cap
4.5K Cr
Valuation
Significantly Overvalued

12-Week Performance

Weekly presence in the outperformers list. Green = beating Nifty 500 by 10%+ that week.

12 weeks agoThis week

Why Are Paisalo Digital Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 earnings • Updated Apr 18, 2026

Operating Leverage Inflection

Expected: Medium termHIGH confidence

What: PAT growth vs Opex: 29% sequential PAT growth

“As we scale volumes, this AI-backed infrastructure will reduce operating costs, enhance consistency across geographies, and sustain our profitable franchise growth.”

New Product Or Brand Launch

Expected: Current fiscalMEDIUM confidence

What: Product count: 5 new products

“we have also doubled our product offering for the last 3 years on a year-on-year basis and we are going to be closing this year again by doubling our product suite by adding about five new products.”

Interest Cost Reduction Deleveraging

Expected: OngoingMEDIUM confidence

What: Cost of Borrowing: 10.3%

Impact: 92 bps reduction YoY

“During Q3 FY26, overall cost of borrowing for Q3 FY26 declined to 10.3%, representing a 92-basis point reduction year-on-year.”

Geographical Expansion

Expected: OngoingMEDIUM confidence

What: Touchpoints: 4,872

“we have doubled our geographical expansion over the last 3 years on a year-on-year basis... each state is contributing less than 20% on the overall level.”

Asset Quality Improvement

Expected: OngoingLOW confidence

What: Gross NPA: 0.83%

Impact: 27 bps improvement YoY

“Gross NPA and net NPA improved year-on-year by 27 bps and 18 bps, respectively to well-contained levels of 0.83% and 0.66%.”

Cost of borrowing at 10.3% vs 10.5% guidance.

HIGH confidence

What: Cost of borrowing at 10.3% vs 10.5% guidance.

“During Q3 FY26, this strategy was further reinforced with the successful raising of INR 1,885 million at a cost of 8.5%... overall cost of borrowing for Q3 FY26 declined to 10.3%.”

What Are the Key Risks for Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

New RBI policy on co-lending requires additional compliance and system integrati

MEDIUM

Trigger: RBI guidelines require separate loan accounts (e.g., 80:20) and mirror accounts instead of a single account.

Management view: Working on tech integration and compliance to meet regulatory norms for back-to-back disbursements.

Monitor: regulatory

State-level stress in Bihar due to ongoing elections and surrounding geographies

LOW

Trigger: Elections often create a 'wind of air' that pushes borrowers to delay repayments.

Management view: Additional provisioning taken as a conservative measure; expecting normalization in upcoming quarters.

Monitor: commodity

What Is Paisalo Digital Ltd's Management Saying?

Key quotes from recent conference calls

“So, from a NIM point of view, we have guided a 6.5% NIM for the full year. As it is visible in H1 itself, we have maintained it at 6.5%. [Previous Net Interest Margin (NIM) guidance]”
“For the credit cost, we continue to maintain the same guidance that we have always maintained that on a long-term range guidance, we are going to be at sub 2% and sub 1%. [Previous Credit Cost guidance]”
“Starting with customer acquisition, we are transitioning from a predominantly physical sourcing to AI-led acquisition engine. [Initiative: AI-led Acquisition Engine]”
“So although we had guided that the new SBI-MSME co-lending partnership shall start from quarter 4, we are still in the process of integrating our systems... hopefully we should be able to start it in quarter 1. [Initiative: SBI-MSME Co-lending Partnership]”

What Did Paisalo Digital Ltd Report This Quarter?

Headline numbers from the latest earnings call

Revenue

₹1,453 million

YoY +19%QoQ +15.1%

Why: Growth was driven by a combination of portfolio scale-up, stable yields, and improving funding efficiency.

Net Interest Income (NII) growth outpaced total income growth due to lower borrowing costs.

EBITDA

₹888 million

Why: Profitability benefited from disciplined cost management even as the company continued to invest in distribution and technology.

PBT showed sequential improvement despite ongoing investments in AI and physical touchpoints.

PAT

₹663 million

YoY +6%QoQ +28.7%

Why: The record quarterly profit was achieved alongside continued investment in distribution expansion and technology-led operating leverage.

Sequential PAT growth of 29% highlights the recovery from the previous quarter's conservative provisioning.

Other Highlights

• AUM increased to ₹55,082 million, registering 16% year-on-year growth.

• Added 492 new touchpoints during the quarter, bringing the total network to 4,872.

• Cost of borrowing declined to 10.3%, a 92-basis point reduction year-on-year.

What Sector Metrics Matter for Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Sub-sector-specific signals from the latest concall — each with management's stated reason for the change

Total Assets Under Management

₹5,508.2 Cr

YoY +16%QoQ +1.1%

Why: Steady portfolio expansion across income generation and MSME lending segments.

Gross NPA Ratio

0.83%

YoY -27 bpsQoQ +2 bps

Why: Supported by robust credit assessment and well-embedded collection architecture.

Net NPA Ratio

0.66%

YoY -18 bpsQoQ +1 bp

Why: Disciplined underwriting and proactive collections.

Net Interest Margin

6.0%

QoQ -50 bps

Why: Impacted by changes in co-lending agreements and lower other income.

Cost of Borrowing

10.3%

YoY -92 bpsQoQ -20 bps

Why: Diversified funding sources and successful raising of low-cost debt.

Capital Adequacy Ratio

38.3%

QoQ +10 bps

Why: Strengthened capital base through FCCB conversions.

Collection Efficiency

98.8%

QoQ +40 bps

Why: Highlights strong repayment discipline and effective portfolio oversight.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

2.22x

QoQ -0.02x

Why: Prudent leverage offering ample headroom to scale the balance sheet.

What Is Paisalo Digital Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for 3 years

Revenue Growth Target

100%

OPM Guidance

6%

Revenue Outlook

100% growth

Margin Outlook

Maintaining 6% NIM for the full year.

Volume

Doubling AUM over the next 3 years, implying a 25% CAGR.

Management Tone: BULLISH

Guidance Changes

LOWERED

NIM: 6.5% → 6.0%

How Fast Is Paisalo Digital Ltd Growing?

Revenue, profit and margin growth rates

MetricYoY3Y CAGRTrend
Revenue+18%+25%Inflection Up
PAT (Net Profit)+7%+36%Stable

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Apr 18, 2026.

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Frequently Asked Questions: Paisalo Digital Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were Paisalo Digital Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: +6.5% (stable)
  • Revenue Growth YoY: +17.6%
  • Net Interest Margin: 39.00%
  • Gross NPA: 0.81%

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd's profit growing or declining?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's profit is growing with an stable trend.

  • PAT Growth YoY: +6.5% (latest quarter)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: +26.9% (sequential)
  • 3-Year PAT CAGR: +36.3%
  • Trend: Stable — consistent growth pattern

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's revenue growth trend?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's revenue growth trend is turning around (inflection up).

  • Revenue Growth YoY: +17.6%
  • Revenue Growth QoQ: +7.1% (sequential)
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +24.9%

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's asset quality trend?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's asset quality trend is insufficient_data.

  • Gross NPA: 0.81%
  • Net NPA: 0.65%
  • GNPA Change YoY: -0.2% bps

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's 3-year profit and revenue CAGR?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's long-term compounding rates

  • 3-Year Profit CAGR: +36.3%
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +24.9%

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd's growth accelerating or decelerating?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's earnings growth is stable with strong momentum on a sequential basis.

  • YoY Acceleration: +2.5% bps
  • Sequential Acceleration: +16.3% bps

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance

  • TTM PAT: ₹211 Cr
  • TTM PAT Growth: +11.1% YoY
  • TTM Revenue: ₹877 Cr
  • TTM Revenue Growth: +13.4% YoY

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

Paisalo Digital Ltd appears significantly overvalued based on our fair value analysis.

  • Valuation Signal: Significantly Overvalued
  • Current PE: 21.3x
  • Price-to-Book: 2.7x

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's current PE ratio?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's current PE ratio is 21.3x.

  • Current PE: 21.3x
  • Market Cap: 4.5K Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 0.20%

How does Paisalo Digital Ltd's valuation compare to its history?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's current PE is 21.3x.

  • Current PE: 21.3x
  • Valuation Assessment: Significantly Overvalued

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 2.7x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 2.7x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹18
  • Current Price: ₹50

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

Paisalo Digital Ltd is rated Weak with a fundamental score of 39.58/100. This score is calculated from objective financial metrics

  • PAT Growth YoY: +6.5% (20% weight)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: +26.9% (15% weight)
  • Earnings trend: stable (5% weight)

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd debt free?

Paisalo Digital Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹4,000 Cr

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROE 9.0%
  • FY2024: ROE 14.0%
  • FY2025: ROE 14.0%

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd's cash flow positive?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's operating cash flow is negative (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹-842 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹-855 Cr
  • CFO/PAT Ratio: -421% (weak cash conversion)

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's dividend yield?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's current dividend yield is 0.20%.

  • Dividend Yield: 0.20%
  • Current Price: ₹50

Who holds Paisalo Digital Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's shareholding pattern (Mar 2026)

  • Promoters: 41.8%
  • FII (Foreign): 17.6%
  • DII (Domestic): 6.8%
  • Public: 33.9%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 41.8% (Mar 2026)
  • Previous Quarter: 41.8% (Dec 2025)
  • Change: 0.00% (stable)

How long has Paisalo Digital Ltd been outperforming Nifty 500?

Paisalo Digital Ltd has been outperforming Nifty 500 for 8 consecutive weeks, indicating consistent outperformance.

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

Paisalo Digital Ltd is an established outperformer with 8 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Paisalo Digital Ltd has 6 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Operating Leverage Inflection — AI-backed infrastructure will reduce operating costs and enhance consistency as volumes scale.
  • New Product Or Brand Launch — Doubling the product suite by adding five new products on top of the existing five.
  • Interest Cost Reduction Deleveraging — Diversified funding sources and successful raising of low-cost NCDs/CPs.
  • Geographical Expansion — Doubled geographical expansion over the last 3 years to reduce concentration risk.

What are the key risks in Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Paisalo Digital Ltd has 2 key risks worth monitoring

  • [MEDIUM] New RBI policy on co-lending requires additional compliance and system integrati — RBI guidelines require separate loan accounts (e.g., 80:20) and mirror accounts instead of a single account.
  • [LOW] State-level stress in Bihar due to ongoing elections and surrounding geographies — Elections often create a 'wind of air' that pushes borrowers to delay repayments.

What did Paisalo Digital Ltd's management say in the latest earnings call?

In Q3 FY26, Paisalo Digital Ltd's management highlighted

  • "So, from a NIM point of view, we have guided a 6.5% NIM for the full year. As it is visible in H1 itself, we have maintained it at 6.5%. [Previous Ne..."
  • "For the credit cost, we continue to maintain the same guidance that we have always maintained that on a long-term range guidance, we are going to be a..."
  • "Starting with customer acquisition, we are transitioning from a predominantly physical sourcing to AI-led acquisition engine. [Initiative: AI-led Acq..."

What is Paisalo Digital Ltd's management guidance for growth?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for 3 years

  • Revenue growth target: 100%
  • OPM guidance: 6%
  • Management tone: bullish
  • Milestone: [LOWERED] NIM: 6.5% → 6.0%

What sector-specific metrics matter most for Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's most important sub-sector-specific KPIs from the latest concall

  • Total Assets Under Management: ₹5,508.2 Cr (YoY +16%) (QoQ +1.1%) — Steady portfolio expansion across income generation and MSME lending segments.
  • Gross NPA Ratio: 0.83% (YoY -27 bps) (QoQ +2 bps) — Supported by robust credit assessment and well-embedded collection architecture.
  • Net NPA Ratio: 0.66% (YoY -18 bps) (QoQ +1 bp) — Disciplined underwriting and proactive collections.
  • Net Interest Margin: 6.0% (QoQ -50 bps) — Impacted by changes in co-lending agreements and lower other income.
  • Cost of Borrowing: 10.3% (YoY -92 bps) (QoQ -20 bps) — Diversified funding sources and successful raising of low-cost debt.
  • Capital Adequacy Ratio: 38.3% (QoQ +10 bps) — Strengthened capital base through FCCB conversions.

Is Paisalo Digital Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why Paisalo Digital Ltd may be worth studying

  • Earnings growing at +6.5% YoY

What is the investment thesis for Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Paisalo Digital Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Revenue growing at +17.6% YoY
  • Growth catalyst: Operating Leverage Inflection

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Appears significantly overvalued
  • Key risk: New RBI policy on co-lending requires additional compliance and system integrati

What is the future outlook for Paisalo Digital Ltd?

Paisalo Digital Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Earnings Trend: stable
  • Revenue Trend: turning around (inflection up)
  • Valuation: Significantly Overvalued
  • Key Catalyst: Operating Leverage Inflection
  • Key Risk: New RBI policy on co-lending requires additional compliance and system integrati

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.