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MomentumDeep Value

Greaves Cotton Ltd: Stock Analysis & Fundamentals

Updated this week

Greaves Cotton Ltd (Engines) — fundamental analysis, earnings data, and key metrics. PE: 27.2. ROE: 4.1%. This stock is not currently in the Nifty 500 momentum outperformers list.

What's Happening

📊Debt increased 128% YoY — leverage rising
🌐FII stake increased 1.6% this quarter

Re-Rating Catalysts

1. Q4 FY26 full-year profitability
March 2026HIGH
2. EV financing AUM crosses ₹500 crore
June 2026MEDIUM
3. Debt-to-equity below 0.3x
September 2026MEDIUM

Value Trap Risks

1. Labor code cost spikes
MEDIUM
2. Core business cyclicality
HIGH

Key Numbers

Current Price
₹127
Dividend Yield
1.57%
Market Cap
3.0K Cr
Valuation
N/A

Is Greaves Cotton Ltd a Turnaround Opportunity?

Deep value thesis based on recent earnings • Updated Feb 22, 2026

Multi-business turnaround with margin recovery (OPM +180 bps YoY) and debt reduction driven by cost optimization and EV financing growth (AUM ₹445 crore) positions for re-rating.

Verdict

TURNAROUND_IN_PROGRESS

What Could Re-Rate Greaves Cotton Ltd?

Re-rating catalysts over the next 2-4 quarters • Updated Feb 22, 2026

Q4 FY26 full-year profitability

Expected: March 2026HIGH confidence+₹2436 Cr revenue

First full-year profit after 3 years of losses expected in March results, with 9M PBT already +33% YoY

Impact: +₹2436 Cr revenue

“9M FY26 PBT at ₹111 crore vs ₹83 crore in 9M FY25”

EV financing AUM crosses ₹500 crore

Expected: June 2026MEDIUM confidence+₹150 Cr revenue

GFL business reaching critical mass with AUM crossing ₹500 crore by June 2026, improving ROE from 8.5% to 12%+

Impact: +₹150 Cr revenue

“Current AUM at ₹445 crore with ₹640 crore cumulative disbursements”

Debt-to-equity below 0.3x

Expected: September 2026MEDIUM confidence

Deleveraging through asset monetization expected to reduce D/E from 0.35x to below 0.3x by Q1 FY27

“Net debt reduced from ₹210 crore to ₹120 crore in last 2 quarters”

What Are the Value Trap Risks for Greaves Cotton Ltd?

Risks that could prevent re-rating or deepen the value trap

Labor code cost spikes

MEDIUM

Further regulatory changes in Q4

Impact: -100 bps margin impact

Management view: Recognized in Q3 but potential for additional impact in Q4 per management commentary

Monitor: Q4 labor cost as % of revenue

Core business cyclicality

HIGH

Steel price volatility

Impact: -150 bps margin impact

Management view: Hedging strategies in place but limited protection against sharp moves

Monitor: Steel prices and order book cancellation rates

What Is Greaves Cotton Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY27

Revenue Growth Target

15%

Implied PAT Growth

25%

OPM Guidance

7.5%

Capex Plan

₹600 Cr

Credit Growth Target

20%

NIM Guidance

4.5%

Management Tone: CAUTIOUS

Key Milestones

• EV AUM > ₹500 crore by June 2026

• D/E < 0.3x by Sept 2026

• New product launches in Q2 FY27

The above analysis is AI-generated from publicly available financial data. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Feb 22, 2026.

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Frequently Asked Questions: Greaves Cotton Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were Greaves Cotton Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Greaves Cotton Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: -11.4%
  • Revenue Growth YoY: +16.6%
  • Operating Margin: 7.1%

What is Greaves Cotton Ltd's current PE ratio?

Greaves Cotton Ltd's current PE ratio is 27.2x.

  • Current PE: 27.2x
  • Market Cap: 3.0K Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 1.57%

What is Greaves Cotton Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

Greaves Cotton Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 2.1x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 2.1x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹59
  • Current Price: ₹127

Is Greaves Cotton Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

Greaves Cotton Ltd's fundamental strength based on key financial ratios

  • Return on Capital (ROCE): 5.0%

Is Greaves Cotton Ltd debt free?

Greaves Cotton Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹81 Cr

What is Greaves Cotton Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

Greaves Cotton Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROCE 9.0%
  • FY2024: ROCE 4.0%
  • FY2025: ROCE 5.0%

Is Greaves Cotton Ltd's cash flow positive?

Greaves Cotton Ltd's operating cash flow is negative (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹-23 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹27 Cr

What is Greaves Cotton Ltd's dividend yield?

Greaves Cotton Ltd's current dividend yield is 1.57%.

  • Dividend Yield: 1.57%
  • Current Price: ₹127

Who holds Greaves Cotton Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

Greaves Cotton Ltd's shareholding pattern (Dec 2025)

  • Promoters: 55.8%
  • FII (Foreign): 2.3%
  • DII (Domestic): 4.1%
  • Public: 37.9%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in Greaves Cotton Ltd?

Greaves Cotton Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 55.8% (Dec 2025)
  • Previous Quarter: 55.8% (Sep 2025)
  • Change: 0.00% (stable)

Is Greaves Cotton Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

Greaves Cotton Ltd is an established outperformer with 1 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for Greaves Cotton Ltd?

Greaves Cotton Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Q4 FY26 full-year profitability
  • EV financing AUM crosses ₹500 crore
  • Debt-to-equity below 0.3x

What are the key risks in Greaves Cotton Ltd?

Greaves Cotton Ltd has 2 key risks worth monitoring

  • Labor code cost spikes
  • Core business cyclicality

What is Greaves Cotton Ltd's management guidance for growth?

Greaves Cotton Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY27

  • Revenue growth target: 15%
  • Implied PAT growth: 25%
  • OPM guidance: 7.5%
  • Capex plan: ₹600 Cr
  • Credit growth target: 20%
  • Management tone: cautious
  • Milestone: EV AUM > ₹500 crore by June 2026
  • Milestone: D/E < 0.3x by Sept 2026

Is Greaves Cotton Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why Greaves Cotton Ltd may be worth studying

  • Currently showing mixed signals — monitor for clearer trend confirmation

What is the investment thesis for Greaves Cotton Ltd?

Greaves Cotton Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Growth catalyst: Q4 FY26 full-year profitability

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Key risk: Labor code cost spikes

What is the future outlook for Greaves Cotton Ltd?

Greaves Cotton Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Key Catalyst: Q4 FY26 full-year profitability
  • Key Risk: Labor code cost spikes

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.