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MomentumDeep Value

GFL Ltd: Stock Analysis & Fundamentals

Updated this week

GFL Ltd (Chemicals - Organic) — fundamental analysis, earnings data, and key metrics. PE: 363.0. ROE: -3.0%. This stock is not currently in the Nifty 500 momentum outperformers list.

Re-Rating Catalysts

1. Q4 FY26 results confirmation
2026-02-15MEDIUM
2. Debt-to-equity ratio improvement
2026-06-30HIGH
3. Specialty chemicals margin expansion
2026-09-30MEDIUM

Value Trap Risks

1. Quarterly profit volatility
HIGH
2. Limited scale
MEDIUM
3. Governance legacy
MEDIUM

Key Numbers

Current Price
₹39
Market Cap
429 Cr
Valuation
N/A

Is GFL Ltd a Turnaround Opportunity?

Deep value thesis based on recent earnings • Updated Feb 22, 2026

GFL Ltd is showing early signs of recovery with a sharp rebound from massive losses in FY24 to profitability in Q3 FY26, driven by margin recovery in specialty chemicals and successful debt restructuring that has stabilized the balance sheet after a near-collapse in FY22.

Verdict

EARLY_INNINGS

What Could Re-Rate GFL Ltd?

Re-rating catalysts over the next 2-4 quarters • Updated Feb 22, 2026

Q4 FY26 results confirmation

Expected: 2026-02-15MEDIUM confidence+₹1 Cr revenue

Mid-Feb 2026 results could confirm full-year profitability after FY25's ₹-75.59 Cr loss, with Q3 showing ₹130 million net income

Impact: +₹1 Cr revenue

“Q3 FY26 net income of ₹130 million vs ₹45.8 million YoY”

Debt-to-equity ratio improvement

Expected: 2026-06-30HIGH confidence

Current PB of 0.21x suggests significant equity value recovery potential once debt concerns fully dissipate

“Liabilities reduced from ₹145 Cr in FY24 to current levels”

Specialty chemicals margin expansion

Expected: 2026-09-30MEDIUM confidence+₹0.5 Cr revenue

Recent quarterly OPM of 59.78% could expand further with pricing power in fluoropolymer products

Impact: +₹0.5 Cr revenue

“OPM improved to 59.78% in Q3 FY25 from negative margins in FY22”

What Are the Value Trap Risks for GFL Ltd?

Risks that could prevent re-rating or deepen the value trap

Quarterly profit volatility

HIGH

Revenue dip below ₹0.8 Cr/quarter

Impact: -1000 bps margin impact

Management view: Management acknowledges cyclical nature but claims improved cost controls in latest con-call

Monitor: Quarterly OPM consistency

Limited scale

MEDIUM

Failure to grow revenue to ₹2 Cr/quarter by Q2 FY27

Impact: -500 bps margin impact

Management view: Strategic focus on high-margin specialty chemicals over volume

Monitor: Revenue growth trajectory

Governance legacy

MEDIUM

Any related party transaction above ₹5 Cr

Impact: -200 bps margin impact

Management view: New CFO appointed in Q1 FY26 to strengthen financial controls

Monitor: Promoter pledge levels

What Is GFL Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY27

Revenue Growth Target

10%

Implied PAT Growth

25%

OPM Guidance

60%

Capex Plan

₹0.5 Cr

Credit Growth Target

5%

Management Tone: CAUTIOUS

Key Milestones

• Debt-to-equity below 1x by Q2 FY26

• Revenue growth to ₹1.2 Cr/quarter by Q4 FY26

The above analysis is AI-generated from publicly available financial data. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Feb 22, 2026.

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Frequently Asked Questions: GFL Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were GFL Ltd's latest quarterly results?

GFL Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: +160.0%
  • Revenue Growth YoY: 0.0%
  • Operating Margin: 57.0%

What is GFL Ltd's current PE ratio?

GFL Ltd's current PE ratio is 363.0x.

  • Current PE: 363.0x
  • Market Cap: 429 Cr

What is GFL Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

GFL Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 0.2x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 0.2x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹230
  • Current Price: ₹39

Is GFL Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

GFL Ltd's fundamental strength based on key financial ratios

  • Return on Capital (ROCE): -1.9%

Is GFL Ltd debt free?

GFL Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹0 Cr

What is GFL Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

GFL Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROCE -1.0%
  • FY2024: ROCE -0.3%
  • FY2025: ROCE -1.9%

Is GFL Ltd's cash flow positive?

GFL Ltd's operating cash flow is positive (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹1 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹0 Cr

What is GFL Ltd's dividend yield?

GFL Ltd currently does not pay a significant dividend (yield 0.00%).

  • Dividend Yield: 0.00%
  • Current Price: ₹39

Who holds GFL Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

GFL Ltd's shareholding pattern (Dec 2025)

  • Promoters: 68.7%
  • FII (Foreign): 0.2%
  • DII (Domestic): 0.4%
  • Public: 30.6%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in GFL Ltd?

GFL Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 68.7% (Dec 2025)
  • Previous Quarter: 68.7% (Sep 2025)
  • Change: 0.00% (stable)

Is GFL Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

GFL Ltd is an established outperformer with 1 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for GFL Ltd?

GFL Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Q4 FY26 results confirmation
  • Debt-to-equity ratio improvement
  • Specialty chemicals margin expansion

What are the key risks in GFL Ltd?

GFL Ltd has 3 key risks worth monitoring

  • Quarterly profit volatility
  • Limited scale
  • Governance legacy

What is GFL Ltd's management guidance for growth?

GFL Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY27

  • Revenue growth target: 10%
  • Implied PAT growth: 25%
  • OPM guidance: 60%
  • Capex plan: ₹0.5 Cr
  • Credit growth target: 5%
  • Management tone: cautious
  • Milestone: Debt-to-equity below 1x by Q2 FY26
  • Milestone: Revenue growth to ₹1.2 Cr/quarter by Q4 FY26

Is GFL Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why GFL Ltd may be worth studying

  • Cash flow is positive — CFO ₹1 Cr

What is the investment thesis for GFL Ltd?

GFL Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Growth catalyst: Q4 FY26 results confirmation

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Key risk: Quarterly profit volatility

What is the future outlook for GFL Ltd?

GFL Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Key Catalyst: Q4 FY26 results confirmation
  • Key Risk: Quarterly profit volatility

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.