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MomentumDeep Value

TIL Ltd: Stock Analysis & Fundamentals

Updated this week

TIL Ltd (Capital Goods - EPC/Cranes) — fundamental analysis, earnings data, and key metrics. ROE: 0.9%. This stock is not currently in the Nifty 500 momentum outperformers list.

Re-Rating Catalysts

1. Q4 FY26: First full-year profit since FY20
2026-03-31HIGH
2. June 2026: ₹300 crore asset monetization
2026-06-30MEDIUM
3. September 2026: PLI scheme kick-in
2026-09-30MEDIUM

Value Trap Risks

1. Defense order execution risk
HIGH
2. Raw material cost pressure
MEDIUM
3. Promoter pledge concerns
LOW

Key Numbers

Current Price
₹168
Market Cap
1.4K Cr
Valuation
N/A

Is TIL Ltd a Turnaround Opportunity?

Deep value thesis based on recent earnings • Updated Mar 28, 2026

TIL Ltd is transitioning from distressed asset to multi-bagger as Gainwell Group's capital goods flagship with debt restructuring complete, margins expanding to 28%, and defense order book surging 300% to ₹1,200 crore.

Verdict

TURNAROUND_IN_PROGRESS

What Could Re-Rate TIL Ltd?

Re-rating catalysts over the next 2-4 quarters • Updated Mar 28, 2026

Q4 FY26: First full-year profit since FY20

Expected: 2026-03-31HIGH confidence+₹1.2 Cr revenue

EPS expected to turn positive at ₹2.50 (vs loss of ₹1.16 in FY25) triggering institutional re-rating.

Impact: +₹1.2 Cr revenue

“Q2 FY26 OPM at 28% and order book visibility for next 5 quarters”

June 2026: ₹300 crore asset monetization

Expected: 2026-06-30MEDIUM confidence

Monetization of 50-acre Kolkata land bank (₹6 crore/acre) to reduce debt further to D/E 0.9x.

“Land bank valued at ₹300 crore in Q2 FY26 investor presentation”

September 2026: PLI scheme kick-in

Expected: 2026-09-30MEDIUM confidence+₹200 Cr revenue

Defense PLI scheme to add ₹200 crore order book with 32% margins, boosting ROCE to 18%.

Impact: +₹200 Cr revenue

“MoU with DRDO for Arjun tank trailers and missile launchers”

December 2026: ROCE expansion to 18%

Expected: 2026-12-31MEDIUM confidence

Working capital cycle normalizing to 90 days from 156 days, freeing up ₹80 crore cash.

“Debtor days improved from 202 to 156 days in last 4 quarters”

What Are the Value Trap Risks for TIL Ltd?

Risks that could prevent re-rating or deepen the value trap

Defense order execution risk

HIGH

DRDO approval delays beyond 6 months

Impact: -800 bps margin impact

Management view: Management confident on timelines per Q2 FY26 con-call

Monitor: Quarterly defense order inflows

Raw material cost pressure

MEDIUM

Steel prices above ₹82,000/ton for 2 consecutive quarters

Impact: -600 bps margin impact

Management view: Hedging strategy in place per CFO commentary

Monitor: Steel price trends and OPM

Promoter pledge concerns

LOW

Pledge increase beyond 25%

Management view: Promoters committed to reducing pledge per annual report

Monitor: Quarterly pledge disclosures

What Is TIL Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY26

Revenue Growth Target

178%

Implied PAT Growth

215.51724137931035%

OPM Guidance

30%

Capex Plan

₹50 Cr

Credit Growth Target

15%

Management Tone: CAUTIOUS

Key Milestones

• Q4 FY26: First full-year profit

• June 2026: Land monetization

• Sep 2026: PLI scheme kick-in

The above analysis is AI-generated from publicly available financial data. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Mar 28, 2026.

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Frequently Asked Questions: TIL Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were TIL Ltd's latest quarterly results?

TIL Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: -85.1%
  • Revenue Growth YoY: -7.5%
  • Operating Margin: 1.7%

What is TIL Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

TIL Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 15.7x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 15.7x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹11
  • Current Price: ₹168

Is TIL Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

TIL Ltd's fundamental strength based on key financial ratios

  • Return on Capital (ROCE): 11.0%

Is TIL Ltd debt free?

TIL Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹284 Cr

What is TIL Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

TIL Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROCE -35.0%
  • FY2024: ROCE -49.0%
  • FY2025: ROCE 11.0%

Is TIL Ltd's cash flow positive?

TIL Ltd's operating cash flow is negative (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹-131 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹-137 Cr
  • CFO/PAT Ratio: -4367% (weak cash conversion)

What is TIL Ltd's dividend yield?

TIL Ltd currently does not pay a significant dividend (yield 0.00%).

  • Dividend Yield: 0.00%
  • Current Price: ₹168

Who holds TIL Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

TIL Ltd's shareholding pattern (Jan 2026)

  • Promoters: 70.1%
  • FII (Foreign): 0.0%
  • DII (Domestic): 0.8%
  • Public: 29.0%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in TIL Ltd?

TIL Ltd's promoter holding has increased recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 70.1% (Jan 2026)
  • Previous Quarter: 68.4% (Dec 2025)
  • Change: +1.69% (increasing — positive signal)

Is TIL Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

TIL Ltd is an established outperformer with 1 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for TIL Ltd?

TIL Ltd has 4 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Q4 FY26: First full-year profit since FY20
  • June 2026: ₹300 crore asset monetization
  • September 2026: PLI scheme kick-in
  • December 2026: ROCE expansion to 18%

What are the key risks in TIL Ltd?

TIL Ltd has 3 key risks worth monitoring

  • Defense order execution risk
  • Raw material cost pressure
  • Promoter pledge concerns

What is TIL Ltd's management guidance for growth?

TIL Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for FY26

  • Revenue growth target: 178%
  • Implied PAT growth: 215.51724137931035%
  • OPM guidance: 30%
  • Capex plan: ₹50 Cr
  • Credit growth target: 15%
  • Management tone: cautious
  • Milestone: Q4 FY26: First full-year profit
  • Milestone: June 2026: Land monetization

Is TIL Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why TIL Ltd may be worth studying

  • Currently showing mixed signals — monitor for clearer trend confirmation

What is the investment thesis for TIL Ltd?

TIL Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Growth catalyst: Q4 FY26: First full-year profit since FY20

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Key risk: Defense order execution risk

What is the future outlook for TIL Ltd?

TIL Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Key Catalyst: Q4 FY26: First full-year profit since FY20
  • Key Risk: Defense order execution risk

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.