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MomentumDeep Value

Timken India Ltd: Why Is It Outperforming Nifty 500?

Active
RS +12.4%Very Weak11w Streak

In Week of May 10, 2026, Timken India Ltd (Bearings) is outperforming Nifty 500 with +12.4% relative strength. Fundamentals: Very Weak. On a 11-week streak.

Timken India Ltd Key Facts

PE Ratio
61.7x
Market Cap
₹27,041 Cr
PAT Growth YoY
-30%
Revenue Growth YoY
+14%
OPM
13.0%
RS vs Nifty 500
+12.4%

What's Happening

🌐FII stake decreased 5.8% this quarter
🏛️DII accumulation — stake up 4.9%
💰Trading 86% above estimated fair value — significant premium

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. Operating Leverage Inflection
Q1 FY27HIGH
2. Geographical Expansion
OngoingMEDIUM
3. Value Added Product Mix Shift
Q2 FY27LOW

Key Risks

1. Labor Code related impact of 60 basis points on PBT
MEDIUM
2. Uncertainty regarding the fine print of US and EU trade deals and tariffs
LOW

Sector-Specific Signals

Rail Segment Revenue₹128.6 Cr+10.5%
Mobile (CV) Revenue₹157.1 Cr+20%
Export Intercompany Revenue₹159 Cr+4%
Process Industry Revenue₹167 CrNot Given

Key Numbers

PAT Growth YoY
-29%
Insufficient Data
Revenue YoY
+14%
Insufficient Data
Operating Margin
13.0%
-300 bps YoY
PE Ratio
61.7
Current Price
₹3,595
Dividend Yield
1.00%
Fundamental Score
16/100
Very Weak
Market Cap
27.0K Cr
Valuation
Significantly Overvalued

12-Week Performance

Weekly presence in the outperformers list. Green = beating Nifty 500 by 10%+ that week.

12 weeks agoThis week

Why Are Timken India Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 earnings • Updated Apr 18, 2026

Operating Leverage Inflection

Expected: Q1 FY27HIGH confidence

What: Bharuch Utilization: Targeting >50% by Q1 FY27

Impact: 170 bps PBT impact reversal

“So that has impacted in terms of the basis point very close to 170 basis point impact because of the ramp-up cost for the quarter.”

Geographical Expansion

Expected: OngoingMEDIUM confidence

What: Export Revenue: ₹159 Cr

“So these developments, which have come in over the last couple of weeks, are expected to strengthen the export opportunities for engineering and industrial product companies.”

Value Added Product Mix Shift

Expected: Q2 FY27LOW confidence

What: FRC Line Investment: ₹35 Cr

“So that project is at timeline, so the original plan was to install all the equipment by quarter 1 -- end of quarter 1 and beginning of quarter 2.”

What Are the Key Risks for Timken India Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

Labor Code related impact of 60 basis points on PBT

MEDIUM

Trigger: New Labor Codes effective November 21 impacted gratuity and other benefit valuations.

Impact: PAT impact: 60 bps

Management view: One-time transitional impact already accounted for in the quarter.

Monitor: labor

Uncertainty regarding the fine print of US and EU trade deals and tariffs

LOW

Trigger: Tariffs on certain products moved from below 50% to 50% in recent quarters.

Management view: Evaluating fine prints; management believes they are not dependent on trade deals but see them as an advantage.

Monitor: geopolitical

What Is Timken India Ltd's Management Saying?

Key quotes from recent conference calls

“And I think we are guiding for 40%, 50% exit utilization at the end of this financial year. [Previous Bharuch Plant Utilization guidance]”
“So that is on this immediate expansion capex is around INR150-plus crores that is going to happen between now and next year. [Previous Capex guidance]”
“So that at least we had in a sizable percentage more than -- a little more than 50% utilization by then. [Initiative: Bharuch Plant Ramp-up]”
“Then on top of that, we had the Labor Code impact, which was very close to 60-odd basis points. [Risk (labor): MEDIUM]”

What Did Timken India Ltd Report This Quarter?

Headline numbers from the latest earnings call

Revenue

₹764.4 Cr

YoY +13.8%QoQ -1%

Why: Growth was driven by individual segments while the sequential dip was primarily due to seasonality in the rail business.

Revenue growth remains steady on a year-over-year basis despite sequential seasonal headwinds.

Other Highlights

• PBT impacted by 170 bps due to Bharuch ramp-up costs.

• Labor Code impact accounted for 60 basis points of margin compression.

• Other income reduced by 120 bps due to lower investable surplus.

What Sector Metrics Matter for Timken India Ltd?

Sub-sector-specific signals from the latest concall — each with management's stated reason for the change

Rail Segment Revenue

₹128.6 Cr

YoY +10.5%QoQ -27.8%

Why: Sequential decline driven by seasonality; YoY growth reflects steady government spending.

Mobile (CV) Revenue

₹157.1 Cr

YoY +20%QoQ +9%

Why: Acceleration in the commercial vehicle segment, both on-highway and off-highway.

Export Intercompany Revenue

₹159 Cr

YoY +4%QoQ -1.2%

Why: Exports remained flattish sequentially despite geopolitical dynamics.

Process Industry Revenue

₹167 Cr

YoY Not GivenQoQ Not Given

Why: Steady momentum from stationary equipment OEs and steel plants.

Distribution Revenue

₹138 Cr

YoY +8.5%QoQ +1.5%

Why: Steady growth in both auto and industrial distribution pieces.

Bharuch Capacity Utilisation

30%

YoY Not GivenQoQ Not Given

Why: Currently in the process of ramping up and completing customer PPAPs.

Bharuch Plant Revenue

₹12-15 Cr

YoY Not GivenQoQ Not Given

Why: Moderated sales figure as the plant is in the early stages of commercial sales.

GGB Technology Revenue (3 months)

₹15 Cr

YoY Not GivenQoQ Not Given

Why: Consolidated for the first time; revenue reflects a full 3-month contribution.

What Is Timken India Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for Medium term

OPM Guidance

18%

Capex Plan

₹120 Cr

Margin Outlook

Management expects margins to return to the 17-18% range as Bharuch ramps up.

Capex Plan

₹120 Cr

Jamshedpur rail expansion

Management Tone: CAUTIOUS

How Fast Is Timken India Ltd Growing?

Revenue, profit and margin growth rates

MetricYoY3Y CAGRTrend
Revenue+14%—Insufficient Data
PAT (Net Profit)-29%—Insufficient Data
OPM13.0%-300 bpsInsufficient Data

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Apr 18, 2026.

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← Back to BearingsDashboard

Frequently Asked Questions: Timken India Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were Timken India Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Timken India Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: -29.5% (insufficient_data)
  • Revenue Growth YoY: +14.2%
  • Operating Margin: 13.0% (insufficient_data)

Is Timken India Ltd's profit growing or declining?

Timken India Ltd's profit is declining with an insufficient_data trend.

  • PAT Growth YoY: -29.5% (latest quarter)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: -41.5% (sequential)
  • Trend: Insufficient_data — consistent growth pattern

What is Timken India Ltd's revenue growth trend?

Timken India Ltd's revenue growth trend is insufficient_data.

  • Revenue Growth YoY: +14.2%
  • Revenue Growth QoQ: -0.8% (sequential)

How is Timken India Ltd's operating margin trending?

Timken India Ltd's operating margin is insufficient_data.

  • Current OPM: 13.0%
  • OPM Change YoY: -3.0% basis points
  • OPM Change QoQ: -5.0% basis points

Is Timken India Ltd's growth accelerating or decelerating?

Timken India Ltd's earnings growth is insufficient_data with insufficient_data on a sequential basis.

  • Sequential Acceleration: -62.0% bps
  • Margin Warning: Operating margins are under pressure

Is Timken India Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

Timken India Ltd appears significantly overvalued based on our fair value analysis.

  • Valuation Signal: Significantly Overvalued
  • Current PE: 61.7x

What is Timken India Ltd's current PE ratio?

Timken India Ltd's current PE ratio is 61.7x.

  • Current PE: 61.7x
  • Market Cap: 27.0K Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 1.00%

How does Timken India Ltd's valuation compare to its history?

Timken India Ltd's current PE is 61.7x.

  • Current PE: 61.7x
  • Valuation Assessment: Significantly Overvalued

Is Timken India Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

Timken India Ltd is rated Very Weak with a fundamental score of 15.7/100. This score is calculated from objective financial metrics

  • Revenue Growth YoY: +14.2% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth YoY: -29.5% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: -41.5% (10% weight)
  • Margins stable (10% weight)

Is Timken India Ltd debt free?

Timken India Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

What is Timken India Ltd's dividend yield?

Timken India Ltd's current dividend yield is 1.00%.

  • Dividend Yield: 1.00%
  • Current Price: ₹3595

Who holds Timken India Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

Timken India Ltd's shareholding pattern (Mar 2026)

  • Promoters: 51.0%
  • FII (Foreign): 7.0%
  • DII (Domestic): 30.6%
  • Public: 11.3%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in Timken India Ltd?

Timken India Ltd's promoter holding has remained stable recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 51.0% (Mar 2026)
  • Previous Quarter: 51.0% (Dec 2025)
  • Change: 0.00% (stable)

How long has Timken India Ltd been outperforming Nifty 500?

Timken India Ltd has been outperforming Nifty 500 for 11 consecutive weeks, indicating consistent outperformance.

Is Timken India Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

Timken India Ltd is an established outperformer with 11 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for Timken India Ltd?

Timken India Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Operating Leverage Inflection — Fixed cost absorption will improve as utilization moves from 30% toward 50% and beyond.
  • Geographical Expansion — New trade deals with the US and EU are expected to create favorable opportunities for Indian manufacturing.
  • Value Added Product Mix Shift — New material technology (FRC) for EVs and process industries will improve the product portfolio.

What are the key risks in Timken India Ltd?

Timken India Ltd has 2 key risks worth monitoring

  • [MEDIUM] Labor Code related impact of 60 basis points on PBT — New Labor Codes effective November 21 impacted gratuity and other benefit valuations.
  • [LOW] Uncertainty regarding the fine print of US and EU trade deals and tariffs — Tariffs on certain products moved from below 50% to 50% in recent quarters.

What did Timken India Ltd's management say in the latest earnings call?

In Q3 FY26, Timken India Ltd's management highlighted

  • "And I think we are guiding for 40%, 50% exit utilization at the end of this financial year. [Previous Bharuch Plant Utilization guidance]"
  • "So that is on this immediate expansion capex is around INR150-plus crores that is going to happen between now and next year. [Previous Capex guidance..."
  • "So that at least we had in a sizable percentage more than -- a little more than 50% utilization by then. [Initiative: Bharuch Plant Ramp-up]"

What is Timken India Ltd's management guidance for growth?

Timken India Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for Medium term

  • Revenue outlook: Not Given
  • OPM guidance: 18%
  • Capex plan: ₹120 Cr for Jamshedpur rail expansion
  • Management tone: cautious

What sector-specific metrics matter most for Timken India Ltd?

Timken India Ltd's most important sub-sector-specific KPIs from the latest concall

  • Rail Segment Revenue: ₹128.6 Cr (YoY +10.5%) (QoQ -27.8%) — Sequential decline driven by seasonality; YoY growth reflects steady government spending.
  • Mobile (CV) Revenue: ₹157.1 Cr (YoY +20%) (QoQ +9%) — Acceleration in the commercial vehicle segment, both on-highway and off-highway.
  • Export Intercompany Revenue: ₹159 Cr (YoY +4%) (QoQ -1.2%) — Exports remained flattish sequentially despite geopolitical dynamics.
  • Process Industry Revenue: ₹167 Cr (YoY Not Given) (QoQ Not Given) — Steady momentum from stationary equipment OEs and steel plants.
  • Distribution Revenue: ₹138 Cr (YoY +8.5%) (QoQ +1.5%) — Steady growth in both auto and industrial distribution pieces.
  • Bharuch Capacity Utilisation: 30% (YoY Not Given) (QoQ Not Given) — Currently in the process of ramping up and completing customer PPAPs.

Is Timken India Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why Timken India Ltd may be worth studying

  • Currently showing mixed signals — monitor for clearer trend confirmation

What is the investment thesis for Timken India Ltd?

Timken India Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Revenue growing at +14.2% YoY
  • Growth catalyst: Operating Leverage Inflection

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Margins under pressure
  • Appears significantly overvalued
  • Key risk: Labor Code related impact of 60 basis points on PBT

What is the future outlook for Timken India Ltd?

Timken India Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Earnings Trend: insufficient_data
  • Revenue Trend: insufficient_data
  • Margin Trend: insufficient_data
  • Valuation: Significantly Overvalued
  • Key Catalyst: Operating Leverage Inflection
  • Key Risk: Labor Code related impact of 60 basis points on PBT

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.