Sector Alpha

Track where the smart money flows in Indian equities

DashboardWeekly UpdateUploadPipelinePE CyclesBrainAbout

Data updated weekly. Not financial advice.

Sector Alpha
  1. Home
  2. /Momentum
  3. /Aluminium Products
  4. /Arfin India Ltd
MomentumDeep Value

Arfin India Ltd: Why Is It Outperforming Nifty 500?

Active
RS +19.6%Average12w Streak

In Week of Mar 28, 2026, Arfin India Ltd (Aluminium Products) is outperforming Nifty 500 with +19.6% relative strength. Fundamentals: Average. On a 12-week streak.

Avoid

What's Happening

🚫No earnings growth, no valuation discount — limited upside
📊Debt increased 27% YoY — leverage rising
💰Trading 95% above estimated fair value — significant premium

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. Margin expansion to 7.39% (309 bps YoY)
OngoingHIGH
2. Revenue acceleration to highest in 8 quarters
Q3 FY26 achievedMEDIUM
3. Interest coverage ratio improvement to 2.70x
Q3 FY26 achievedMEDIUM

Key Risks

1. Elevated interest costs at ₹5.15 cr
MEDIUM
2. Tax rate volatility risk
MEDIUM

Key Numbers

PAT Growth YoY
+68%
Inflection Up
Revenue YoY
+4%
Stable
Operating Margin
7.4%
+131 bps YoY
PE Ratio
139.0
PEG Ratio
0.00
EV/EBITDA
39.7
Current Price
₹76
Dividend Yield
0.15%
Fundamental Score
41/100
Average
3Y PAT CAGR
0%
Market Cap
1.3K Cr
Valuation
Significantly Overvalued

12-Week Performance

Weekly presence in the outperformers list. Green = beating Nifty 500 by 10%+ that week.

12 weeks agoThis week

Why Are Arfin India Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 earnings • Updated Feb 22, 2026

Margin expansion to 7.39% (309 bps YoY)

Expected: OngoingHIGH confidence

What: Highest OPM in 8 quarters driven by operational efficiency and favorable commodity pricing

“MarketsMojo: 'Operating margin of 7.39% marked a 108-basis-point expansion from the prior quarter and a substantial 309-basis-point improvement from Q4 FY25's trough of 4.30%'”

Revenue acceleration to highest in 8 quarters

Expected: Q3 FY26 achievedMEDIUM confidence+₹8.59 Cr revenue

What: Q3 revenue of ₹187.96 cr represents 46.91% QoQ growth reversing declining trend

Impact: +₹8.59 Cr revenue

“MarketsMojo: 'Revenue surged to ₹187.96 crores, representing the highest quarterly sales figure in at least eight quarters and marking a strong 46.91% quarter-on-quarter expansion'”

Interest coverage ratio improvement to 2.70x

Expected: Q3 FY26 achievedMEDIUM confidence

What: Strongest interest coverage in recent quarters despite elevated interest costs

“MarketsMojo: 'Interest costs remained elevated at ₹5.15 crores, though the company's improved operating profit resulted in a healthy interest coverage ratio of 2.70 times—the strongest in recent quarters'”

What Are the Key Risks for Arfin India Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

Elevated interest costs at ₹5.15 cr

MEDIUM

Trigger: Interest costs remain above ₹5 cr

Impact: -200 bps margin impact

Management view: Interest costs remained elevated at ₹5.15 crores, though the company's improved operating profit resulted in a healthy interest coverage ratio of 2.70 times

Monitor: Interest coverage ratio

Tax rate volatility risk

MEDIUM

Trigger: Tax rate returns to Q4 FY25 level

Impact: -400 bps margin impact

Management view: The effective tax rate of 34.41% in Q3 FY26 aligned more closely with normalised levels compared to the anomalous 76.65% rate in Q4 FY25

Monitor: Effective tax rate

What Is Arfin India Ltd's Management Saying?

Key quotes from recent conference calls

“Revenue surged to ₹187.96 crores, representing the highest quarterly sales figure in at least eight quarters and marking a strong 46.91% quarter-on-quarter expansion. — MarketsMojo Analysis”
“Operating margin of 7.39% marked a 108-basis-point expansion from the prior quarter and a substantial 309-basis-point improvement from Q4 FY25's trough of 4.30% — MarketsMojo Analysis”
“Interest costs remained elevated at ₹5.15 crores, though the company's improved operating profit resulted in a healthy interest coverage ratio of 2.70 times—the strongest in recent quarters — MarketsMojo Analysis”
“The effective tax rate of 34.41% in Q3 FY26 aligned more closely with normalised levels compared to the anomalous 76.65% rate in Q4 FY25 — MarketsMojo Analysis”

What Is Arfin India Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for next 2-4 quarters

Management Tone: CAUTIOUS

How Fast Is Arfin India Ltd Growing?

Revenue, profit and margin growth rates

MetricYoY3Y CAGRTrend
Revenue+4%+5%Stable
PAT (Net Profit)+68%0%Inflection Up
OPM7.4%+131 bpsStable

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Feb 22, 2026.

← Back to Aluminium ProductsDashboard

Frequently Asked Questions: Arfin India Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What were Arfin India Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Arfin India Ltd's latest quarterly results (Dec 2025) show

  • PAT Growth YoY: +68.0% (turning around (inflection up))
  • Revenue Growth YoY: +4.2%
  • Operating Margin: 7.4% (stable)

Is Arfin India Ltd's profit growing or declining?

Arfin India Ltd's profit is growing with an turning around (inflection up) trend.

  • PAT Growth YoY: +68.0% (latest quarter)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: +107.8% (sequential)
  • 3-Year PAT CAGR: 0.0%
  • Trend: Turning around (inflection up) — consistent growth pattern

What is Arfin India Ltd's revenue growth trend?

Arfin India Ltd's revenue growth trend is stable.

  • Revenue Growth YoY: +4.2%
  • Revenue Growth QoQ: +46.9% (sequential)
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +5.4%

How is Arfin India Ltd's operating margin trending?

Arfin India Ltd's operating margin is stable.

  • Current OPM: 7.4%
  • OPM Change YoY: +1.3% basis points
  • OPM Change QoQ: +0.1% basis points

What is Arfin India Ltd's 3-year profit and revenue CAGR?

Arfin India Ltd's long-term compounding rates

  • 3-Year Profit CAGR: 0.0%
  • 3-Year Revenue CAGR: +5.4%

Is Arfin India Ltd's growth accelerating or decelerating?

Arfin India Ltd's earnings growth is turning around (inflection up) with positive momentum on a sequential basis.

  • YoY Acceleration: +73.0% bps
  • Sequential Acceleration: 0.0% bps

What is Arfin India Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance?

Arfin India Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance

  • TTM PAT: ₹9 Cr
  • TTM PAT Growth: -15.3% YoY
  • TTM Revenue: ₹578 Cr
  • TTM Revenue Growth: -3.5% YoY
  • TTM Operating Margin: 6.3%

Is Arfin India Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

Arfin India Ltd appears significantly overvalued based on our fair value analysis.

  • Valuation Signal: Significantly Overvalued
  • Current PE: 139.0x
  • Price-to-Book: 8.0x

What is Arfin India Ltd's current PE ratio?

Arfin India Ltd's current PE ratio is 139.0x.

  • Current PE: 139.0x
  • Market Cap: 1.3K Cr
  • Dividend Yield: 0.15%

How does Arfin India Ltd's valuation compare to its history?

Arfin India Ltd's current PE is 139.0x.

  • Current PE: 139.0x
  • Valuation Assessment: Significantly Overvalued

What is Arfin India Ltd's price-to-book ratio?

Arfin India Ltd's price-to-book ratio is 8.0x.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B): 8.0x
  • Book Value per Share: ₹10
  • Current Price: ₹76

Is Arfin India Ltd a fundamentally strong company?

Arfin India Ltd is rated Average with a fundamental score of 40.5/100. This score is calculated from objective financial metrics

  • Revenue Growth YoY: +4.2% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth YoY: +68.0% (10% weight)
  • PAT Growth QoQ: +107.8% (10% weight)
  • Margins stable (10% weight)
  • PEG Ratio: 0.0x vs sector median (15% weight)
  • EV/EBITDA: 39.7x vs sector median (15% weight)

Is Arfin India Ltd debt free?

Arfin India Ltd has a debt-to-equity ratio of N/A.

  • Total Debt: ₹149 Cr

What is Arfin India Ltd's return on equity (ROE) and ROCE?

Arfin India Ltd's return ratios over recent years

  • FY2023: ROCE 13.0%
  • FY2024: ROCE 14.0%
  • FY2025: ROCE 14.0%

Is Arfin India Ltd's cash flow positive?

Arfin India Ltd's operating cash flow is negative (FY2025).

  • Cash from Operations (CFO): ₹-21 Cr
  • Free Cash Flow (FCF): ₹-29 Cr
  • CFO/PAT Ratio: -233% (weak cash conversion)

What is Arfin India Ltd's dividend yield?

Arfin India Ltd's current dividend yield is 0.15%.

  • Dividend Yield: 0.15%
  • Current Price: ₹76

Who holds Arfin India Ltd shares — promoters, FII, DII?

Arfin India Ltd's shareholding pattern (Dec 2025)

  • Promoters: 69.8%
  • FII (Foreign): 2.7%
  • Public: 27.5%

Is promoter holding increasing or decreasing in Arfin India Ltd?

Arfin India Ltd's promoter holding has decreased recently.

  • Current Promoter Holding: 69.8% (Dec 2025)
  • Previous Quarter: 69.8% (Sep 2025)
  • Change: -0.02% (decreasing — worth monitoring)

How long has Arfin India Ltd been outperforming Nifty 500?

Arfin India Ltd has been outperforming Nifty 500 for 12 consecutive weeks, indicating strong sustained outperformance.

Is Arfin India Ltd a new momentum entry or an established outperformer?

Arfin India Ltd is an established outperformer with 12 weeks of consecutive Nifty 500 outperformance.

What are the growth catalysts for Arfin India Ltd?

Arfin India Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • Margin expansion to 7.39% (309 bps YoY)
  • Revenue acceleration to highest in 8 quarters
  • Interest coverage ratio improvement to 2.70x

What are the key risks in Arfin India Ltd?

Arfin India Ltd has 2 key risks worth monitoring

  • Elevated interest costs at ₹5.15 cr
  • Tax rate volatility risk

What did Arfin India Ltd's management say in the latest earnings call?

In Q3 FY26, Arfin India Ltd's management highlighted

  • "Revenue surged to ₹187.96 crores, representing the highest quarterly sales figure in at least eight quarters and marking a strong 46.91% quarter-on-qu..."
  • "Operating margin of 7.39% marked a 108-basis-point expansion from the prior quarter and a substantial 309-basis-point improvement from Q4 FY25's troug..."
  • "Interest costs remained elevated at ₹5.15 crores, though the company's improved operating profit resulted in a healthy interest coverage ratio of 2.70..."

What is Arfin India Ltd's management guidance for growth?

Arfin India Ltd's management has provided the following forward guidance for next 2-4 quarters

  • Management tone: cautious

Is Arfin India Ltd worth studying for long term investment?

Based on quantitative research signals, here is why Arfin India Ltd may be worth studying

  • Earnings growing at +68.0% YoY

What is the investment thesis for Arfin India Ltd?

Arfin India Ltd investment thesis summary:

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Growth catalyst: Margin expansion to 7.39% (309 bps YoY)

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Appears significantly overvalued
  • Key risk: Elevated interest costs at ₹5.15 cr

What is the future outlook for Arfin India Ltd?

Arfin India Ltd's forward outlook based on current data signals

  • Earnings Trend: turning around (inflection up)
  • Revenue Trend: stable
  • Margin Trend: stable
  • Valuation: Significantly Overvalued
  • Key Catalyst: Margin expansion to 7.39% (309 bps YoY)
  • Key Risk: Elevated interest costs at ₹5.15 cr

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data and conference call transcripts. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.