Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-29
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-29

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.

WBD
Communication Services · Entertainment

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is building a base (2 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 52nd percentile of its own 4-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read deteriorating, and 365% of the last 2 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Price
$25.6
+90.0% 1Y
P/E
88.4×
52nd pctile
of its own 4-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
$8.9 B
−1.0% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
$−2.9 B
Operating margin
−27.8%
−27.4 pp YoY
ROE
−5%
FY25
ROIC
3.4%
vs WACC 10.3% → −6.9 pp
Cash conversion
365%
of profit, last 2 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. trades at $25.6, building a base and 2 weeks into that stage. That is −2.7% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 77% of a 52-week range of $11 to $30. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (18 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is building a base — week 2 of stage 1. At $25.6 it trades −2.7% versus its 200-day average and sits at 77% of its 52-week range ($11–$30).

Jul 26: $25.6 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
−2.7% versus the 200-day line, week 2 of stage 1
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S4S3S2$31.8$25.2$18.5$11.8$5.2$$26$26Jul 23Apr 24Jan 25Oct 25Jul 26
S4S3S2$31.8$25.2$18.5$11.8$5.2$$26$26Jul 23Jan 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (526 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 16Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +0% while the S&P 500 moved +248% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (18 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-03-27) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 52nd percentile of its own range.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. trades at 88.4× P/E, mid-range by its own standards (52nd percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 65.0×, measured across 4.3 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 88.4× is mid-range by its own standards (52nd percentile), against a long-run median of 65.0× measured over 4.3 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 88.4× vs a 65.0× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly step line (right axis). 4.3-year window; loss-period spikes above 152× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
mid-range by its own standards (52nd percentile)
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
163.3×$2.2122.5×$1.681.7×$1.140.8×$0.50.0×$0.0×$88.38×$0Apr 22Sep 22Sep 25Feb 26Jul 26
163.3×$2.2122.5×$1.681.7×$1.140.8×$0.50.0×$0.0×$88.38×$0Apr 22Sep 25Jul 26
PEG 78.78 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Last 19 quarters; values above 6 pinned at the top.
above 1.0, the multiple already banks the growth
PEGPEG = 1.0
6.5×4.9×3.2×1.6×0.0××6.00×Sep 21Sep 22Dec 23Dec 24Mar 26
6.5×4.9×3.2×1.6×0.0××6.00×Sep 21Dec 23Mar 26
P/E
88.4×
52nd percentile of 4y
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 12 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.

Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
RevenueProfit
127%−198.8%91%−199.4%55%−200.0%20%−200.6%−16%−201.2%%%−3%−200%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
127%−198.8%91%−199.4%55%−200.0%20%−200.6%−16%−201.2%%%−3%−200%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
1.2%−0.3%−1.9%−3.5%−5.0%%0.8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.2%−0.3%−1.9%−3.5%−5.0%%0.8%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Recovering
latest −3.0% · span −5.9% to +116.7%
ROCE
Stuck low
latest 0.8% · span −4.6%–0.8%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

The latest quarter’s profit carries a one-off item larger than the operating base, so the profit curve is shown but does not vote in the stage call.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Growth, year by year: revenue −5.1% in FY25, profit null Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn. Turnaround-year spikes shown pinned (▲).
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
192%−298.8%139%−299.4%86%−300.0%33%−300.6%−20%−301.2%%%−5.1%−300%FY21FY23FY25
192%−298.8%139%−299.4%86%−300.0%33%−300.6%−20%−301.2%%%−5.1%−300%FY21FY23FY25
TTM growth by quarter Trailing-twelve-month growth versus the year-ago TTM, per quarter, %: revenue (left axis); profit and EPS (right axis). The acceleration read compares the last 4 quarters (−3.0%) with the last 8 annualized (−4.3%).
revenue stabilising
Revenue TTM YoY
127%91%55%20%−16%%−3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
127%91%55%20%−16%%−3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue−5.1%+3.3%
Stock price+90.0%+26.1%−2.4%+0.2%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
−1.0%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
32.3%
long-run compound pace

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

27.1/100 — rank 21 of 27 in Entertainment · 65% evidence confidence

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. scores 27.1 out of 100 against the 27 companies it is compared with in Entertainment, ranking 21. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 8.3 + 6.2 + 8.8 + 3.8 = 27.1. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. reported $8.9 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, −1.0% year on year. Over 4 years it has compounded at 32.3% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $37.3 B. The last four reported quarters add to $37.2 B.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. reported $8.9 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, −1.0% year on year. Over 4 years it has compounded at 32.3% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $37.3 B. The last four reported quarters add to $37.2 B.

FY25 revenue came in at $37.3 B (−5.1% on the year), capping 4 years at 32.3% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $8.9 B, −1.0% year on year.

FY25 revenue $37.3 B (−5.1% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
32.3% a year over 4 years
RevenueYoY growth
45192%33139%2286%1133%0.0−20%$ B%$37B−5.1%FY21FY23FY25
45192%33139%2286%1133%0.0−20%$ B%$37B−5.1%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $8.9 B (−1.0% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
116.6%8.42.2%5.6−2.2%2.8−6.6%0.0−11%$ B%$9B−1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
116.6%8.42.2%5.6−2.2%2.8−6.6%0.0−11%$ B%$9B−1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged −2.9% growth against the decade's 32.3% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew −3.0% over the last 4 quarters against −4.3%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising.

→ Revenue slipped — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: −27.8% this quarter (−27.4 pp YoY).

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s operating margin is −27.8% in the Mar 26 quarter, −27.4 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −25.5% to 16.5%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s operating margin is −27.8% in the Mar 26 quarter, −27.4 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −25.5% to 16.5%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is −27.8%, −27.4 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −25.5%–16.5%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −27.4 pp year on year while gross margin went +4.9 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

FY25: 2.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
within a −25.5–16.5% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
20%33%7.7%14%−4.5%−5.4%−17%−24%−29%−44%%%2%27.5%FY21FY23FY25
20%33%7.7%14%−4.5%−5.4%−17%−24%−29%−44%%%2%27.5%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: −27.8% operating margin (−27.4 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
16%119%−17%61%−49%3.5%−82%−54%−114%−112%%%−27.8%−27.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
16%119%−17%61%−49%3.5%−82%−54%−114%−112%%%−27.8%−27.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Margins slipped — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit null in the latest quarter.

07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. posted a net loss of $2.9 B in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.8 B. The 4-year compound rate is −11.1%. That loss is 32.7% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost $0.5 B. 10 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. posted a net loss of $2.9 B in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.8 B. The 4-year compound rate is −11.1%. That loss is 32.7% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost $0.5 B. 10 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was $−2.9 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $0.8 B (null), and the 4-year compound rate is −11.1%.

FY25 profit $0.8 B (null YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
−11.1% a year over 4 years
Net profitYoY growth
2.2−707.1%−1.5−707.7%−5.1−708.3%−8.8−708.9%−12−709.5%$ B%$1B−708.3%FY21FY23FY25
2.2−707.1%−1.5−707.7%−5.1−708.3%−8.8−708.9%−12−709.5%$ B%$1B−708.3%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $−2.9 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
2.5−198.8%−0.9−199.4%−4.2−200.0%−7.6−200.6%−11−201.2%$ B%$−3B−200%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
2.5−198.8%−0.9−199.4%−4.2−200.0%−7.6−200.6%−11−201.2%$ B%$−3B−200%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 365% of the last 2 years' profit arrived as cash.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 2 fiscal years 365% of Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was $4.3 B of operating cash against $0.8 B of profit. After $1.2 B of capital spending, $3.1 B was left as free cash.

FY25: operating cash of $4.3 B against reported profit of $0.8 B, leaving free cash of $3.1 B after $1.2 B of capital spending. Across the last 2 fiscal years the conversion rate is 365% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY25: CFO $4.3 B vs profit $0.8 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution.
365% of 2-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
9.03.5−2.0−7.5−13$ B$4B$1B$3BFY21FY23FY25
9.03.5−2.0−7.5−13$ B$4B$1B$3BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: operating cash $−0.2 B Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
3.9651%2.8493%1.7335%0.6176%−0.518%$ B%$−0B62%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
3.9651%2.8493%1.7335%0.6176%−0.518%$ B%$−0B62%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: $4.0 B of building over 3 years.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $4.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 3.6% of FY25 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $4.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY25: capex $1.2 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
1.41.10.70.40.0$ B$1BFY21FY23FY25
1.41.10.70.40.0$ B$1BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: capex $0.3 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
0.53.60.42.50.21.40.10.30.0−0.8$ B$ B$0B$−1BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.53.60.42.50.21.40.10.30.0−0.8$ B$ B$0B$−1BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROE is −5% and the ROIC − WACC spread is −6.9 pp.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. earns a ROE of 2% in FY25. That is up from a trough of −33% in FY24. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −6.9 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 2.0% net margin on 0.37× asset turns.

FY25 ROE is 2%, recovered from a FY24 trough of −33% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 2.0% net margin × 0.37× asset turns × 2.69× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 2.0% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 3.4% − 10.3% = a −6.9 pp spread. The 10.3% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY25: ROE 2% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 10.3% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY24's −33%
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
14%1.2%−11%−24%−36%%2%0.5%FY21FY23FY25
14%1.2%−11%−24%−36%%2%0.5%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: ROIC −3.6% (TTM) vs WACC 10.3% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
13%2.2%−8.9%−20%−31%%−3.6%−5.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
13%2.2%−8.9%−20%−31%%−3.6%−5.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.96.

11 · Dividend

Dividend

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. pays no dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.

→ No payout to follow. The cash question becomes what the business does with what it earns instead.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. carries total debt of $32.5 B against shareholder equity of $33.7 B as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.96. On the annual view that ratio went from 1.10 in FY21 to 0.88 in FY25. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of $32.5 B against shareholder equity of $33.7 B — a debt-to-equity of 0.96. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 1.10 (FY21) to 0.88 (FY25). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY25: debt $32.6 B at 0.88× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
531.15×401.08×261.00×130.93×0.00.86×$ B×$33B0.88×FY21FY23FY25
531.15×401.08×261.00×130.93×0.00.86×$ B×$33B0.88×FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: debt $32.5 B, debt-to-equity 0.96 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
511.18×381.10×261.02×130.94×0.00.86×$ B×$33B0.96×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
511.18×381.10×261.02×130.94×0.00.86×$ B×$33B0.96×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: short interest is 2.7% of the float.

13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

2.7% of Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — some money is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 2.9 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 2.7% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 2.9 days to buy those positions back. Some money is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
2.7%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
2.9
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.: the Z-score reads 0.62. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits inside the distress zone. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

🚨 Why it matters: a Z-score of 0.62 is inside the distress zone — the balance sheet is a real risk, not a detail.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 0.62.

Related companies · same industry · Entertainment Every company is compared on the shape of its own curves, not static ratios. The Revenue, EPS and ROCE columns each draw that company's last 12 quarters as a mini line of the ACTUAL level (trailing-twelve-month revenue and EPS, and the ROCE itself) — so a line that climbs is a business getting bigger, a line that sinks is one shrinking. The colour tracks the same line: green when it is rising or steadily healthy, amber when it is rolling over from a high (still elevated but turning down), red when it is falling, grey when flat or stuck. Colour and direction always agree — a green line never points down. The ROCE curve is the return on capital (annual readings for peers, so a slightly coarser line than the quarterly one at the top of this page). The Stage column then runs the same 12-quarter trajectory classifier used at the top of the page on each company and names where it sits. What lands a company in each bucket: CONSISTENT — growth stays positive across the window and returns are healthy (ROCE ≥ 15%, or ROE ≥ 12% for lenders); IMPROVING — profit or EPS fell into real decline, bottomed a few quarters back, and has climbed back to positive and held there; TURNING AROUND — the same kind of trough but more recent, with the latest quarters just lifting off it (an early, unconfirmed turn); TOPPING OUT — growth is still positive but decelerating hard from its own peak while returns have stopped rising; DETERIORATING — two or more growth curves are shrinking (latest below zero) and staying there, not one soft quarter; MIXED — the curves genuinely disagree, or no clean majority, so no single word fits; NO READ — fewer than eight usable quarters. It is a like-for-like read of every company against its own past, not a ranking against the group.
CompanyP/EMkt capRevenueEPSROCEStage
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. this page88.4×$64BNo read
Netflix, Inc.22.8×$301BConsistent
The Walt Disney Company15.8×$172BMixed
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.$42BDeteriorating
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.69.1×$35BMixed
Formula One Group104.5×$25BTurning around
Fox Corporation14.8×$24BMixed
Fox Corporation13.1×$22BMixed
Formula One Group92.6×$22BDeteriorating
Roku, Inc.107.9×$21BNo read
News Corporation14.0×$16BMixed
News Corporation35.7×$15BMixed
Warner Music Group Corp.34.0×$15BMixed
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.13.5×$11BDeteriorating
Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.$10BDeteriorating
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc.$9B
Paramount Skydance Corporation$9BNo read
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc.$8BDeteriorating
Versant Media Group, Inc.6.2×$5BNo read
Sphere Entertainment Co.56.0×$5BNo read
Cinemark Holdings, Inc.27.2×$4BNo read
Manchester United plc$4BNo read
Lionsgate Studios Corp.$4BNo read
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.75.6×$4BDeteriorating
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.$3BNo read
IMAX Corporation64.9×$3BTurning around
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.$3BNo read
AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.$2BNo read
iQIYI, Inc.$1BDeteriorating
The Marcus Corporation54.7×$1BNo read
Angel Studios, Inc.$1BNo read
Reservoir Media, Inc.87.6×$1BMixed
HUYA Inc.$1BNo read
AMC Global Media Inc.9.8×$0BDeteriorating
Starz Entertainment Corp.$0BNo read
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.$0BDeteriorating
Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation13.7×$0BNo read
NIP Group Inc.$0B
12 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s stock price today?

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. trades at $25.6, +90.0% over the past year. The company is valued at $64.0 B. The stock sits at 77% of its 52-week range of $11–$30, −2.7% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is building a base, 2 weeks in. — as of 29 July 2026.

What were Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s latest quarterly results?

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. reported revenue of $8.9 B and a net loss of $2.9 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Earnings per share were $−1.17. The operating margin was −27.8%, 27.4 pp lower than a year earlier. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s revenue?

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. reported revenue of $8.9 B in the Mar 26 quarter, −1.0% year on year. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $37.3 B (−5.1%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 32.3% a year. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s profit?

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. earned $−2.9 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.8 B. The operating margin ran −27.8% in the latest quarter. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s market cap?

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s market capitalisation is $64.0 B at a stock price of $25.6. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s P/E ratio?

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. trades at a P/E of 88.4×, at the 52nd percentile of its own 4-year range, against a long-run median of 65.0×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 29 July 2026.

Does Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. pay a dividend?

No — Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 12 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. overvalued?

On its own history, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. looks mid-range against its own history: its P/E of 88.4× sits at the 52nd percentile of its 4-year range (long-run median 65.0×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 29 July 2026.

How is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. performing?

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. is building a base, 2 weeks in. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 18 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. in an uptrend?

No — the price is building a base (week 2 of stage 1), trading −2.7% versus its 200-day average and at 77% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. is currently behind the S&P 500 (18 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-03-27), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +0% against the S&P 500's +248% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 29 July 2026.

Will Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $25.6, the price is building a base 2 weeks in. Its P/E of 88.4× sits at the 52nd percentile of its own 4-year range. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is the market betting against Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.?

Somewhat — short interest is 2.7% of Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s tradable float, about 2.9 days to cover at typical volumes. A moderate reading: some money is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 29 July 2026.

Does Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. have too much debt?

It is moderate — Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s debt-to-equity is 0.96. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s capex?

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. spent $4.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $1.2 B. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s cash flow?

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. generated $4.3 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $3.1 B of free cash flow after $1.2 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.8 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 2 fiscal years, 365% of Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY25, operating cash was $4.3 B against reported profit of $0.8 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 29 July 2026.

How financially safe is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 0.62 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is inside the danger band — a real balance-sheet risk. — as of 29 July 2026.

Where is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. in its business cycle?

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s FY25 operating margin was 2.0%, against a 5-year band of −25.5%–16.5%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran −27.8%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 29 July 2026.

What could break the Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 29 July 2026.

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