Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-29
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-29

Trimble Inc.

TRMB
Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Trimble Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

The sharpest disagreement: the price moved −31.5% in a year while annual EPS moved −70.5% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings.

The price is in a downtrend (10 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 44th percentile of its own 4-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving — profit +42.9% year on year, and 68% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved.

Stage
Deteriorating
fundamental trajectory, 12 quarters
Price
$58.4
−31.5% 1Y
P/E
30.5×
44th pctile
of its own 4-year range
Revenue (Apr 26)
$0.9 B
+11.9% YoY
Profit (Apr 26)
$0.1 B
+42.9% YoY
Operating margin
14.9%
+3.0 pp YoY
ROE
8%
FY26
ROIC
7.9%
vs WACC 11.2% → −3.3 pp
Cash conversion
68%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Trimble Inc. trades at $58.4, in a downtrend and 10 weeks into that stage. That is −13.7% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 27% of a 52-week range of $49 to $84. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (29 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 10 of stage 4. At $58.4 it trades −13.7% versus its 200-day average and sits at 27% of its 52-week range ($49–$84).

Jul 26: $58.4 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
−13.7% versus the 200-day line, week 10 of stage 4
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S4S3S2S2S2S1S4$88.7$76.1$63.5$51.0$38.4$$58$68Jul 23Apr 24Jan 25Oct 25Jul 26
S4S3S2S2S2S1S4$88.7$76.1$63.5$51.0$38.4$$58$68Jul 23Jan 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (526 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 16Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +143% while the S&P 500 moved +248% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (29 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-01-09) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 44th percentile of its own range.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

Trimble Inc. trades at 30.5× P/E, mid-range by its own standards (44th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 32.1×, measured across 4.3 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 30.5× is mid-range by its own standards (44th percentile), against a long-run median of 32.1× measured over 4.3 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

One caveat before moving on: margins are the best this company has ever printed — cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap. If profitability mean-reverts, today's multiple is higher than it looks.

P/E 30.5× vs a 32.1× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly step line (right axis). 4.3-year window; loss-period spikes above 71× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
mid-range by its own standards (44th percentile)
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
76.2×$6.758.0×$5.039.7×$3.321.5×$1.73.2×$0.0×$30.26×$2Apr 22Apr 23May 24Jun 25Jul 26
76.2×$6.758.0×$5.039.7×$3.321.5×$1.73.2×$0.0×$30.26×$2Apr 22May 24Jul 26
PEG 1.93 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Last 19 quarters.
above 1.0, the multiple already banks the growth
PEGPEG = 1.0
3.2×2.6×2.0×1.4×0.8××1.93×Oct 21Sep 22Dec 23Jan 25Apr 26
3.2×2.6×2.0×1.4×0.8××1.93×Oct 21Dec 23Apr 26
P/E
30.5×
44th percentile of 4y
PEG
1.58
as reported

🚨 Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −70.5% against a −31.5% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +3.2%/yr price move, ~+11.6%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−8.4 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

03 · Stage: Deteriorating

Stage: Deteriorating Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Trimble Inc. reads as deteriorating on its fundamental arc. Deteriorating — profit and EPS growth are shrinking (profit growth −69.7% latest against +560.9% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE holding at 8.5%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Base-effect spikes shown pinned (▲). A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
RevenueProfitEPS
7.5%330%3.6%220%−0.2%109%−4.0%0.0%−7.9%−112%%%3.4%−69.7%−68.7%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26
7.5%330%3.6%220%−0.2%109%−4.0%0.0%−7.9%−112%%%3.4%−69.7%−68.7%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
8.7%8.0%7.3%6.5%5.8%%8.5%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26
8.7%8.0%7.3%6.5%5.8%%8.5%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26
Revenue growth
Flat
latest +3.4% · span −6.8% to +6.4%
Profit growth
Recovering
latest −69.7% · span −80.8% to +560.9%
EPS growth
Flat
latest −68.7% · span −81.2% to +537.8%
ROCE
Stuck low
latest 8.5% · span 6.0%–8.5%

🚨 Why it matters: falling curves mean every cheap-looking ratio below needs a discount for direction.

Growth, year by year: revenue −2.4% in FY26, profit −72.0% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn. Turnaround-year spikes shown pinned (▲).
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
3.8%330%1.9%222%0.0%114%−1.8%6.1%−3.7%−102%%%−2.4%−72%FY21FY23FY26
3.8%330%1.9%222%0.0%114%−1.8%6.1%−3.7%−102%%%−2.4%−72%FY21FY23FY26
TTM growth by quarter Trailing-twelve-month growth versus the year-ago TTM, per quarter, %: revenue (left axis); profit and EPS (right axis). The acceleration read compares the last 4 quarters (+3.4%) with the last 8 annualized (−1.8%). Spikes shown pinned (▲).
revenue accelerating, profit rolling over
Revenue TTM YoYProfit TTM YoYEPS TTM YoY
7.5%330%3.6%220%−0.2%109%−4.0%0.0%−7.9%−112%%%3.4%−69.7%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26
7.5%330%3.6%220%−0.2%109%−4.0%0.0%−7.9%−112%%%3.4%−69.7%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26
Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue−2.4%−1.9%−0.4%
Profit−72.0%+10.7%−3.0%
EPS−70.5%+12.7%−1.5%
Stock price−31.5%+3.2%−7.3%+8.2%
Revenue YoY (Apr 26)
+11.9%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Profit YoY (Apr 26)
+42.9%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
−0.4%
long-run compound pace

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

45.5/100 — rank 16 of 19 in Scientific & Technical Instruments · 59% evidence confidence

Trimble Inc. scores 45.5 out of 100 against the 19 companies it is compared with in Scientific & Technical Instruments, ranking 16. Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 21 + 11.6 + 10.3 + 2.6 = 45.5. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Trimble Inc. reported $0.9 B of revenue in the Apr 26 quarter, +11.9% year on year. Over 5 years it has compounded at −0.4% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at $3.6 B. The last four reported quarters add to $3.7 B.

Trimble Inc. reported $0.9 B of revenue in the Apr 26 quarter, +11.9% year on year. Over 5 years it has compounded at −0.4% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at $3.6 B. The last four reported quarters add to $3.7 B.

FY26 revenue came in at $3.6 B (−2.4% on the year), capping 5 years at −0.4% compound. The latest quarter (Apr 26) printed $0.9 B, +11.9% year on year.

FY26 revenue $3.6 B (−2.4% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
−0.4% a year over 5 years
RevenueYoY growth
4.13.8%3.11.9%2.10.0%1.0−1.8%0.0−3.7%$ B%$4B−2.4%FY21FY23FY26
4.13.8%3.11.9%2.10.0%1.0−1.8%0.0−3.7%$ B%$4B−2.4%FY21FY23FY26
Apr 26: $0.9 B (+11.9% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
1.114%0.86.9%0.50.0%0.3−7.1%0.0−14%$ B%$1B11.9%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26
1.114%0.86.9%0.50.0%0.3−7.1%0.0−14%$ B%$1B11.9%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +3.6% growth against the decade's −0.4% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +3.4% over the last 4 quarters against −1.8%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit −69.7% vs +41.4%/yr — rolling over.

→ Revenue grew — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 14.9% this quarter (+3.0 pp YoY).

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Trimble Inc.'s operating margin is 14.9% in the Apr 26 quarter, +3.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 11.8% to 16.4%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

Trimble Inc.'s operating margin is 14.9% in the Apr 26 quarter, +3.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 11.8% to 16.4%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 14.9%, +3.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 11.8%–16.4%, and FY26's 16.4% is the top of that band — a record year.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +3.0 pp year on year while gross margin went +2.4 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.

FY26: 16.4% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
the widest a 11.8–16.4% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
17%4.4%15%2.6%14%0.9%13%−0.8%11%−2.6%%%16.4%3.9%FY21FY23FY26
17%4.4%15%2.6%14%0.9%13%−0.8%11%−2.6%%%16.4%3.9%FY21FY23FY26
Apr 26: 14.9% operating margin (+3.0 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
24%8.9%19%5.3%15%1.6%10%−2.1%5.6%−5.7%%%14.9%3%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26
24%8.9%19%5.3%15%1.6%10%−2.1%5.6%−5.7%%%14.9%3%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26

→ Margins held — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit +42.9% in the latest quarter.

07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Trimble Inc. earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Apr 26 quarter, +42.9% year on year. It is the 3rd consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was $0.4 B. The 5-year compound rate is −3.0%. That is 10.6% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.1 B.

Trimble Inc. earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Apr 26 quarter, +42.9% year on year. It is the 3rd consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was $0.4 B. The 5-year compound rate is −3.0%. That is 10.6% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.1 B.

Apr 26 profit was $0.1 B, +42.9% year on year — the 3rd consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY26 printed $0.4 B (−72.0%), and the 5-year compound rate is −3.0%.

FY26 profit $0.4 B (−72.0% YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
−3.0% a year over 5 years
Net profitYoY growth
1.6420%1.2288%0.8156%0.424%0.0−108%$ B%$0B−72%FY21FY23FY26
1.6420%1.2288%0.8156%0.424%0.0−108%$ B%$0B−72%FY21FY23FY26
Apr 26: $0.1 B (+42.9% YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
3rd straight quarter of growth
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
1.43,463%1.12,508%0.71,553%0.4598%0.0−357%$ B%$0B42.9%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26
1.43,463%1.12,508%0.71,553%0.4598%0.0−357%$ B%$0B42.9%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +11.9% and the margin +3.0 pp — the quarter was margin-led: most of the profit growth came from keeping more of each sale.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +50.6% vs revenue +3.6%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra dollar of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 68% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 68% of Trimble Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — most of the profit is real cash. In FY26 that was $0.4 B of operating cash against $0.4 B of profit. After $0.0 B of capital spending, $0.4 B was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of $0.4 B against reported profit of $0.4 B, leaving free cash of $0.4 B after $0.0 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 68% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO $0.4 B vs profit $0.4 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution.
68% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
1.61.20.80.40.0$ B$0B$0B$0BFY21FY23FY26
1.61.20.80.40.0$ B$0B$0B$0BFY21FY23FY26
Apr 26: operating cash $0.3 B = 270% of the quarter's profit Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
0.3418%0.2291%0.1164%0.036%−0.1−91%$ B%$0B270%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26
0.3418%0.2291%0.1164%0.036%−0.1−91%$ B%$0B270%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26

🚨 Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: $0.0 B of building over 3 years.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Trimble Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY26 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY26: capex $0.0 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
0.050.040.030.010.00$ B$0BFY21FY23FY26
0.050.040.030.010.00$ B$0BFY21FY23FY26
Apr 26: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
0.0110.30.0080.20.0050.10.0030.00.000−0.1$ B$ B$0B$0BJun 23Sep 24Apr 26
0.0110.30.0080.20.0050.10.0030.00.000−0.1$ B$ B$0B$0BJun 23Sep 24Apr 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROE is 8% and the ROIC − WACC spread is −3.3 pp.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Trimble Inc. earns a ROE of 7% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 7% in FY23. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −3.3 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 11.7% net margin on 0.39× asset turns.

FY26 ROE is 7%, recovered from a FY23 trough of 7% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 11.7% net margin × 0.39× asset turns × 1.59× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 7.3% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 7.9% − 11.2% = a −3.3 pp spread. The 11.2% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY26: ROE 7% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 11.2% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY23's 7%
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
28%22%16%9.4%3.3%%7.2%7.4%FY21FY23FY26
28%22%16%9.4%3.3%%7.2%7.4%FY21FY23FY26
Apr 26: ROIC 7.6% (TTM) vs WACC 11.2% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
33%25%18%9.9%2.2%%7.6%8%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26
33%25%18%9.9%2.2%%7.6%8%Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.25.

11 · Dividend

Dividend

Trimble Inc. pays no dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.

Trimble Inc. does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.

→ No payout to follow. The cash question becomes what the business does with what it earns instead.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Trimble Inc. carries total debt of $1.4 B against shareholder equity of $5.6 B as of Apr 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.25 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.36 in FY21 to 0.24 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Apr 26: total debt of $1.4 B against shareholder equity of $5.6 B — a debt-to-equity of 0.25. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.36 (FY21) to 0.24 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

FY26: debt $1.4 B at 0.24× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
3.40.7×2.60.6×1.70.5×0.90.3×0.00.2×$ B×$1B0.24×FY21FY23FY26
3.40.7×2.60.6×1.70.5×0.90.3×0.00.2×$ B×$1B0.24×FY21FY23FY26
Apr 26: debt $1.4 B, debt-to-equity 0.25 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
3.60.8×2.70.7×1.80.5×0.90.3×0.00.2×$ B×$1B0.25×Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26
3.60.8×2.70.7×1.80.5×0.90.3×0.00.2×$ B×$1B0.25×Jun 23Sep 24Apr 26

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: short interest is 5.3% of the float.

13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

5.3% of Trimble Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — some money is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 3.8 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 5.3% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 3.8 days to buy those positions back. Some money is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
5.3%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
3.8
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Trimble Inc.: the Z-score reads 4.34. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits well clear of distress. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

Why it matters: a Z-score of 4.34 sits well clear of the distress zone — the balance sheet is not the risk here.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 4.34.

Related companies · same industry · Scientific & Technical Instruments Every company is compared on the shape of its own curves, not static ratios. The Revenue, EPS and ROCE columns each draw that company's last 12 quarters as a mini line of the ACTUAL level (trailing-twelve-month revenue and EPS, and the ROCE itself) — so a line that climbs is a business getting bigger, a line that sinks is one shrinking. The colour tracks the same line: green when it is rising or steadily healthy, amber when it is rolling over from a high (still elevated but turning down), red when it is falling, grey when flat or stuck. Colour and direction always agree — a green line never points down. The ROCE curve is the return on capital (annual readings for peers, so a slightly coarser line than the quarterly one at the top of this page). The Stage column then runs the same 12-quarter trajectory classifier used at the top of the page on each company and names where it sits. What lands a company in each bucket: CONSISTENT — growth stays positive across the window and returns are healthy (ROCE ≥ 15%, or ROE ≥ 12% for lenders); IMPROVING — profit or EPS fell into real decline, bottomed a few quarters back, and has climbed back to positive and held there; TURNING AROUND — the same kind of trough but more recent, with the latest quarters just lifting off it (an early, unconfirmed turn); TOPPING OUT — growth is still positive but decelerating hard from its own peak while returns have stopped rising; DETERIORATING — two or more growth curves are shrinking (latest below zero) and staying there, not one soft quarter; MIXED — the curves genuinely disagree, or no clean majority, so no single word fits; NO READ — fewer than eight usable quarters. It is a like-for-like read of every company against its own past, not a ranking against the group.
CompanyP/EMkt capRevenueEPSROCEStage
Trimble Inc. this page30.5×$14BDeteriorating
Keysight Technologies, Inc.50.0×$52BTurning around
Garmin Ltd.28.3×$49BConsistent
Coherent Corp.101.6×$48BNo read
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated31.4×$30BTurning around
Fortive Corporation37.7×$19BDeteriorating
MKS Inc.59.7×$19BMixed
Cognex Corporation71.0×$10BImproving
ESCO Technologies Inc.26.6×$8BMixed
Sensata Technologies Holding plc144.3×$7BDeteriorating
Novanta Inc.100.2×$5BDeteriorating
Itron, Inc.17.8×$5BMixed
Vontier Corporation11.6×$5BMixed
Badger Meter, Inc.31.5×$4BMixed
Vishay Precision Group, Inc.206.1×$1BTurning around
Ituran Location and Control Ltd.18.1×$1BConsistent
Mesa Laboratories, Inc.83.6×$1BNo read
USBC, Inc.$0BNo read
MicroVision, Inc.$0BNo read
12 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Trimble Inc.'s stock price today?

Trimble Inc. trades at $58.4, −31.5% over the past year. The company is valued at $14.0 B. The stock sits at 27% of its 52-week range of $49–$84, −13.7% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a downtrend, 10 weeks in. — as of 29 July 2026.

What were Trimble Inc.'s latest quarterly results?

Trimble Inc. reported revenue of $0.9 B and net profit of $0.1 B for the Apr 26 quarter. Revenue rose 11.9% and profit rose 42.9% year on year. Earnings per share were $0.43. The operating margin was 14.9%, 3.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Trimble Inc.'s revenue?

Trimble Inc. reported revenue of $0.9 B in the Apr 26 quarter, +11.9% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was $3.6 B (−2.4%). Over the last 5 years revenue compounded at −0.4% a year. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Trimble Inc.'s profit?

Trimble Inc. earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Apr 26 quarter, +42.9% year on year — the 3rd straight quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was $0.4 B. The operating margin ran 14.9% in the latest quarter. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Trimble Inc.'s market cap?

Trimble Inc.'s market capitalisation is $14.0 B at a stock price of $58.4. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Trimble Inc.'s P/E ratio?

Trimble Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.5×, at the 44th percentile of its own 4-year range, against a long-run median of 32.1×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 29 July 2026.

Does Trimble Inc. pay a dividend?

No — Trimble Inc. has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 12 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Trimble Inc. overvalued?

On its own history, Trimble Inc. looks mid-range against its own history: its P/E of 30.5× sits at the 44th percentile of its 4-year range (long-run median 32.1×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. One caveat: margins are the best this company has ever printed — cheap on record margins is not the same thing as cheap. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Trimble Inc. growing?

Yes — Trimble Inc. is growing: latest-quarter revenue +11.9% year on year, profit +42.9%, and the margin +3.0 pp at 14.9%. The 5-year compound rates are −0.4% (revenue) and −3.0% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: improving — as of 29 July 2026.

How is Trimble Inc. performing?

Trimble Inc. is in a downtrend, 10 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue rose 11.9% and profit rose 42.9% year on year. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 29 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 29 July 2026.

What stage is Trimble Inc. in?

Deteriorating — profit and EPS growth are shrinking (profit growth −69.7% latest against +560.9% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE holding at 8.5%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +3.4% latest, profit growth −69.7% latest, eps growth −68.7% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Trimble Inc. in an uptrend?

No — the price is in a downtrend (week 10 of stage 4), trading −13.7% versus its 200-day average and at 27% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Trimble Inc. beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Trimble Inc. is currently behind the S&P 500 (29 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-01-09), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +143% against the S&P 500's +248% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 29 July 2026.

Will Trimble Inc.'s stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Trimble Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $58.4, the price is in a downtrend 10 weeks in. Its P/E of 30.5× sits at the 44th percentile of its own 4-year range. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is the market betting against Trimble Inc.?

Somewhat — short interest is 5.3% of Trimble Inc.'s tradable float, about 3.8 days to cover at typical volumes. A moderate reading: some money is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 29 July 2026.

Does Trimble Inc. have too much debt?

No — Trimble Inc.'s debt-to-equity is 0.25. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Trimble Inc.'s capex?

Trimble Inc. spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was $0.0 B. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Trimble Inc.'s cash flow?

Trimble Inc. generated $0.4 B of operating cash flow in FY26 and $0.4 B of free cash flow after $0.0 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.4 B, so operating cash ran behind profit. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Trimble Inc.'s profit real cash?

Mostly — over the last 3 fiscal years, 68% of Trimble Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was $0.4 B against reported profit of $0.4 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 29 July 2026.

How financially safe is Trimble Inc.?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 4.34 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That sits well clear of trouble. — as of 29 July 2026.

Where is Trimble Inc. in its business cycle?

Trimble Inc.'s FY26 operating margin was 16.4%, against a 5-year band of 11.8%–16.4%: the top of the band — a record year. Record profitability is late-cycle territory: every ratio flatters at the top, and the story leans on margins holding. The latest quarter ran 14.9%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 29 July 2026.

What could break the Trimble Inc. story?

The sharpest disagreement: the price moved −31.5% in a year while annual EPS moved −70.5% — the difference is re-rating, and re-rating has to be repaid with earnings. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Trimble Inc. a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Trimble Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: whether earnings grow into a price that has already moved. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 29 July 2026.

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