Suraj Estate Developers Ltd
SURAJESTSuraj Estate Developers Ltd is cheap for a reason. The P/E sits at the 8th percentile of its own range, and the quarters are still getting worse.
The sharpest disagreement: annual EPS moved −9.9% against a −38.9% price move — the market has not yet caught up with the delivery.
The price is in a downtrend (77 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 8th percentile of its own 3-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read deteriorating — profit −38.9% year on year, and −137% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the price catches up with earnings that have already moved.
Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd trades at ₹199, in a downtrend and 77 weeks into that stage. That is −17.4% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 17% of a 52-week range of ₹178 to ₹301. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (12 weeks and counting).
Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 77 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹199 it trades −17.4% versus its 200-day average and sits at 17% of its 52-week range (₹178–₹301).
Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 2.6 years the stock moved −40% while the NIFTY 500 moved +20% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (12 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-05-29) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.
What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.
→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 8th percentile of its own range.
Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd trades at 10.2× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 8% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 15.0×, measured across 2.6 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.
Today's P/E of 10.2× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 8% of the time, against a long-run median of 15.0× measured over 2.6 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.
Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −9.9% against a −38.9% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.
Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.
A quarterly PEG curve, which only the second data source carries, is not drawn on this page: its two data sources do not share enough overlapping reported history to be compared. A figure nobody could check is not used to price growth — the gap is a decision, not missing data.
→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.
Stage: Topping out Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd reads as topping out on its fundamental arc. Topping out — revenue and profit growth have decelerated hard (revenue growth +36.0% at its peak → −27.2% latest) while ROCE still reads 15.0%. The read is built from 8 quarters across 3 curves, on partial evidence.
Why it matters: decelerating from a peak is where good stories quietly end — the multiple usually notices late.
One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.
Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.
A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.
| 1yr | 3yr | 5yr | 10yr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +1.3% | +22.0% | +18.3% | — |
| Profit | −10.0% | +41.2% | +71.9% | — |
| EPS | −9.9% | +25.0% | +14.9% | — |
| Share price | −38.9% | — | — | — |
→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.
4-Factor Sector Score
47.9/100 — rank 15 of 26 in Realty - Construction & Contracting · 83% evidence confidence
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd scores 47.9 out of 100 against the 26 companies it is compared with in Realty - Construction & Contracting, ranking 15. Cheap but unconfirmed: require improving earnings before treating the valuation as an opportunity.
The four contributions add to the total exactly: 15.7 + 15.9 + 14.1 + 2.2 = 47.9. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.
What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.
Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd reported ₹99.0 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, −27.2% year on year. Over 7 years it has compounded at 48.4% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹556 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹556 Cr.
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd reported ₹99.0 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, −27.2% year on year. Over 7 years it has compounded at 48.4% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹556 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹556 Cr.
FY26 revenue came in at ₹556 Cr (+1.3% on the year), capping 7 years at 48.4% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹99.0 Cr, −27.2% year on year.
Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +2.5% growth against the decade's 48.4% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.
Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +1.3% over the last 4 quarters against +16.3%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over; TTM profit −10.0% vs +15.0%/yr — rolling over.
→ Revenue slipped — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 50.0% this quarter (+28.0 pp YoY).
Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's operating margin is 50.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +28.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 8 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 36.0% to 157.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's operating margin is 50.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, +28.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 8 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 36.0% to 157.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.
The latest quarter's operating margin is 50.0%, +28.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 8 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 36.0%–157.0%.
Why the margin moved: operating margin went +28.4 pp year on year while gross margin went +31.0 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.
→ Margins held — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit −38.9% in the latest quarter.
Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd earned ₹11.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −38.9% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹90.0 Cr. The 7-year compound rate is 72.3%. That is 11.1% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹18.0 Cr.
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd earned ₹11.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −38.9% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹90.0 Cr. The 7-year compound rate is 72.3%. That is 11.1% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹18.0 Cr.
Mar 26 profit was ₹11.0 Cr, −38.9% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹90.0 Cr (−10.0%), and the 7-year compound rate is 72.3%.
🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed −27.2% and the margin +28.0 pp — the quarter was margin-led: most of the profit growth came from keeping more of each sale.
Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −10.2% vs revenue +2.5%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.
→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: −137% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.
Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.
Over the last 3 fiscal years −137% of Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — a gap worth watching. In FY26 that was ₹−54.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹90.0 Cr of profit. After ₹34.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹−88.0 Cr was left as free cash.
FY26: operating cash of ₹−54.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹90.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−88.0 Cr after ₹34.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is −137% of profit.
Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.
🚨 Why conversion sits at −137%: the cash cycle tightened 46 days between FY21 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner. Less than 70% of profit arriving as cash is the thing to watch on this page.
Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 4.6× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.
→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: ₹64.0 Cr of building over 3 years.
Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 77 days in FY26, down from 123 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹64.0 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹556 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹1.5 Cr, so roughly ₹117 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.
FY26: debtors at 77 days (an asset-light business — no inventory to speak of) — for a full cycle of 77 days, tighter than FY21's 123.
In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹556 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹1.5 Cr — so the 77-day loop keeps roughly ₹117 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.
On the investment side: capital spending of ₹64.0 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹14.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹0.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.
The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.
→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 15% and the ROIC − WACC spread is −1.9 pp.
Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.⚠ unverified
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd earns a ROCE of 15% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 15% in FY20. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −1.9 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 16.2% net margin on 0.28× asset turns.
FY26 ROCE is 15%, recovered from a FY20 trough of 15% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.
🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 16.2% net margin × 0.28× asset turns × 1.97× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 8.9% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.
The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 10.1% − 12.0% = a −1.9 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.
→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.65.
Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.⚠ unverified
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd carries total debt of ₹645 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹993 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.65. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.84 in FY24 to 0.65 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.
Mar 26: total debt of ₹645 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹993 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.65. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.84 (FY24) to 0.65 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.
→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: Promoters cut 5.2 points over 8 quarters.
Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.
Promoters cut 5.2 points of Suraj Estate Developers Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes promoters to 69.8% of the company. Foreign institutions moved −1.2 points over the same window, to 1.3%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.
The register over the last two years — Promoters: −5.2 points over 8 quarters to 69.8%; Foreign institutions: −1.2 points over 8 quarters to 1.3%; Domestic institutions: −0.4 points over 8 quarters to 1.0%.
🚨 Why the register moved: promoters drove it (−5.2 points), alongside foreign institutions (−1.2 points) — distribution into the market’s bid.
→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.
Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.
The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.
| Company | P/E | Mkt cap | Revenue | EPS | ROCE | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suraj Estate Developers Ltd this page | 10.2× | ₹925 Cr | Topping out | |||
| SignatureGlobal India Ltd | 301.0× | ₹10,810 Cr | No read | |||
| Ganesh Housing Ltd | 25.1× | ₹6,666 Cr | Deteriorating | |||
| Valor Estate Ltd | — | ₹6,102 Cr | No read | |||
| Puravankara Ltd | 79.4× | ₹5,060 Cr | No read | |||
| Keystone Realtors Ltd | 64.0× | ₹5,046 Cr | Turning around | |||
| Sunteck Realty Ltd | 21.1× | ₹4,497 Cr | No read | |||
| Raymond Ltd | 0.7× | ₹3,917 Cr | Mixed | |||
| AGI Infra Ltd | 41.1× | ₹3,897 Cr | Consistent | |||
| Ashiana Housing Ltd | 33.0× | ₹3,887 Cr | Mixed | |||
| Hemisphere Properties India Ltd | — | ₹3,801 Cr | No read | |||
| Kesar India Ltd | 126.0× | ₹3,775 Cr | No read | |||
| Kolte Patil Developers Ltd | — | ₹3,470 Cr | No read | |||
| Arvind SmartSpaces Ltd | 29.0× | ₹2,792 Cr | Mixed | |||
| Hubtown Ltd | 18.7× | ₹2,771 Cr | Improving | |||
| Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd | 16.1× | ₹2,412 Cr | Turning around | |||
| Capacite Infraprojects Ltd | 9.5× | ₹1,800 Cr | Mixed | |||
| Omaxe Ltd | — | ₹1,603 Cr | No read | |||
| Shriram Properties Ltd | 14.4× | ₹1,451 Cr | Turning around | |||
| Laxmi Goldorna House Ltd | 86.9× | ₹1,021 Cr | — | — | — | — |
| Arihant Foundations & Housing Ltd | 17.3× | ₹1,018 Cr | Mixed | |||
| Eldeco Housing & Industries Ltd | 31.5× | ₹765 Cr | Turning around | |||
| PVP Ventures Ltd | — | ₹711 Cr | No read | |||
| Geecee Ventures Ltd | 16.6× | ₹699 Cr | Mixed | |||
| Peninsula Land Ltd | — | ₹534 Cr | No read | |||
| Suratwwala Business Group Ltd | 16.8× | ₹524 Cr | Turning around |
Frequently asked questions
What is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's share price today?
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd trades at ₹199, −38.9% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹925 Cr. The stock sits at 17% of its 52-week range of ₹178–₹301, −17.4% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a downtrend, 77 weeks in. — as of 24 July 2026.
What were Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's latest quarterly results?
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd reported revenue of ₹99.0 Cr and net profit of ₹11.0 Cr for the Mar 26 quarter. Revenue fell 27.2% and profit fell 38.9% year on year. Earnings per share were ₹2.25. The operating margin was 50.0%, 28.0 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 24 July 2026.
What is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's revenue?
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd reported revenue of ₹99.0 Cr in the Mar 26 quarter, −27.2% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹556 Cr (+1.3%). Over the last 7 years revenue compounded at 48.4% a year. — as of 24 July 2026.
What is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's profit?
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd earned ₹11.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −38.9% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹90.0 Cr. The operating margin ran 50.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 24 July 2026.
What is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's market cap?
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹925 Cr at a share price of ₹199. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 24 July 2026.
What is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's P/E ratio?
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd trades at a P/E of 10.2×, at the 8th percentile of its own 3-year range, against a long-run median of 15.0×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 24 July 2026.
Does Suraj Estate Developers Ltd pay a dividend?
Not in its latest year — Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's dividend payout was 0% of profit in FY26. It did record a payout in 1 of its last 8 reported fiscal years, so there is a history but no current dividend. — as of 24 July 2026.
Is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd overvalued?
On its own history, Suraj Estate Developers Ltd looks cheap against its own history: its P/E of 10.2× has been cheaper only 8% of the time in 3 years (long-run median 15.0×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 24 July 2026.
Is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd growing?
Not right now — Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's latest numbers are shrinking: latest-quarter revenue −27.2% year on year, profit −38.9%, and the margin +28.0 pp at 50.0%. The 7-year compound rates are 48.4% (revenue) and 72.3% (profit). The earnings engine currently reads: deteriorating — as of 24 July 2026.
How is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd performing?
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd is in a downtrend, 77 weeks in. Its latest quarter's revenue fell 27.2% and profit fell 38.9% year on year. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 12 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 24 July 2026.
What stage is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd in?
Topping out — revenue and profit growth have decelerated hard (revenue growth +36.0% at its peak → −27.2% latest) while ROCE still reads 15.0%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth −27.2% latest, profit growth −38.9% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 24 July 2026.
Is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd in an uptrend?
No — the price is in a downtrend (week 77 of stage 4), trading −17.4% versus its 200-day average and at 17% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 24 July 2026.
Is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd beating the market?
Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Suraj Estate Developers Ltd is currently behind the NIFTY 500 (12 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-05-29), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 2.6 years the stock moved −40% against the NIFTY 500's +20% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 24 July 2026.
Will Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's share price go up?
This page publishes no price forecast for Suraj Estate Developers Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹199, the price is in a downtrend 77 weeks in. Its P/E of 10.2× sits at the 8th percentile of its own 3-year range. — as of 24 July 2026.
Who owns Suraj Estate Developers Ltd?
Promoters hold 69.8% of Suraj Estate Developers Ltd, foreign institutions 1.3%, domestic institutions 1.0% and the public 27.9% (latest quarter). The biggest move on the register over the last two years: Promoters cut 5.2 points over 8 quarters. — as of 24 July 2026.
Does Suraj Estate Developers Ltd have too much debt?
It is moderate — Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's debt-to-equity is 0.65, and operating profit covers the interest bill 2×. FY26 borrowings were ₹645 Cr against equity of ₹993 Cr. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 24 July 2026.
What is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's capex?
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd spent ₹64.0 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹34.0 Cr, with ₹0.0 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 24 July 2026.
What is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's cash flow?
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd generated ₹−54.0 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹−88.0 Cr of free cash flow after ₹34.0 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹90.0 Cr, so operating cash ran behind profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 24 July 2026.
Is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's profit real cash?
Not fully — over the last 3 fiscal years, −137% of Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹−54.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹90.0 Cr. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 24 July 2026.
Where is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd in its business cycle?
Suraj Estate Developers Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 39.0%, against a 8-year band of 36.0%–157.0%: the low end of its own band, which is where recoveries start when they come. The latest quarter ran 50.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 24 July 2026.
What could break the Suraj Estate Developers Ltd story?
The sharpest disagreement: annual EPS moved −9.9% against a −38.9% price move — the market has not yet caught up with the delivery. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 24 July 2026.
Is Suraj Estate Developers Ltd a stock worth studying right now?
This is not investment advice. The machine read: Suraj Estate Developers Ltd is cheap for a reason. The P/E sits at the 8th percentile of its own range, and the quarters are still getting worse. The sharpest open question: whether the price catches up with earnings that have already moved. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 24 July 2026.