Reliance Infrastructure Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd trades at ₹66.4, in a downtrend and 42 weeks into that stage. That is −60.3% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 1% of a 52-week range of ₹64 to ₹390. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (47 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 42 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹66.4 it trades −60.3% versus its 200-day average and sits at 1% of its 52-week range (₹64–₹390).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.3 years the stock moved −87% while the NIFTY 500 moved +274% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (47 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2025-08-08) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 21st percentile of its own range.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd trades at 1.1× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 21% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 2.6×, measured across 10.4 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 1.1× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 21% of the time, against a long-run median of 2.6× measured over 10.4 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −43.1% against a −82.4% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the −3.6%/yr price move, ~+7.1%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−10.7 pp from the multiple (compressing); over 10y, of the −19.1%/yr price move, ~+6.3%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−25.4 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 12 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

4-Factor Sector Score

22.8/100 — rank 3 of 3 in Infra - Power - Generation/Distribution · 74% evidence confidence

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd scores 22.8 out of 100 against the 3 companies it is compared with in Infra - Power - Generation/Distribution, ranking 3. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 0 + 9.8 + 10 + 3 = 22.8. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd reported ₹4,001 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, −2.6% year on year. Over 10 years it has compounded at −2.7% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹20,441 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹20,441 Cr.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd reported ₹4,001 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, −2.6% year on year. Over 10 years it has compounded at −2.7% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹20,441 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹20,441 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹20,441 Cr (−16.4% on the year), capping 10 years at −2.7% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹4,001 Cr, −2.6% year on year.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged −12.3% growth against the decade's −2.7% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew −13.4% over the last 4 quarters against −3.7%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over.

→ Revenue slipped — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: −18.0% this quarter (−18.0 pp YoY).

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd's operating margin is −18.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −18.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −23.0% to 19.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd's operating margin is −18.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −18.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −23.0% to 19.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is −18.0%, −18.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −23.0%–19.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −18.4 pp year on year while gross margin went −15.4 pp — the loss came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

→ Margins slipped — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit −80.2% in the latest quarter.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd earned ₹1,640 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −80.2% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹4,838 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 21.4%. That is 41.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹8,262 Cr. 6 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd earned ₹1,640 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −80.2% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹4,838 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 21.4%. That is 41.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹8,262 Cr. 6 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was ₹1,640 Cr, −80.2% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹4,838 Cr (−47.3%), and the 10-year compound rate is 21.4%.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 45% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 45% of Reliance Infrastructure Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — a gap worth watching. In FY26 that was ₹2,550 Cr of operating cash against ₹4,838 Cr of profit. After ₹1,431 Cr of capital spending, ₹1,119 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹2,550 Cr against reported profit of ₹4,838 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹1,119 Cr after ₹1,431 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 45% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

🚨 Why conversion sits at 45%: the cash cycle tightened 60 days between FY21 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner. Less than 70% of profit arriving as cash is the thing to watch on this page.

Router verdict: no single sink dominates — the next section checks both the working-capital cycle and the capital spending.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: a 21-day cycle and ₹2,671 Cr of building.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 21 days in FY26, down from 81 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹2,671 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹20,441 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹56.0 Cr, so roughly ₹1,176 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 21 days (an asset-light business — no inventory to speak of) — for a full cycle of 21 days, tighter than FY21's 81.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹20,441 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹56.0 Cr — so the 21-day loop keeps roughly ₹1,176 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹2,671 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹4,390 Cr of depreciation — spending at or below maintenance level. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹842 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: neither the cycle nor the build-out is hoarding the cash — the machine is reasonably clean.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 15% and the ROIC − WACC spread is −9.7 pp.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd earns a ROCE of 15% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 5% in FY22. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −9.7 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 23.7% net margin on 0.29× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 15%, recovered from a FY22 trough of 5% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 23.7% net margin × 0.29× asset turns × 3.98× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 27.4% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 2.3% − 12.0% = a −9.7 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.28.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd carries total debt of ₹4,937 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹29,088 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.17 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.78 in FY22 to 0.17 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹4,937 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹29,088 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.17. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.78 (FY22) to 0.17 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: Foreign institutions cut 7.4 points over 8 quarters.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Foreign institutions cut 7.4 points of Reliance Infrastructure Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes foreign institutions to 4.9% of the company. Promoters moved +2.6 points over the same window, to 19.1%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Foreign institutions: −7.4 points over 8 quarters to 4.9%; Promoters: +2.6 points over 8 quarters to 19.1%; Domestic institutions: −1.5 points over 8 quarters to 0.8%. Note the structure: promoters hold under 20% — this is a widely-held company where institutions, not a family, set the direction.

🚨 Why the register moved: foreign institutions drove it (−7.4 points), absorbed on the other side by promoters (+2.6 points) — distribution into the market’s bid.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

Frequently asked questions