Orbit Exports Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Orbit Exports Ltd trades at ₹221, in a confirmed uptrend and 4 weeks into that stage. That is +17.1% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 80% of a 52-week range of ₹160 to ₹236. On relative strength it has no relative-strength read yet.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 4 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹221 it trades +17.1% versus its 200-day average and sits at 80% of its 52-week range (₹160–₹236).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 2 months the stock moved +32% while the NIFTY 500 moved +4% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: no trailing-13-week read yet — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 82nd percentile of its own range.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Orbit Exports Ltd trades at 19.8× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (82nd percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 14.4×, measured across 10.1 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 19.8× is at the pricey end of its own range (82nd percentile), against a long-run median of 14.4× measured over 10.1 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

Stage: Deteriorating Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Orbit Exports Ltd reads as deteriorating on its fundamental arc. Deteriorating — revenue and profit growth are shrinking (revenue growth −3.0% latest (single-quarter readings) against +26.9% at its 12-quarter best), ROCE slipping at 15.0%. The read is built from 9 quarters across 3 curves, on partial evidence.

🚨 Why it matters: falling curves mean every cheap-looking ratio below needs a discount for direction.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

4-Factor Sector Score

46.4/100 — rank 3 of 5 in Textiles - Weaving · 65% evidence confidence

Orbit Exports Ltd scores 46.4 out of 100 against the 5 companies it is compared with in Textiles - Weaving, ranking 3. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 9.4 + 15.8 + 8.7 + 12.5 = 46.4. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Orbit Exports Ltd reported ₹49.3 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, −3.0% year on year. Over 10 years it has compounded at 4.6% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹231 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹231 Cr.

Orbit Exports Ltd reported ₹49.3 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, −3.0% year on year. Over 10 years it has compounded at 4.6% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹231 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹231 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹231 Cr (+6.0% on the year), capping 10 years at 4.6% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹49.3 Cr, −3.0% year on year.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +6.3% growth against the decade's 4.6% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +6.1% over the last 4 quarters against +7.4%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit −16.4% vs −2.2%/yr — rolling over.

→ Revenue slipped — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 15.2% this quarter (−7.4 pp YoY).

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Orbit Exports Ltd's operating margin is 15.2% in the Mar 26 quarter, −7.4 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 16.0% to 30.0%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

Orbit Exports Ltd's operating margin is 15.2% in the Mar 26 quarter, −7.4 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 16.0% to 30.0%. The current quarter is running below every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 15.2%, −7.4 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 16.0%–30.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −7.4 pp year on year while gross margin went −1.6 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

→ Margins slipped — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit −84.9% in the latest quarter.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Orbit Exports Ltd earned ₹1.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −84.9% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹33.0 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 3.7%. That is 2.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹6.6 Cr.

Orbit Exports Ltd earned ₹1.0 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, −84.9% year on year. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹33.0 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 3.7%. That is 2.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹6.6 Cr.

Mar 26 profit was ₹1.0 Cr, −84.9% year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹33.0 Cr (−15.4%), and the 10-year compound rate is 3.7%.

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed −3.0% and the margin −7.4 pp — the quarter was revenue-led despite a thinner margin.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −17.4% vs revenue +6.3%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 125% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 125% of Orbit Exports Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹57.0 Cr of operating cash against ₹33.0 Cr of profit. After ₹25.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹32.0 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹57.0 Cr against reported profit of ₹33.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹32.0 Cr after ₹25.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 125% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 125%: the cash cycle tightened 218 days between FY21 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner.

Router verdict: no single sink dominates — the next section checks both the working-capital cycle and the capital spending.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: a 222-day cycle and ₹32.0 Cr of building.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Orbit Exports Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 222 days in FY26, down from 440 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹32.0 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹231 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹0.6 Cr, so roughly ₹140 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 42 days, inventory at 240 days — roughly 7.9 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 222 days, tighter than FY21's 440.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 240 days to sell; customers pay about 42 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 60 days — netting out to the 222-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹231 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹0.6 Cr — so the 222-day loop keeps roughly ₹140 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹32.0 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹44.0 Cr of depreciation — spending at or below maintenance level. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹0.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: neither the cycle nor the build-out is hoarding the cash — the machine is reasonably clean.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 15% and the ROIC − WACC spread is −3.3 pp.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Orbit Exports Ltd earns a ROCE of 15% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 3% in FY21. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −3.3 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 14.3% net margin on 0.62× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 15%, recovered from a FY21 trough of 3% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 14.3% net margin × 0.62× asset turns × 1.21× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 10.7% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 8.7% − 12.0% = a −3.3 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.05.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

Orbit Exports Ltd carries ₹16.0 Cr of borrowings against ₹308 Cr of equity in FY26, a debt-to-equity of 0.05. Operating profit covers the interest bill 50×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹21.0 Cr to ₹16.0 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹32.0 Cr across the last 3 of those years.

FY26: borrowings of ₹16.0 Cr against equity of ₹308 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.05. Operating profit covers the interest bill 50×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹21.0 Cr to ₹16.0 Cr while capital spending ran ₹32.0 Cr in just the last 3 — the build-out is being paid for out of cash, not debt.

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: the register is quiet.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of Orbit Exports Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. Foreign institutions moved −0.1 points over the same window, to 0.0%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: −0.1 points over 8 quarters to 66.0%; Foreign institutions: −0.1 points over 8 quarters to 0.0%.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Orbit Exports Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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