Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-24
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-24

Nitco Ltd

NITCO
Ceramics/Tiles/Sanitaryware

Nitco Ltd's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

The sharpest disagreement: Promoters moved −27.6 points over 8 quarters while the operating story went the other way — someone close to the numbers is not convinced.

The price is in a confirmed uptrend (4 weeks in). Underneath, the last four quarters read improving, and 101% of the last 2 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the register turns back in the story’s favour.

Price
₹111
−22.3% 1Y
P/E
76.1×
of its own 0-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
₹152 Cr
+62.9% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
₹−7.8 Cr
Operating margin
−3.2%
+3.3 pp YoY
ROCE
7%
FY26
ROIC
4.4%
vs WACC 12.0% → −7.6 pp
Cash conversion
101%
of profit, last 2 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Nitco Ltd trades at ₹111, in a confirmed uptrend and 4 weeks into that stage. That is +12.9% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 85% of a 52-week range of ₹65 to ₹119. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 21 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 4 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹111 it trades +12.9% versus its 200-day average and sits at 85% of its 52-week range (₹65–₹119).

Jul 26: ₹111 Weekly closing price (₹) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
+12.9% versus the 200-day line, week 4 of stage 2
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S4S2S4₹165₹126₹85.9₹46.3₹6.7₹111₹98Jul 23Apr 24Feb 25Nov 25Jul 26
S4S2S4₹165₹126₹85.9₹46.3₹6.7₹111₹98Jul 23Feb 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (547 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the NIFTY 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the NIFTY 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the NIFTY 500
Mar 16Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.3 years the stock moved +184% while the NIFTY 500 moved +274% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 21 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: how the P/E reads against its own history.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Nitco Ltd trades at 76.1× P/E, against too little history to rank. Its long-run median P/E is 68.9×, measured across 0.4 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 76.1× is against too little history to rank, against a long-run median of 68.9× measured over 0.4 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 76.1× vs a 68.9× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly (right axis). 0.4-year window. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
against too little history to rank
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
88.6×₹1.875.4×₹1.362.2×₹0.949.0×₹0.435.8×₹0.0×76.00×₹1Feb 26Apr 26May 26Jun 26Jul 26
88.6×₹1.875.4×₹1.362.2×₹0.949.0×₹0.435.8×₹0.0×76.00×₹1Feb 26May 26Jul 26
P/E
76.1×
too little history to rank
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Nitco Ltd reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 12 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.

Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
Revenue
80%52%23%−5.7%−34%%72.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
80%52%23%−5.7%−34%%72.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
17%−2.7%−23%−42%−62%%6.6%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
17%−2.7%−23%−42%−62%%6.6%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Flat
latest +72.4% · span −26.4% to +72.4%
ROCE
Rising
latest 6.6% · span −56.7%–11.6%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Growth, year by year: revenue +72.6% in FY26, profit null Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
81%−128%51%−129%22%−130%−7.6%−132%−37%−133%%%72.6%−132.4%FY16FY21FY26
81%−128%51%−129%22%−130%−7.6%−132%−37%−133%%%72.6%−132.4%FY16FY21FY26
TTM growth by quarter Trailing-twelve-month growth versus the year-ago TTM, per quarter, %: revenue (left axis); profit and EPS (right axis). The acceleration read compares the last 4 quarters (+72.4%) with the last 8 annualized (+29.1%).
revenue accelerating
Revenue TTM YoY
80%52%23%−5.7%−34%%72.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
80%52%23%−5.7%−34%%72.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; share price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+72.6%+12.2%+10.6%−4.2%
Share price−22.3%+75.7%+32.5%+5.4%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+62.9%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
−4.2%
long-run compound pace

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

60.4/100 — rank 3 of 6 in Ceramics/Tiles/Sanitaryware · 81% evidence confidence

Nitco Ltd scores 60.4 out of 100 against the 6 companies it is compared with in Ceramics/Tiles/Sanitaryware, ranking 3. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 26.6 + 6.8 + 7.6 + 19.4 = 60.4. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Nitco Ltd reported ₹152 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +62.9% year on year. That is the 6th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at −4.2% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹542 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹542 Cr.

Nitco Ltd reported ₹152 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +62.9% year on year. That is the 6th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at −4.2% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹542 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹542 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹542 Cr (+72.6% on the year), capping 10 years at −4.2% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹152 Cr, +62.9% year on year — the 6th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY26 revenue ₹542 Cr (+72.6% YoY) Revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
−4.2% a year over 10 years
RevenueYoY growth
89981%67451%44922%225−7.6%0−37%₹ Cr%₹54272.6%FY16FY21FY26
89981%67451%44922%225−7.6%0−37%₹ Cr%₹54272.6%FY16FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹152 Cr (+62.9% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
6th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
165126%12383%8241%410.0%0−44%₹ Cr%₹15262.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
165126%12383%8241%410.0%0−44%₹ Cr%₹15262.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +73.9% growth against the decade's −4.2% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +72.4% over the last 4 quarters against +29.1%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating.

→ Revenue grew — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: −3.2% this quarter (+3.3 pp YoY).

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Nitco Ltd's operating margin is −3.2% in the Mar 26 quarter, +3.3 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −15.0% to 5.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

Nitco Ltd's operating margin is −3.2% in the Mar 26 quarter, +3.3 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −15.0% to 5.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is −3.2%, +3.3 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −15.0%–5.0%, and FY26's 5.0% is the top of that band — a record year.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +3.3 pp year on year while gross margin went +1.3 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.

FY26: 5.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 13-year window.
the widest a −15.0–5.0% band over 13 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
6.6%18%0.8%11%−5.0%3.0%−11%−4.5%−17%−12%%%5%16%FY14FY20FY26
6.6%18%0.8%11%−5.0%3.0%−11%−4.5%−17%−12%%%5%16%FY14FY20FY26
Mar 26: −3.2% operating margin (+3.3 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
38%54%20%35%1.5%16%−17%−3.0%−35%−22%%%−3.2%3.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
38%54%20%35%1.5%16%−17%−3.0%−35%−22%%%−3.2%3.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Margins held — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit null in the latest quarter.

07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Nitco Ltd posted a net loss of ₹7.8 Cr in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹29.0 Cr. That loss is 5.1% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost ₹2.9 Cr. 10 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Nitco Ltd posted a net loss of ₹7.8 Cr in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹29.0 Cr. That loss is 5.1% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost ₹2.9 Cr. 10 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was ₹−7.8 Cr, null year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹29.0 Cr (null).

FY26 profit ₹29.0 Cr (null YoY) Net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 11-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profitYoY growth
259−131.2%0−131.8%−278−132.4%−547−133.0%−815−133.6%₹ Cr%₹29−132.4%FY16FY21FY26
259−131.2%0−131.8%−278−132.4%−547−133.0%−815−133.6%₹ Cr%₹29−132.4%FY16FY21FY26
Mar 26: ₹−7.8 Cr (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, ₹ Cr (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)
104−101−306−512−717₹ Cr₹−8Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
104−101−306−512−717₹ Cr₹−8Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 101% of the last 2 years' profit arrived as cash.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 2 fiscal years 101% of Nitco Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹−153 Cr of operating cash against ₹29.0 Cr of profit. After ₹−16.0 Cr of capital spending, ₹−137 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹−153 Cr against reported profit of ₹29.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−137 Cr after ₹−16.0 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 2 fiscal years the conversion rate is 101% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO ₹−153 Cr vs profit ₹29.0 Cr Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, ₹ Cr; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 11-year window, annual resolution.
101% of 2-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
459137−186−508−830₹ Cr₹−153₹29₹−137FY16FY21FY26
459137−186−508−830₹ Cr₹−153₹29₹−137FY16FY21FY26
FY26: CFO = −528% of profit (three-year rate 101%) Operating cash as a share of net profit, per fiscal year, % (line). Dashed line = 100% — every unit of profit arriving as cash.
Conversion100%
258%47%−164%−375%−586%%−528%FY16FY21FY26
258%47%−164%−375%−586%%−528%FY16FY21FY26

Why conversion sits at 101%: the cash cycle stretched 131 days between FY21 and FY26 — more of each rupee of profit waits inside the cycle before arriving.

Router verdict: no single sink dominates — the next section checks both the working-capital cycle and the capital spending.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: a 444-day cycle and ₹−3.0 Cr of building.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Nitco Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 444 days in FY26, up from 313 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹−3.0 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹542 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹1.5 Cr, so roughly ₹659 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 113 days, inventory at 448 days — roughly 14.7 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 444 days, looser than FY21's 313.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 448 days to sell; customers pay about 113 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 118 days — netting out to the 444-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹542 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹1.5 Cr — so the 444-day loop keeps roughly ₹659 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

FY26: a 444-day cash cycle Debtor days, inventory days, payable days and the cash conversion cycle by fiscal year. 13-year window.
+131 days vs FY21
Cash cycleInventory daysDebtor daysPayable days
6144613071530days444d448d113d118dFY14FY17FY20FY23FY26
6144613071530days444d448d113d118dFY14FY20FY26

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹−3.0 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹211 Cr of depreciation — spending at or below maintenance level. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹11.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

FY26: capex ₹−16.0 Cr, work-in-progress ₹11.0 Cr Capital spending per fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); capital work-in-progress, ₹ Cr (line). Quarterly capital-spending history is not held for India — annual is the honest resolution.
steady investment
CapexWork-in-progress
185−9−22−35₹ Cr₹−16₹11FY16FY18FY21FY23FY26
185−9−22−35₹ Cr₹−16₹11FY16FY21FY26

The synthesis: neither the cycle nor the build-out is hoarding the cash — the machine is reasonably clean.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 7% and the ROIC − WACC spread is −7.6 pp.

10 · Return on capital

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Nitco Ltd earns a ROCE of 7% in FY26. That is up from a trough of −43% in FY25. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −7.6 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 5.4% net margin on 0.50× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 7%, recovered from a FY25 trough of −43% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 5.4% net margin × 0.50× asset turns × 2.99× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 8.1% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 4.4% − 12.0% = a −7.6 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

FY26: ROCE 7% Return on capital employed by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 13-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 12.0% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY25's −43%
ROCEROIC (annual)WACC
19%−6.9%−33%−59%−85%%7%4.8%FY14FY20FY26
19%−6.9%−33%−59%−85%%7%4.8%FY14FY20FY26
Q4 FY26: ROCE 4.1% (TTM) vs WACC 12.0% Trailing-twelve-month ROCE and ROIC, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROCE (TTM)ROIC (TTM)WACC
555%395%235%75%−85%%4.1%−1%Q2 FY22Q4 FY24Q4 FY26
555%395%235%75%−85%%4.1%−1%Q2 FY22Q4 FY24Q4 FY26

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.86.

11 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Nitco Ltd carries total debt of ₹314 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹365 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.86. On the annual view that ratio went from −3.81 in FY22 to 0.86 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹314 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹365 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.86. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from −3.81 (FY22) to 0.86 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY26: debt ₹314 Cr at 0.86× equity Total debt by fiscal year, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
1.1k1.6×7990.1×533−1.3×266−2.8×0−4.2×₹ Cr×₹3140.86×FY22FY24FY26
1.1k1.6×7990.1×533−1.3×266−2.8×0−4.2×₹ Cr×₹3140.86×FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: debt ₹314 Cr, debt-to-equity 0.86 Total debt per quarter, ₹ Cr (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters. India reports the full balance sheet half-yearly, so the intervening quarter carries the prior reading forward.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
1.1k1.5×7990.4×533−0.6×266−1.6×0−2.7×₹ Cr×₹3140.86×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.1k1.5×7990.4×533−0.6×266−1.6×0−2.7×₹ Cr×₹3140.86×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: Promoters cut 27.6 points over 8 quarters.

12 · Ownership

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Promoters cut 27.6 points of Nitco Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes promoters to 20.2% of the company. Domestic institutions moved −13.4 points over the same window, to 0.6%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: −27.6 points over 8 quarters to 20.2%; Domestic institutions: −13.4 points over 8 quarters to 0.6%; Foreign institutions: +2.1 points over 8 quarters to 2.3%.

Why the register moved: rotation — foreign institutions +2.1 points against domestic institutions −13.4 points over 8 quarters, with promoters −27.6 points — one class of institutions handing the register to the other, not a verdict change by the people closest to the numbers.

Fiscal-year ends: promoters −27.8 pts from Mar 24 to Mar 26 Shareholding at each fiscal-year end (March quarter), % of the company. 3 year-ends held.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
88%64%41%17%−6.4%%20.2%2.3%1.5%76.0%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
88%64%41%17%−6.4%%20.2%2.3%1.5%76.0%Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26
Promoters cut 27.6 points over 8 quarters Shareholding by holder class, % of the company, quarterly, last 13 quarters.
PromotersForeign inst.Domestic inst.Public
88%64%41%17%−6.5%%20.2%2.3%0.6%76.9%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26
88%64%41%17%−6.5%%20.2%2.3%0.6%76.9%Jun 23Dec 24Jun 26

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

13 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Nitco Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

Related companies · same sector · Ceramics/Tiles/Sanitaryware Every company is compared on the shape of its own curves, not static ratios. The Revenue, EPS and ROCE columns each draw that company's last 12 quarters as a mini line of the ACTUAL level (trailing-twelve-month revenue and EPS, and the ROCE itself) — so a line that climbs is a business getting bigger, a line that sinks is one shrinking. The colour tracks the same line: green when it is rising or steadily healthy, amber when it is rolling over from a high (still elevated but turning down), red when it is falling, grey when flat or stuck. Colour and direction always agree — a green line never points down. The ROCE curve is the return on capital (annual readings for peers, so a slightly coarser line than the quarterly one at the top of this page). The Stage column then runs the same 12-quarter trajectory classifier used at the top of the page on each company and names where it sits. What lands a company in each bucket: CONSISTENT — growth stays positive across the window and returns are healthy (ROCE ≥ 15%, or ROE ≥ 12% for lenders); IMPROVING — profit or EPS fell into real decline, bottomed a few quarters back, and has climbed back to positive and held there; TURNING AROUND — the same kind of trough but more recent, with the latest quarters just lifting off it (an early, unconfirmed turn); TOPPING OUT — growth is still positive but decelerating hard from its own peak while returns have stopped rising; DETERIORATING — two or more growth curves are shrinking (latest below zero) and staying there, not one soft quarter; MIXED — the curves genuinely disagree, or no clean majority, so no single word fits; NO READ — fewer than eight usable quarters. It is a like-for-like read of every company against its own past, not a ranking against the group.
CompanyP/EMkt capRevenueEPSROCEStage
Nitco Ltd this page76.1×₹2,505 CrNo read
Kajaria Ceramics Ltd36.7×₹19,091 CrTurning around
Cera Sanitaryware Ltd31.4×₹7,760 CrMixed
Somany Ceramics Ltd24.4×₹2,037 CrTurning around
Hindware Home Innovation Ltd1,323.0×₹1,772 CrNo read
Asian Granito India Ltd76.0×₹1,585 CrNo read
12 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Nitco Ltd's share price today?

Nitco Ltd trades at ₹111, −22.3% over the past year. The company is valued at ₹2,505 Cr. The stock sits at 85% of its 52-week range of ₹65–₹119, +12.9% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is in a confirmed uptrend, 4 weeks in. — as of 24 July 2026.

What were Nitco Ltd's latest quarterly results?

Nitco Ltd reported revenue of ₹152 Cr and a net loss of ₹7.8 Cr for the Mar 26 quarter. Earnings per share were ₹−0.32. The operating margin was −3.2%, 3.3 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 24 July 2026.

What is Nitco Ltd's revenue?

Nitco Ltd reported revenue of ₹152 Cr in the Mar 26 quarter, +62.9% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was ₹542 Cr (+72.6%). Over the last 10 years revenue compounded at −4.2% a year. — as of 24 July 2026.

What is Nitco Ltd's profit?

Nitco Ltd earned ₹−7.8 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹29.0 Cr. The operating margin ran −3.2% in the latest quarter. — as of 24 July 2026.

What is Nitco Ltd's market cap?

Nitco Ltd's market capitalisation is ₹2,505 Cr at a share price of ₹111. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 24 July 2026.

Does Nitco Ltd pay a dividend?

No — Nitco Ltd has recorded a dividend payout of 0% of profit in each of its last 13 reported fiscal years, so there is no payout history to quote. That is a reading of the filed annual statements, not an estimate. — as of 24 July 2026.

How is Nitco Ltd performing?

Nitco Ltd is in a confirmed uptrend, 4 weeks in. Against the NIFTY 500 it has been ahead on a trailing-13-week view for 21 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 24 July 2026.

Is Nitco Ltd in an uptrend?

Yes — the price is in a confirmed uptrend (week 4 of stage 2), trading +12.9% versus its 200-day average and at 85% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 24 July 2026.

Is Nitco Ltd beating the market?

On recent form, yes — Nitco Ltd has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 21 straight weeks, the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.3 years the stock moved +184% against the NIFTY 500's +274% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 24 July 2026.

Will Nitco Ltd's share price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Nitco Ltd. What it measures instead: the share price is ₹111, the price is in a confirmed uptrend 4 weeks in. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 24 July 2026.

Who owns Nitco Ltd?

Promoters hold 20.2% of Nitco Ltd, foreign institutions 2.3%, domestic institutions 0.6% and the public 76.9% (latest quarter). The biggest move on the register over the last two years: Promoters cut 27.6 points over 8 quarters. — as of 24 July 2026.

Does Nitco Ltd have too much debt?

It is moderate — Nitco Ltd's debt-to-equity is 0.86, and operating profit covers the interest bill 3×. FY26 borrowings were ₹314 Cr against equity of ₹365 Cr. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 24 July 2026.

What is Nitco Ltd's capex?

Nitco Ltd spent ₹−3.0 Cr on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was ₹−16.0 Cr, with ₹11.0 Cr in capital work-in-progress — capacity paid for but not yet earning. — as of 24 July 2026.

What is Nitco Ltd's cash flow?

Nitco Ltd generated ₹−153 Cr of operating cash flow in FY26 and ₹−137 Cr of free cash flow after ₹−16.0 Cr of capital spending. Reported profit that year was ₹29.0 Cr, so operating cash ran behind profit. Cash-flow resolution for India is annual. — as of 24 July 2026.

Is Nitco Ltd's profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 2 fiscal years, 101% of Nitco Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was ₹−153 Cr against reported profit of ₹29.0 Cr. The cash then goes into a mix of the working-capital cycle and capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 24 July 2026.

Where is Nitco Ltd in its business cycle?

Nitco Ltd's FY26 operating margin was 5.0%, against a 13-year band of −15.0%–5.0%: the top of the band — a record year. Record profitability is late-cycle territory: every ratio flatters at the top, and the story leans on margins holding. The latest quarter ran −3.2%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 24 July 2026.

What could break the Nitco Ltd story?

The sharpest disagreement: Promoters moved −27.6 points over 8 quarters while the operating story went the other way — someone close to the numbers is not convinced. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 24 July 2026.

Is Nitco Ltd a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Nitco Ltd's three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: whether the register turns back in the story’s favour. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 24 July 2026.

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