National Highways Infra Trust

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

National Highways Infra Trust trades at ₹169, in a confirmed uptrend and 115 weeks into that stage. That is +13.6% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 96% of a 52-week range of ₹133 to ₹170. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 4 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 115 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹169 it trades +13.6% versus its 200-day average and sits at 96% of its 52-week range (₹133–₹170).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 4.7 years the stock moved +66% while the NIFTY 500 moved +51% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 4 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 24th percentile of its own range.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

National Highways Infra Trust trades at 47.5× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 24% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 62.7×, measured across 3.9 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 47.5× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 24% of the time, against a long-run median of 62.7× measured over 3.9 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +110.7% against a +27.2% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +12.4%/yr price move, ~+0.0%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+12.4 pp from the multiple (expanding). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

Stage: Turning around Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

National Highways Infra Trust reads as turning around on its fundamental arc. Turning around — EPS growth swung from −41.4% at the trough to +65.9% off a 4-quarter-old trough, ROCE holding at 4.0%. The read is built from 8 quarters across 4 curves, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: growth inflections are where re-ratings start — the curves say a turn is forming, so the question becomes whether the next quarters confirm it.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

4-Factor Sector Score

58.2/100 — rank 1 of 9 in Infrastructure Investment Trusts · 58% evidence confidence

National Highways Infra Trust scores 58.2 out of 100 against the 9 companies it is compared with in Infrastructure Investment Trusts, ranking 1. Fill the missing evidence before acting; the ranking is deliberately pulled toward neutral.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 25.4 + 10.8 + 5 + 17 = 58.2. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if ROA rolls over or gross NPA rises while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

National Highways Infra Trust reported ₹1,145 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +77.0% year on year. That is the 11th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹4,322 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹4,274 Cr.

National Highways Infra Trust reported ₹1,145 Cr of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +77.0% year on year. That is the 11th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹4,322 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹4,274 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹4,322 Cr (+79.1% on the year). The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed ₹1,145 Cr, +77.0% year on year — the 11th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +80.8% over the last 4 quarters against +112.7%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over; TTM profit +110.8% vs +52.4%/yr — accelerating.

→ Revenue grew — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 77.0% this quarter (−9.0 pp YoY).

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

National Highways Infra Trust's operating margin is 77.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −9.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 74.0% to 82.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

National Highways Infra Trust's operating margin is 77.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −9.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 74.0% to 82.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 77.0%, −9.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 74.0%–82.0%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −8.7 pp year on year while gross margin went +0.0 pp — the loss came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

→ Margins slipped — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit +45.4% in the latest quarter.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

National Highways Infra Trust earned ₹205 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +45.4% year on year. It is the 5th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹686 Cr. That is 17.9% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹141 Cr.

National Highways Infra Trust earned ₹205 Cr of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter, +45.4% year on year. It is the 5th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹686 Cr. That is 17.9% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹141 Cr.

Mar 26 profit was ₹205 Cr, +45.4% year on year — the 5th consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹686 Cr (+111.1%).

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +77.0% and the margin −9.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led despite a thinner margin.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +155.7% vs revenue +80.9%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra rupee of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 515% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 515% of National Highways Infra Trust's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹3,820 Cr of operating cash against ₹686 Cr of profit. After ₹18,235 Cr of capital spending, ₹−14,415 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹3,820 Cr against reported profit of ₹686 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−14,415 Cr after ₹18,235 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 515% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 515%: the cash cycle tightened 11 days between FY22 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 14.2× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: ₹35,388 Cr of building over 3 years.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

National Highways Infra Trust's cash conversion cycle runs 4 days in FY26, down from 15 days in FY22. Capital spending ran ₹35,388 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹4,322 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹11.8 Cr, so roughly ₹47.0 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 4 days (an asset-light business — no inventory to speak of) — for a full cycle of 4 days, tighter than FY22's 15.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹4,322 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹11.8 Cr — so the 4-day loop keeps roughly ₹47.0 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹35,388 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹2,496 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹0.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 4%.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

National Highways Infra Trust earns a ROCE of 4% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 3% in FY22. A return-on-invested-capital spread against the cost of capital is not computable from what is held here. The wiring behind it is 15.9% net margin on 0.08× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 4%, recovered from a FY22 trough of 3% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 15.9% net margin × 0.08× asset turns × 2.14× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 2.7% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 1.05.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

National Highways Infra Trust carries ₹25,048 Cr of borrowings against ₹23,801 Cr of equity in FY26, a debt-to-equity of 1.05. Operating profit covers the interest bill 2×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹25,048 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹35,388 Cr across the last 3 of those years.

FY26: borrowings of ₹25,048 Cr against equity of ₹23,801 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 1.05. Operating profit covers the interest bill 2×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹0.0 Cr to ₹25,048 Cr while capital spending ran ₹35,388 Cr in just the last 3 — part of the build-out is riding on borrowed money.

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: the register is quiet.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of National Highways Infra Trust moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — .

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

National Highways Infra Trust: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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