Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-29
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-29

Nathan's Famous, Inc.

NATH
Consumer Discretionary · Restaurants

Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s balance sheet is under water — net worth is negative, so it owes more than it owns. This is a distressed, high-risk situation — the equity can be wiped by dilution or restructuring before operations recover. Not a value setup.

Biggest watch item: the P/E sits at the 73rd percentile of its own range — the multiple has already done part of the work.

The price is between stages while the P/E sits at the 73rd percentile of its own 1-year range. But the balance sheet is under water: net worth is negative, so shareholders sit behind everyone the company owes. What settles it: whether the business can earn its way back to positive equity before dilution or restructuring gets there first.

Stage
Deteriorating
partial read
Price
$99.4
+3.9% 1Y
P/E
20.5×
73rd pctile
of its own 1-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
$0.0 B
+33.3% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
$0.0 B
Operating margin
25.0%
−8.3 pp YoY
ROIC
68.0%
vs WACC 5.5% → +62.5 pp
Cash conversion
117%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Nathan's Famous, Inc. trades at $99.4, between stages. That is −0.6% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 42% of a 52-week range of $90 to $113. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (15 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is between stages. At $99.4 it trades −0.6% versus its 200-day average and sits at 42% of its 52-week range ($90–$113).

Jul 26: $99.4 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 1-year window.
−0.6% versus the 200-day line, week — of stage —
Price50-day avg200-day avg
$115$109$102$94.8$88.0$$99$100Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26
$115$109$102$94.8$88.0$$99$100Jul 25Jan 26Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2025 Each cell is one week from 2025 to now (56 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 25Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 1.0 years the stock moved −12% while the S&P 500 moved +19% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (15 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-04-17) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 73rd percentile of its own range.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

Nathan's Famous, Inc. trades at 20.5× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (73rd percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 19.4×, measured across 1.0 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 20.5× is at the pricey end of its own range (73rd percentile), against a long-run median of 19.4× measured over 1.0 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 20.5× vs a 19.4× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly step line (right axis). 1.0-year window; loss-period spikes above 21× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
at the pricey end of its own range (73rd percentile)
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
21.4×$6.220.0×$4.718.6×$3.117.2×$1.615.8×$0.0×$20.49×$5Jul 25Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26
21.4×$6.220.0×$4.718.6×$3.117.2×$1.615.8×$0.0×$20.49×$5Jul 25Jan 26Jul 26
PEG 5.03 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Computed here as quarter-end P/E ÷ trailing-twelve-month EPS growth (only quarters with positive growth), because a reported quarterly PEG is not held for this stock. Last 10 quarters; values above 6 pinned at the top.
above 1.0, the multiple already banks the growth
PEGPEG = 1.0
6.4×4.8×3.2×1.6×0.0××5.03×Jun 23Dec 23Jun 24Dec 24Sep 25
6.4×4.8×3.2×1.6×0.0××5.03×Jun 23Jun 24Sep 25
P/E
20.5×
73rd percentile of 1y
PEG
n/m
not derivable — 3-year earnings growth unavailable

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −17.4% against a +3.9% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

03 · Stage: Deteriorating

Stage: Deteriorating Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Nathan's Famous, Inc. reads as deteriorating on its fundamental arc. Deteriorating — profit and EPS growth are shrinking (profit growth −33.3% latest against +100.0% at its 12-quarter best). The read is built from 12 quarters across 3 curves, on partial evidence.

Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
RevenueProfitEPS
23%111%17%72%11%33%4.5%−5.3%−1.7%−44%%%21.4%−33.3%−17.4%Jun 23Dec 23Sep 24Jun 25Mar 26
23%111%17%72%11%33%4.5%−5.3%−1.7%−44%%%21.4%−33.3%−17.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Rising
latest +21.4% · span +0.0% to +21.4%
Profit growth
Falling
latest −33.3% · span −33.3% to +100.0%
EPS growth
Falling
latest −17.4% · span −17.4% to +33.5%

🚨 Why it matters: falling curves mean every cheap-looking ratio below needs a discount for direction.

The return-on-capital curve is not shown — net worth is negative, so a return on capital is not a meaningful number in any basis. This is a distressed balance sheet, and the stage is read from the growth curves alone.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

Growth, year by year: revenue +6.7% in FY26, profit +0.0% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
19%109%16%75%12%41%9.1%7.3%5.8%−27%%%6.7%0%FY22FY24FY26
19%109%16%75%12%41%9.1%7.3%5.8%−27%%%6.7%0%FY22FY24FY26
TTM growth by quarter Trailing-twelve-month growth versus the year-ago TTM, per quarter, %: revenue (left axis); profit and EPS (right axis). The acceleration read compares the last 4 quarters (+21.4%) with the last 8 annualized (+10.2%).
revenue accelerating, profit rolling over
Revenue TTM YoYProfit TTM YoYEPS TTM YoY
23%111%17%72%11%33%4.5%−5.3%−1.7%−44%%%21.4%−33.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
23%111%17%72%11%33%4.5%−5.3%−1.7%−44%%%21.4%−33.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+6.7%+7.2%
Profit+0.0%+0.0%
EPS−17.4%+0.3%
Stock price+3.9%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+33.3%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
9.8%
long-run compound pace

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

No sector-relative score — Nathan's Famous, Inc. is not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison for Restaurants.

The score is a rank WITHIN a peer set: every metric is scored by percentile against the other members. Without the peer set there is no score to state, so none is invented here.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Nathan's Famous, Inc. reported $0.0 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +33.3% year on year. Over 4 years it has compounded at 9.8% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at $0.2 B. The last four reported quarters add to $0.2 B.

Nathan's Famous, Inc. reported $0.0 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +33.3% year on year. Over 4 years it has compounded at 9.8% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at $0.2 B. The last four reported quarters add to $0.2 B.

FY26 revenue came in at $0.2 B (+6.7% on the year), capping 4 years at 9.8% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $0.0 B, +33.3% year on year.

FY26 revenue $0.2 B (+6.7% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
9.8% a year over 4 years
RevenueYoY growth
0.1719%0.1316%0.0912%0.049.1%0.005.8%$ B%$0B6.7%FY22FY24FY26
0.1719%0.1316%0.0912%0.049.1%0.005.8%$ B%$0B6.7%FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: $0.0 B (+33.3% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
0.0536%0.0426%0.0317%0.017.0%0.00−2.7%$ B%$0B33.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.0536%0.0426%0.0317%0.017.0%0.00−2.7%$ B%$0B33.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +20.8% growth against the decade's 9.8% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +21.4% over the last 4 quarters against +10.2%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit −33.3% vs +0.0%/yr — rolling over.

→ Revenue grew — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 25.0% this quarter (−8.3 pp YoY).

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s operating margin is 25.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −8.3 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 18.8% to 30.8%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s operating margin is 25.0% in the Mar 26 quarter, −8.3 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 18.8% to 30.8%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 25.0%, −8.3 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 18.8%–30.8%.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −8.3 pp year on year while gross margin went −8.3 pp — the loss came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

FY26: 18.8% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
within a 18.8–30.8% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
32%6.5%28%2.2%25%−2.0%21%−6.3%18%−11%%%18.8%−7.9%FY22FY24FY26
32%6.5%28%2.2%25%−2.0%21%−6.3%18%−11%%%18.8%−7.9%FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: 25.0% operating margin (−8.3 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
34%0.7%31%−1.7%27%−4.2%23%−6.6%19%−9.0%%%25%−8.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
34%0.7%31%−1.7%27%−4.2%23%−6.6%19%−9.0%%%25%−8.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Margins slipped — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit null in the latest quarter.

07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Nathan's Famous, Inc. earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was $0.0 B. The 4-year compound rate is 18.9%. That is 0.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.0 B.

Nathan's Famous, Inc. earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was $0.0 B. The 4-year compound rate is 18.9%. That is 0.0% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.0 B.

Mar 26 profit was $0.0 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY26 printed $0.0 B (+0.0%), and the 4-year compound rate is 18.9%.

FY26 profit $0.0 B (+0.0% YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
18.9% a year over 4 years
Net profitYoY growth
0.022108%0.01679%0.01150%0.00521%0.000−8.0%$ B%$0B0%FY22FY24FY26
0.022108%0.01679%0.01150%0.00521%0.000−8.0%$ B%$0B0%FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: $0.0 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
0.0118.0%0.008−21%0.005−50%0.003−79%0.000−108%$ B%$0B−100%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.0118.0%0.008−21%0.005−50%0.003−79%0.000−108%$ B%$0B−100%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −33.3% vs revenue +20.8%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 117% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 117% of Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was $0.0 B of operating cash against $0.0 B of profit. After $0.0 B of capital spending, $0.0 B was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of $0.0 B against reported profit of $0.0 B, leaving free cash of $0.0 B after $0.0 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 117% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY26: CFO $0.0 B vs profit $0.0 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution.
117% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.0320.0240.0160.0080.000$ B$0B$0B$0BFY22FY24FY26
0.0320.0240.0160.0080.000$ B$0B$0B$0BFY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: operating cash $0.0 B Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
0.011108%0.00879%0.00550%0.00321%0.000−8.0%$ B%$0B100%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.011108%0.00879%0.00550%0.00321%0.000−8.0%$ B%$0B100%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: $0.0 B of building over 3 years.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Nathan's Famous, Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY26 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY26: capex $0.0 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY22FY24FY26
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
1.20.0110.60.0080.00.005−0.60.002−1.2−0.001$ B$ B$0B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.20.0110.60.0080.00.005−0.60.002−1.2−0.001$ B$ B$0B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROE is null% and the ROIC − WACC spread is +62.5 pp.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Nathan's Famous, Inc. earns a ROE of −200% in FY26. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +62.5 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 12.5% net margin on 3.20× asset turns.

FY26 ROE is −200%.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 12.5% net margin × 3.20× asset turns × −5.00× balance-sheet leverage ≈ −200.0% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is modest — this is an earned return, not a borrowed one.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 68.0% − 5.5% = a +62.5 pp spread. The 5.5% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every dollar reinvested creates more than a dollar of value — the engine compounds.

FY26: ROE −200% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 5.5% cost of capital used on this page.
the full ladder
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
103%22%−60%−141%−222%%−200%64.2%FY22FY24FY26
103%22%−60%−141%−222%%−200%64.2%FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: ROIC 67.2% (TTM) vs WACC 5.5% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
103%37%−30%−96%−163%%67.2%−144.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
103%37%−30%−96%−163%%67.2%−144.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is not in our numbers.

11 · Dividend

Dividend A dividend is cash paid out per share. Dividend per share is the declared amount for the period; the trailing twelve-month total is the four most recent quarters added together.

Nathan's Famous, Inc. paid $2.00 per share over the last four reported quarters, up 11.1% on a year ago. The most recent declaration was $0.50 for Mar 26. Against the current price of $99.4 that is a trailing yield of 2.01%, measured on dividends already paid rather than on a forecast.

Nathan's Famous, Inc. paid $2.00 per share over the last four reported quarters, up 11.1% on a year ago. The most recent declaration was $0.50 for Mar 26. Against the current price of $99.4 that is a trailing yield of 2.01%, measured on dividends already paid rather than on a forecast.

Nathan's Famous, Inc. paid $2.00 per share across the last four reported quarters, most recently $0.50 for Mar 26. That is up 11.1% against the same quarter a year earlier. Against the current price of $99.4 the trailing twelve months work out to 2.01% — trailing dividends measured against today's price, not a forward estimate.

Dividend per share by quarter Declared dividend per share, $ B, per reported quarter. 12 quarters on file.
latest $0.50 (Mar 26)
Dividend per share
0.50.40.30.10.0$ B$1BJun 23Dec 23Sep 24Jun 25Mar 26
0.50.40.30.10.0$ B$1BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ A payout is cash leaving the business. Next: what the balance sheet looks like behind it.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s net worth is negative — it owes more than it owns — so a debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful here. On the annual view that ratio went from −2.40 in FY22 to −5.00 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Mar 26: total debt of $0.1 B against shareholder equity of $−0.0 B — a debt-to-equity of −5.00. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from −2.40 (FY22) to −5.00 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

FY26: debt $0.1 B at −5.00× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
0.13−2.0×0.10−2.8×0.06−3.6×0.03−4.4×0.00−5.2×$ B×$0B−5.00×FY22FY24FY26
0.13−2.0×0.10−2.8×0.06−3.6×0.03−4.4×0.00−5.2×$ B×$0B−5.00×FY22FY24FY26
Mar 26: debt $0.1 B, debt-to-equity −5.00 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
0.10−2.0×0.07−2.8×0.05−3.6×0.02−4.4×0.00−5.2×$ B×$0B−5.00×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.10−2.0×0.07−2.8×0.05−3.6×0.02−4.4×0.00−5.2×$ B×$0B−5.00×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: short interest is 4.4% of the float.

13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

4.4% of Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — some money is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 4.3 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 4.4% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 4.3 days to buy those positions back. Some money is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
4.4%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
4.3
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Nathan's Famous, Inc.: the Z-score reads 9.59. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits well clear of distress. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

Why it matters: a Z-score of 9.59 sits well clear of the distress zone — the balance sheet is not the risk here.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 9.59.

Related companies · same industry · Restaurants Every company is compared on the shape of its own curves, not static ratios. The Revenue, EPS and ROCE columns each draw that company's last 12 quarters as a mini line of the ACTUAL level (trailing-twelve-month revenue and EPS, and the ROCE itself) — so a line that climbs is a business getting bigger, a line that sinks is one shrinking. The colour tracks the same line: green when it is rising or steadily healthy, amber when it is rolling over from a high (still elevated but turning down), red when it is falling, grey when flat or stuck. Colour and direction always agree — a green line never points down. The ROCE curve is the return on capital (annual readings for peers, so a slightly coarser line than the quarterly one at the top of this page). The Stage column then runs the same 12-quarter trajectory classifier used at the top of the page on each company and names where it sits. What lands a company in each bucket: CONSISTENT — growth stays positive across the window and returns are healthy (ROCE ≥ 15%, or ROE ≥ 12% for lenders); IMPROVING — profit or EPS fell into real decline, bottomed a few quarters back, and has climbed back to positive and held there; TURNING AROUND — the same kind of trough but more recent, with the latest quarters just lifting off it (an early, unconfirmed turn); TOPPING OUT — growth is still positive but decelerating hard from its own peak while returns have stopped rising; DETERIORATING — two or more growth curves are shrinking (latest below zero) and staying there, not one soft quarter; MIXED — the curves genuinely disagree, or no clean majority, so no single word fits; NO READ — fewer than eight usable quarters. It is a like-for-like read of every company against its own past, not a ranking against the group.
CompanyP/EMkt capRevenueEPSROCEStage
Nathan's Famous, Inc. this page20.5×$0BDeteriorating
McDonald's Corporation22.3×$194BMixed
Starbucks Corporation78.7×$118BDeteriorating
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.30.7×$43BMixed
Yum! Brands, Inc.23.8×$41BImproving
Restaurant Brands International Inc.26.4×$34BTurning around
Darden Restaurants, Inc.19.9×$24BImproving
Yum China Holdings, Inc.17.5×$16BConsistent
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.32.7×$13BTopping out
Dutch Bros Inc.102.0×$12BNo read
Domino's Pizza, Inc.19.8×$12BMixed
Brinker International, Inc.19.3×$9BMixed
CAVA Group, Inc.125.0×$8BNo read
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated26.1×$4BTopping out
Wingstop Inc.33.6×$4BMixed
Shake Shack Inc.63.9×$3BNo read
Chagee Holdings Limited18.2×$2BTopping out
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.7.6×$2BTurning around
The Wendy's Company9.9×$1BMixed
BJ's Restaurants, Inc.34.6×$1BTurning around
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.46.7×$1BDeteriorating
Biglari Holdings Inc.$1BNo read
Biglari Holdings Inc.$1BNo read
Papa John's International, Inc.37.1×$1BDeteriorating
Super Hi International Holding Ltd.31.3×$1BMixed
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.46.4×$1BTurning around
Sweetgreen, Inc.44.9×$1BNo read
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.35.3×$1BDeteriorating
Cannae Holdings, Inc.$1BNo read
Kura Sushi USA, Inc.$1BNo read
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.16.6×$0BMixed
Dine Brands Global, Inc.32.7×$0BDeteriorating
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.1,416.1×$0BNo read
Portillo's Inc.22.4×$0BTurning around
Jack in the Box Inc.8.7×$0BDeteriorating
RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.$0BDeteriorating
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.$0BNo read
Venu Holding Corporation$0BNo read
Happy City Holdings Limited$0B
Riku Dining Group Limited110.8×$0B
12 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s stock price today?

Nathan's Famous, Inc. trades at $99.4, +3.9% over the past year. The company is valued at $0.0 B. The stock sits at 42% of its 52-week range of $90–$113, −0.6% versus its 200-day average. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 15 weeks. — as of 29 July 2026.

What were Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s latest quarterly results?

Nathan's Famous, Inc. reported revenue of $0.0 B and net profit of $0.0 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Earnings per share were $0.68. The operating margin was 25.0%, 8.3 pp lower than a year earlier. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s revenue?

Nathan's Famous, Inc. reported revenue of $0.0 B in the Mar 26 quarter, +33.3% year on year. For the full FY26 fiscal year, revenue was $0.2 B (+6.7%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 9.8% a year. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s profit?

Nathan's Famous, Inc. earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY26 profit was $0.0 B. The operating margin ran 25.0% in the latest quarter. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s market cap?

Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s market capitalisation is $0.0 B at a stock price of $99.4. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s P/E ratio?

Nathan's Famous, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.5×, at the 73rd percentile of its own 1-year range, against a long-run median of 19.4×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 29 July 2026.

Does Nathan's Famous, Inc. pay a dividend?

Yes — Nathan's Famous, Inc. declared $0.50 per share for Mar 26, and $2.00 per share across the last four reported quarters. The latest quarter is up 11.1% on the same quarter a year earlier. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s dividend per share?

Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s most recently declared dividend is $0.50 per share for Mar 26, giving $2.00 per share over the trailing twelve months. Each figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters for the trailing total. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s dividend yield?

Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s trailing dividend yield is 2.01%: $2.00 declared per share across the last four reported quarters, against a share price of $99.4. Each quarter’s figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters and divided by the latest close. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Nathan's Famous, Inc. overvalued?

On its own history, Nathan's Famous, Inc. looks expensive against its own history: its P/E of 20.5× sits at the 73rd percentile of its 1-year range (long-run median 19.4×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. — as of 29 July 2026.

How is Nathan's Famous, Inc. performing?

Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s latest readings are below. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 15 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 29 July 2026.

What stage is Nathan's Famous, Inc. in?

Deteriorating — profit and EPS growth are shrinking (profit growth −33.3% latest against +100.0% at its 12-quarter best). The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +21.4% latest, profit growth −33.3% latest, eps growth −17.4% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Nathan's Famous, Inc. beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Nathan's Famous, Inc. is currently behind the S&P 500 (15 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-04-17), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 1.0 years the stock moved −12% against the S&P 500's +19% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 29 July 2026.

Will Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Nathan's Famous, Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $99.4. Its P/E of 20.5× sits at the 73rd percentile of its own 1-year range. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is the market betting against Nathan's Famous, Inc.?

Somewhat — short interest is 4.4% of Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s tradable float, about 4.3 days to cover at typical volumes. A moderate reading: some money is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s capex?

Nathan's Famous, Inc. spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY26 alone that was $0.0 B. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s cash flow?

Nathan's Famous, Inc. generated $0.0 B of operating cash flow in FY26 and $0.0 B of free cash flow after $0.0 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.0 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 117% of Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY26, operating cash was $0.0 B against reported profit of $0.0 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 29 July 2026.

How financially safe is Nathan's Famous, Inc.?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 9.59 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That sits well clear of trouble. — as of 29 July 2026.

Where is Nathan's Famous, Inc. in its business cycle?

Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s FY26 operating margin was 18.8%, against a 5-year band of 18.8%–30.8%: the low end of its own band, which is where recoveries start when they come. The latest quarter ran 25.0%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 29 July 2026.

What could break the Nathan's Famous, Inc. story?

Biggest watch item: the P/E sits at the 73rd percentile of its own range — the multiple has already done part of the work. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Nathan's Famous, Inc. a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s balance sheet is under water — net worth is negative, so it owes more than it owns. This is a distressed, high-risk situation — the equity can be wiped by dilution or restructuring before operations recover. Not a value setup. The sharpest open question: whether the business can earn its way back to positive equity before dilution or restructuring gets there first. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 29 July 2026.

Chat with this pageChat with pageChatChatGPTClaudePerplexityGoogle AI