Lodha Developers Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Lodha Developers Ltd trades at ₹1,189, in a downtrend and 45 weeks into that stage. That is +16.9% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 87% of a 52-week range of ₹700 to ₹1,261. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 9 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 45 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹1,189 it trades +16.9% versus its 200-day average and sits at 87% of its 52-week range (₹700–₹1,261).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 5.2 years the stock moved +348% while the NIFTY 500 moved +86% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 9 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 9th percentile of its own range.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Lodha Developers Ltd trades at 27.7× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 9% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 45.0×, measured across 5.3 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 27.7× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 9% of the time, against a long-run median of 45.0× measured over 5.3 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

One caveat before moving on: margins are the best this company has ever printed — cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap. If profitability mean-reverts, today's multiple is higher than it looks.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +23.9% against a −17.7% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +22.8%/yr price move, ~+35.4%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−12.6 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

Stage: Mixed Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Lodha Developers Ltd reads as mixed on its fundamental arc. Mixed — growth is normalizing off a hyper-growth base: profit growth has eased from +864.2% at its peak to +39.2% but is still expanding, ROCE holding at 20.2%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Why it matters: when the curves disagree, the per-curve reads above matter more than any single verdict.

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

4-Factor Sector Score

66.4/100 — rank 1 of 7 in Realty - National · 94% evidence confidence

Lodha Developers Ltd scores 66.4 out of 100 against the 7 companies it is compared with in Realty - National, ranking 1. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 23.7 + 16.3 + 18.4 + 8 = 66.4. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Lodha Developers Ltd reported ₹4,997 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +43.1% year on year. That is the 11th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 7.3% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹16,676 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹18,181 Cr.

Lodha Developers Ltd reported ₹4,997 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +43.1% year on year. That is the 11th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 7.3% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹16,676 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹18,181 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹16,676 Cr (+21.0% on the year), capping 10 years at 7.3% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹4,997 Cr, +43.1% year on year — the 11th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +28.4% growth against the decade's 7.3% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +26.0% over the last 4 quarters against +25.5%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit +39.2% vs +49.4%/yr — rolling over.

→ Revenue grew — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 38.0% this quarter (+10.0 pp YoY).

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Lodha Developers Ltd's operating margin is 38.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, +10.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 15.0% to 30.0%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.

Lodha Developers Ltd's operating margin is 38.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, +10.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 15.0% to 30.0%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 38.0%, +10.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 15.0%–30.0%, and FY26's 30.0% is the top of that band — a record year.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +10.3 pp year on year while gross margin went +9.1 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.

→ Margins held — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit +103.4% in the latest quarter.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Lodha Developers Ltd earned ₹1,373 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +103.4% year on year. It is the 9th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹3,431 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 17.2%. That is 27.5% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹675 Cr.

Lodha Developers Ltd earned ₹1,373 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +103.4% year on year. It is the 9th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹3,431 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 17.2%. That is 27.5% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹675 Cr.

Jun 26 profit was ₹1,373 Cr, +103.4% year on year — the 9th consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹3,431 Cr (+24.0%), and the 10-year compound rate is 17.2%.

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +43.1% and the margin +10.0 pp — the quarter was margin-led: most of the profit growth came from keeping more of each sale.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +50.2% vs revenue +28.4%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra rupee of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 65% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 65% of Lodha Developers Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — most of the profit is real cash. In FY26 that was ₹959 Cr of operating cash against ₹3,431 Cr of profit. After ₹1,624 Cr of capital spending, ₹−665 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹959 Cr against reported profit of ₹3,431 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−665 Cr after ₹1,624 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 65% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

🚨 Why conversion sits at 65%: the cash cycle tightened 12 days between FY21 and FY26 — cash that used to wait in the cycle now reaches the bank sooner. Less than 70% of profit arriving as cash is the thing to watch on this page.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 2.0× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: ₹1,644 Cr of building over 3 years.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Lodha Developers Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 32 days in FY26, down from 44 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹1,644 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹16,676 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹45.7 Cr, so roughly ₹1,462 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 32 days, inventory at 1,500 days — roughly 49.3 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 32 days, tighter than FY21's 44.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 1,500 days to sell; customers pay about 32 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 127 days — netting out to the 32-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹16,676 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹45.7 Cr — so the 32-day loop keeps roughly ₹1,462 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹1,644 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹821 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹10.0 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 16% and the ROIC − WACC spread is +4.2 pp.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Lodha Developers Ltd earns a ROCE of 16% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 6% in FY20. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +4.2 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 20.6% net margin on 0.28× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 16%, recovered from a FY20 trough of 6% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 20.6% net margin × 0.28× asset turns × 2.52× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 14.5% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 16.2% − 12.0% = a +4.2 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Positive but thin — value creation with little room for error.

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.42.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Lodha Developers Ltd carries total debt of ₹9,896 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹23,429 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.42. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.95 in FY22 to 0.42 in FY26. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹9,896 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹23,429 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.42. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.95 (FY22) to 0.42 (FY26). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: Promoters cut 1.8 points over 8 quarters.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Promoters cut 1.8 points of Lodha Developers Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes promoters to 70.3% of the company. Domestic institutions moved +0.6 points over the same window, to 3.6%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: −1.8 points over 8 quarters to 70.3%; Domestic institutions: +0.6 points over 8 quarters to 3.6%; Foreign institutions: −0.5 points over 8 quarters to 23.6%.

🚨 Why the register moved: promoters drove it (−1.8 points), absorbed on the other side by domestic institutions (+0.6 points) — distribution into the market’s bid.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Lodha Developers Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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