Jai Balaji Industries Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd trades at ₹64.4, in a downtrend and 79 weeks into that stage. That is −17.9% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 17% of a 52-week range of ₹56 to ₹103. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (6 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a downtrend — week 79 of stage 4, confirmed. At ₹64.4 it trades −17.9% versus its 200-day average and sits at 17% of its 52-week range (₹56–₹103).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.3 years the stock moved +4,251% while the NIFTY 500 moved +274% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (6 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-19) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 60th percentile of its own range.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd trades at 19.1× P/E, mid-range by its own standards (60th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 17.5×, measured across 4.9 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 19.1× is mid-range by its own standards (60th percentile), against a long-run median of 17.5× measured over 4.9 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −43.1% against a −46.5% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +38.2%/yr price move, ~+39.4%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−1.2 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

Stage: Mixed Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd reads as mixed on its fundamental arc. Mixed — revenue, profit and EPS growth are shrinking while ROCE is still lifting at 20.8% — falling growth against firm returns, so no single stage word fits yet. The read is built from 11 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Why it matters: when the curves disagree, the per-curve reads above matter more than any single verdict.

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

4-Factor Sector Score

38.6/100 — rank 3 of 4 in DI Pipes/Saw Pipes · 87% evidence confidence

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd scores 38.6 out of 100 against the 4 companies it is compared with in DI Pipes/Saw Pipes, ranking 3. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 4.5 + 18.8 + 12.3 + 3 = 38.6. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd reported ₹1,353 Cr of revenue in the Sep 25 quarter, −13.1% year on year. Over 10 years it has compounded at 15.5% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at ₹6,351 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹5,786 Cr.

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd reported ₹1,353 Cr of revenue in the Sep 25 quarter, −13.1% year on year. Over 10 years it has compounded at 15.5% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at ₹6,351 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹5,786 Cr.

FY25 revenue came in at ₹6,351 Cr (−1.0% on the year), capping 10 years at 15.5% compound. The latest quarter (Sep 25) printed ₹1,353 Cr, −13.1% year on year.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged −12.8% growth against the decade's 15.5% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew −13.1% over the last 4 quarters against −4.1%/yr over the last 8 — rolling over; TTM profit −66.4% vs −13.1%/yr — rolling over.

→ Revenue slipped — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 5.0% this quarter (−10.0 pp YoY).

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd's operating margin is 5.0% in the Sep 25 quarter, −10.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −13.0% to 14.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd's operating margin is 5.0% in the Sep 25 quarter, −10.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −13.0% to 14.0%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 5.0%, −10.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 12 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged −13.0%–14.0%, and FY25's 14.0% is the top of that band — a record year.

🚨 Why the margin moved: operating margin went −9.4 pp year on year while gross margin went −9.0 pp — the loss came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.

→ Margins slipped — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit −83.0% in the latest quarter.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd earned ₹26.0 Cr of net profit in the Sep 25 quarter, −83.0% year on year. Full-year FY25 profit was ₹558 Cr. That is 1.9% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹153 Cr. 1 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd earned ₹26.0 Cr of net profit in the Sep 25 quarter, −83.0% year on year. Full-year FY25 profit was ₹558 Cr. That is 1.9% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹153 Cr. 1 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Sep 25 profit was ₹26.0 Cr, −83.0% year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed ₹558 Cr (−36.6%).

🚨 Why profit moved: revenue contributed −13.1% and the margin −10.0 pp — the quarter was revenue-led despite a thinner margin.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit −67.6% vs revenue −12.8%. Profit is growing slower than sales — costs are eating the growth before it reaches the bottom line.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 98% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 98% of Jai Balaji Industries Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was ₹311 Cr of operating cash against ₹558 Cr of profit. After ₹339 Cr of capital spending, ₹−28.0 Cr was left as free cash.

FY25: operating cash of ₹311 Cr against reported profit of ₹558 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−28.0 Cr after ₹339 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 98% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 98%: the cash cycle stretched 56 days between FY20 and FY25 — more of each rupee of profit waits inside the cycle before arriving.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 2.9× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: ₹804 Cr of building over 3 years.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 73 days in FY25, up from 17 days in FY20. Capital spending ran ₹804 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY25 sales of ₹6,351 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹17.4 Cr, so roughly ₹1,270 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY25: debtors at 25 days, inventory at 112 days — roughly 3.7 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 73 days, looser than FY20's 17.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 112 days to sell; customers pay about 25 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 64 days — netting out to the 73-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY25 sales of ₹6,351 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹17.4 Cr — so the 73-day loop keeps roughly ₹1,270 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹804 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹278 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹129 Cr (FY25) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 36% and the ROIC − WACC spread is −6.2 pp.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd earns a ROCE of 36% in FY25. That is up from a trough of −10% in FY16. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by −6.2 percentage points, so growth here is not yet paying for the capital it uses. The wiring behind it is 8.8% net margin on 1.63× asset turns.

FY25 ROCE is 36%, recovered from a FY16 trough of −10% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

🚨 Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 8.8% net margin × 1.63× asset turns × 1.83× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 26.2% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 5.8% − 12.0% = a −6.2 pp spread. The 12.0% is a standing assumption for the cost of capital in India, not a per-stock estimate — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. Negative — growth at these returns destroys value until the returns recover.

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.26.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd carries total debt of ₹417 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹2,258 Cr as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 0.18 — effectively unlevered. On the annual view that ratio went from −1.91 in FY22 to 0.18 in FY26. The returns elsewhere on this page are therefore earned rather than borrowed.

Mar 26: total debt of ₹417 Cr against shareholder equity of ₹2,258 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.18. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from −1.91 (FY22) to 0.18 (FY26). The returns on this page are earned, not borrowed.

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: Promoters added 1.0 points over 8 quarters.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Promoters added 1.0 points of Jai Balaji Industries Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes promoters to 64.8% of the company. Foreign institutions moved −0.1 points over the same window, to 2.8%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: +1.0 points over 8 quarters to 64.8%; Foreign institutions: −0.1 points over 8 quarters to 2.8%; Domestic institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 0.1%.

Why the register moved: promoters drove it (+1.0 points) — steady accumulation by institutions reading the same numbers this page reads.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Jai Balaji Industries Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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