Hindustan Zinc Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Hindustan Zinc Ltd trades at ₹518, in a confirmed uptrend and 40 weeks into that stage. That is −6.7% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 30% of a 52-week range of ₹440 to ₹699. On relative strength it is currently behind the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view (8 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 40 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹518 it trades −6.7% versus its 200-day average and sits at 30% of its 52-week range (₹440–₹699).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.4 years the stock moved +218% while the NIFTY 500 moved +280% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (8 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-06-12) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 25th percentile of its own range.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

Hindustan Zinc Ltd trades at 13.2× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 25% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 17.2×, measured across 10.4 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 13.2× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 25% of the time, against a long-run median of 17.2× measured over 10.4 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +33.6% against a +19.0% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +16.4%/yr price move, ~+21.9%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−5.5 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

The PEG ratio and its quarterly curve, which only the second data source carries, are not drawn on this page: its two data sources disagree by up to 3.3% on reported income across 14 comparable periods. A figure two sources cannot agree on is not drawn — the gap is a decision, not missing data.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

Stage: Consistent Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Hindustan Zinc Ltd reads as consistent on its fundamental arc. Consistent — revenue, profit and EPS growth have stayed positive through the window, with ROCE at 70.0% and holding. The read is built from 8 quarters across 4 curves, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: steady curves with healthy returns are the compounding setup — the risk is the price, not the business.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

A partial read: at least one curve is short, or the returns curve is not the computed quarterly series — hold the stage word a little more loosely.

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

4-Factor Sector Score

68.6/100 — rank 2 of 3 in Metals · 80% evidence confidence

Hindustan Zinc Ltd scores 68.6 out of 100 against the 3 companies it is compared with in Metals, ranking 2. Acceleration candidate, not a confirmed leader: earnings are strong but sector-relative strength is -27.6% and the one-year return is 19%. Do not upgrade until sector-relative strength is above zero and another reported period confirms growth.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 34.1 + 21.4 + 10.4 + 2.7 = 68.6. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Hindustan Zinc Ltd reported ₹13,747 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +76.9% year on year. That is the 4th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 11.2% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹40,844 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹46,820 Cr.

Hindustan Zinc Ltd reported ₹13,747 Cr of revenue in the Jun 26 quarter, +76.9% year on year. That is the 4th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 10 years it has compounded at 11.2% a year. The last full year, FY26, came in at ₹40,844 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹46,820 Cr.

FY26 revenue came in at ₹40,844 Cr (+19.8% on the year), capping 10 years at 11.2% compound. The latest quarter (Jun 26) printed ₹13,747 Cr, +76.9% year on year — the 4th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +39.3% growth against the decade's 11.2% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +38.8% over the last 4 quarters against +25.4%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit +66.6% vs +44.8%/yr — accelerating.

→ Revenue grew — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 59.0% this quarter (+9.0 pp YoY).

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Hindustan Zinc Ltd's operating margin is 59.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, +9.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 44.0% to 56.0%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.

Hindustan Zinc Ltd's operating margin is 59.0% in the Jun 26 quarter, +9.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 44.0% to 56.0%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 59.0%, +9.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 13 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 44.0%–56.0%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +8.9 pp year on year while gross margin went +3.3 pp — the gain came mostly below the gross line: operating leverage, with costs spread over a bigger revenue base.

→ Margins held — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit +144.8% in the latest quarter.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Hindustan Zinc Ltd earned ₹5,469 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +144.8% year on year. It is the 4th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹13,832 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 5.4%. That is 39.8% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹2,234 Cr.

Hindustan Zinc Ltd earned ₹5,469 Cr of net profit in the Jun 26 quarter, +144.8% year on year. It is the 4th consecutive quarter of growth. Full-year FY26 profit was ₹13,832 Cr. The 10-year compound rate is 5.4%. That is 39.8% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹2,234 Cr.

Jun 26 profit was ₹5,469 Cr, +144.8% year on year — the 4th consecutive quarter of growth. On the full year, FY26 printed ₹13,832 Cr (+33.6%), and the 10-year compound rate is 5.4%.

Why profit moved: revenue contributed +76.9% and the margin +9.0 pp — the quarter was margin-led: most of the profit growth came from keeping more of each sale.

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +68.1% vs revenue +39.3%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra rupee of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 139% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 139% of Hindustan Zinc Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY26 that was ₹17,008 Cr of operating cash against ₹13,832 Cr of profit. After ₹5,922 Cr of capital spending, ₹11,086 Cr was left as free cash.

FY26: operating cash of ₹17,008 Cr against reported profit of ₹13,832 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹11,086 Cr after ₹5,922 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 139% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 139%: the cash cycle held roughly steady between FY21 and FY26 — so conversion tracks profitability rather than the cycle.

Router verdict: no single sink dominates — the next section checks both the working-capital cycle and the capital spending.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: a 4-day cycle and ₹14,385 Cr of building.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Hindustan Zinc Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 4 days in FY26, down from 7 days in FY21. Capital spending ran ₹14,385 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY26 sales of ₹40,844 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹112 Cr, so roughly ₹448 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY26: debtors at 4 days (an asset-light business — no inventory to speak of) — for a full cycle of 4 days, tighter than FY21's 7.

In money terms: at FY26 sales of ₹40,844 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹112 Cr — so the 4-day loop keeps roughly ₹448 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹14,385 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹10,898 Cr of depreciation — building somewhat ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹3,409 Cr (FY26) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: neither the cycle nor the build-out is hoarding the cash — the machine is reasonably clean.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 70%.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

Hindustan Zinc Ltd earns a ROCE of 70% in FY26. That is up from a trough of 20% in FY14. A return-on-invested-capital spread against the cost of capital is not computable from what is held here. The wiring behind it is 33.9% net margin on 0.96× asset turns.

FY26 ROCE is 70%, recovered from a FY14 trough of 20% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY26): 33.9% net margin × 0.96× asset turns × 1.87× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 60.9% on equity. Margin is doing the heavy lifting; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The quarterly return curves and the return-on-invested-capital overlay, which only the second data source carries, are not drawn on this page: its two data sources disagree by up to 3.3% on reported income across 14 comparable periods. A figure two sources cannot agree on is not drawn — the gap is a decision, not missing data.

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.39.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

Hindustan Zinc Ltd carries ₹8,728 Cr of borrowings against ₹22,629 Cr of equity in FY26, a debt-to-equity of 0.39. Operating profit covers the interest bill 25×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹7,201 Cr to ₹8,728 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹14,385 Cr across the last 3 of those years.

FY26: borrowings of ₹8,728 Cr against equity of ₹22,629 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.39. Operating profit covers the interest bill 25×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹7,201 Cr to ₹8,728 Cr while capital spending ran ₹14,385 Cr in just the last 3 — part of the build-out is riding on borrowed money.

The total-debt and debt-to-equity series, which only the second data source carries, are not drawn on this page: its two data sources disagree by up to 3.3% on reported income across 14 comparable periods. A figure two sources cannot agree on is not drawn — the gap is a decision, not missing data.

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: Promoters cut 4.2 points over 8 quarters.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

Promoters cut 4.2 points of Hindustan Zinc Ltd over 8 quarters, the biggest move on the register. That takes promoters to 60.7% of the company. Domestic institutions moved +2.0 points over the same window, to 5.0%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: −4.2 points over 8 quarters to 60.7%; Domestic institutions: +2.0 points over 8 quarters to 5.0%; Foreign institutions: +1.5 points over 8 quarters to 2.2%.

🚨 Why the register moved: promoters drove it (−4.2 points), absorbed on the other side by domestic institutions (+2.0 points) — distribution into the market’s bid.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Hindustan Zinc Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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