Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-29
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-29

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.

COLL
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it.

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk.

The price is building a base (22 weeks in). Underneath, the last four quarters read improving, and 444% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: the next one or two quarters of delivery.

Price
$35.9
+13.0% 1Y
P/E
21.9×
of its own 4-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
$0.2 B
+5.6% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
$0.0 B
Operating margin
15.8%
+4.7 pp YoY
ROE
27%
FY25
ROIC
16.5%
vs WACC 7.2% → +9.3 pp
Cash conversion
444%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. trades at $35.9, building a base and 22 weeks into that stage. That is −8.6% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 22% of a 52-week range of $32 to $50. On relative strength it has been ahead of the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 3 straight weeks.

Today the stock is building a base — week 22 of stage 1. At $35.9 it trades −8.6% versus its 200-day average and sits at 22% of its 52-week range ($32–$50).

Jul 26: $35.9 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
−8.6% versus the 200-day line, week 22 of stage 1
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S1S2S1S4S3S2S1$52.1$43.8$35.5$27.2$18.9$$36$39Jul 23Apr 24Jan 25Oct 25Jul 26
S1S2S1S4S3S2S1$52.1$43.8$35.5$27.2$18.9$$36$39Jul 23Jan 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (526 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 16Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +182% while the S&P 500 moved +248% — behind the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 3 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: how the P/E reads against its own history.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. trades at 21.9× P/E, against too little history to rank. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 21.9× is against too little history to rank. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 21.9× vs a null× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly step line (right axis). 4.3-year window; loss-period spikes above 182× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
against too little history to rank
P/EEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
195.8×$2.8146.8×$2.197.9×$1.448.9×$0.70.0×$0.0×$17.60×$2Apr 22Dec 23Nov 24Sep 25Jul 26
195.8×$2.8146.8×$2.197.9×$1.448.9×$0.70.0×$0.0×$17.60×$2Apr 22Nov 24Jul 26
PEG 0.16 PEG ratio per quarter — the P/E divided by the earnings-growth rate. The dashed line marks 1.0: below it the growth is cheap against the multiple, above it the price already prices the growth in. Last 19 quarters.
below 1.0, the growth looks cheap against the multiple
PEGPEG = 1.0
1.3×0.9×0.6×0.3×0.0××0.16×Sep 21Sep 22Dec 23Dec 24Mar 26
1.3×0.9×0.6×0.3×0.0××0.16×Sep 21Dec 23Mar 26
P/E
21.9×
too little history to rank
PEG
n/m
3-year earnings growth is negative

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved −7.0% against a +13.0% price move — the price outran earnings, pushing the multiple UP its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +16.9%/yr price move, ~+138.7%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−121.8 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is unremarkable against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

03 · Stage: No read

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 12 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.

Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Where the trailing-twelve-month history is short, the curve falls back to single-quarter year-on-year growth — noisier, and the classifier smooths and caps base-effect spikes before reading. Base-effect spikes shown pinned (▲). A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
RevenueProfitEPS
80%332%60%216%41%100%21%−16%2.1%−132%%%19.4%100%67.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
80%332%60%216%41%100%21%−16%2.1%−132%%%19.4%100%67.2%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
32%27%21%15%9.6%%16.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
32%27%21%15%9.6%%16.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Steady high
latest +19.4% · span +7.4% to +74.2%
ROCE
Steady high
latest 16.1% · span 11.2%–30.9%

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

Growth, year by year: revenue +23.8% in FY25, profit −14.3% Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
69%59%53%4.9%37%−49%22%−104%6.2%−158%%%23.8%−14.3%FY21FY23FY25
69%59%53%4.9%37%−49%22%−104%6.2%−158%%%23.8%−14.3%FY21FY23FY25
TTM growth by quarter Trailing-twelve-month growth versus the year-ago TTM, per quarter, %: revenue (left axis); profit and EPS (right axis). The acceleration read compares the last 4 quarters (+19.4%) with the last 8 annualized (+18.5%). Spikes shown pinned (▲).
revenue stabilising, profit accelerating
Revenue TTM YoYProfit TTM YoYEPS TTM YoY
80%330%60%222%41%115%21%7.7%2.1%−100%%%19.4%75%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
80%330%60%222%41%115%21%7.7%2.1%−100%%%19.4%75%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+23.8%+19.2%
Profit−14.3%
EPS−7.0%
Stock price+13.0%+16.9%+7.6%+11.5%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+5.6%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
29.2%
long-run compound pace

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

No sector-relative score — Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. is not among the largest members shown in this industry comparison for Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic.

The score is a rank WITHIN a peer set: every metric is scored by percentile against the other members. Without the peer set there is no score to state, so none is invented here.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. reported $0.2 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +5.6% year on year. That is the 8th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 4 years it has compounded at 29.2% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $0.8 B. The last four reported quarters add to $0.8 B.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. reported $0.2 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +5.6% year on year. That is the 8th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 4 years it has compounded at 29.2% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $0.8 B. The last four reported quarters add to $0.8 B.

FY25 revenue came in at $0.8 B (+23.8% on the year), capping 4 years at 29.2% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $0.2 B, +5.6% year on year — the 8th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY25 revenue $0.8 B (+23.8% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
29.2% a year over 4 years
RevenueYoY growth
0.869%0.653%0.437%0.222%0.06.2%$ B%$1B23.8%FY21FY23FY25
0.869%0.653%0.437%0.222%0.06.2%$ B%$1B23.8%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $0.2 B (+5.6% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
8th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
0.2334%0.1725%0.1116%0.066.6%0.00−2.5%$ B%$0B5.6%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.2334%0.1725%0.1116%0.066.6%0.00−2.5%$ B%$0B5.6%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +20.1% growth against the decade's 29.2% — the current year is running slower than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +19.4% over the last 4 quarters against +18.5%/yr over the last 8 — stabilising; TTM profit +75.0% vs −11.8%/yr — accelerating.

→ Revenue grew — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 15.8% this quarter (+4.7 pp YoY).

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s operating margin is 15.8% in the Mar 26 quarter, +4.7 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 6.5% to 29.8%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s operating margin is 15.8% in the Mar 26 quarter, +4.7 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 6.5% to 29.8%. The current quarter sits inside that band.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 15.8%, +4.7 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 6.5%–29.8%.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +4.7 pp year on year while gross margin went +7.6 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

FY25: 23.1% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
within a 6.5–29.8% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
32%25%25%18%18%9.7%11%1.8%4.6%−6.1%%%23.1%−3.9%FY21FY23FY25
32%25%25%18%18%9.7%11%1.8%4.6%−6.1%%%23.1%−3.9%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: 15.8% operating margin (+4.7 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
42%37%34%20%26%3.9%17%−13%8.8%−29%%%15.8%4.7%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
42%37%34%20%26%3.9%17%−13%8.8%−29%%%15.8%4.7%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Margins held — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit null in the latest quarter.

07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.1 B. The 4-year compound rate is −3.8%. That is 5.3% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.0 B.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.1 B. The 4-year compound rate is −3.8%. That is 5.3% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned $0.0 B.

Mar 26 profit was $0.0 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $0.1 B (−14.3%), and the 4-year compound rate is −3.8%.

FY25 profit $0.1 B (−14.3% YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
−3.8% a year over 4 years
Net profitYoY growth
0.0855%0.050.0%0.02−51%−0.01−104%−0.04−158%$ B%$0B−14.3%FY21FY23FY25
0.0855%0.050.0%0.02−51%−0.01−104%−0.04−158%$ B%$0B−14.3%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $0.0 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
0.032224%0.024137%0.01650%0.008−37%0.000−124%$ B%$0B100%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.032224%0.024137%0.01650%0.008−37%0.000−124%$ B%$0B100%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace comparison, last four quarters: profit +83.3% vs revenue +20.1%. Profit is growing faster than sales — fixed costs are being spread over a bigger base, and each extra dollar of revenue drops more to the bottom line.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 444% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 444% of Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was $0.3 B of operating cash against $0.1 B of profit. After $0.0 B of capital spending, $0.3 B was left as free cash.

FY25: operating cash of $0.3 B against reported profit of $0.1 B, leaving free cash of $0.3 B after $0.0 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 444% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY25: CFO $0.3 B vs profit $0.1 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution.
444% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.40.30.10.0−0.1$ B$0B$0B$0BFY21FY23FY25
0.40.30.10.0−0.1$ B$0B$0B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: operating cash $0.1 B = 600% of the quarter's profit Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
0.131,088%0.09769%0.05450%0.02131%−0.02−188%$ B%$0B600%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.131,088%0.09769%0.05450%0.02131%−0.02−188%$ B%$0B600%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: $0.0 B of building over 3 years.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY25 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY25: capex $0.0 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
1.20.60.0−0.6−1.2$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
1.20.130.60.090.00.05−0.60.02−1.2−0.02$ B$ B$0B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.20.130.60.090.00.05−0.60.02−1.2−0.02$ B$ B$0B$0BJun 23Sep 24Mar 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROE is 27% and the ROIC − WACC spread is +9.3 pp.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. earns a ROE of 20% in FY25. That is up from a trough of −16% in FY22. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +9.3 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is 7.7% net margin on 0.47× asset turns.

FY25 ROE is 20%, recovered from a FY22 trough of −16% — the full ladder below shows the fall and the climb, undoctored.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 7.7% net margin × 0.47× asset turns × 5.53× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 20.0% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 16.5% − 7.2% = a +9.3 pp spread. The 7.2% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every dollar reinvested creates more than a dollar of value — the engine compounds.

FY25: ROE 20% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 7.2% cost of capital used on this page.
the climb back from FY22's −16%
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
49%0.0%−50%−99%−149%%20%12.9%FY21FY23FY25
49%0.0%−50%−99%−149%%20%12.9%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: ROIC 14.2% (TTM) vs WACC 7.2% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
54%41%29%16%3.7%%14.2%29.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
54%41%29%16%3.7%%14.2%29.4%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 2.98.

11 · Dividend

Dividend

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. pays no dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters it has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings rather than distribute them, which makes the cash-flow and reinvestment sections the place that cash shows up.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend. Across the last 12 reported quarters the company has declared no dividend per share, so there is no payout history to chart and no yield to quote. Companies at this stage typically reinvest earnings instead of distributing them.

→ No payout to follow. The cash question becomes what the business does with what it earns instead.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. carries total debt of $0.9 B against shareholder equity of $0.3 B as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 3.00. On the annual view that ratio went from 1.30 in FY21 to 3.13 in FY25. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of $0.9 B against shareholder equity of $0.3 B — a debt-to-equity of 3.00. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 1.30 (FY21) to 3.13 (FY25). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY25: debt $0.9 B at 3.13× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
1.14.5×0.83.6×0.52.8×0.31.9×0.01.1×$ B×$1B3.13×FY21FY23FY25
1.14.5×0.83.6×0.52.8×0.31.9×0.01.1×$ B×$1B3.13×FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: debt $0.9 B, debt-to-equity 3.00 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
1.14.4×0.83.9×0.53.4×0.32.9×0.02.4×$ B×$1B3.00×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
1.14.4×0.83.9×0.53.4×0.32.9×0.02.4×$ B×$1B3.00×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: short interest is 16.3% of the float.

13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

16.3% of Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — a large bloc is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 10.8 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 16.3% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 10.8 days to buy those positions back. A large bloc is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
16.3%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
10.8
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.: the Z-score reads 1.56. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits inside the distress zone. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

🚨 Why it matters: a Z-score of 1.56 is inside the distress zone — the balance sheet is a real risk, not a detail.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 1.56.

Related companies · same industry · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Every company is compared on the shape of its own curves, not static ratios. The Revenue, EPS and ROCE columns each draw that company's last 12 quarters as a mini line of the ACTUAL level (trailing-twelve-month revenue and EPS, and the ROCE itself) — so a line that climbs is a business getting bigger, a line that sinks is one shrinking. The colour tracks the same line: green when it is rising or steadily healthy, amber when it is rolling over from a high (still elevated but turning down), red when it is falling, grey when flat or stuck. Colour and direction always agree — a green line never points down. The ROCE curve is the return on capital (annual readings for peers, so a slightly coarser line than the quarterly one at the top of this page). The Stage column then runs the same 12-quarter trajectory classifier used at the top of the page on each company and names where it sits. What lands a company in each bucket: CONSISTENT — growth stays positive across the window and returns are healthy (ROCE ≥ 15%, or ROE ≥ 12% for lenders); IMPROVING — profit or EPS fell into real decline, bottomed a few quarters back, and has climbed back to positive and held there; TURNING AROUND — the same kind of trough but more recent, with the latest quarters just lifting off it (an early, unconfirmed turn); TOPPING OUT — growth is still positive but decelerating hard from its own peak while returns have stopped rising; DETERIORATING — two or more growth curves are shrinking (latest below zero) and staying there, not one soft quarter; MIXED — the curves genuinely disagree, or no clean majority, so no single word fits; NO READ — fewer than eight usable quarters. It is a like-for-like read of every company against its own past, not a ranking against the group.
CompanyP/EMkt capRevenueEPSROCEStage
Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. this page21.9×$1BNo read
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited$56BTurning around
Haleon plc19.9×$45BMixed
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited23.6×$37BNo read
Zoetis Inc.12.7×$32BConsistent
United Therapeutics Corporation19.3×$22BMixed
Viatris Inc.$21BMixed
Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc.28.1×$18BMixed
Elanco Animal Health Incorporated$13BNo read
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited28.3×$10BMixed
Alkermes plc130.1×$8BTopping out
Liquidia Corporation355.6×$8BNo read
Hims & Hers Health, Inc.$7BNo read
Lantheus Holdings, Inc.24.7×$7BImproving
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc80.2×$6BNo read
Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.50.6×$6BNo read
Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.21.0×$5BMixed
Regencell Bioscience Holdings Limited$3B
Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.$3BDeteriorating
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.$2BNo read
Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc.13.2×$2BDeteriorating
Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc.$2BNo read
HUTCHMED (China) Limited4.4×$2BNo read
ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.20.8×$2BNo read
Bausch Health Companies Inc.$2BNo read
Trulieve Cannabis Corp.$2BNo read
Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc.128.5×$1BNo read
Phibro Animal Health Corporation15.6×$1BImproving
Harrow, Inc.$1BNo read
Perrigo Company plc$1BNo read
Eton Pharmaceuticals, Inc.$1BNo read
Alvotech$1BNo read
Cronos Group Inc.$1BNo read
Pacira BioSciences, Inc.225.0×$1BNo read
BioAge Labs, Inc.$1B
Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc.12.1×$1BDeteriorating
Esperion Therapeutics, Inc.$1BNo read
Evotec SE$1BNo read
Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc.6.2×$1BMixed
Tilray Brands, Inc.$0BNo read
12 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s stock price today?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. trades at $35.9, +13.0% over the past year. The company is valued at $1.0 B. The stock sits at 22% of its 52-week range of $32–$50, −8.6% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is building a base, 22 weeks in. — as of 29 July 2026.

What were Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s latest quarterly results?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. reported revenue of $0.2 B and net profit of $0.0 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Earnings per share were $0.40. The operating margin was 15.8%, 4.7 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s revenue?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. reported revenue of $0.2 B in the Mar 26 quarter, +5.6% year on year. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $0.8 B (+23.8%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 29.2% a year. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s profit?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. earned $0.0 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $0.1 B. The operating margin ran 15.8% in the latest quarter. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s market cap?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s market capitalisation is $1.0 B at a stock price of $35.9. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 29 July 2026.

Does Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. pay a dividend?

No — Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. has declared no dividend per share in any of its last 12 reported quarters, so there is no payout history and no yield to quote. That is a reading of the filed statements, not an estimate. — as of 29 July 2026.

How is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. performing?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. is building a base, 22 weeks in. Against the S&P 500 it has been ahead on a trailing-13-week view for 3 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. in an uptrend?

No — the price is building a base (week 22 of stage 1), trading −8.6% versus its 200-day average and at 22% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. beating the market?

On recent form, yes — Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. has been ahead of the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 3 straight weeks, the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +182% against the S&P 500's +248% — behind the index over the full window. — as of 29 July 2026.

Will Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $35.9, the price is building a base 22 weeks in. Direction is not something this site claims to know. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is the market betting against Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.?

Yes — short interest is 16.3% of Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s tradable float, about 10.8 days to cover at typical volumes. A crowded short: a large bloc is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 29 July 2026.

Does Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. have too much debt?

It carries real leverage — Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s debt-to-equity is 2.98. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s capex?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $0.0 B. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s cash flow?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. generated $0.3 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $0.3 B of free cash flow after $0.0 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $0.1 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 444% of Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY25, operating cash was $0.3 B against reported profit of $0.1 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 29 July 2026.

How financially safe is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 1.56 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is inside the danger band — a real balance-sheet risk. — as of 29 July 2026.

Where is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. in its business cycle?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s FY25 operating margin was 23.1%, against a 5-year band of 6.5%–29.8%: mid-band by its own history — neither the peak that precedes mean-reversion nor the trough that precedes recovery. The latest quarter ran 15.8%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 29 July 2026.

What could break the Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. story?

Biggest watch item: the price is not yet in a confirmed uptrend — timing risk, not thesis risk. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.'s three tracks disagree. Price, valuation and the earnings engine each tell a different story — the next quarter or two settles it. The sharpest open question: the next one or two quarters of delivery. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 29 July 2026.

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