CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd trades at ₹1,225, in a confirmed uptrend and 87 weeks into that stage. That is +3.0% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 32% of a 52-week range of ₹341 to ₹3,123. On relative strength it has been ahead of the NIFTY 500 on a trailing-13-week view for 2 straight weeks.

Today the stock is in a confirmed uptrend — week 87 of stage 2, confirmed. At ₹1,225 it trades +3.0% versus its 200-day average and sits at 32% of its 52-week range (₹341–₹3,123).

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 8.8 years the stock moved +9,697% while the NIFTY 500 moved +177% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock has been ahead for 2 straight weeks — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 13th percentile of its own range.

Valuation P/E is the price of ₹1 of annual profit: how many rupees the market pays for each rupee the company earns in a year.

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd trades at 20.3× P/E, near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 13% of the time. Its long-run median P/E is 49.1×, measured across 8.8 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 20.3× is near the bottom of its own range — cheaper only 13% of the time, against a long-run median of 49.1× measured over 8.8 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

One caveat before moving on: margins are the best this company has ever printed — cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap. If profitability mean-reverts, today's multiple is higher than it looks.

Why the multiple sits where it does: over the past year annual EPS moved +740.6% against a +214.2% price move — earnings outran the price, pushing the multiple DOWN its own range.

The price move, decomposed: over 5y, of the +100.8%/yr price move, ~+174.1%/yr came from earnings growth and ~−73.3 pp from the multiple (compressing). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is low against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

Stage: No read Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd reads as no read on its fundamental arc. Under eight usable quarters on the growth trio — not enough history for an honest trajectory read. The read is built from 9 quarters across 2 curves, on partial evidence.

Why it matters: with too little history, an honest page says so instead of guessing a trajectory.

One or more growth curves carry a base-effect spike — a large year-on-year move off a near-zero or loss-making comparable quarter. Those spikes are capped before the classifier reads the trajectory, and shown pinned on the chart, so a single distorted quarter does not drive the stage call.

Return readings here are annual, not quarterly — read as level and direction only; they can confirm the growth curves but never drive the stage on their own.

Fewer than eight usable quarters on the growth curves — this page will not guess a trajectory from a stub of history.

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

4-Factor Sector Score

59.5/100 — rank 3 of 5 in Edible Oils, Agro Processing · 73% evidence confidence

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd scores 59.5 out of 100 against the 5 companies it is compared with in Edible Oils, Agro Processing, ranking 3. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 23.3 + 7.7 + 11.5 + 17 = 59.5. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd reported ₹646 Cr of revenue in the Dec 25 quarter, +63.1% year on year. That is the 6th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 8 years it has compounded at 33.7% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at ₹1,029 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹2,068 Cr.

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd reported ₹646 Cr of revenue in the Dec 25 quarter, +63.1% year on year. That is the 6th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 8 years it has compounded at 33.7% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at ₹1,029 Cr. The last four reported quarters add to ₹2,068 Cr.

FY25 revenue came in at ₹1,029 Cr (+501.8% on the year), capping 8 years at 33.7% compound. The latest quarter (Dec 25) printed ₹646 Cr, +63.1% year on year — the 6th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +918.9% growth against the decade's 33.7% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +231.4% over the last 4 quarters against +225.7%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating; TTM profit +356.8% vs +1,200.0%/yr — rolling over.

→ Revenue grew — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 26.0% this quarter (+6.0 pp YoY).

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every ₹100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd's operating margin is 26.0% in the Dec 25 quarter, +6.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 9 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 3.0% to 14.0%.

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd's operating margin is 26.0% in the Dec 25 quarter, +6.0 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 9 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 3.0% to 14.0%.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 26.0%, +6.0 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 9 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 3.0%–14.0%, and FY25's 14.0% is the top of that band — a record year.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +5.7 pp year on year while gross margin went +9.3 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.

→ Margins held — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit +172.7% in the latest quarter.

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd earned ₹90.0 Cr of net profit in the Dec 25 quarter, +172.7% year on year. Full-year FY25 profit was ₹41.0 Cr. The 8-year compound rate is 38.7%. That is 13.9% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹33.0 Cr.

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd earned ₹90.0 Cr of net profit in the Dec 25 quarter, +172.7% year on year. Full-year FY25 profit was ₹41.0 Cr. The 8-year compound rate is 38.7%. That is 13.9% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier earned ₹33.0 Cr.

Dec 25 profit was ₹90.0 Cr, +172.7% year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed ₹41.0 Cr (+720.0%), and the 8-year compound rate is 38.7%.

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 834% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 834% of CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd's reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was ₹281 Cr of operating cash against ₹41.0 Cr of profit. After ₹2,914 Cr of capital spending, ₹−2,633 Cr was left as free cash.

FY25: operating cash of ₹281 Cr against reported profit of ₹41.0 Cr, leaving free cash of ₹−2,633 Cr after ₹2,914 Cr of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 834% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

Why conversion sits at 834%: the cash cycle stretched 79 days between FY20 and FY25 — more of each rupee of profit waits inside the cycle before arriving.

Router verdict: the bigger cash user is investment — capital spending ran 46.3× depreciation over three years, so the next section's job is to check what that build-out is buying.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: ₹2,918 Cr of building over 3 years.

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd's cash conversion cycle runs 287 days in FY25, up from 208 days in FY20. Capital spending ran ₹2,918 Cr over the last 3 years. At FY25 sales of ₹1,029 Cr each day of that cycle holds about ₹2.8 Cr, so roughly ₹809 Cr sits inside the business at any moment.

FY25: debtors at 93 days, inventory at 759 days — roughly 25.0 months of stock waiting to sell; that is where the cash sits while it waits — for a full cycle of 287 days, looser than FY20's 208.

The full loop: cash goes out to suppliers and production on day 0; stock waits 759 days to sell; customers pay about 93 days after that; and suppliers themselves are paid at 565 days — netting out to the 287-day cycle.

In money terms: at FY25 sales of ₹1,029 Cr, each day of the cycle holds about ₹2.8 Cr — so the 287-day loop keeps roughly ₹809 Cr sitting inside the business at any moment.

On the investment side: capital spending of ₹2,918 Cr over the last 3 fiscal years against ₹63.0 Cr of depreciation — the company is building well ahead of wear-and-tear. Capital work-in-progress stands at ₹561 Cr (FY25) — capacity paid for but not yet earning.

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROCE is 7%.

Return on capital Return on capital employed (ROCE) is the profit the whole business earns on all the money in it — equity and debt together. It is the single best test of whether growth creates value or just size.

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd earns a ROCE of 7% in FY25. A return-on-invested-capital spread against the cost of capital is not computable from what is held here. The wiring behind it is 4.0% net margin on 0.25× asset turns.

FY25 ROCE is 7%.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): 4.0% net margin × 0.25× asset turns × 2.13× balance-sheet leverage ≈ 2.1% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 0.66.

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings; interest cover says how many times operating profit pays the interest bill. Low and high, respectively, is the safe corner.

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd carries ₹1,300 Cr of borrowings against ₹1,964 Cr of equity in FY25, a debt-to-equity of 0.66. Operating profit covers the interest bill 2×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹104 Cr to ₹1,300 Cr. Capital spending ran ₹2,918 Cr across the last 3 of those years.

FY25: borrowings of ₹1,300 Cr against equity of ₹1,964 Cr — a debt-to-equity of 0.66. Operating profit covers the interest bill 2×. Over 5 years borrowings went from ₹104 Cr to ₹1,300 Cr while capital spending ran ₹2,918 Cr in just the last 3 — part of the build-out is riding on borrowed money.

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: the register is quiet.

Ownership Who owns the stock, quarter by quarter: promoters (the controlling owners), foreign and domestic institutions, and the public. Steady accumulation by people close to the numbers is a signal; a quiet register is also an answer.

No holder of CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd moved a full percentage point over the last two years — the register is quiet. Foreign institutions moved +0.0 points over the same window, to 0.1%. The register is read on the four disclosed classes only; nothing is inferred between filings.

The register over the last two years — Promoters: −0.1 points over 8 quarters to 67.6%; Foreign institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 0.1%; Domestic institutions: +0.0 points over 8 quarters to 0.1%.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

CIAN Agro Industries & Infrastructure Ltd: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure. The debt, cash-flow and return sections above carry the balance-sheet evidence this page does hold, and each of them states its own reporting date.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score is not available for this stock, so we say so rather than invent one.

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