Sector Alpha Week of 2026-07-29
Sector Alpha — machine-written from the numbers · Data as of 2026-07-29

Aura Minerals Inc.

AUGO
Materials · Gold

Aura Minerals Inc. is strength at full price. The numbers are improving — and a P/E at the 87th percentile of its own range says the market knows.

The sharpest disagreement: the engine is strong, but at the 87th percentile of its own range you are paying full price for it.

The price is building a base (4 weeks in) while the P/E sits at the 87th percentile of its own 4-year range. Underneath, the last four quarters read improving, and 194% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash. What settles it: whether the earnings grow into the multiple.

Stage
Turning around
fundamental trajectory, 12 quarters
Price
$55.0
+118.1% 1Y
P/E
50.0×
87th pctile
of its own 4-year range
Revenue (Mar 26)
$0.4 B
+137.5% YoY
Profit (Mar 26)
$0.1 B
Operating margin
55.3%
+11.5 pp YoY
ROE
40%
FY25
ROIC
50.9%
vs WACC 5.4% → +45.5 pp
Cash conversion
194%
of profit, last 3 FY
01 · Price story

Price story Before the numbers, the tape. A stock price moves through four repeating seasons: a flat base (stage 1), an advance (2), a top (3), a decline (4). Where the price sits in that cycle frames everything below.

Aura Minerals Inc. trades at $55.0, building a base and 4 weeks into that stage. That is −12.2% against its own 200-day average. It sits at 35% of a 52-week range of $26 to $109. On relative strength it is currently behind the S&P 500 on a trailing-13-week view (12 weeks and counting).

Today the stock is building a base — week 4 of stage 1. At $55.0 it trades −12.2% versus its 200-day average and sits at 35% of its 52-week range ($26–$109).

Jul 26: $55.0 Weekly closing price ($) with 50- and 200-day averages; shaded bands mark the price stage (grey base, green advance, amber top, red decline). 3-year window.
−12.2% versus the 200-day line, week 4 of stage 1
Price50-day avg200-day avg
S4S4S3S2$117$87.5$57.6$27.6$−2.3$$55$63Aug 23May 24Feb 25Nov 25Jul 26
S4S4S3S2$117$87.5$57.6$27.6$−2.3$$55$63Aug 23Feb 25Jul 26
Beating or trailing, week by week since 2016 Each cell is one week from 2016 to now (453 weeks): the stock's trailing 13-week return minus the S&P 500's, green ahead / red behind (±25% ramp). Grey cells are the 13-week warm-up or weeks where the S&P 500 reading is not held.
trailing 13-week return vs the S&P 500
Jul 16Jul 26

Against the market, two honest reads. Cumulative: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +3,645% while the S&P 500 moved +248% — ahead of the index over the full window. Recent form: on a trailing-13-week view the stock is currently behind (12 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-05-08) — the ribbon below is that same metric, week by week.

What would end the trend, mechanically: two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day line. That is the exit rule — no debates.

→ The trend is one thing; the bill is another. Are you paying up for it? Next: the P/E sits at the 87th percentile of its own range.

02 · Valuation

Valuation P/E is the price of $1 of annual profit: how many dollars the market pays for each dollar the company earns in a year.

Aura Minerals Inc. trades at 50.0× P/E, at the pricey end of its own range (87th percentile). Its long-run median P/E is 13.4×, measured across 4.3 years of weekly readings. This places the multiple against the stock’s own record, and says nothing about what the business is worth.

Today's P/E of 50.0× is at the pricey end of its own range (87th percentile), against a long-run median of 13.4× measured over 4.3 years of weekly readings. This is a comparison against the stock's own history — not a claim about what it is worth.

P/E 50.0× vs a 13.4× long-run median P/E, weekly (left axis); earnings per share, trailing twelve months, weekly step line (right axis). 4.3-year window; loss-period spikes above 40× shown pinned at the top. The eps (ttm) bars are red where the reading is lower than the quarter before.
at the pricey end of its own range (87th percentile)
P/EMedianEPS (TTM) (quarterly)
43.1×$1.233.0×$0.922.9×$0.612.8×$0.32.8×$0.0×$40.30×$1Apr 22Dec 22Nov 23Jul 24Jul 26
43.1×$1.233.0×$0.922.9×$0.612.8×$0.32.8×$0.0×$40.30×$1Apr 22Nov 23Jul 26
P/E
50.0×
87th percentile of 4y
PEG
0.74
derived from 3-year earnings growth

The price move, decomposed: over 3y, of the +102.8%/yr price move, ~+34.9%/yr came from earnings growth and ~+67.9 pp from the multiple (expanding). The split is the honest approximate (price return minus earnings growth); it makes the rally itself visible instead of hiding it behind the percentile.

Put together: the multiple is full against its own past, so the story rests on the earnings line underneath it, not the multiple.

→ Cheap or dear rides on the earnings. Are they actually growing? Next: the fundamental stage — where the business sits in its arc, and how growth has compounded.

03 · Stage: Turning around

Stage: Turning around Every business sits somewhere on a fundamental arc, and this page names the spot before anything else. The last twelve quarters of revenue, profit and EPS growth — plus the return the business earns on its capital — are read as curves: Deteriorating (the curves are falling), Turning around (a trough has just formed and the last few quarters lift off it), Improving (the climb off the trough is sustained), Consistent (steadily positive with healthy returns), Topping out (still high but decelerating from the peak). When the curves genuinely disagree the read is Mixed; too little history is No read. CAGR (compound annual growth rate) is the smooth yearly pace that turns the starting value into the latest one — the fairest way to compare growth across different time spans. Read the columns together: if the 1-year number towers over the 10-year, recent growth is running hotter than the long-run trend. A dash means that window is not held, or the base year was a loss (where a growth rate is not meaningful).

Aura Minerals Inc. reads as turning around on its fundamental arc. Turning around — profit growth swung from −133.3% at the trough to −40.0%, a 2-quarter improving streak, ROCE lifting at 60.9%. The read is built from 12 quarters across 4 curves, on full evidence.

Three growth curves, twelve quarters Year-on-year growth of trailing-twelve-month revenue (left axis), profit and EPS (right axis — they swing far wider), % at each quarter-end. Base-effect spikes shown pinned (▲). A missing point means that reading is not held for the quarter.
the trajectory the stage is read from
RevenueProfitEPS
92%51%63%−43%35%−138%6.6%−232%−22%−326%%%83.9%−40%−300%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
92%51%63%−43%35%−138%6.6%−232%−22%−326%%%83.9%−40%−300%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
ROCE Trailing-twelve-month operating profit (before interest and tax) as a share of average capital employed — total assets minus current liabilities, the standard textbook basis, %.
the return curve, computed quarterly
ROCE
65%51%37%23%8.6%%60.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
65%51%37%23%8.6%%60.9%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Revenue growth
Rising
latest +83.9% · span −14.0% to +83.9%
Profit growth
Recovering
latest −40.0% · span −200.0% to +25.0%
EPS growth
Falling
latest −448.6% · span −448.6% to +20.6%
ROCE
Rising
latest 60.9% · span 12.5%–60.9%

Why it matters: growth inflections are where re-ratings start — the curves say a turn is forming, so the question becomes whether the next quarters confirm it.

Growth, year by year: revenue +55.9% in FY25, profit null Year-over-year growth per fiscal year, %: revenue (left axis); net profit and EPS (right axis — profit growth swings far wider). Zero line drawn.
Revenue YoYProfit YoYEPS YoY
61%47%43%−20%24%−86%6.1%−152%−12%−218%%%55.9%−200%FY21FY23FY25
61%47%43%−20%24%−86%6.1%−152%−12%−218%%%55.9%−200%FY21FY23FY25
TTM growth by quarter Trailing-twelve-month growth versus the year-ago TTM, per quarter, %: revenue (left axis); profit and EPS (right axis). The acceleration read compares the last 4 quarters (+83.9%) with the last 8 annualized (+61.0%). Spikes shown pinned (▲).
revenue accelerating
Revenue TTM YoYProfit TTM YoYEPS TTM YoY
92%51%63%−43%35%−138%6.6%−232%−22%−326%%%83.9%−40%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
92%51%63%−43%35%−138%6.6%−232%−22%−326%%%83.9%−40%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
Compound annual growth rate (%) Compound annual growth rate over each window, %. Revenue, profit and EPS from fiscal-year figures; stock price is the price CAGR over the same spans. A dash = that window is not held, or the base was a loss.
1yr3yr5yr10yr
Revenue+55.9%+33.1%
Stock price+118.1%+102.8%+32.9%+45.9%
Revenue YoY (Mar 26)
+137.5%
latest quarter vs a year ago
Revenue 10y
21.7%
long-run compound pace

→ The stage names the trajectory. Next: the revenue line that produces it, quarter by quarter.

04 · 4-Factor Sector Score

4-Factor Sector Score

56.2/100 — rank 14 of 28 in Gold · 75% evidence confidence

Aura Minerals Inc. scores 56.2 out of 100 against the 28 companies it is compared with in Gold, ranking 14. Balanced evidence: keep at normal research priority and require another comparable period before raising conviction.

The four contributions add to the total exactly: 22.4 + 13.8 + 8.2 + 11.8 = 56.2. This is the SAME number shown on the sector comparison — it is computed once, for the whole peer set, and read here.

What would change it: The read weakens if profit growth turns negative or margin improvement reverses while sector-relative strength deteriorates.

05 · Revenue

Revenue Revenue is the top line: everything the company billed its customers in the period.

Aura Minerals Inc. reported $0.4 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +137.5% year on year. That is the 11th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 4 years it has compounded at 21.7% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $0.9 B. The last four reported quarters add to $1.1 B.

Aura Minerals Inc. reported $0.4 B of revenue in the Mar 26 quarter, +137.5% year on year. That is the 11th straight quarter of year-on-year growth. Over 4 years it has compounded at 21.7% a year. The last full year, FY25, came in at $0.9 B. The last four reported quarters add to $1.1 B.

FY25 revenue came in at $0.9 B (+55.9% on the year), capping 4 years at 21.7% compound. The latest quarter (Mar 26) printed $0.4 B, +137.5% year on year — the 11th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

FY25 revenue $0.9 B (+55.9% YoY) Revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
21.7% a year over 4 years
RevenueYoY growth
1.061%0.743%0.524%0.26.1%0.0−12%$ B%$1B55.9%FY21FY23FY25
1.061%0.743%0.524%0.26.1%0.0−12%$ B%$1B55.9%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $0.4 B (+137.5% YoY) Quarterly revenue bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
11th straight quarter of growth
Revenue (quarterly)YoY growth
0.4149%0.3106%0.263%0.120%0.0−23%$ B%$0B137.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.4149%0.3106%0.263%0.120%0.0−23%$ B%$0B137.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Pace check: the last four quarters averaged +82.0% growth against the decade's 21.7% — the current year is running faster than its own long-run rate.

Acceleration check: trailing-twelve-month revenue grew +83.9% over the last 4 quarters against +61.0%/yr over the last 8 — accelerating.

→ Revenue grew — did margins hold as it scaled? Next: 55.3% this quarter (+11.5 pp YoY).

06 · Operating margin

Operating margin Operating margin is what is left of every $100 of sales after running the business, before interest and tax. It is the cleanest read on pricing power and cost control.

Aura Minerals Inc.'s operating margin is 55.3% in the Mar 26 quarter, +11.5 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 21.4% to 50.0%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.

Aura Minerals Inc.'s operating margin is 55.3% in the Mar 26 quarter, +11.5 percentage points against the same quarter a year ago. That is the widest this company has ever printed on a full-year basis. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 21.4% to 50.0%. The current quarter is running above every full year in that window.

The latest quarter's operating margin is 55.3%, +11.5 pp against the same quarter a year ago. Across 5 fiscal years the operating margin has ranged 21.4%–50.0%, and FY25's 50.0% is the top of that band — a record year.

Why the margin moved: operating margin went +11.5 pp year on year while gross margin went +10.5 pp — the gain came mostly from the gross line: input costs and pricing.

Worth repeating from the valuation section: cheap against its own history on record margins is not the same thing as cheap — a record margin flatters every ratio built on top of it.

FY25: 50.0% Operating margin by fiscal year, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). 5-year window.
the widest a 21.4–50.0% band over 5 years
operating marginYoY change (pp)
52%19%44%9.6%36%0.6%27%−8.5%19%−17%%%50%16.1%FY21FY23FY25
52%19%44%9.6%36%0.6%27%−8.5%19%−17%%%50%16.1%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: 55.3% operating margin (+11.5 pp YoY) Quarterly operating margin, %, line (left); year-on-year change in the margin, in percentage points, line (right). Last 12 quarters. Operating profit as a share of revenue, per quarter.
Operating marginYoY change (pp)
59%21%48%16%37%11%26%6.3%15%1.5%%%55.3%11.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
59%21%48%16%37%11%26%6.3%15%1.5%%%55.3%11.5%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Margins held — did that reach the bottom line? Next: profit null in the latest quarter.

07 · Net profit

Net profit Net profit is what survives every cost, interest and tax — the number EPS, dividends and book value all grow from.

Aura Minerals Inc. earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. The full FY25 year was a loss of $0.1 B. That is 26.3% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost $0.1 B. 3 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Aura Minerals Inc. earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. The full FY25 year was a loss of $0.1 B. That is 26.3% of the quarter's revenue. The same quarter a year earlier lost $0.1 B. 3 of the last 12 reported quarters were loss-making.

Mar 26 profit was $0.1 B, null year on year. On the full year, FY25 printed $−0.1 B (null).

FY25 profit $−0.1 B (null YoY) Net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). 5-year window. A bar is red when it is lower than the year before.
Net profitYoY growth
0.10−20%0.05−68%0.01−117%−0.04−165%−0.09−213%$ B%$−0B−200%FY21FY23FY25
0.10−20%0.05−68%0.01−117%−0.04−165%−0.09−213%$ B%$−0B−200%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: $0.1 B (null YoY) Quarterly net profit bars, $ B (left); YoY growth-% line (right). Last 12 quarters. A bar is red when it is lower than the quarter before.
Net profit (quarterly)YoY growth
0.11−20%0.06−68%0.01−117%−0.03−165%−0.08−213%$ B%$0B−33.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
0.11−20%0.06−68%0.01−117%−0.03−165%−0.08−213%$ B%$0B−33.3%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Profit rose — but did the cash follow? Next: 194% of the last 3 years' profit arrived as cash.

08 · Cash flow — the router

Cash flow — the router The P&L says what was earned; the cash-flow statement says what actually arrived. Operating cash flow (CFO) against profit is the cleanest lie detector in the accounts.

Over the last 3 fiscal years 194% of Aura Minerals Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash — the cash follows the profit. In FY25 that was $0.3 B of operating cash against $−0.1 B of profit. After $0.2 B of capital spending, $0.1 B was left as free cash.

FY25: operating cash of $0.3 B against reported profit of $−0.1 B, leaving free cash of $0.1 B after $0.2 B of capital spending. Across the last 3 fiscal years the conversion rate is 194% of profit.

Cash-flow readings here are annual — that is the resolution our series carries, so this section moves once a year.

FY25: CFO $0.3 B vs profit $−0.1 B Operating cash flow and net profit by fiscal year, $ B; the line is free cash flow (CFO minus capital spending). 5-year window, annual resolution.
194% of 3-year profit arrived as cash
Operating cashNet profitFree cash
0.30.20.10.0−0.1$ B$0B$−0B$0BFY21FY23FY25
0.30.20.10.0−0.1$ B$0B$−0B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: operating cash $0.1 B = 120% of the quarter's profit Operating cash per quarter, $ B (bars); conversion = operating cash as % of net profit (line, right). Last 12 quarters. Dashed line = 100%.
Operating cash (quarterly)Conversion100%
992,48,341%751,81,675%501,15,009%2548,342%0.0−18,324%$ B%$0B120%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
992,48,341%751,81,675%501,15,009%2548,342%0.0−18,324%$ B%$0B120%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

Why: conversion is measured cleanly, but the working-capital day-counts behind it sit below what we hold — the move is shown without inventing its driver.

Router verdict: the visible cash user is investment — the next section checks what the spending is buying.

→ So follow the cash to where it goes. Next: $0.0 B of building over 3 years.

09 · Where the cash goes

Where the cash goes Working capital is the cash tied up between paying suppliers and getting paid: debtor days (customers owe), inventory days (stock waits), and the cash conversion cycle (the whole loop, in days of sales).

Aura Minerals Inc. does not report the debtor, inventory and payable day-counts a cash cycle is built from, so this section reads the investment side instead. Capital spending ran $0.0 B over the last 3 years. Averaged over those years that is 0.0% of FY25 revenue a year.

Working-capital day-counts are not in our numbers for this stock, so this section reads the investment side — where the cash is being put to work.

On the investment side: capital spending of $0.0 B over the last 3 fiscal years.

FY25: capex $0.2 B Capital spending per fiscal year, $ B (bars).
steady investment
Capex
0.190.150.100.050.00$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
0.190.150.100.050.00$ B$0BFY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: capex $0.0 B in the quarter Capital spending per quarter, $ B (bars, left); free cash flow, $ B (line, right). Last 12 quarters.
Capex (quarterly)Free cash
725054363623189.10.0−4.6$ B$ B$0B$0BMar 23Jun 24Mar 26
725054363623189.10.0−4.6$ B$ B$0B$0BMar 23Jun 24Mar 26

The synthesis: the cash is going into capacity, not disappearing into the cycle — the question becomes whether the new capacity earns.

→ Does all this activity actually earn its cost of capital? Next: ROE is 40% and the ROIC − WACC spread is +45.5 pp.

10 · Return on equity

Return on equity Return on equity (ROE) is the profit the business earns on its shareholders’ money. With the full capital-employed split not in our numbers, ROE is the cleanest long ladder we can draw here.

Aura Minerals Inc. earns a ROE of −30% in FY25. Return on invested capital clears the cost of that capital by +45.5 percentage points, so growth here adds value rather than only size. The wiring behind it is −8.7% net margin on 0.57× asset turns.

FY25 ROE is −30%.

Why the return is what it is — the wiring (FY25): −8.7% net margin × 0.57× asset turns × 5.96× balance-sheet leverage ≈ −29.6% on equity. Margin does its share; leverage is a meaningful part of the equation.

The capstone test — ROIC − WACC: 50.9% − 5.4% = a +45.5 pp spread. The 5.4% is an estimate of this company's own cost of capital — read the sign and the size of the spread, not the decimals. A spread this wide means every dollar reinvested creates more than a dollar of value — the engine compounds.

FY25: ROE −30% Return on equity by fiscal year, % (line); ROIC by fiscal year, % (line). 5-year window, dips included. Dashed line = the 5.4% cost of capital used on this page.
the full ladder
ROEROIC (annual)WACC
54%−8.6%−71%−133%−196%%−29.6%−178.4%FY21FY23FY25
54%−8.6%−71%−133%−196%%−29.6%−178.4%FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: ROIC 34.4% (TTM) vs WACC 5.4% Trailing-twelve-month ROIC and ROE, per quarter, %; dashed line = the cost of capital. Last 12 quarters, put on a trailing-twelve-month basis and anchored to the annual figure.
ROIC (TTM)ROE (TTM)WACC
50%24%−1.3%−27%−53%%34.4%43.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
50%24%−1.3%−27%−53%%34.4%43.1%Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Returns like these — is the balance sheet borrowing to make them? Next: debt-to-equity is 1.43.

11 · Dividend

Dividend A dividend is cash paid out per share. Dividend per share is the declared amount for the period; the trailing twelve-month total is the four most recent quarters added together.

Aura Minerals Inc. paid $1.87 per share over the last four reported quarters, up 164.0% on a year ago. The most recent declaration was $0.66 for Dec 25. Against the current price of $55.0 that is a trailing yield of 3.40%, measured on dividends already paid rather than on a forecast.

Aura Minerals Inc. paid $1.87 per share over the last four reported quarters, up 164.0% on a year ago. The most recent declaration was $0.66 for Dec 25. Against the current price of $55.0 that is a trailing yield of 3.40%, measured on dividends already paid rather than on a forecast.

Aura Minerals Inc. paid $1.87 per share across the last four reported quarters, most recently $0.66 for Dec 25. That is up 164.0% against the same quarter a year earlier. Against the current price of $55.0 the trailing twelve months work out to 3.40% — trailing dividends measured against today's price, not a forward estimate.

Dividend per share by quarter Declared dividend per share, $ B, per reported quarter. 9 quarters on file.
latest $0.66 (Dec 25)
Dividend per share
0.70.50.40.20.0$ B$1BJun 23Jun 24Dec 24Jun 25Dec 25
0.70.50.40.20.0$ B$1BJun 23Dec 24Dec 25

→ A payout is cash leaving the business. Next: what the balance sheet looks like behind it.

12 · Debt

Debt Debt-to-equity says how much of the business is funded by borrowings. Low is the safe corner; the trend matters as much as the level.

Aura Minerals Inc. carries total debt of $0.4 B against shareholder equity of $0.3 B as of Mar 26, a debt-to-equity of 1.37. On the annual view that ratio went from 0.59 in FY21 to 1.52 in FY25. Read the returns elsewhere on this page with that leverage in mind.

Mar 26: total debt of $0.4 B against shareholder equity of $0.3 B — a debt-to-equity of 1.37. On the annual view, debt-to-equity went from 0.59 (FY21) to 1.52 (FY25). Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind.

FY25: debt $0.4 B at 1.52× equity Total debt by fiscal year, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). 5-year window.
Total debtDebt-to-equity
0.52.1×0.41.7×0.21.3×0.10.9×0.00.5×$ B×$0B1.52×FY21FY23FY25
0.52.1×0.41.7×0.21.3×0.10.9×0.00.5×$ B×$0B1.52×FY21FY23FY25
Mar 26: debt $0.4 B, debt-to-equity 1.37 Total debt per quarter, $ B (bars); debt-to-equity, × (line). Last 12 quarters.
Total debt (quarterly)Debt-to-equity
4643.6×3482.8×2322.0×1161.3×0.00.5×$ B×$0B1.37×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26
4643.6×3482.8×2322.0×1161.3×0.00.5×$ B×$0B1.37×Jun 23Sep 24Mar 26

→ Who owns this, and are they adding or leaving? Next: short interest is 12.0% of the float.

13 · Ownership

Ownership There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read here, so we read the crowd through short interest — the slice of tradable shares currently sold short, positioned for a fall.

12.0% of Aura Minerals Inc.'s tradable float is currently sold short — a large bloc is positioned against it. At typical trading volumes those positions would take about 3.8 days to buy back. There is no quarter-by-quarter holder register to read for this filer, so the crowd is read through short interest instead.

The latest reading: 12.0% of the float is sold short, and at typical trading volumes it would take about 3.8 days to buy those positions back. A large bloc is positioned against it. This is a single point-in-time reading — we do not yet hold its history, so we show no trend chart.

Short interest
12.0%
of the tradable float
Days to cover
3.8
at typical volumes

Why it sits there: who is doing the shorting, and why, does not travel with the number — the level is shown without inventing its story.

→ One last check: does the safety math agree? Next: the balance-sheet safety line.

14 · Safety line

Safety line The Z-score estimates how far a company sits from balance-sheet distress — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the danger zone. It was built for manufacturers, so it is not applied to banks and lenders.

Aura Minerals Inc.: the Z-score reads 2.90. A Z-score above roughly 3 reads as safe and below roughly 1.8 as the distress zone, so this sits in the grey band between the two. It is a distance-to-distress estimate from the balance sheet, not a forecast of failure.

Why it matters: a Z-score of 2.90 sits in the grey band — neither clearly safe nor clearly distressed.

The safety line in one sentence: the Z-score reads 2.90.

Related companies · same industry · Gold Every company is compared on the shape of its own curves, not static ratios. The Revenue, EPS and ROCE columns each draw that company's last 12 quarters as a mini line of the ACTUAL level (trailing-twelve-month revenue and EPS, and the ROCE itself) — so a line that climbs is a business getting bigger, a line that sinks is one shrinking. The colour tracks the same line: green when it is rising or steadily healthy, amber when it is rolling over from a high (still elevated but turning down), red when it is falling, grey when flat or stuck. Colour and direction always agree — a green line never points down. The ROCE curve is the return on capital (annual readings for peers, so a slightly coarser line than the quarterly one at the top of this page). The Stage column then runs the same 12-quarter trajectory classifier used at the top of the page on each company and names where it sits. What lands a company in each bucket: CONSISTENT — growth stays positive across the window and returns are healthy (ROCE ≥ 15%, or ROE ≥ 12% for lenders); IMPROVING — profit or EPS fell into real decline, bottomed a few quarters back, and has climbed back to positive and held there; TURNING AROUND — the same kind of trough but more recent, with the latest quarters just lifting off it (an early, unconfirmed turn); TOPPING OUT — growth is still positive but decelerating hard from its own peak while returns have stopped rising; DETERIORATING — two or more growth curves are shrinking (latest below zero) and staying there, not one soft quarter; MIXED — the curves genuinely disagree, or no clean majority, so no single word fits; NO READ — fewer than eight usable quarters. It is a like-for-like read of every company against its own past, not a ranking against the group.
CompanyP/EMkt capRevenueEPSROCEStage
Aura Minerals Inc. this page50.0×$5BTurning around
Newmont Corporation11.8×$96BMixed
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited13.5×$73BMixed
Barrick Mining Corporation10.2×$62BConsistent
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.27.7×$50BMixed
Franco-Nevada Corporation29.8×$41BImproving
AngloGold Ashanti plc11.6×$40BMixed
Gold Fields Limited8.2×$29BTurning around
Kinross Gold Corporation9.8×$28BMixed
Pan American Silver Corp.13.6×$18BNo read
Royal Gold, Inc.23.1×$17BMixed
Coeur Mining, Inc.12.3×$15BNo read
Alamos Gold Inc.11.4×$12BConsistent
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited9.9×$10BConsistent
Eldorado Gold Corporation14.7×$8BMixed
IAMGOLD Corporation8.3×$8BTurning around
Equinox Gold Corp.10.9×$7BNo read
OR Royalties Inc.21.7×$6BMixed
OceanaGold Corporation7.1×$5BMixed
SSR Mining Inc.22.9×$5BNo read
B2Gold Corp.9.4×$5BNo read
Orla Mining Ltd.13.2×$3BImproving
Centerra Gold Inc.5.1×$3BNo read
Aris Mining Corporation17.2×$3BNo read
Seabridge Gold Inc.$3B
Allied Gold Corporation$3BNo read
NovaGold Resources Inc.$3B
Fortuna Mining Corp.7.5×$3BNo read
Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation$2BNo read
DRDGOLD Limited9.3×$2BConsistent
Collective Mining Ltd.$1B
i-80 Gold Corp.$1BNo read
Osisko Development Corp.$1BNo read
Gold Royalty Corp.$1BNo read
Mako Mining Corp.13.5×$1BNo read
Dakota Gold Corp.$1B
New Found Gold Corp.$1B
Contango Silver & Gold Inc.$1B
International Tower Hill Mines Ltd.$0B
Galiano Gold Inc.15.1×$0BNo read
12 · Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

What is Aura Minerals Inc.'s stock price today?

Aura Minerals Inc. trades at $55.0, +118.1% over the past year. The company is valued at $5.0 B. The stock sits at 35% of its 52-week range of $26–$109, −12.2% versus its 200-day average. On the tape, the price is building a base, 4 weeks in. — as of 29 July 2026.

What were Aura Minerals Inc.'s latest quarterly results?

Aura Minerals Inc. reported revenue of $0.4 B and net profit of $0.1 B for the Mar 26 quarter. Earnings per share were $1.13. The operating margin was 55.3%, 11.5 pp higher than a year earlier. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Aura Minerals Inc.'s revenue?

Aura Minerals Inc. reported revenue of $0.4 B in the Mar 26 quarter, +137.5% year on year. For the full FY25 fiscal year, revenue was $0.9 B (+55.9%). Over the last 4 years revenue compounded at 21.7% a year. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Aura Minerals Inc.'s profit?

Aura Minerals Inc. earned $0.1 B of net profit in the Mar 26 quarter. Full-year FY25 profit was $−0.1 B. The operating margin ran 55.3% in the latest quarter. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Aura Minerals Inc.'s market cap?

Aura Minerals Inc.'s market capitalisation is $5.0 B at a stock price of $55.0. Market cap is the share price multiplied by shares outstanding, so it is restated whenever the price moves. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Aura Minerals Inc.'s P/E ratio?

Aura Minerals Inc. trades at a P/E of 50.0×, at the 87th percentile of its own 4-year range, against a long-run median of 13.4×. This is a comparison with the stock's own history, not a value call — as of 29 July 2026.

Does Aura Minerals Inc. pay a dividend?

Yes — Aura Minerals Inc. declared $0.66 per share for Dec 25, and $1.87 per share across the last four reported quarters. The latest quarter is up 164.0% on the same quarter a year earlier. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Aura Minerals Inc.'s dividend per share?

Aura Minerals Inc.'s most recently declared dividend is $0.66 per share for Dec 25, giving $1.87 per share over the trailing twelve months. Each figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters for the trailing total. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Aura Minerals Inc.'s dividend yield?

Aura Minerals Inc.'s trailing dividend yield is 3.40%: $1.87 declared per share across the last four reported quarters, against a share price of $55.0. Each quarter’s figure is the amount declared for that quarter as reported, added across four quarters and divided by the latest close. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Aura Minerals Inc. overvalued?

On its own history, Aura Minerals Inc. looks expensive against its own history: its P/E of 50.0× sits at the 87th percentile of its 4-year range (long-run median 13.4×). That is a percentile read against the stock's own past, not a price opinion or a direction call. One caveat: margins are the best this company has ever printed — cheap on record margins is not the same thing as cheap. — as of 29 July 2026.

How is Aura Minerals Inc. performing?

Aura Minerals Inc. is building a base, 4 weeks in. Against the S&P 500 it has been behind on a trailing-13-week view for 12 weeks. This describes what the data did, not a rating. — as of 29 July 2026.

What stage is Aura Minerals Inc. in?

Turning around — profit growth swung from −133.3% at the trough to −40.0%, a 2-quarter improving streak, ROCE lifting at 60.9%. The read comes from the last 12 quarters of growth (revenue growth +83.9% latest, profit growth −40.0% latest, eps growth −448.6% latest) plus the ROCE curve, classified by deterministic rules — a trajectory read, not a buy or sell call — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Aura Minerals Inc. in an uptrend?

No — the price is building a base (week 4 of stage 1), trading −12.2% versus its 200-day average and at 35% of its 52-week range. Price stages cycle base → advance → top → decline, and the stage names where this stock sits in that cycle — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Aura Minerals Inc. beating the market?

Not lately — on a trailing-13-week view Aura Minerals Inc. is currently behind the S&P 500 (12 weeks and counting; last ahead the week of 2026-05-08), the same metric the week-by-week ribbon on this page draws. Separately, on the cumulative view: over the last 10.1 years the stock moved +3,645% against the S&P 500's +248% — ahead of the index over the full window. — as of 29 July 2026.

Will Aura Minerals Inc.'s stock price go up?

This page publishes no price forecast for Aura Minerals Inc. What it measures instead: the stock price is $55.0, the price is building a base 4 weeks in. Its P/E of 50.0× sits at the 87th percentile of its own 4-year range. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is the market betting against Aura Minerals Inc.?

Yes — short interest is 12.0% of Aura Minerals Inc.'s tradable float, about 3.8 days to cover at typical volumes. A crowded short: a large bloc is positioned against it. With no quarter-by-quarter holder register here, short interest is the cleanest crowd read we hold — as of 29 July 2026.

Does Aura Minerals Inc. have too much debt?

It carries real leverage — Aura Minerals Inc.'s debt-to-equity is 1.43. A year-by-year borrowings ladder is not in our numbers for this stock, so the latest reading is the cleanest hold. Read the returns on this page with that leverage in mind — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Aura Minerals Inc.'s capex?

Aura Minerals Inc. spent $0.0 B on capital expenditure over the last 3 fiscal years, a figure derived from the change in fixed assets plus depreciation. In FY25 alone that was $0.2 B. — as of 29 July 2026.

What is Aura Minerals Inc.'s cash flow?

Aura Minerals Inc. generated $0.3 B of operating cash flow in FY25 and $0.1 B of free cash flow after $0.2 B of capital spending. Reported profit that year was $−0.1 B, so operating cash ran ahead of profit. — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Aura Minerals Inc.'s profit real cash?

Yes — over the last 3 fiscal years, 194% of Aura Minerals Inc.'s reported profit arrived as operating cash. In FY25, operating cash was $0.3 B against reported profit of $−0.1 B. The cash then goes mostly into building capacity. Cash-flow resolution is annual — as of 29 July 2026.

How financially safe is Aura Minerals Inc.?

On the balance sheet, the Z-score reads 2.90 — above roughly 3 is safe, below roughly 1.8 is the distress zone. That is in the grey band — neither clearly safe nor clearly distressed. — as of 29 July 2026.

Where is Aura Minerals Inc. in its business cycle?

Aura Minerals Inc.'s FY25 operating margin was 50.0%, against a 5-year band of 21.4%–50.0%: the top of the band — a record year. Record profitability is late-cycle territory: every ratio flatters at the top, and the story leans on margins holding. The latest quarter ran 55.3%. Profitability versus a company's own long band is the cleanest cycle clock this page holds — as of 29 July 2026.

What could break the Aura Minerals Inc. story?

The sharpest disagreement: the engine is strong, but at the 87th percentile of its own range you are paying full price for it. Mechanically, two Friday closes in a row below the 200-day average would end the price trend — that is the exit rule this page tracks — as of 29 July 2026.

Is Aura Minerals Inc. a stock worth studying right now?

This is not investment advice. The machine read: Aura Minerals Inc. is strength at full price. The numbers are improving — and a P/E at the 87th percentile of its own range says the market knows. The sharpest open question: whether the earnings grow into the multiple. Every number on this page is drawn deterministically from the raw series, with no forecasts and no price opinions — as of 29 July 2026.

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