Sector Alpha

Track where the smart money flows in Indian equities

DashboardWeekly UpdateUploadPipelinePE CyclesBrainAbout

Data updated weekly. Not financial advice.

Sector Alpha
  1. Home
  2. /Deep Value
  3. /Quick Service Restaurant - QSR
  4. /Jubilant Foodworks Ltd
MomentumDeep Value

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd: Is It a Deep Value Opportunity?

Average

As of May 10, 2026, Jubilant Foodworks Ltd (Quick Service Restaurant - QSR) has a deep value score of 44/100 (rated Average). 1Y return vs Nifty 500: -35%.

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd Key Facts

PE Ratio
94.4x
Market Cap
₹31,230 Cr
Value Score
44/100
Margin of Safety
-76%
PAT Growth YoY
+70%
Revenue Growth YoY
+13%
OPM
20.0%
PE: Near TroughStrong Opportunity

What's Happening

💎PE falling while earnings hold — value emerging
👔Promoter stake down 1.7% this quarter
🌐FII stake decreased 0.9% this quarter
🏛️DII accumulation — stake up 2.9%
💰Trading 76% above estimated fair value — significant premium

Earnings Acceleration Triggers

1. New Product Or Brand Launch
CurrentHIGH
2. Operating Leverage Inflection
CurrentHIGH
3. Geographical Expansion
QuarterlyMEDIUM

Key Risks

1. Persistent inflation in dairy, oil, and flour prices
MEDIUM
2. Potential impact from the implementation of the new Labour Code in April
LOW

Sector-Specific Signals

Domino's India LFL Growth5%-7.5%
Total Store Network3,600Not Given
Domino's India Store Adds (Q3)75Not Given
India Gross Margin74.9%Not Given

Key Numbers

PAT Growth YoY
+70%
Inflection Up
Revenue YoY
+13%
Stable
Operating Margin
20.0%
+100 bps YoY
PE Ratio
94.4
PEG Ratio
6.42
Current Price
₹473
Dividend Yield
0.25%
3Y PAT CAGR
-20%
Market Cap
31.2K Cr
Valuation
Significantly Overvalued

Why Are Jubilant Foodworks Ltd's Earnings Accelerating?

Based on Q3 FY26 earnings • Updated Apr 18, 2026

New Product Or Brand Launch

Expected: CurrentHIGH confidence

What: Gross Margin Impact: Accretive

“Our recent new product launches, including Sourdough Pizza and Cheese Lava Pull Apart, have seen an overwhelming response... these products are accretive to gross margin.”

Operating Leverage Inflection

Expected: CurrentHIGH confidence

What: EBITDA Margin Expansion: 110 bps

Impact: 110 bps

“Part of it coming through on account of, of course, scale. They are generating more revenue, I mean, of course, better LFL gives us the scale operating leverage for rental.”

Geographical Expansion

Expected: QuarterlyMEDIUM confidence

What: Store Count: 114 adds

“We carried on our network expansion by adding 114 stores during the quarter across brands and markets. We now operate close to 3,600 stores.”

Interest Cost Reduction Deleveraging

Expected: OngoingMEDIUM confidence

What: Debt Servicing: 100% interest

“100% of the interest obligations are being paid by the Turkey business now since the last 3 quarters. So there's no remitting of funds or cash flow from the India business.”

Tam Expansion Changing Consumption

Expected: Medium-termLOW confidence

What: Ad Revenue Potential: 1% of revenue

Impact: 1% of revenue

“And the number of active clients using post-order page advertising crossed 10 in the quarter... we should get about 1% of our revenues on that channel.”

Consolidated PAT growth of 94%

HIGH confidence

What: Consolidated PAT growth of 94%

“Consolidated PAT from continuing operations before exceptional items grew 94% with PAT margin expanding 167 basis points year-on-year.”

What Are the Key Risks for Jubilant Foodworks Ltd?

Earnings deceleration risks from management commentary

Persistent inflation in dairy, oil, and flour prices

MEDIUM

Trigger: Global and domestic supply chain pressures on key pizza ingredients.

Management view: Calibrated price increases and favorable mix movements towards premium products.

Monitor: commodity

Potential impact from the implementation of the new Labour Code in April

LOW

Trigger: Restructuring of wages and definitions as per new government regulations.

Impact: PAT impact: 10 to 15 bps

Management view: Management is monitoring the situation and expects the impact to be manageable.

Monitor: labor

What Is Jubilant Foodworks Ltd's Management Saying?

Key quotes from recent conference calls

“So, we want the India Domino’s business to grow closer to 15% year-on-year. That is what internally we target. [Previous India Domino's Revenue Growth guidance]”
“Now, roughly 5% to 7% should come from like-for-like growth and we should increase 7% to 10% on the store expansion. [Previous Like-for-Like (LFL) Growth guidance]”
“Our site selection is totally AI-enabled now and we have a list of 1,000 stores. So I do see that the brand is very strong. [Initiative: AI-Enabled Site Selection]”
“So at least my own take is at the right time, I'm not saying it short-term, we should get about 1% of our revenues on that channel. [Initiative: Ad Monetization on App]”

What Did Jubilant Foodworks Ltd Report This Quarter?

Headline numbers from the latest earnings call

Revenue

₹24.4 billion

YoY +13.3%QoQ +4.3%

Why: Growth was driven by all business segments, both domestic and international, contributing to the top line during the peak quarter.

Consolidated revenue growth was supported by an 11.8% increase in India revenues and strong international performance.

EBITDA

Not Disclosed

YoY +20%Margin 20.5%

Why: Improvement was driven by gross margin expansion and productivity-led efficiencies despite persistent inflation in dairy, oil, and flour.

Reported EBITDA grew 20% YoY, with margins expanding by 110 basis points.

PAT

Not Disclosed

YoY +94%

Why: Consolidated PAT growth was driven by strong operating performance and margin expansion of 167 basis points year-on-year.

Standalone PAT also grew 27% YoY, reflecting strong bottom-line performance across entities.

Other Highlights

• India gross margin reached 74.9%, an 80-bps improvement over the last six months.

• Turkey business is now servicing its acquisition-related debt entirely through internal cash flows.

• Monthly transacting users on apps grew over 20% year-on-year in each quarter of FY 2026.

What Sector Metrics Matter for Jubilant Foodworks Ltd?

Sub-sector-specific signals from the latest concall — each with management's stated reason for the change

Domino's India LFL Growth

5%

YoY -7.5%QoQ -4.1%

Why: Grew on a very high base of 12.5% from the previous year.

Total Store Network

3,600

YoY Not GivenQoQ +114

Why: Aggressive expansion across brands and markets.

Domino's India Store Adds (Q3)

75

YoY Not GivenQoQ Not Given

Why: Highest ever store expansion by Domino's in India in the first 9 months.

India Gross Margin

74.9%

YoY Not GivenQoQ +52 bps

Why: Driven by calibrated price increases and favorable mix movements.

Popeyes Store Count

73

YoY Not GivenQoQ +5

Why: Steady expansion as a new growth vector.

Monthly Transacting User Growth

20%

YoY +20%QoQ Not Given

Why: Strong digital adoption and technology initiatives.

Domino's India Order Growth

10%

YoY Not GivenQoQ Not Given

Why: Healthy demand in the delivery channel.

Lease Expenses % of Revenue

7%

YoY -0.4%QoQ Not Given

Why: Operating leverage and smaller store formats.

What Is Jubilant Foodworks Ltd's Management Guidance?

Forward-looking targets from management for FY26/FY27

Revenue Growth Target

15%

Capex Plan

₹700 Cr

Revenue Outlook

15%

Margin Outlook

Improve by about 200 bps at an EBITDA level as a company above FY '24 levels.

Capex Plan

₹700 crores to ₹850 crores

Store expansion (1,000 stores in 3 years) and technology investments.

Volume

Healthy order growth of 10% for Domino's India.

Management Tone: BULLISH

Guidance Changes

LOWERED

Popeyes Segment Reporting: At 100 stores (expected Q4 FY26) → Q1 FY27

How Fast Is Jubilant Foodworks Ltd Growing?

Revenue, profit and margin growth rates

MetricYoY3Y CAGRTrend
Revenue+13%+23%Stable
PAT (Net Profit)+70%-20%Inflection Up
OPM20.0%+100 bpsStable

The above analysis is parsed from publicly available earnings call transcripts. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Apr 18, 2026.

Other Deep Value Stocks in Quick Service Restaurant - QSR

Westlife Foodworld Ltd
Average
47
← Back to Quick Service Restaurant - QSRAll Deep Value SectorsDashboard

Frequently Asked Questions: Jubilant Foodworks Ltd

Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What is Jubilant Foodworks Ltd's deep value score?

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd has a deep value score of 44/100 (rated Average). This score is calculated from three components

  • Earnings Score: 12/40 — measures PAT growth momentum across quarters
  • Underperformance Score: 17/35 — how much the stock trails Nifty 500 (deeper underperformance = higher contrarian signal)
  • Quality Score: 0/25 — operational quality (margins, revenue growth, valuation)

Is Jubilant Foodworks Ltd fundamentally improving?

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd's quarterly profit (PAT) growth trajectory

  • Latest Quarter PAT Growth (QoQ): -63%
  • Previous Quarter PAT Growth (QoQ): +106%
  • 2 Quarters Ago PAT Growth (QoQ): +91%
  • PAT Acceleration: -76.9pp (profits are decelerating)

Why is Jubilant Foodworks Ltd underperforming despite good earnings?

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd is underperforming the market despite improving earnings — this is the core deep value thesis

  • 1-Year Return vs Nifty 500: -35%
  • 6-Month Return vs Nifty 500: -16%
  • 3-Month Return vs Nifty 500: -12%
  • Yet average quarterly PAT growth is +45% — earnings are improving
  • The market often takes time to re-rate stocks with improving fundamentals. This gap between price performance and earnings improvement is what deep value research seeks to identify.

What is the earnings momentum for Jubilant Foodworks Ltd?

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd's earnings momentum is Decelerating — growth rate is slowing.

  • PAT QoQ progression: +91% → +106% → -63% (2Q ago → 1Q ago → latest)
  • Acceleration: -76.9pp
  • PAT YoY Growth: +70%

Is Jubilant Foodworks Ltd undervalued?

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd's valuation metrics

  • Price-to-Earnings (PE): 78.8x
  • Price-to-Book (PB): 14.4x
  • PEG Ratio: 6.4x
  • Margin of Safety: -78% (appears overvalued)

What are the revenue and margin trends for Jubilant Foodworks Ltd?

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd's revenue and margin trends

  • Latest Quarter Revenue Growth (QoQ): +4%
  • Average Quarterly Revenue Growth: +5%
  • Revenue Acceleration: -1.7pp
  • Latest OPM Change: -0.6pp (margins contracting)
  • Average OPM Change: +0.4pp
  • Revenue YoY: +13%

What is Jubilant Foodworks Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance?

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance

  • TTM PAT: ₹411 Cr
  • TTM PAT Growth: +9.3% YoY
  • TTM Revenue: ₹9,000 Cr
  • TTM Revenue Growth: +20.1% YoY
  • TTM Operating Margin: 19.3%

What sector does Jubilant Foodworks Ltd belong to?

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd key facts

  • Sector: Quick Service Restaurant - QSR
  • Market Cap: ₹31.2K Cr
  • Rank in Quick Service Restaurant - QSR: #2 by value score
  • Overall rank among all deep value stocks: #48

Is Jubilant Foodworks Ltd a good deep value opportunity to study?

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd shows limited deep value signals currently — score is 44/100 (Average). Monitor for improvement.

  • Value Score: 44/100 (Average)
  • Earnings: Not accelerating
  • 1Y Underperformance: -35% vs Nifty 500

What is the bull and bear case for Jubilant Foodworks Ltd?

Research Signals (Bull Case)

  • Operating margins expanding

Risk Factors (Bear Case)

  • Earnings growth decelerating
  • Significant underperformance (-35% vs Nifty 1Y)
  • Appears overvalued despite underperformance

Which other Quick Service Restaurant - QSR stocks are deep value opportunities?

Other deep value stocks in Quick Service Restaurant - QSR

  • Westlife Foodworld Ltd — Score 47/100, Average

How does the Quick Service Restaurant - QSR sector look for deep value?

Quick Service Restaurant - QSR deep value sector overview

  • 2 deep value stocks in this sector
  • Average value score: 46/100
  • Avg PAT acceleration: -130.1pp
  • Top pick: Westlife Foodworld Ltd

What is deep value investing?

Deep value investing studies stocks that are underperforming the market despite showing improving fundamentals. The thesis is that the market has not yet recognized the earnings recovery, creating a potential valuation gap. It requires patience — recovery can take several quarters.

How is the deep value score calculated?

The deep value score (0-100) combines three factors:

- Earnings (0-40 pts): PAT growth across last 3 quarters, acceleration, and consecutive growth - Underperformance (0-35 pts): How much the stock trails Nifty 500 over 1Y, 6M, 3M (deeper underperformance = higher score) - Quality (0-25 pts): Revenue growth, margin trends, and valuation metrics (PEG, P/B)

Higher score indicates a stronger contrarian research signal.

What are the growth catalysts for Jubilant Foodworks Ltd?

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd has 6 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis

  • New Product Or Brand Launch
  • Operating Leverage Inflection
  • Geographical Expansion
  • Interest Cost Reduction Deleveraging

What are the key risks in Jubilant Foodworks Ltd?

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd has 2 key risks worth monitoring

  • Persistent inflation in dairy, oil, and flour prices
  • Potential impact from the implementation of the new Labour Code in April

What did Jubilant Foodworks Ltd's management say in the latest earnings call?

In Q3 FY26, Jubilant Foodworks Ltd's management highlighted

  • "So, we want the India Domino’s business to grow closer to 15% year-on-year. That is what internally we target. [Previous India Domino's Revenue Growt..."
  • "Now, roughly 5% to 7% should come from like-for-like growth and we should increase 7% to 10% on the store expansion. [Previous Like-for-Like (LFL) Gr..."
  • "Our site selection is totally AI-enabled now and we have a list of 1,000 stores. So I do see that the brand is very strong. [Initiative: AI-Enabled S..."

The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.