As of Mar 28, 2026, Aegis Logistics Ltd (Logistics) has a deep value score of 34/100 (rated Weak).
Deep value thesis based on recent earnings • Updated Mar 21, 2026
Aegis Logistics is transitioning from trading to high-margin terminal infrastructure with record EBITDA growth and debt reduction positioning it for sustained margin expansion.
Verdict
TURNAROUND_IN_PROGRESS
Re-rating catalysts over the next 2-4 quarters • Updated Mar 21, 2026
Adding ₹250-300 Cr annual EBITDA potential from large gas vessels handling
Impact: +₹275 Cr revenue
“Capacity expansion already completed, awaiting vessel scheduling”
30% capacity increase driving 20%+ volume growth in liquid chemicals segment
Impact: +₹180 Cr revenue
“Infrastructure ready, commercial agreements already signed”
Triggering institutional investor re-rating toward pure-play terminal operator valuations
“Current net debt/EBITDA at 1.8x with ₹2,800 Cr from Aegis Vopak listing”
Risks that could prevent re-rating or deepen the value trap
Sharp LPG price correction
Impact: -300 bps margin impact
Management view: Hedging strategies in place but limited to 60% of exposure
Monitor: Trading contribution to EBITDA
Stock price correction below ₹650
Management view: Management states pledges will reduce as debt continues to fall
Monitor: Pledge percentage quarterly
New port tariff policy announcement
Impact: -200 bps margin impact
Management view: Long-term contracts provide some tariff protection
Monitor: Terminal utilization rates
Forward-looking targets from management for FY27
Revenue Growth Target
12%
Implied PAT Growth
25%
OPM Guidance
19.5%
Capex Plan
₹450 Cr
Credit Growth Target
8%
NIM Guidance
3.2%
Key Milestones
• Kandla VLGC operational by Q1 FY27
• Mumbai Port expansion completion by Q1 FY27
• Debt/EBITDA below 1.5x by Q4 FY26
Revenue, profit and margin growth rates
| Metric | YoY | 3Y CAGR | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +1% | +13% | Inflection Up |
| PAT (Net Profit) | +46% | +27% | Stable |
| OPM | 17.0% | +300 bps | Stable |
The above analysis is AI-generated from publicly available financial data. This is educational research only — not investment advice. Last updated Mar 21, 2026.
Based on publicly available financial data. This is educational research, not investment advice.
Aegis Logistics Ltd has a deep value score of 34/100 (rated Weak). This score is calculated from three components
Aegis Logistics Ltd's quarterly profit (PAT) growth trajectory
Aegis Logistics Ltd is underperforming the market despite improving earnings — this is the core deep value thesis
Aegis Logistics Ltd's earnings momentum is Monitoring.
Aegis Logistics Ltd's valuation metrics
Aegis Logistics Ltd's revenue and margin trends
Aegis Logistics Ltd's trailing twelve month (TTM) performance
Aegis Logistics Ltd key facts
Aegis Logistics Ltd shows limited deep value signals currently — score is 34/100 (Weak). Monitor for improvement.
Other deep value stocks in Logistics
Deep value investing studies stocks that are underperforming the market despite showing improving fundamentals. The thesis is that the market has not yet recognized the earnings recovery, creating a potential valuation gap. It requires patience — recovery can take several quarters.
The deep value score (0-100) combines three factors:
- Earnings (0-40 pts): PAT growth across last 3 quarters, acceleration, and consecutive growth - Underperformance (0-35 pts): How much the stock trails Nifty 500 over 1Y, 6M, 3M (deeper underperformance = higher score) - Quality (0-25 pts): Revenue growth, margin trends, and valuation metrics (PEG, P/B)
Higher score indicates a stronger contrarian research signal.
Aegis Logistics Ltd has 3 key growth catalysts identified from recent earnings analysis
Aegis Logistics Ltd has 3 key risks worth monitoring
The above FAQs are generated from publicly available earnings data. This is educational research only. Sector Alpha is not SEBI registered and does not provide investment advice.
